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http://dx.doi.org/10.12989/sem.2011.37.6.685

A custom building deterioration model  

Hosny, O.A. (The American University in Cairo)
Elhakeem, A.A. (AUC/KAUST, The American University in Cairo)
Hegazy, T. (University of Waterloo)
Publication Information
Structural Engineering and Mechanics / v.37, no.6, 2011 , pp. 685-691 More about this Journal
Abstract
Developing accurate prediction models for deterioration behavior represents a challenging but essential task in comprehensive Infrastructure Management Systems. The challenge may be a result of the lack of historical data, impact of unforeseen parameters, and/or the past repair/maintenance practices. These realities contribute heavily to the noticeable variability in deterioration behavior even among similar components. This paper introduces a novel approach to predict the deterioration of any infrastructure component. The approach is general as it fits any component, however the prediction is custom for a specific item to consider the inherent impacts of expected and unexpected parameters that affect its unique deterioration behavior.
Keywords
IMS; deterioration modeling; Markov chains; optimization; repair and maintenance;
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