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A custom building deterioration model

  • Hosny, O.A. (The American University in Cairo) ;
  • Elhakeem, A.A. (AUC/KAUST, The American University in Cairo) ;
  • Hegazy, T. (University of Waterloo)
  • Received : 2010.05.02
  • Accepted : 2010.11.24
  • Published : 2011.03.25

Abstract

Developing accurate prediction models for deterioration behavior represents a challenging but essential task in comprehensive Infrastructure Management Systems. The challenge may be a result of the lack of historical data, impact of unforeseen parameters, and/or the past repair/maintenance practices. These realities contribute heavily to the noticeable variability in deterioration behavior even among similar components. This paper introduces a novel approach to predict the deterioration of any infrastructure component. The approach is general as it fits any component, however the prediction is custom for a specific item to consider the inherent impacts of expected and unexpected parameters that affect its unique deterioration behavior.

Keywords

References

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