• Title/Summary/Keyword: dynamic risk factor

Search Result 53, Processing Time 0.045 seconds

Evaluation of Life Annuity Plans Based on Utility Maximization : Focused on Comparison with Money's Worth Ratio (효용 최적화를 통한 종신연금 계획의 가치 추정 : Money's Worth 비율과의 비교를 중심으로)

  • Yang, Jae-Hwan;Yuh, Yoon-Kyung
    • Korean Management Science Review
    • /
    • v.27 no.1
    • /
    • pp.45-60
    • /
    • 2010
  • This study evaluates life annuity plans based on two different types of measures : financial benefit and utility on consumption. The financial benefit is measured by Money's Worth (MW) ratio and return on annuity. For the measure of utility, an optimization problem is formulated with the objective of maximizing utility on consumption. To solve the optimization model, we use Dynamic Programming (DP) technique. The both types of measures are applied to cases of Korean pre-retirees at age 40 with different accumulation years of annuity (i.e. level of annuity asset at the age of retirement) and different timings of annuitization. Our results generally indicate that the utility based optimization model is superior to the financial measures in terms of providing a better evaluation of an annuity plan due to its capability to consider an individual's financial situation during his/her retirement period. Also, they suggest that the level of annuity asset is an important factor when an individual determines the optimal annuitization timing.

Development of Structural Equation Model for Causal Relationships Among the Risk Factors of Arteriosclerosis (동맥경화증 위험요인들간의 인과관계에 대한 구조모형 구축)

  • 오현수;서화숙
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
    • /
    • v.29 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1192-1207
    • /
    • 1999
  • The purpose of this study was to clarify the dynamic relationships among risk factors of arteriosclerosis and to develop and examine a model which could explain this relationship clearly. Data were collected from medical records of 400 male clients who visited a university hospital located in Inchon for physical examinations, from May 1996 to December 1996. Data were analyzed using the LISREL (Linear Structural Relationship) 8 program. To test the fitness of the hypothesized model, chi-square, RMSR (root mean square residual), GFI (goodness of fit index), CN (critical number) and Q-plot were used. Most of the fitness measurements, except the chi-square showed that the hypothesized model complimented the real data. According to the results, there were trends that obesity and hyperlipidemia were prevalent in heavier smokers, higher alcohol intakers, and groups who excercised less. Also, hypertension was more prevalent in older age, higher alcohol intaker, and higher serum lipid level groups. In contrast to the hypothesis, alcohol intake did not significantly affect serum lipid levels. This might be due to the serum lipid measurements (total cholesterol and trigryceride) used in this study to estimate hyperlipidemia. The direct effect of smoking on hypertension was not significant. However, the total effect of smoking on the hypertension was significant since indirect effects of smoking on hypertension, such as obesity and hyperlipidemia, were significant. The total effect of obesity on hypertension was significant since the indirect effect of obesity on hypertension via hyperlipidemia was significant, although the direct effect of smoking on hypertension was not significant. The degree of explaining hyperlipidemia with smoking, exercise, and obesity was high (60%), however, the degree of explaining obesity with age, smoking, alcohol intake, and exercise was very low (7%). On the basis of these results, high risk factors of arteriosclerosis such as hypertension, hyperlipidemia, or obesity are either directly or indirectly correlated each other. Therefore, it is difficult to predict outcomes for increasing or decreasing the risk factors by simply modulating a factor. Smoking, alcohol, and exercise both directly and indirectly affected major risk factors of arteriosclerosis. Therefore, correcting these variables is required to decrease risk factors. Finally, the relationship among other risk factors which have been known to be related with arteriosclerosis (diet, stress or hereditary) should be clarified in further studies.

  • PDF

The Impacts of Startups Entrepreneurship on Business Performance: Focused on the Mediating Effect of Dynamic Capabilities (창업기업의 기업가정신이 경영성과에 미치는 영향: 동적역량 매개효과 중심으로)

  • Ahn, Tae-Uk;Kang, Tae-Won
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
    • /
    • v.14 no.4
    • /
    • pp.39-49
    • /
    • 2019
  • The government is actively implementing a start-up infrastructure and start-up support policy for successful start-up companies. However, the actual success rate of start-up companies is not high. In order to improve the performance of a start-up company, it is necessary to have a strategy that has the right entrepreneurship and efficiently utilizes its resources. In particular, opportunity exploration, resource acquisition and resource reorganization are dynamic capabilities that are very necessary for the growth of a start-up company. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to verify the effects and relationships of entrepreneurship and dynamic competence of business startups on management performance. For this study, a survey was conducted on CEOs of start-up companies less than seven years old, and 361 final samples were used to analyze data. The results of this study are as follows. The innovation, risk-taking and initiative of entrepreneurship were found to have a positive effect on dynamic capabilities. Second, the innovation and risk-taking of entrepreneurship had a significant positive effect on management performance, but initiative was found to have no significant effect. Third, it was found that dynamic capabilities had a significant positive effect on management performance. Lastly, the verification of the mediated effect of dynamic capabilities showed that there was a mediated effect between initiative and management performance. In other words, this study found a significant research result that effective management of the resources of a start-up company had an effect on management performance and growth when forwardness did not directly affect management performance. This suggests that dynamic capabilities are an important factor in the management performance of start-up companies.

Estimation of Dynamic Characteristics of Core Zone of Rockfill Dam by Multi-channel Analysis of Surface Waves (MASW 조사를 통한 사력댐 코어존 동적물성의 평가)

  • Lee, Jong-Wook;Ha, Ik-Soo;Oh, Byung-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
    • /
    • 2008.10a
    • /
    • pp.860-868
    • /
    • 2008
  • Seismic safety analysis of rockfill dams are consist of the stability analysis as an simplifed method and the dynamic analysis as an detailed method. When high risk dams such as Multi-purpose dams were often applied detailed method by dynamic analysis, dynamic properties of dam materials such as shear modulus are considered as most important factor. Dynamic material properties such as shear modulus had to be investigated by cyclic triaxial test et al. during design and construction stage but these were not conducted because of the condition of domestic seismic design technique. MASW and SASW methods had been applied as a non destructive method to investigate dynamic material properties of existing rockfill dam, has no problems in dam safety at present. These methods were usually performed under the assumptions that the subsurface can be described horizontally homogeneous and isotropic layers. Recent studies(Marwin, 1993, Kim, 2001) showed that surface waves generated through inclined structures have different characteristics from those through a horizontally homogeneous layered model. further Kim et al(2005) and Min and Kim(2006) showed that central core type rockfill dam overestimated the shear wave velocities as increasing the depth through the 3D numerical modelling dut to the effect of outer rockfill and geometrical reasons In this study the results of shear wave velocities of seven rockfill dams form comprehensive facility review, was carried out from 2003 to 2007, were collected and analysed to establish the shear wave velocity distribution characteristics in increasing confining stress in rockfill dams and surface wave velocity ranges in rockfill dam through MASW and the limitation in application are discussed to be utilized as an reference value for dynamic analysis.

  • PDF

Respiratory Severity Score as a Predictive Factor for the Mortality of Congenital Diaphragmatic Hernia

  • Ahn, Ja-Hye;Jung, Young Hwa;Shin, Seung Han;Kim, Hyun-Young;Kim, Ee-Kyung;Kim, Han-Suk
    • Neonatal Medicine
    • /
    • v.25 no.3
    • /
    • pp.102-108
    • /
    • 2018
  • Purpose: Congenital diaphragmatic hernia (CDH) is rare but potentially fatal. The overall outcome is highly variable. This study aimed to identify a simple and dynamic parameter that helps predict the mortality of CDH patients in real time, without invasive tests. Methods: We conducted a retrospective chart review of 59 CDH cases. Maternal and fetal information included the gestational age at diagnosis, site of defect, presence of liver herniation, and lung-to-head ratio (LHR) at 20 to 29 weeks of gestational age. Information regarding postnatal treatment, including the number of days until surgery, the need for inhaled nitric oxide (iNO), the need for extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO), and survival, was collected. The highest respiratory severity score (RSS) within 24 hours after birth was also calculated. Results: Statistical analysis showed that a younger gestational age at the initial diagnosis (P<0.001), a lower LHR (P=0.001), and the presence of liver herniation (P=0.003) were prenatal risk factors for CDH mortality. The RSS and use of iNO and ECMO were significant factors affecting survival. In the multivariate analysis, the only remaining significant risk factor was the highest preoperative RSS within 24 hours after birth (P=0.002). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.9375, with a sensitivity of 91.67% and specificity of 83.87% at the RSS cut-off value of 5.2. The positive and negative predictive values were 82.14% and 92.86%, respectively. Conclusion: Using the RSS as a prognostic predictor with simple calculations will help clinicians plan CDH management.

Bank-Specific Determinants of Loan Growth in Vietnam: Evidence from the CAMELS Approach

  • NGUYEN, Hoang Dieu Hien;DANG, Van Dan
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.7 no.9
    • /
    • pp.179-189
    • /
    • 2020
  • The paper empirically examines the bank-specific determinants of loan growth in the Vietnamese banking system for the period from 2007 to 2019. We approach the CAMELS framework and employ the dynamic panel regression to determine the effects of each CAMELS factor on bank lending. To ensure the robustness of results, we also use alternative definitions of the variables and different specifications with and without full sets of CAMELS components. With these settings, we display multiple important results. (i) We find that a large capital buffer tends to boost bank lending expansion faster. (ii) High asset quality might positively contribute to high loan growth; in other words, banks subject to high credit risk are discouraged from making loans. (iii) Less efficiently managed banks are more likely to adopt an aggressive lending strategy, highlighting the moral hazard incentives of Vietnamese banks. (iv) More profitable banks with excellent competitive advantages could expand their lending activities to a larger extent. (v) Liquidity is positively related to the loan growth of banks. (vi) Perceived interest rate risk tends to suppress loan growth since interest-rate-sensitive banks might be concerned about the adverse effects of unpredictable adverse changes in interest rates in the future.

Metabolically Obese Normal Weight (MONW) (정상체중 대사비만)

  • Kang, Hyun-Joo
    • Korean Journal of Health Education and Promotion
    • /
    • v.26 no.2
    • /
    • pp.149-155
    • /
    • 2009
  • Metabolically obese but normal weight(MONW) syndrome is characterized, with potentially increased risks for development of the insulin resistance or metabolic syndrome despite their normal body mass index(BMI) < 25 kg/m2. Such characteristics could confer upon MONW individuals a type 2 diabetes mellitus and cardiovascular diseases(CVD) risk however, research on MONW is scarce. MONW individuals have metabolic disturbances typical of obese persons and are identified by having a high amount of visceral fat, a low BMI, a high fat mass, a low lean body mass, low insulin sensitivity, and high triglyceride concentrations. The purpose of this study is to review several markers as potential modulators in individuals displaying the "MONW". Body fat appears to be functionally comparable with a dynamic endocrine organ, producing and secreting various adipocy tokines, such as leptin, adiponectin, CRP, tumor necrosis factor(TNF-), interleukin(IL)-6, all of which play an important role in the onset of cardiovascular disease, and insulin resistance. Otherwise, physical activity and a lower inflammation state might be helped to reduce the number of persons at risk of diabetes, CVD complications, or premature mortality. We should provide a method to optimal treatments resolving the emerging public health problem to prevention of MONW by providing guideline for physical activity as an optimal treatment for the MONW Korean. Furthermore we expect to develop a new strategy to manage MONW Korean in this society in terms of reducing medical costs and enhancing public health care for uprising population with MONW.

An Adaptive Agent Approach to Micropayment System

  • Chaiyarangkitrat, Surachai;Permpoontanalarp,Yongyuth
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
    • /
    • 2002.07b
    • /
    • pp.1331-1334
    • /
    • 2002
  • Micropayment is an electronic payment system for small value transaction. It needs to use a little amount of resources, such as communication and computation due to its small value. In other words, the processing cost for the micropayment must be less than the value of the payment. Several kinds of transactions are suitable for micropayment, eg. the purchasing of train tickets or digital newspapers. Since micropayment systems are designed for small-amount payment the key factor for any micropayment system design is believed to be the minimization of resource consumption without compromising the standard security. In this paper, we propose an adaptive agent approach to credit-based micropayment system, which employs the concept of dynamic balancing between the resource consumption and the risk in the system. As a result of the dynamic balancing, our system not only solves the problem of global overspending but also uses fewer amount of resources than existing approaches. Our approach limits the amount of money spent by untrusted customers to all merchants. Thus, our approach provides a boundary of the global overspending. In addition, for trusted customers, our approach requires less scale of communication for verifying authorizations than all existing approaches.

  • PDF

Local Path Planning for Mobile Robot Using Artificial Neural Network - Potential Field Algorithm (뉴럴 포텐셜 필드 알고리즘을 이용한 이동 로봇의 지역 경로계획)

  • Park, Jong-Hun;Huh, Uk-Youl
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
    • /
    • v.64 no.10
    • /
    • pp.1479-1485
    • /
    • 2015
  • Robot's technology was very simple and repetitive in the past. Nowadays, robots are required to perform intelligent operation. So, path planning has been studied extensively to create a path from start position to the goal position. In this paper, potential field algorithm was used for path planning in dynamic environments. It is used for a path plan of mobile robot because it is elegant mathematical analysis and simplicity. However, there are some problems. The problems are collision risk, avoidance path, time attrition. In order to resolve path problems, we amalgamated potential field algorithm with the artificial neural network system. The input of the neural network system is set using relative velocity and location between the robot and the obstacle. The output of the neural network system is used for the weighting factor of the repulsive potential function. The potential field algorithm problem of mobile robot's path planning can be improved by using artificial neural network system. The suggested algorithm was verified by simulations in various dynamic environments.

Proposal of Strength-Based Design Procedure for Improving the Seismic Performance of Steel Ordinary Moment Frames (철골 보통모멘트골조의 내진성능 향상을 위한 강도기반 설계 절차 제안)

  • Kim, Taeo;Han, Sang Whan
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.28 no.1
    • /
    • pp.11-20
    • /
    • 2024
  • The ductility of the system based on the capacity of each structural member constituting the seismic force-resisting system is a significant factor determining the structure's seismic performance. This study aims to provide a procedure to supplement the current seismic design criteria to secure the system's ductility and improve the seismic performance of the steel ordinary moment frames. For the study, a nonlinear analysis was performed on the 9- and 15-story model buildings, and the formation of collapse mechanisms and damage distribution for dynamic loads were analyzed. As a result of analyzing the nonlinear response and damage distribution of the steel ordinary moment frame, local collapse due to the concentration of structural damage was observed in the case where the influence of the higher mode was dominant. In this study, a procedure to improve the seismic performance and avoid inferior dynamic response was proposed by limiting the strength ratio of the column. The proposed procedure effectively improved the seismic performance of steel ordinary moment frames by reducing the probability of local collapse.