• Title/Summary/Keyword: design rainfall model

Search Result 252, Processing Time 0.023 seconds

Applicability of Huff Model & ABM Method for Discharge Capacity of Sewer Pipe (하수관거 통수능 해석을 위한 Huff 모형과 ABM 법의 적용성 분석)

  • Hyun, Inhwan;Jeon, SeungHui;Kim, Dooil
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
    • /
    • v.36 no.4
    • /
    • pp.229-237
    • /
    • 2022
  • The sewer capacity design have been based on the Huff model or the rational equation in South Korea and often failed to determine optimal capacity, resulting in frequent urban flooding or over-sizing. A time distribution of rainfall (i.e., Huff or ABM method) could be used instead of a rainfall hyetograph obtained from statistical analysis of previous rainfalls. In this study, the Huff method and the ABM method, which predict the time distribution of rain intensity, which are widely used to calculate sewage pipe drainage capacity using the SWMM, were compared with the standard rainfall intensity hyetograph of Seoul. If the rainfall duration was 30 minutes to 180 minutes, the rainfall intensity value calculated by the Huff model tended to be less than the rainfall intensity value of the standard rainfall intensity in the initial 5-10 minutes. As a result, more than 10% to 30% of under-design would be made. In addition, the rainfall intensity value calculated by the Huff model from the section excluding the initial 5-10 minutes of rainfall to the rainfall duration was calculated larger than the value using the standard rainfall intensity equation, which would result in an over-design of 10% to 30%. In the case of a relatively long rainfall duration of 360 minutes (6 hours) to 1,440 minutes (24 hours), it showed an lower rainfall intensity of 60 to 90% in the early stages of rainfall, but the problem of under-design had been solved as the rainfall duration time had elapsed. On the other hand, in the alternating block method (ABM) method, it was found that the rainfall intensity at the entire period at each assumed rainfall duration accurately matched the standard rainfall intensity hyetograph of Seoul.

Derivation of Design Flood Using Multisite Rainfall Simulation Technique and Continuous Rainfall-Runoff Model

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2009.05a
    • /
    • pp.540-544
    • /
    • 2009
  • Hydrologic pattern under climate change has been paid attention to as one of the most important issues in hydrologic science group. Rainfall and runoff is a key element in the Earth's hydrological cycle, and associated with many different aspects such as water supply, flood prevention and river restoration. In this regard, a main objective of this study is to evaluate design flood using simulation techniques which can consider a full spectrum of uncertainty. Here we utilize a weather state based stochastic multivariate model as conditional probability model for simulating the rainfall field. A major premise of this study is that large scale climatic patterns are a major driver of such persistent year to year changes in rainfall probabilities. Uncertainty analysis in estimating design flood is inevitably needed to examine reliability for the estimated results. With regard to this point, this study applies a Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo scheme to the NWS-PC rainfall-runoff model that has been widely used, and a case study is performed in Soyang Dam watershed in Korea. A comprehensive discussion on design flood under climate change is provided.

  • PDF

Design Flood Estimation using Historical Rainfall Events and Storage Function Model in Large River Basins (과거강우사상과 저류함수모형을 이용한 대유역 계획홍수량 추정)

  • Youn, Jong-Woo;Lee, Dong-Ryul;Ahn, Won-Sik;Rim, Hae-Wook
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.29 no.3B
    • /
    • pp.269-279
    • /
    • 2009
  • The design flood estimation in a large river basin has a lot of uncertainties in areal reduction factors, time-spatial rainfall distribution, and parameters of rainfall-runoff model. The use of historical concurrent rainfall events for estimating design flood would reduce the uncertainties. This study presents a procedure for estimating design floods using historical rainfall events and storage function model. The design rainfall and time-spatial distribution were determined through analyzing concurrent rainfall events, and the design floods were estimated using storage function model with a non-linear hydrology response. To evaluate the applicability of the procedure of this study, the estimated floods were compared to results of frequency analysis of flood data. Both floods gave very similar results. It shows the applicability of the procedure presented in this study for estimating design floods in practices.

A Study on Hydrologic Analysis and Some Effects of Urbanization on Design Flow of Urban Storm Drainage Systems (1) (도시 하수도망의 수문학적인 평가와 설계확률유량의 점대화 성향에 관한 연구(제1보))

  • 강관원;서병하;윤용남
    • Water for future
    • /
    • v.14 no.4
    • /
    • pp.27-34
    • /
    • 1981
  • The design flow of the urban strom drainage systems has been assessed largely on a basis of empirical relations between rainfall and runoff, and the rational formula has been widely used for the cities in our country. In order to estimate it more accurately, the urban runoff simulation model based on the RRl method has been developed and applied to the sample basin in this study. The rainfall hyetograph of the design stromfor the design flow has been obtained by the determination of the total rainfall and the temporal distributions of that rainfall. The total rainfall has been assessed from the empirical formula of rainfall intensity and the temporal distribution of that rainfall determined on the basis of Huff's method from the historical rainfall data of the basin. The virtual inflow hydrograph to each inlet of the basin has been constructed by computing the series of discharges in each time increment, using design strom hyetograph and time-area diagram. The actual runoff hydrograph at the basin outlet has been computed from the virtual inflow hydrographs by developing a relations between discharge and storage for the watershed. The discharge data for verification of the simulated runoff hydrograph are not available in the sample basin and so the sensitivity analysis of the simulation model has not been possible. The peak discharge for the design of drainage systems has been estimated from the computed runoff hydrograph at the basin outlet and compared to thatl obtained form the rational formula.

  • PDF

Analysis of Performance Characteristic for Small Scale Hydro Power Plant with Rainfall Condition Change (강우형태 변화에 의한 소수력발전소 성능특성분석)

  • Park, Wan-Soon;Lee, Chul-Hyung
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2009.11a
    • /
    • pp.614-618
    • /
    • 2009
  • The effects of design parameters for small scale hydro power(SSHP) plants due to rainfall condition have been studied. The model to predict hydrologic performance for SSHP plants is used in this study. The results from analysis for rainfall conditions based on KIER model show that the capacity and load factor of SSHP site had large difference between the period. Especially, the hydrologic performance of SSHP site such as design flowrate due to rainfall condition of recent period varied sensitively. And also, the methodology represented in this study can be used to decide the primary design specifications of SSHP sites.

  • PDF

Evaluation of the Applicability of the Poisson Cluster Rainfall Generation Model for Modeling Extreme Hydrological Events (극한수문사상의 모의를 위한 포아송 클러스터 강우생성모형의 적용성 평가)

  • Kim, Dong-Kyun;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Hwang, Seok Hwan;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.34 no.3
    • /
    • pp.773-784
    • /
    • 2014
  • This study evaluated the applicability of the Modified Bartlett-Lewis Rectangular Pulse (MBLRP) rainfall generation model for modeling extreme rainfalls and floods in Korean Peninsula. Firstly, using the ISPSO (Isolated Species Particle Swarm Optimization) method, the parameters of the MBLRP model were estimated at the 61 ASOS (Automatic Surface Observation System) rain gauges located across Korean Peninsula. Then, the synthetic rainfall time series with the length of 100 years were generated using the MBLRP model for each of the rain gauges. Finally, design rainfalls and design floods with various recurrence intervals were estimated based on the generated synthetic rainfall time series, which were compared to the values based on the observed rainfall time series. The results of the comparison indicate that the design rainfalls based on the synthetic rainfall time series were smaller than the ones based on the observation by 20% to 42%. The amount of underestimation increased with the increase of return period. In case of the design floods, the degree of underestimation was 31% to 50%, which increases along with the return period of flood and the curve number of basin.

An Hourly Extreme Data Estimation Method Developed Using Nonstationary Bayesian Beta Distribution (비정상성 Bayesian Beta 분포를 이용한 시 단위 극치자료 추정기법 개발)

  • Kim, Yong-Tak;Kim, Jin-Young;Lee, Jae Chul;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
    • /
    • v.33 no.3
    • /
    • pp.256-272
    • /
    • 2017
  • Extreme rainfall has become more frequent over the Korean peninsula in recent years, causing serious damages. In a changing climate, traditional approaches based on historical records of rainfall and on the stationary assumption can be inadequate and lead to overestimate (or underestimate) the design rainfalls. A main objective of this study is to develop a stochastic disaggregation method of seasonal rainfall to hourly extreme rainfall, and offer a way to derive the nonstationary IDF curves. In this study, we propose a novel approach based on a Four-Parameter Beta (4P-beta) distribution to estimate the nonstationary IDF curves conditioned on the observed (or simulated) seasonal rainfall, which becomes the time-varying upper bound of the 4P beta distribution. Moreover, this study employed a Bayesian framework that provides a better way to take into account the uncertainty in the model parameters. The proposed model showed a comparable design rainfall to that of GEV distribution under the stationary assumption. As a nonstationary rainfall frequency model, the proposed model can effectively translate the seasonal variation into the sub-daily extreme rainfall.

The Application of the Poisson Cluster Rainfall Generation Model to the Flood Analysis (포아송 클러스터 강우생성 모형의 홍수 모의 적용성 평가)

  • Kim, Dongkyun;Shin, Ji Yae;Lee, Seung-Oh;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.46 no.5
    • /
    • pp.439-447
    • /
    • 2013
  • The applicability of the parameter map of the Modified Bartlett-Lewis Rectangular Pulse (MBLRP) model for the Korean Peninsula was assessed from the perspective of flood prediction. The design rainfalls estimated from the MBLRP model were smaller than those from observed values by 5% to 40%, and the degree of underestimation of design rainfall increases with the increase of the recurrence interval of the design rainfall. The design floods at a virtual watershed estimated using the simulated rainfall time series based on MBLRP model were also smaller than those derived from the observed rainfall time series by 20% to 45%. The degree of underestimation of design flood increases with the increase of the recurrence interval of the design flood.

The Effects of Design Parameters for Small Scale Hydro Power Plant with Climate Change (기후변화에 의한 소수력발전소 설계변수의 영향)

  • Park, Wan-Soon;Lee, Chul-Hyung
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2009.11a
    • /
    • pp.267-272
    • /
    • 2009
  • The effects of design parameters for small scale hydro power(SSHP) plants due to rainfall condition have been studied. The model to predict hydrologic performance for SSHP plants is used in this study. The results from analysis for rainfall conditions based on KIER model show that the capacity and load factor of SSHP site had large difference between the period. Especially, the hydrologic performance of SSHP site due to rainfall condition of recent period varied in design flowrate sensitively. And also, the methodology represented in this study can be used to decide the primary design specifications of SSHP sites.

  • PDF

Estimation of runoff coefficient through impervious covers analysis using long-term outflow simulation (장기유출 모의를 통한 도시유역 불투수율에 따른 유출계수 변화)

  • Kim, Young-Ran;Hwang, Sung-Hwan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
    • /
    • v.28 no.6
    • /
    • pp.635-645
    • /
    • 2014
  • The changes of rainfall pattern and impervious covers have increased disaster risks in urbanized areas. Impervious covers such as roads and building roofs have been dramatically increased. So, it is falling the ability safety of flood defense equipments to exist. Runoff coefficient means ratio of runoff by whole rainfall which is able to directly contribute at surface runoff during rainfall event. The application of accurate runoff coefficients is very important in sewer pipelines design. This study has been performed to estimate runoff characteristics change which are applicable to the process of sewer pipelines design or various public facilities design. It has used the SHER model, a long-term runoff model, to analyze the impact of a rising impervious covers on runoff coefficient change. It thus analyzed the long-term runoff to analyze rainfall basins extraction. Consequently, it was found that impervious surfaces could be a important factor for urban flood control. We could suggest the application of accurate runoff coefficients in accordance to the land Impervious covers. The average increase rates of runoff coefficients increased 0.011 for 1% increase of impervious covers. By having the application of the results, we could improve plans for facilities design.