• Title/Summary/Keyword: empirical distribution

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WEAK CONVERGENCE FOR STATIONARY BOOTSTRAP EMPIRICAL PROCESSES OF ASSOCIATED SEQUENCES

  • Hwang, Eunju
    • Journal of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.58 no.1
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    • pp.237-264
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    • 2021
  • In this work the stationary bootstrap of Politis and Romano [27] is applied to the empirical distribution function of stationary and associated random variables. A weak convergence theorem for the stationary bootstrap empirical processes of associated sequences is established with its limiting to a Gaussian process almost surely, conditionally on the stationary observations. The weak convergence result is proved by means of a random central limit theorem on geometrically distributed random block size of the stationary bootstrap procedure. As its statistical applications, stationary bootstrap quantiles and stationary bootstrap mean residual life process are discussed. Our results extend the existing ones of Peligrad [25] who dealt with the weak convergence of non-random blockwise empirical processes of associated sequences as well as of Shao and Yu [35] who obtained the weak convergence of the mean residual life process in reliability theory as an application of the association.

Can the Skewed Student-t Distribution Assumption Provide Accurate Estimates of Value-at-Risk?

  • Kang, Sang-Hoon;Yoon, Seong-Min
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.153-186
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    • 2007
  • It is well known that the distributional properties of financial asset returns exhibit fatter-tails and skewer-mean than the assumption of normal distribution. The correct assumption of return distribution might improve the estimated performance of the Value-at-Risk(VaR) models in financial markets. In this paper, we estimate and compare the VaR performance using the RiskMetrics, GARCH and FIGARCH models based on the normal and skewed-Student-t distributions in two daily returns of the Korean Composite Stock Index(KOSPI) and Korean Won-US Dollar(KRW-USD) exchange rate. We also perform the expected shortfall to assess the size of expected loss in terms of the estimation of the empirical failure rate. From the results of empirical VaR analysis, it is found that the presence of long memory in the volatility of sample returns is not an important in estimating an accurate VaR performance. However, it is more important to consider a model with skewed-Student-t distribution innovation in determining better VaR. In short, the appropriate assumption of return distribution provides more accurate VaR models for the portfolio managers and investors.

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Foreign Capital Flows, Banking Stability and the Role of International Trade Cooperation and Distribution an Empirical Analysis from the ASEAN Region

  • LU, Chi Huu;LUONG, Thuy Thi Thu
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.20 no.7
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    • pp.23-33
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: Although foreign capital flows have played a vital role in fostering the economic growth in recipient countries, there are some concerns about the adverse impact of international capital flows on the banking stability. Hence, the study revisits this issue to explore the relationship between the different types of foreign investments and banking stability in ASEAN region. Research design, data and methodology: Based on the bank-level data of 96 commercial banks and country-level in six ASEAN countries from 2008 to 2019, we perform the multivariate regression analysis and provide a variety of robustness tests. Results: Our empirical evidence shows the volatility of foreign portfolio investments has significantly negative effect on the banking stability, besides that of foreign other investments has the similar influence but the result is relatively less pronounced in some robustness tests. Additionally, increasing trade cooperation and international distribution may lead countries to face higher risk of banking instability driven from these international investments. Meanwhile, the impact of foreign direct investments is positive, but the evidence is the least obvious. Conclusions: Our findings suggest policy-makers in ASEAN and emerging nations as a whole should carefully consider when building policies-related to mitigate the adverse impact of foreign capital flows.

Target Market Determination for Information Distribution and Student Recruitment Using an Extended RFM Model with Spatial Analysis

  • ERNAWATI, ERNAWATI;BAHARIN, Safiza Suhana Kamal;KASMIN, Fauziah
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This research proposes a new modified Recency-Frequency-Monetary (RFM) model by extending the model with spatial analysis for supporting decision-makers in discovering the promotional target market. Research design, data and methodology: This quantitative research utilizes data-mining techniques and the RFM model to cluster a university's provider schools. The RFM model was modified by adapting its variables to the university's marketing context and adding a district's potential (D) variable based on heatmap analysis using Geographic Information System (GIS) and K-means clustering. The K-prototype algorithm and the Elbow method were applied to find provider school clusters using the proposed RFM-D model. After profiling the clusters, the target segment was assigned. The model was validated using empirical data from an Indonesian university, and its performance was compared to the Customer Lifetime Value (CLV)-based RFM utilizing accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score metrics. Results: This research identified five clusters. The target segment was chosen from the highest-value and high-value clusters that comprised 17.80% of provider schools but can contribute 75.77% of students. Conclusions: The proposed model recommended more targeted schools in higher-potential districts and predicted the target segment with 0.99 accuracies, outperforming the CLV-based model. The empirical findings help university management determine the promotion location and allocate resources for promotional information distribution and student recruitment.

Demonstration of Operating Algorithm for Stabilizing Multi-LVDC Power Grid (다회로 LVDC 전력망 안정화를 위한 운영 알고리즘 실증)

  • Yu-Kyeong Lee;Byung-Woo Park;Chun-Sung Kim;Sung-Jun Park
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.26 no.6_3
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    • pp.1259-1267
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    • 2023
  • In recent years, as the demand for distributed power has increased, the need for microgrids connected to grid power and renewable power generation sources has emerged. In the case of DC microgrids, reactive power does not occur, and power conversion losses are reduced compared to AC when connecting to the load and power grid[2]. With the revitalization of the DC distribution network industry, various studies and demonstrations of DC microgrids have been carried out. In the case of the recent unit distribution, its stability and effectiveness have been verified through empirical and research analysis. However, there is a lack of empirical tests to prevent chain accidents for the protection of the power grid circuits and the misoperation of the distributed power system caused by individual accidents when connecting various distributed power sources and power grids. In this paper, the operation plan of a stable multi-circuit DC distribution connection for the demonstration site was verified through the protection cooperation and operation algorithm for the stable linkage management of the DC distribution network composed of such a multi-circuit.

Effect of Omni-Channel Use and Customer-Brand Relationship (소비자 옴니채널 성향과 소비자-브랜드 관계에 관한 연구: 브랜드 경험 조절효과)

  • Park, Seung-Hwan
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.129-138
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - The ICT(information and communications technologies) development is affecting consumer behaviors on selecting channel or distribution system. This study aims to advance our knowledge about the factors influencing omni-channel behaviors. This study considers the positive brand experience as the moderating variable into the relationship between omini-channel use intention and consumer brand relation. Also, the effect of positive brand experience on consumer-brand relation is researched. Research design, data, and methodology - This study conducted an empirical test with the subject as customers who purchase goods or service through on-off cross channel simultaneously. The research model is developed from prior literatures about influencing variables on channel selection. The structure of this study is designed to identify causal relationships between the variables. 268 survey data from the questionnaire survey which is conducted to target customers who use online and offline channels, is used for empirical analysis. This study validates generality with descriptive statistics and data reliability with Cronbach's alpha value. The exploratory factor analysis is used for value purification. Then, the confirmatory factor analysis is conducted for structural equation modeling. Finally, the execute structural equation modeling is analyzed to confirm the hypotheses Results - First, the two causal influences between perceived performance risk and the propensity of omni-channel and between price consciousness and the propensity of omni-channel are verified through the empirical test. Second, the result identifies that the propensity of omni-channel is influenced on consumer-brand relationship. Third, the AMOS analysis proves that the moderating variable, positive brand experience, has significant positive impact on consumer-brand relationship. This significant relationship is highly supported by the regression analysis between brand experience and propensity of omni-channel because it results that positive brand experience has positive impact on the propensity of omni-channel. All hypotheses are verified to be true. Conclusions - Based on the empirical result, this study confirms that perceived performance risk and price consciousness are the important factors influencing propensity of omni-channel. According to the additional analysis, the moderating variable and positive brand experience plays important role between the propensity of omni-channel and consumer-brand relationship. Furthermore, positive brand experience influences more on consumer-brand relationship than non-positive brand experience.

Test for the Exponential Distribution Based on Multiply Type-II Censored Samples

  • Kang, Suk-Bok;Lee, Sang-Ki
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.537-550
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we develope three modified empirical distribution function type tests, the modified Cramer-von Mises test, the modified Anderson-Darling test, and the modified Kolmogorov-Smirnov test for the two-parameter exponential distribution with unknown parameters based on multiply Type-II censored samples. For each test, Monte Carlo techniques are used to generate the critical values. The powers of these tests are also investigated under several alternative distributions.

On Asymptotic Properties of a Maximum Likelihood Estimator of Stochastically Ordered Distribution Function

  • Oh, Myongsik
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.185-191
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    • 2013
  • Kiefer (1961) studied asymptotic behavior of empirical distribution using the law of the iterated logarithm. Robertson and Wright (1974a) discussed whether this type of result would hold for a maximum likelihood estimator of a stochastically ordered distribution function; however, we show that this cannot be achieved. We provide only a partial answer to this problem. The result is applicable to both estimation and testing problems under the restriction of stochastic ordering.

Some Nonparametric Tests for Change-points with Epidemic Alternatives

  • Kim, Kyung-Moo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.427-434
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    • 1997
  • The purpose of this paper is to discuss distribution-free tests of hypothesis that the random samples are identically distributed against the epidemic alternative. But most tests that have been considered are depended only on specific null distribution. Two nonparametric tests are considered and compared with a likelihood ratio test by the empirical powers.

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The Effect on Satisfaction with Mediation of Trust Caused by Hypermarkets' Online Image (온라인에서 대형마트 쇼핑몰의 이미지가 신뢰를 매개로 만족에 미치는 영향)

  • Shin, Moon-Shik;Kim, Hyo-Jung
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.12 no.10
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 2014
  • Purpose - This study analyzed how image affects customer trust and satisfaction in the online shopping mall market, which is becoming more competitive; future implications for customer management in online shopping malls were presented. Consumers visit and prefer a few shopping mall sites instead of many sites. Consumers do not visit sites that cannot provide trust and satisfaction. Therefore, establishing trust and satisfaction with differentiated image is essential for survival and growth. Specifically analyzing company image, shop image, and brand image, I studied how symbolic image, functional image, and empirical image affect satisfaction mediated by trust in the online shopping malls of hypermarket retailers. Research design, data, and methodology - To investigate the relationship between image and satisfaction of big box retailers' shopping malls in the online market, the study is based on analyzed data from questionnaires involving advanced research. From May 1st to 20th in the year 2014, a questionnaire survey targeting university students using big box retailers' shopping malls in Seoul was conducted. A total of 282 questionnaires were conducted, and 276 questionnaires were used for empirical analysis, excluding invalid data. Using the SPSS 21.0 statistics package, factor analysis and regression analysis were implemented, and effects of image on trust and satisfaction were presented. Results - First, symbolic image can affect satisfaction with only trust. Among 3 image factors, symbolic image exerts the most influence on trust; trust is important in coupling the medium to satisfaction. Second, functional image and empirical image affect satisfaction directly and indirectly with trust. Conclusions - As I classified the image of hyper market retailers' online shopping malls into symbolic, functional, and empirical image, I analyzed the effects of image on trust and satisfaction empirically. The results of the study and strategic implications are as follows. First, symbolic image can affect satisfaction with only trust. Among 3 image factors, symbolic image exerts the most influence on trust; trust is important in coupling the medium to satisfaction. The establishment of a distinctive symbolic image, such as the online shopping mall's loyalty, level of awareness, and special service, is needed. With the establishment of symbolic image, trust and satisfaction could be improved. Second, functional image and empirical image affect satisfaction directly and indirectly with trust. Especially, as functional image affects trust more than empirical image, setting and implementing a strategy for empirical image based on the right price, service, and convenience could raise trust and satisfaction. Empirical image affects trust and satisfaction substantially. Even though empirical image's influence on trust is lower than that of other three image factors, empirical image's influence on satisfaction is higher than symbolic image. Therefore, it requires a strategy for providing joyful use, and information research functions and distinctive use experience are important to improve satisfaction. This study analyzed image characteristics of hyper-market retailers' online shopping malls in the fast-growing online market; future strategic implications were presented.