• International Journal of Highway Engineering
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• v.19 no.5
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• pp.1-11
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• 2017

PURPOSES : This study is aimed at development of a stochastic pavement deterioration forecasting model using National Highway Pavement Condition Index (NHPCI) to support infrastructure asset management. Using this model, the deterioration process regarding life expectancy, deterioration speed change, and reliability were estimated. METHODS : Eight years of Long-Term Pavement Performance (LTPP) data fused with traffic loads (Equivalent Single Axle Loads; ESAL) and structural capacity (Structural Number of Pavement; SNP) were used for the deterioration modeling. As an ideal stochastic model for asset management, Bayesian Markov multi-state exponential hazard model was introduced. RESULTS:The interval of NHPCI was empirically distributed from 8 to 2, and the estimation functions of individual condition indices (crack, rutting, and IRI) in conjunction with the NHPCI index were suggested. The derived deterioration curve shows that life expectancies for the preventive maintenance level was 8.34 years. The general life expectancy was 12.77 years and located in the statistical interval of 11.10-15.58 years at a 95.5% reliability level. CONCLUSIONS : This study originates and contributes to suggesting a simple way to develop a pavement deterioration model using the total condition index that considers road user satisfaction. A definition for level of service system and the corresponding life expectancies are useful for building long-term maintenance plan, especially in Life Cycle Cost Analysis (LCCA) work.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2003.07b
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• pp.1199-1201
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• 2003

This paper presents an averaged switch model for an on-line deterioration analysis of inverters. The model is based on the operational characteristics of power diodes and IGBTS. Switching loss mechanisms are described and divided into the diode reverse-recovery mechanism, the IGBT current-tailing phenomenon, the IGBT turn-on time, and the output capacitances of the IGBTS and diodes. The deterioration analysis parameters are derived from the averaged switch modeling and the parameters can determinate the deterioration of the inverters.

• Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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• 2005.05b
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• pp.249-252
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• 2005

Chloride ingress is a common cause of deterioration of reinforced concrete structures. Modeling the chloride ingress is an important basis for designing reinforced concrete structures and for assessing the reliability of an existing structure. The modelling is also needed for predicting the deterioration of a reinforced structure. This paper presents an approach for the probabilistic modeling of the chloride-induced corrosion of reinforcement steel in concrete structures that takes into account the uncertainties in the physical models. The parameters of the models are modeled as random variables and the distribution of the corrosion time and probability of corrosion are determined by using Monte Carlo simulation. The predictions of the proposed model is very effective to do the decision-making about initiation time and deterioration degree.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.37 no.6
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• pp.685-691
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• 2011

Developing accurate prediction models for deterioration behavior represents a challenging but essential task in comprehensive Infrastructure Management Systems. The challenge may be a result of the lack of historical data, impact of unforeseen parameters, and/or the past repair/maintenance practices. These realities contribute heavily to the noticeable variability in deterioration behavior even among similar components. This paper introduces a novel approach to predict the deterioration of any infrastructure component. The approach is general as it fits any component, however the prediction is custom for a specific item to consider the inherent impacts of expected and unexpected parameters that affect its unique deterioration behavior.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• v.12 no.1
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• pp.49-60
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• 2011

The geometric process (GP) has been widely used for modeling failure and repair time sequences of repairable systems. The GP is mathematically tractable but restrictive in reliability applications since it actually assumes that the mean function of inter-failure times sequence asymptotically decreases to zero; and the mean function of successive repair times sequence asymptotically increases to infinity. This is generally unrealistic from an engineering perspective. This paper presents three extended GP models for modeling reliability deterioration and improvement (or growth) process. The extensions maintain the advantage of mathematical tractability of GP model. Their usefulness and appropriateness are illustrated with three real-world examples.

• Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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• v.15 no.6
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• pp.902-912
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• 2003

The most common deteriorating processes of concrete structures are carbonation and chloride ion ingress. Many concrete structures have been suffered from chloride ions diffusion or carbonation induced reinforcement corrosion damage and many studies have been done on it. However, those studies were confined mostly to the single deterioration of carbonation or chloride attack only, although actual environment is rather of combined conditions. In case of many in-situ concrete structures, deterioration happened more for the case of combined attack than the single case of carbonation or chloride attack. In this paper, chloride profiles of carbonated concrete is predicted by considering two layer composite model, which is based on Fick's 2nd law. From the experimental result on combined deterioration of chloride and carbonation, it was examined that high chloride concentration was built up to 3∼5 mm over depth from carbonation depth. The analytical modeling of chloride diffusion was suggested to depict the relative influence of the carbonation depth. The diffusion coefficients of carbonation concrete and uncarbonated concrete with elapsed time were considered in this modeling.

• Journal of Conservation Science
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• v.27 no.3
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• pp.251-260
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• 2011

This study focus on the suggestion of standard legend, the process system on making method of deterioration map, the development of crack index (CI), and the evaluation techniques of surface and 3D deterioration rate for stone cultural heritage. The standard legends of deterioration forms were made using a common graphic program after crack, blistering, scaling, break-out, granular disintegration, and perforation were subdivided. The deterioration map improved accuracy and reliability on deterioration range using 3D digital restoration and high resolution photograph mapping technique. Also, quantitative deterioration evaluation of stone cultural heritage was carried out developing the crack index, and the 3D deterioration rate of a break-out part was calculated by virtual restoration modeling. As a quantitative deterioration evaluation of Magoksa Temple stone pagoda based on the results described above, the north face showed high deterioration rate of bursting crack (1.70), hair crack (1.34), scaling (20.2%) and break out (13.0%), and the 3D deterioration rate of first roof stone was 6.7%.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.29 no.1
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• pp.1-16
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• 2008

Tunnels are generally constructed below the ground water table, which produces a long-term interaction between the tunnel lining and the surrounding geo-materials. Thus, in conjunction with tunnel design, the presence of water may require a number of considerations such as: leakage and water load. It has been reported that deterioration of a drainage system of tunnels is one of the main factors governing the long-term hydraulic and structural lining-ground interaction. Therefore, the design procedure of an underwater tunnel should address any detrimental effects associated with this interaction. In this paper an attempt to identify the coupled structural and hydraulic interaction between the lining and the ground was made using a numerical method. A main concern was given to local hindrance of flow into tunnels. Six cases of local deterioration of a drainage system were considered to investigate the effects of deterioration on tunnels. It is revealed that hindrance of flow increased pore-water pressure on the deteriorated areas, and caused detrimental effects on the lining structures. The analysis results were compared with those from fully permeable and impermeable linings.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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• 2006.05a
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• pp.396-401
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• 2006

Dynamic behaviors of the impact damper are studied experimentally and numerically. In order to investigate wide range of excitation frequencies and amplitudes, a simple but high amplifying and bias-free experimental setup is designed. Experiments focused on the harsh operation condition demonstrate Accelerated mass loading which not only deteriorates the performance of the impact damper but also involves the structural resonance which should be avoided for the stability of the system. In the previous studies, instability or deterioration of the performance was reported for the off resonance frequency region. But this paper shows that the performance deterioration and structural resonances can be predicted. Using finite element modeling and analysis, accurate system parameters were derived and used for the numerical modeling employing the conservation of the momentum. Numerical study of the transient responses using 4th-order Runge-Kutta method demonstrates general performance of the system, and shows that accelerated mass loading phenomenon is deeply related with the vibration amplitudes and the mass of the auxiliary system.

• Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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• v.30 no.4
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• pp.429-440
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• 2014

This study was conducted to investigate the main cause of water quality deterioration during the spring season in the transition zone between the South Han River and the river-reservoir Paldang. A water quality model modified from QUAL2E (U.S.EPA) was used, and the model showed that eutrophication and algal production in the low flow season affected about 60% of the organic pollution at the downstream of the South Han River. This result means that phosphorus control is prior to external organic material management to ameliorate the deterioration of water quality in the water body.