• Title/Summary/Keyword: demand and supply

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Supply Chain Coordination in 2-Stage-Ordering-Production System with Update of Demand Information

  • Kusukawa, Etsuko
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.304-318
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    • 2014
  • It is necessary for a retailer to improve responsiveness to uncertain customer demand in product sales. In order to solve this problem, this paper discusses an optimal operation for a 2-stage-ordering-production system consisting of a retailer and a manufacturer. First, based on the demand information estimated at first order time $t_1$, the retailer determines the optimal initial order quantity $Q^*_1$, the optimal advertising cost $a^*_1$ and the optimal retail price $p^*_1$ of a single product at $t_1$, and then the manufacturer produces $Q^*_1$. Next, the retailer updates the demand information at second order time $t_2$. If the retailer finds that $Q^*_1$ dissatisfies the demand indicated by the demand information updated at $t_2$, the retailer determines the optimal second order quantity $Q^*_2$ under $Q^*_1$ and adjusts optimally the advertising cost and the retail price to $a^*_2$ and $p^*_2$ at $t_2$. Here, decision-making approaches for two situations are made-a decentralized supply chain (DSC) whose objective is to maximize the retailer's profit and an integrated supply chain (ISC) whose objective is to maximize the whole system's profit. In the numerical analysis, the results of the optimal decisions under DSC are compared with those under ISC. In addition, supply chain coordination is discussed to adjust the unit wholesale price at each order time as Nash Bargaining solutions.

Composition and Operation of Direct Load Control(DLC) System for use of Demand Side (수용가용 직접부하제어시스템의 구성 및 운영)

  • Park J.C.;Choi M.G.;Lee Y.G.;Kim S.J.;Jeong B.H.;Choe G.H.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • summer
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    • pp.1260-1262
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    • 2004
  • Direct Load Control(DLC) system is a load management program for stablization of electric power supply-demand. It is a series of acts limiting the demand of selected demand side at peak load or other time periods. Recently, power supply-demand instability due to dramatic increase in power usage such as summertime air-conditioning load has brought forecasts of decrease in power supply capability. Therefore heightening the load factor through systematic load management, in other words, Direct Load Control became necessary. By examining the composition and operation of the DLC system, this paper provides conceptional understanding of the DLC system and help in system research.

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Evaluation of Major Projects of the 5th Basic Forest Plan Utilizing Big Data Analysis (빅데이터 분석을 활용한 제5차 산림기본계획 주요 사업에 대한 평가)

  • Byun, Seung-Yeon;Koo, Ja-Choon;Seok, Hyun-Deok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.106 no.3
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    • pp.340-352
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    • 2017
  • In This study, we examined the gap between supply and demand of forest policy by year through big data analysis for macroscopic evaluation of the 5th Basic Forest Plan. We collected unstructured data based on keywords related to the projects mentioned in the news, SNS and so on in the relevant year for the policy demand side; and based on the documents published by the Korea Forest Service for the policy supply side. based on the collected data, we specified the network structure through the social network analysis technique, and identified the gap between supply and demand of the Korea Forest Service's policies by comparing the network of the demand side and that of the supply side. The results of big data analysis indicated that the network of the supply side is less radial than that of the demand side, implying that various keywords other than forest could considerably influence on the network. Also we compared the trends of supply and demand for 33 keywords related to 27 major projects. The results showed that 7 keywords shows increasing demand but decreasing supply: sustainable, forest management, forest biota, forest protection, forest disease and pest, urban forest, and North Korea. Since the supply-demand gap is confirmed for the 7 keywords, it is necessary to strengthen the forest policy regarding the 7 keywords in the 6th Basic Plan.

A Study on the Land Demand and Supply System in the Capital Region of Korea (수도권 토지수요와 공급체계 분석 연구)

  • Ahn, Jung-Geun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.7 no.6
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    • pp.1277-1283
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    • 2006
  • The demand of urban land in the Capital Region will be increased by the national economic growth of Korea. However, the available land for residential, commercial, and industrial should be limited in Capital Region, and the system of land supply for the urban land doesn't work effectively in the Capital Region. This research aims to forecast land demand in Capital Region based on the analysis of number of residents as well as housing units, and to suggest desirable land supply directions based on the analysis of land supply regulations and controls. This research concludes that it is demanded $293km^2$ of residential site for the construction of 1.27 million housing units by the year of 2010, and the change of land use from agricultural to residential is very restricted so that it may not supply urban land flexibly and appropriately. Thus, it is necessary to improve not only the system of land use controls but also cooperation among public agencies for the rational operation of land supply system.

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A Study on the Improvement of the Method to Evaluate the Status of Parking Supply and Demand (주차장 수급실태 평가 방법의 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Hyoung O;Yoon, Jae Yong;Choi, Jin Seon;Lee, Eui Eun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.351-359
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    • 2019
  • In order to improve the problem of parking which is getting worse day by day, the municipality carries out a survey on the actual situation of the parking lot supply and demand periodically according to the related law. However, in the existing evaluation method, the parking demand that occurs under the condition that the demand is suppressed by the parking supply and regulation due to the limit of the survey method is investigated. In addition, the analysis is conducted only for the present year, and prediction and analysis of future parking problems are limited. Therefore, we propose a method to evaluate the status of parking supply and demand, which is differentiated to improve the problem of the existing evaluation method. As a result, comparing the existing method with the improved method, it can be seen that the improved evaluation method can be useful for establishing the long-term parking policy for the improvement of parking problems.

An Analysis of Production and Marketing Control Effect of Aqua-cultured Flounder Using Supply and Demand Models (수급모형을 이용한 양식넙치의 생산 및 출하조절 효과분석)

  • Ko, Bong-Hyun
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the production and marketing control effects of aqua-cultured flounder required for stable income growth of aqua-cultured household. We analyzed the supply and demand structure of cultured flounder using the partial equilibrium model approach. And we estimated the optimal yield of cultured flounder and analyzed the effect of marketing control through constructed model. The main results of this study are summarized as follows. First, the fitness and predictive power of the estimated model showed that the RMSPE and MAPE values were less than 5% and Theil's inequality coefficient was very close to 0 rather than 1. It was evaluated that the prediction ability of the aqua-cultured flounder supply and demand model by dynamic simulation was excellent. Second, dynamic simulation based on policy simulation was conducted to analyze the price increase effect of production and shipment control of cultured flounder. As a result, if the annual production volume is reduced by 1%, 5%, and 10% among 32,852~37,520 tons, it is analyzed that the price increase effect is from 1.2% to 12.5%. Finally, this study suggests that the production and marketing control can increase the price of aqua-cultured flounder in the market. In this paper, we propose a policy implementation of the total supply system instead of conclusions.

Estimating the Future Demand for Chilacare Teachers in Korea (보육교사의 수요 전망)

  • Lee, Meehwa;Shin, Nary;Kim, Hyunchul;Kim, Moon Jeong
    • Korean Journal of Child Studies
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.285-296
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study was to estimate the future demand for certified teachers at childcare centers. This is an essential step to secure the supply of childcare teachers in the future. To achieve this purpose, the demand for childcare teachers from 2006 to 2020 were estimated using time series techniques with data on the number of childcare teachers from 2002 to 2005. According to time series estimates, the demand for childcare teachers is expected to increase steadily from 1,224 to 1,956 annually. This illustrates the need for mid-term and long-term planing in order to guarantee an adequate supply of childcare teachers.

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Forecasting Demand of Childcare Teachers using Time Series Analysis (시계열 분석을 통한 보육교사 수급 전망)

  • Lee, Mee Hwa;Park, Jinah;Kang, Eun Jin
    • Korean Journal of Childcare and Education
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.123-137
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study was to forecast demand of childcare teachers based ion four different scenarios. In order to, the demand for childcare teachers from 2015 to 2024 were forecasted using time series techniques with data on the number of childcare teachers from 2003 to 2014. Results were as followings. Firstly, the demand for childcare teachers was expected to increase until 2019, but after 2020 steadily decreased in terms of scenario 1(child teacher ratio regulation). According to scenario 2(child teacher ratio based on 17 cities and provinces), the demand for childcare teachers was expected to need 440 teachers more until 2016. Then, according to scenario 3(two teachers each class), Scenario 4-1(one teacher and one staff each 2 toddler class and 3 older class) and scenario 4-2(one teacher and one staff each class), the demand of childcare teachers and staffs were estimated. These results implicated that childcare teachers and staffs supply policy would be established according to forecast demand.

Appropriate Adjustment according to the Supply and Demand Status and Trend of Doctors (의사 인력의 수급 현황과 추세에 따른 적정 조정)

  • Yun Hwa Jung;Ye-Seul Jang;Hyunkyu Kim;Eun-Cheol Park;Sung-In Jang
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.457-478
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    • 2023
  • Background: This study aims to contribute to the adjustment of the appropriate doctor manpower by analyzing the distribution, supply and demand, and estimation of the doctor manpower. Methods: This study utilized the medical personnel data of the Ministry of Health and Welfare, population trend data of the National Statistical Office, and health insurance benefit performance data of the National Health Insurance Service. Based on 2021, we compared the number of doctors in actual supply and the number of doctors in demand according to the amount of medical use by gender and age for 250 regions. Logistic regression analysis and scenario analysis were performed to estimate the future medical workforce by considering the demand for doctors according to the future demographic structure, the size of the quota in medical schools, and the retirement rate. Results: There were 186 regions in which the supply of doctors was below average, and the average ratio of the number of doctors in supply to demand in the region was 62.1%. Conclusion: In order to increase the number of active doctors nationwide to at least 80%, 7,756 people must be allocated. The number of doctors in demand is estimated to decrease after increasing to 1.492 times in 2059. The future projected number of doctors is expected to increase to 1.349 times in 2050 and then decrease taking into account the doctor quota and the retirement rate.

Demand Projection for Home Nursing Care (가정 ${\cdot}$ 방문간호 수요추계)

  • Park, Jeong-Ho;Yun, Soon-Young;Kim, Mae-Ja;Han, Kyoung-Ja;Hong, Kyoung-Ja;Park, Seong-Ae;Heo, Jeong-Soon
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing Administration
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.615-632
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    • 2002
  • Purpose : this study was to project demand of home nursing care in Korea for contributing toward the distribution of home nursing care resource. Method : demand of home nursing care is projected according to income level and needed service level of each person. in addition, demand sufficiency of home nursing care is taken by estimating for supply level available. Result : home nursing care service is scarecely provided to people who belong to second area, that is, only $1.6{\sim}2.3%$ out of them are provided and also, supply system comes short of meeting demand of the other people(who belong to one, third area). Conclusion : therefore, for proper provision of home nursing care, different supply system and policy direction for establishment and expansion of home nursing care is to be developed.

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