• 제목/요약/키워드: elasticities

검색결과 165건 처리시간 0.018초

패널자료를 이용한 생활용수 수요의 가격탄력도 분석 (Panel Estimation of Price Elasticities on Residential Water Demand in Korea)

  • 박두호;최한주
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.527-534
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    • 2006
  • Demand side management(DSM) is the newly raised issues in the water resources management in recent. Many of the policy tools among demand management, the most important measures might be a pricing system. Furthermore, the responses of consumers on the price for water consumption level is the key factor for policy making. Here, we estimated panel data for 167 regions and over 7 years periods in Korea. Compare to other previous studies the price elasticities were somewhat low. The estimated price elasticity was -0.05. It was because the short term estimated period may derive lower elasticities. However, it might be a recent trend after the continuous increment of water pricing and consumers not willing to decrease their residential water consumption with increasing water pricing. According to this results, water saving effect might be much smaller than we expect with pricing policy. However, It does not imply there is no price effects on water consumption and it's still meaningful as a tool of water management.

Substitution Elasticity and Gains from Trade Variety in South Korea

  • Kichun Kang
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제26권7호
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - Recent international studies have largely focused on measuring the welfare gains from increased trade varieties. To adequately capture the variety gains, it is of importance to estimate the elasticity of substitution between varieties of trade goods because it is one of the key parameters to determine the magnitude of the variety gains. Using the import data of South Korea, this paper shows that the elasticities vary substantially across the estimators, which affects the magnitude of the gains from trade. Design/methodology - Empirical studies working on the gains from trade variety have heavily depended on the estimation methods for the elasticity of substitution between trade varieties, developed by Feenstra (1994) and refined by Broda and Weinstein (2006). We estimate and compare the estimated elasticities for 8,945 HS 10 goods of South Korea, obtained from the three estimation methods: Feenstra's weighted least square (F-WLS), Feenstra's feasible generalized least square (F-FGLS), and Broda and Weinstein's feasible generalized least square (BW-FGLS). Findings - Using the estimated elasticities from the F-FGLS, considered as a suitable estimator, A typical Korean consumer saved 228 dollars per year by the greater access to new import varieties. This leads to gains from imported variety of 2.06% of GDP. In 2017, a typical Korean consumer would gain by 611 dollars, compared with 2000. China is the country with the largest contribution (28.4%), followed by Japan and USA. About 50% of all the welfare gains come from the imports from the three main trade partners. The Southern Asian countries are more important to the South Korean welfare gain than the Western European countries. Originality/value - Existing studies have chosen one of the methods without any criterion for the choice and then estimated the elasticities of substitution between varieties of trade goods. This paper focuses on the estimation specifications and methods as the cause of the disparity in estimated elasticities and welfare gains from trade variety. According to the Ramsey RESET and White tests, the F-FGLS estimates are relatively better compared to the F-WLS and BW-FGLS estimates. As another contribution, this paper provides the first measure of the welfare gains from trade variety for South Korea, using the estimated elasticities of substitution between trade varieties.

한국의 대미국 수출 결정요인의 장기적 영향에 관한 연구 (An Study on Long Run Effects of Determinants on Export of Korean Goods to US)

  • 최문성
    • 통상정보연구
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.409-433
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구에서는 미국의 실질GDP와 원/달러 실질환율을 독립변수로 하고, 한국의 대미국 실질수출을 종속변수로 하는 한국의 대미국 수출함수를 설정하여 1990년부터 2013년까지의 연간 자료를 통해 이들 독립변수들의 한국의 대미 수출에 대한 장기탄력성을 추정하고, 이들의 연도별 변화추세를 살펴보았다. 공적분 검정과 VECM을 통해 구한 장기 추정식의 분석결과 장기소득탄력성과 장기환율탄력성 모두 양(+)의 부호를 가지는 것으로 나타나 이론적인 예상과 일치하였다. 한편, 전향적 회귀분석을 통한 연도별 장기탄력성 분석한 결과 장기소득탄력성은 2008년 글로벌 금융위기 전까지 비교적 높은 수준을 유지하다가 2008년 글로벌 금융위기 이후 급격한 감소를 보였으나, 최근 다시 2000년대 수준으로 다시 회복세를 보인 것으로 나타났다. 연도별 장기실질환율탄력성의 경우 모형과 연도에 따라 양(+)의 부호와 음(-)의 부호가 혼재되어 나타났고, 2008년 글로벌 금융위기 이후의 원/달러 실질환율에 대한 대미 한국수출의 민감도가 감소한 것으로 분석되었다.

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Staled Preference 방법론에 의한 국내선 항공수요의 가격탄력성 추정 (Estimating Price Elasticities of Domestic Air Transport Demand by Stated Preference Technique)

  • 이성원;이영혁;박지형
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2000
  • 이 연구는 최근 소비자 행동분석에서 많이 사용되고 있는 설문조사에 의한 Stated Preference의 방법론을 채택하여 항공여객수요의 가격탄력성을 분석하였다. 우리나라의 국내선 항공은 항공요금이 지금가지 인가제나 신고제로 규제되어 왔기 때문에 통상의 총량자료에 의한 회귀분석으로는 가격탄력성 도출이 어려우며 특별한 분석방법론을 필요로 한다. 이 연구에서는 항공여객에 대한 설문조사로 항공편과 철도, 버스, 승용차 등 대체교통수단과의 선택 여부에 대한 자료를 입수한 후, SP기법에 따른 Logit model로 분석하여 항공수요의 가격탄력성과 대체교통수단으로의 모드별 쉐어 변환율을 Sample Enumeration 방식에 의해 추정하였다 대체 가격탄력성은 -0.6∼-0.9의 값으로 밝혀졌으며 대체교통수단으로는 주로 철도를 선택하고 일부 버스를 선택하며 승용차는 거의 선택하지 않는 것으로 조사되었다.

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에너지절약투자의 온실가스 배출 감소 효과 (The Effect of Energy-Saving Investment on Reduction of Greenhouse Gas Emissions)

  • 김현;정경수
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제9권5호
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    • pp.925-945
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    • 2000
  • This paper analyses the impact of energy-saving investment on Greenhouse gas emissions using a model of energy demand in Korea. SUR method was employed to estimate the demand equation. The econometric estimates provide information about the energy price divisia index, sector income, and energy saving-investment elasticities of energy demand. Except for energy price divisia, the elasticities of each variable are statistically significant. Also, the price and substitution elasticities of each energy price are similar to the results reported by the previous studies. The energy-saving investment is statistically significant and elasticities of each sector is inelastic. Using the coefficient of energy-saving investment and carbon transmission coefficient, the amount of reduction of energy demand and the reduction of carbon emissions can be estimated. The simulation is performed with the scenario that the energy-saving investment increase by 10~50%, keeping up with Equipment Investment Plan of 30% increase in energy-saving investment by 2000. The results show that the reduction of energy demand measured as 11.2% based upon 1995's level of the energy demand, in industrial sector. Accordingly, the carbon emissions will be reduced by 11.3% based upon 1995's level of the carbon emissions in industrial sector.

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Lamb Production Costs: Analyses of Composition and Elasticities Analysis of Lamb Production Costs

  • Raineri, C.;Stivari, T.S.S.;Gameiro, A.H.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제28권8호
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    • pp.1209-1215
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    • 2015
  • Since lamb is a commodity, producers cannot control the price of the product they sell. Therefore, managing production costs is a necessity. We explored the study of elasticities as a tool for basing decision-making in sheep production, and aimed at investigating the composition and elasticities of lamb production costs, and their influence on the performance of the activity. A representative sheep production farm, designed in a panel meeting, was the base for calculation of lamb production cost. We then performed studies of: i) costs composition, and ii) cost elasticities for prices of inputs and for zootechnical indicators. Variable costs represented 64.15% of total cost, while 21.66% were represented by operational fixed costs, and 14.19% by the income of the factors. As for elasticities to input prices, the opportunity cost of land was the item to which production cost was more sensitive: a 1% increase in its price would cause a 0.2666% increase in lamb cost. Meanwhile, the impact of increasing any technical indicator was significantly higher than the impact of rising input prices. A 1% increase in weight at slaughter, for example, would reduce total cost in 0.91%. The greatest obstacle to economic viability of sheep production under the observed conditions is low technical efficiency. Increased production costs are more related to deficient zootechnical indexes than to high expenses.

서울시 생활용수 수요 추정 -오차수정모형을 적용하여- (Estimating the Demand for Domestic Water in Seoul : Appilcation of the Error Correction Model)

  • 곽승준;이충기
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.81-97
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    • 2002
  • Unlike the existing supply-centered water policy, demand management policy of water has become an increasingly important issue in Korea. This paper attempts to analyse the demand for domestic water in Seoul. We employed Engle-Granger's error correction model(ECM) to deduced the price and income elasticities of the water demand. Particularly, we used accounted water amounts instead of supplied water amounts as representative variable of water demand. The result indicates that ECM set up is appropriate and short-run and long-run price elasticities derived by the model are -0.145 and -1.414. In contrast with other studies, we can conclude that the water demand for the water price is elastic. Besides, we can infer from this result that the water price policy with respect to a decrease of leakage ratio is more effective.

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휘발유 가격변화에 대한 자동차 연비의 수요탄력성 추정 - 대구시를 대상으로 헤도닉기법을 이용하여 - (Estimation of Gasoline Price Elasticities of Demand for Automobile Fuel Efficiency in Korea : A Hedonic Approach)

  • 이성태;이명헌
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.45-64
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    • 2001
  • This paper estimates the gasoline price elasticities of demand for automobile fuel efficiency in Korea to examine indirectly whether the government policy of raising fuel prices is effective in inducing less consumption of fuel, relying on a hedonic technique developed by Atkinson and Halvorsen (1984). One of the advantages of this technique is that the data for a single year, without involving variation in the price of gasoline, is sufficient in implementing this study. Moreover. this technique enables us to circumvent the multicollinearity problem, which had reduced reliability of the results in previous hedonic studies. The estimated elasticities of dam and for fuel efficiency with respect to the price of gasoline, on average, is 0.42.

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목재수요(木材需要)의 소득(所得) 및 가격탄력성(價格彈力性) 분석(分析) (Analysis of the Income and Price Elasticities of Timber Demand in Korea)

  • 박명규;박석희
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제54권1호
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 1981
  • 과거(過去) 27년(年)(1953~1979년(年))동안 우리나라의 목재수요탄력성(木材需要彈力性)은 소득(所得)의 증감(增減) 및 가격변동(價格變動)에 대응(對應)해서 어떻게 변화(變化)되어 왔는지를 검토(檢討)하기 위하여 경제성장(經濟成長)의 단계(段階)를 3기간(期間)으로 구분(區分), 소득탄력성(所得彈力性) 분석(分析)을 하였으며 그결과(結果)를 요약(要約)하면 다음과 같다. 1. 1953~79년간(年間)에 있어서 총목재수요(總木材需要)의 소득탄력치(所得彈力値)는 1.87, 가격탄력치(價格彈力値)는 -0.47이었다. 그리고 해(該) 기간중(期間中) 내재수요(內材需要)의 소득(所得) 및 가격탄력치(價格彈力値)는 각각 0.09, -0.30이었으며, 외재수요(外材需要)의 소득(所得) 및 가격탄력치(價格彈力値)는 각각 2.50, -0.11을 나타내었다. 2. 전란후(戰亂後) 경제회복기(經濟回復期)인 1953~61년간(年間)에 총목재수요(總木材需要)의 소득탄력치(所得彈力値)는 2.11, 가격탄력치(價格彈力値)는 -0.86이었다. 해기간중(該期間中) 내재수요(內材需要)의 소득(所得) 및 가격탄력치(價格彈力値)는 각각 -2.94, -0.57이었고, 외재수요(外材需要)의 소득(所得) 및 가격탄력치(價格彈力値)는 각각 1.20, 0.43이었다. 3. 경제재건기(經濟再建期)인 1962~71년간(年間)에 총목재수요(總木材需要)의 소득탄력치(所得彈力値)는 2.89, 가격탄력치(價格彈力値)는 -0.20이었다. 해기간중(該期間中) 내재수요(內材需要)의 소득(所得) 및 가격탄력치(價格彈力値)는 각각 1.38, -0.25였고, 외재수요(外材需要)의 소득(所得) 및 가격탄력치(價格彈力値)는 각각 3.54, -0.42였다. 4. 고도경제성장기(高度經濟成長期)인 1972~79년간(年間)에 총목재수요(總木材需要)의 소득탄력치(所得彈力値)는 1.07, 가격탄력치(價格彈力値)는 0.17이었다. 해기간중(該期間中) 내재수요(內材需要)의 소득(所得) 및 가격탄력치(價格彈力値)는 모두 0.12였으며, 외재수요(外材需要)의 소득(所得) 및 가격탄력치(價格彈力値)는 각각 1.22, 0.17이었다.

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가상패널자료를 이용한 승용차 통행수요 탄력성 추정 연구 (Estimating Elasticities of Car Travel Demand Using Pseudo-Panel Data)

  • 한상용;이재민;김태승
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.7-20
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    • 2012
  • 가구의 지속적인 승용차 보유 증가로 인한 승용차 이용 증대는 교통부문에서의 온실가스 감축 목표 달성에 큰 장애요인으로 작용하고 있다. 특히 가구의 승용차 통행수요는 가구원수, 가구소득, 거주지역 등 다양한 가구특성에 의해 결정되기 때문에 이러한 가구특성 변수들이 승용차 통행수요에 미치는 영향, 즉, 가구의 승용차 통행수요에 대한 탄력성 분석이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 1995부터 2007년까지의 가계동향조사 자료를 활용하여 가상패널자료를 구축하고, 이 자료를 토대로 패널모형을 추정하여 가구의 승용차 통행수요에 대한 장 단기 가격 및 소득탄력성을 추정하였다. 실증분석결과, 승용차 통행수요의 단기 가격탄력성은 0.2974~0.4280, 장기 가격탄력성은 0.4087~0.6275로 분석되었고, 단기 소득탄력성은 0.3364~0.6281, 장기 소득탄력성은 0.7098로 분석되었다. 본 연구에서 도출된 승용차 통행수요에 대한 장 단기 가격 및 소득탄력성 추정결과는 향후 교통수요관리 정책의 효과를 분석하는 데 정량적 기초자료로서 활용될 수 있다고 판단된다.