• International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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• v.6 no.4
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• pp.190-194
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• 2018

The runway visual range is one of the important factors that decide the possibility of taking offs and landings of the airplane at local airports. The runway visual range is affected by weather conditions like fog, wind, etc. The pilots and aviation related workers check a local weather forecast such as runway visual range for safe flight. However there are several local airfields at which no other forecasting functions are provided due to realistic problems like the deterioration, breakdown, expensive purchasing cost of the measurement equipment. To this end, this study proposes a prediction model of runway visual range for a local airport by applying convolutional neural network that has been most commonly used for image/video recognition, image classification, natural language processing and so on to the prediction of runway visual range. For constituting the prediction model, we use the previous time series data of wind speed, humidity, temperature and runway visibility. This paper shows the usefulness of the proposed prediction model of runway visual range by comparing with the measured data.

• Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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• 2010.03a
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• pp.553-561
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• 2010

Like the shotcrete can be deteriorated by chemical compounds as service years increase, the grout which is used to fasten the cablebolt(rockbolt) system in the underground structures also can be deteriorated by chemical compounds such as sulphate and/or chloride contained in groundwater during service years. This can induce issues on the long term durability of cablebolt(rockbolt) system and consequently on the stability of underground structures. In this study, the deteriorations of long term durability of cement mortar grout by each chemical compound of sulphate or chloride are studied experimentally and also complex deterioration by the mix of sulphate and chloride is investigated. Based on the results obtained in this study, the characteristics and prediction of deterioration of long term durability of cement mortar grout for cablebolt(rockbolt) system are suggested.

• Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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• 2006.05b
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• pp.229-232
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• 2006

Most of sewage in our country has been made by concrete, and currently they shows gradual deterioration. One of serious problems happened in the sewage is a corrosion of sewage itself. Namely, biochemical corrosion is the most important one. Deterioration phenomenon in concrete used in sewage is occurred by environment condition of sewage, such as erosion by the acid, erosion by sulfate, corrosion by carbonation and so on several factors. However, at present, investigation data on durability of Kangnung city sewage is not sufficient. In addition, the prediction of repair time and selection of rehabilitation method is also not easy. Accordingly, in this research, investigation on durability of sewages located in Kangnung city was carried out. It will also supply the basic data for repair and rehabilitation.

• Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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• 2006.05a
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• pp.574-577
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• 2006

Recently, the deterioration due to salt damage and carbonation as the main factors of deteriaoration of the domestic reinforced concrete structures has been increased. Also the national and social concern about the durability recovery of the deteriorated reinforced concrete structures is geratly being raised. Therefore, it is the final purposes of this study to develop the performance evaluation technique for durability of reinforced concrete structures deteriorated due to salt damage and carbonation with the proposal of the service life prediction method for the investigation and diagnosis of reinforced concrete structures, and accelerated test in Lab.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.31-32
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• 2020

Concrete changes its internal moisture distribution depending on the external environment, and changes in the condition of the material's interior over time affect the performance of the concrete. These effects are closely related to the long-term behavior and durability of concrete, and the degree of deterioration varies from climate to climate in each region. In this study, we use actual climate data from each region with distinct climates. A multi-physical analysis based on the method was conducted to predict the difference and degree of deterioration rate by climate.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.10 no.3
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• pp.199-208
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• 2008

Prediction the performance of pavement provides proper information to an agency on decision-making process; especially evaluating the pavement performance and prioritizing the work plan. To date, there are a number of approaches to predict the future deterioration of pavements. However, there are some limitation to proper prediction of the pavement service life. In this paper, pavement performance model and pavement condition prediction model are developed in order to improve pavement condition prediction method. The prediction model of pavement condition through the regression analysis of real pavement condition is based on the probability distribution of pavement condition, which set to 5%, 15%, 25% and 50%, by condition of the pavement and traffic volume. The pavement prediction model presented from the behavior of individual pavement condition which are set to 5%, 15%, 25% and 50% of probability distribution. The performance of the prediction model is evaluated from analyzing the average, standard deviation of HPCI, and the percentage of HPCI which is lower than 3.0 of comparable section. In this paper, we will suggest the more rational method to determine the future pavement conditions, including the probabilistic duration and deterministic modeling methods regarding the impact of traffic volume, age, and the type of the pavement.

• KNOM Review
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• v.24 no.2
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• pp.13-23
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• 2021

Recently, as networks become more complex due to the activation of IoT devices, research on long-term traffic prediction beyond short-term traffic prediction is being activated to predict and prepare for network congestion in advance. The recursive strategy, which reuses short-term traffic prediction results as an input, has been extended to multi-step traffic prediction, but as the steps progress, errors accumulate and cause deterioration in prediction performance. In this paper, an LSTM-based multi-step traffic prediction method using a multi-output strategy is introduced and its performance is evaluated. As a result of experiments based on actual DNS request traffic, it was confirmed that the proposed LSTM-based multiple output strategy technique can reduce MAPE of traffic prediction performance for non-stationary traffic by 6% than the recursive strategy technique.

• Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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• v.20 no.1
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• pp.13-22
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• 2008

The initiation and growth processes of cyclic ice body in porous systems are affected by the thermo-physical and mass transport properties, as well as gradients of temperature and chemical potentials. Furthermore, the diffusivity of deicing chemicals shows significantly higher value under cyclic freeze-thaw conditions. Consequently, the disintegration of concrete structures is aggravated at marine environments, higher altitudes, and northern areas. However, the properties of cyclic freeze-thaw with crack growth and the deterioration by the accumulated damages are hard to identify in tests. In order to predict the accumulated damages by cyclic freeze-thaw, a regression analysis by the response surface method (RSM) is used. The important parameters for cyclic freeze-thawdeterioration of concrete structures, such as water to cement ratio, entrained air pores, and the number of cycles of freezing and thawing, are used to compose the limit state function. The regression equation fitted to the important deterioration criteria, such as accumulated plastic deformation, relative dynamic modulus, or equivalent plastic deformations, were used as the probabilistic evaluations of performance for the degraded structural resistance. The predicted results of relative dynamic modulus and residual strains after 300 cycles of freeze-thaw show very good agreements with the experimental results. The RSM result can be used to predict the probability of occurrence for designer specified critical values. Therefore, it is possible to evaluate the life cycle management of concrete structures considering the accumulated damages due to the cyclic freeze-thaw using the proposed prediction method.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.22 no.2
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• pp.802-809
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• 2021

To cope with the increasing maintenance costs due to aging, the maintenance cost was evaluated from the perspective of asset management. The maintenance cost can be predicted based on the condition of the bridge, and the life cycle cost is used as an index. In general, the condition of a bridge has a wide distribution characteristic depending on the deterioration, load, and material characteristics. In this paper, to evaluate the effect of the bridge conditions on the life cycle cost, condition prediction models were constructed considering the service life, deterioration rate, and inspection error, which are the main variables of the bridge condition and life cycle cost calculation. In addition, condition prediction models were constructed based on the distribution of the health index to estimate the upper and lower bounds of the life cycle costs that can occur in individual bridges. Life cycle cost analysis showed that the life cycle cost differed significantly according to the condition of the bridge. Accordingly, research will be needed to increase the reliability of predicting the life cycle cost of individual bridges.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.34 no.2
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• pp.645-654
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• 2014

PMS (Pavement Management System) of National highways in Korea has used HDM (Highway Development and Management)-4 developed by World Bank for decision-making for maintenance and rehabilitation of pavements. However using HDM-4 is not appropriate in Korea because HDM-4 requires excessive input factors for analysis and economic analysis models loaded in HDM-4 are not suitable for Korean circumstances. Thus this study aims development of decision-making system for effective pavement management with reflecting Korean circumstances. Moreover this study proposed to define component of system, deterioration models, and basic units for component, and to analyze characteristics of component of system, and also to develop optimal decision-making system. The decision-making system for PMS mainly consists of 1) DB of highways, traffics, and socio-economic index, 2) pavement deterioration model, 3) speed prediction models by pavement conditions, 4) economic evaluation models, and 5) decision-making supporting system. Also this study provided analysis results in case studies for system verifications. However pavement deterioration models considering future probabilistic characteristic and index of decision-making are needed to develop for a further study.