• Title/Summary/Keyword: demand

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An Analysis on the Electricity Demand for Air Conditioning with Non-Linear Models (비선형모형을 이용한 냉방전력 수요행태 분석)

  • Kim, Jongseon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.901-922
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    • 2007
  • To see how the electricity demand for air-conditioning responds to weather condition and what kind of weather condition works better in forecasting maximum daily electricity demand, four different regression models, which are linear, exponential, power and S-curve, are adopted. The regression outcome turns out that the electricity demand for air-conditioning is inclined to rely on the exponential model. Another major discovery of this study is that the electricity demand for air-conditioning responds more sensitively to the weather condition year after year along with the higher non-air-conditioning electricity demand. In addition, it has also been found that the discomfort index explains the electricity demand for air-conditioning better than the highest temperature.

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The Method for Estimating the Inverse Demand Curve of Cournot Model in Electricity Market (전력시장 적용을 위한 쿠르노 모델에서의 역수요함수 추정 방법 제안)

  • Kang Dong-Joo;Hur Jin;Kim Tae-Hyun;Moon Young-Hwan;Lee Keun-Dae;Chung Koo-Hyung;Kim Balho H.
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.79-87
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    • 2005
  • At present Cournot model is one of the most commonly used theories to analyze the gaming situation in oligopoly market. But there exist several problems to apply this model to electricity market. The representative one is to obtain the inverse demand curve able to be induced from the relationship between market price and demand response. In Cournot model, each player offers their generation quantity to accomplish maximum profit, which is accomplished by reducing their quantity compared with available total capacity. As stated above, to obtain the probable Cournot equilibrium to reflect real market situation, we have to induce the correct demand function first of all. Usually the correlation between price and demand appears on the long-term basis through the statistical data analysis (for example, regression analysis) or by investigating consumer utility functions of several consumer groups classified as residential, industrial, and commercial. However, the elasticity has a tendency to change continuously according to the total market demand size or the level of market price. Therefore it should be updated as trading period passes by. In this paper we propose a method for inducing and updating this price elasticity of demand function for more realistic market equilibrium.

A Proposal for Inverse Demand Curve Production of Cournot Model for Application to the Electricity Market

  • Kang Dong-Joo;Oh Tae-Kyoo;Chung Koohyung;Kim Balho H.
    • KIEE International Transactions on Power Engineering
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    • v.5A no.4
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    • pp.403-411
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    • 2005
  • At present, the Cournot model is one of the most commonly used theories to analyze the gaming situation in an oligopoly type market. However, several problems exist in the successful application of this model to the electricity market. The representative one is obtaining the inverse demand curve able to be induced from the relationship between market price and demand response. In the Cournot model, each player offers their generation quantity to obtain maximum profit, which is accomplished by reducing their quantity compared with available total capacity. As stated above, to obtain the probable Cournot equilibrium to reflect the real market situation, we have to induce the correct demand function first of all. Usually the correlation between price and demand appears over the long-term through statistical data analysis (for example, regression analysis) or by investigating consumer utility functions of several consumer groups classified as residential, industrial, and commercial. However, the elasticity has a tendency to change continuously according to the total market demand size or the level of market price. Therefore it should be updated as the trading period passes by. In this paper we propose a method for inducing and updating this price elasticity of demand function for more realistic market equilibrium.

A Study on the Long-Term Forecast of Timber demand in Korea (우리나라 목재수요의 장기예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Byeong-Yil;Kim, Se-Bln;Kwon, Yong-Dae
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.41-51
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    • 1998
  • This study not only carried out to grasp about the sununarized characteristics of the relationship between international timber market and production trend of wood products, but also focused on the analysis of korean wood demand and the long-term forecast with econometric analysis. The result of regression analysis for wood demand in Korea is that coniferous roundwood demand(CIWD) is explained by coniferous foreign roundwood price(CWRI), Gross domestic product(GDP), a dummy variable. Non-coniferous roundwood demand(NCIWD)is explained by non-coniferous roundwood price(NCWRI), coniferous roundwood price(CWRI), a dummy variable. As the result of long-term forecast by base case, the total roundwood demand was forecasted $11,107,000m^3$ in the year 2000, $11,781,000m^3$ in 2005, $12,565,000m^3$ in 2010. As the result of scenario 1, total roundwood demand was forecasted $11,027,000m^3$ in 2000, $11,435,000m^3$ in 2005, $11,952,000m^3$ in 2010. And as the result by scenario 2, total roundwood demand was forecasted $11,341,000m^3$ in 2000, $12,208,000m^3$ in 2005 $13,257,000m^3$ in 2010.

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A Study on the Peak Load Prediction for Molter-use Distribution Transformer (동력용 배전 변압기의 최대부하 예측 개선 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Kyung-Ho;Kim, Jae-Chul;Yun, Sang-Yun;Lee, Young-Suk;Park, Chang-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2002.07a
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    • pp.530-532
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    • 2002
  • The contracted electric power and the demand factor of customers are used to predict the peak load in distribution transformers. The conventional demand factor was determined more than ten years ago. The contracted electric power and power demand have been increased. Therefore, we need to prepare the novel demand factor that appropriates at present. In this paper, we modify the demand factor to improve the peak load prediction of distribution transformers. To modify the demand factor, we utilize the 169 data acquisition devices for sample distribution transformers. The peak load currents were measured by the case studies using the actual load data, through which we verified that the proposed demand factors were correct than the conventional factors. A newly demand factor will be used to predict the peak load of distribution transformers.

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The Study on Imbalance for Labor Supply and Demand in Electrical Construction Business : Simulating the Supply and Demand Gap of Technical Engineer (전기공사업 노동시장의 인력수급 불균형에 관한 연구: 기술·기능인력의 수급격차에 대한 시뮬레이션)

  • Park, Houng-Hee
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.105-134
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    • 2013
  • Electrical construction business has public and professional characters. It may require appropriate interventions of the government because these business activities stand for not only profit-seeking competition, but also supplies of one of the key functions in our society. In other words, public benefit and private benefit are still in existence. The government therefore considers such an aspect of public importance of the business sector and needs to plan to adjust technical and engineering manpower of this market. This study focuses on the imbalance for labor supply and demand of technical engineer in electrical construction business. A system dynamics analysis is applied to understand and simulate the imbalance as a soft approach. It has the merit of causal loop diagram to alleviate the limitation of data lack problem. We find that excess demand is expected from 2010 to 2011, and excess supply is predicted from 2012 to 2021 about the manpower of technical engineer. It shows considerable disagreement between the supply and demand of human resource. So we suggest that it is strong necessity to construct statistics infrastructure for a manpower supply and demand plan.

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A Study on Korean and Chinese Consumers' Cognition, Product Purchase Intention and Consumer Demand for Fair Trade Education (한·중 소비자의 공정무역에 대한 인식, 제품 구매의도와 소비자교육 요구)

  • Chen, Xiao Can;Lee, Seung Sin
    • Human Ecology Research
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    • v.53 no.3
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    • pp.279-291
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    • 2015
  • Fair trade is international trade that pays just wages, supplies stable and eco-friendly products, and supports the sustainable development of economies. This study examined consumers 'cognition of fair trade, product intention of fair trade products, and consumer demand for fair trade education. We compare these variables between Korean and Chinese consumers and explored variables that affect consumers' cognition, purchase intentions and consumer education demand. This study randomly targeted 428 adult consumers in Seoul (219) and Beijing (209) to grasp the demand of customer education and a purchasing intention for fair trade products. The results of this study are as follows. First, participants showed a low cognition of fair trade and purchase intention, while consumer demand for fair trade education on concept, campaign and effect had a comparatively higher level. Chinese consumers showed a higher level of purchase intention, but a lower level of consumer education demand for fair trade concepts. Second, a higher education level resulted in a higher cognition of fair trade by Korean consumers and more experienced Chinese consumers had a higher cognition. Third, the cognition of fair trade affected the purchase intentions positively for both in Korean and Chinese consumers. Finally, cognition and purchase intention showed positive effects of the consumer demand for fair trade education on concept, campaign, and effect.

A Study on Effect Analysis of Integrated Demand Management According to Energy System Management Model (Energy System Management 모형을 통한 통합 수요관리 효과분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Yong-Ha;Jo, Hyeon-Mi;Kim, Young-Gil;Park, Hwa-Yong;Kim, Hyeong-Jung;Woo, Sung-Min
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.60 no.7
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    • pp.1339-1346
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    • 2011
  • This paper is developed to demand management scenario of energy consumption efficiency improvement, electricity generation efficiency improvement, network efficiency improvement, change of distribution ratio, movement of energy source, change of heating system, put of CHP to quantitatively assess to impact on energy use of demand management at the national level. This scenario can be applied Energy System Management model was developed based on Energy Balance Flow. In addition, effect analysis through built demand management scenario was quantitatively evaluated integrated demand management effectiveness of energy cost saving, CO2 emission reduction and energy savings of national level by calculating to primary energy source usage change in terms of integration demand management effect more often than not a single energy source separated electricity, heat and gas.

Analysis of Application protocol for Demand response System (수요반응 시스템에서의 응용 프로토콜 분석)

  • Park, Jae Jung;Kim, Jin Young;Seo, Jong Kwan;Lee, Jae Jo
    • Journal of Satellite, Information and Communications
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.56-61
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    • 2013
  • With the rapidly increasing power demand in recent years, variety of methods have been proposed for efficient power consumption.. Among them, the most representative example is demand response system based smart grid. Demand response system is not passive, one-side power demand. This system can efficiently consume through communication between service provider and power consumer. Demand response system uses HTTP based TCP/IP. And currently, there are variety of communication application protocol. In this paper, we analyze procotol type and application for demand response system.

Estimation of Travel Demand Changes Resulted From Railway Investment (철도 투자에 따른 수요변화 추정방안 연구)

  • Eom, Jin-Ki;Moon, Dae-Seop
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2008.11b
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    • pp.626-637
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    • 2008
  • Although the amount of travel demand is a critical factor in a benefit-cost (B/C) analysis of railway investment, the travel demand changes especially for induced demand have not been considered. Therefore, the basic study of how to estimate travel demand changes after railway investment is worth investigating. This study reviews the methodologies for estimating diverted and induced demand generated after railway investment, and proposes appropriate approaches that will help railway planners to practically apply them in a case study. Further, the research stimulates the needs of consideration of the travel demand changes in the feasibility studies of railway planning.

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