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Empirical Study for the Technological Forecasting using Delphi Method

  • Kim, Yon-Hyong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.425-434
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we evaluated the technological forecasting based on questionnaires of experts working in internet-banking industry. We prepared questionnaires on the 13 items. We examined specialties of respondents, relative importance of research contents, expected time of realization, likelihood of conviction on the expected time of realization, and their opinions on the levels of domestic's research and development comparing with advanced standards on each item. And we made various analysis based on data collected from Delphi method.

A Survey of the effective BIM introduction plan on school building construction by Delphi Technique (델파이 기법을 이용한 학교건축물의 효율적 BIM 도입방안 조사 연구)

  • Seo, Deok Seok;Won, Ho Sik
    • The Journal of Sustainable Design and Educational Environment Research
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.24-31
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    • 2014
  • This study is focused to find the ways to improve the effective BIM introduction plan on school building construction by Delphi Technique. For this, the questionnaire is made by in-depth interviews of 10 BIM specialists, the survey of other 30 experts was carried out. The results of 30 experts Delphi survey are as followed. (1) The haptic effect of BIM introduction is very rare as lack of awareness and information on BIM. (2) Problems are arising from deficiency of training and experience on BIM. (3) Practical utilizations of BIM are very useful. (4) Barriers of the spread of BIM are high cost and insufficient environments. (5) The development potential of BIM is high. In order to activate the BIM market, the introduction of an accurate evaluation criteria and rational cost calculation standard are needed.

The Type and Importance of Oriental Health Promotion Services and Nursing - By Delphi Method - (한방 건강증진 서비스 및 간호의 종류와 중요도 - 델파이방법을 이용하여 -)

  • Jang, Soon Yang;Park, Jeong Sook
    • Korean Journal of Adult Nursing
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.62-70
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    • 2006
  • Purpose: To identify the agreed opinion of experts on oriental health promotion services and nursing in Korea. Method: The study is based on the 3-round Delphi method. As a Delphi panel, a total of 28 people with at least three years of experience in the area of oriental medicine consisted of this. Results: The experts suggested that Yangsaeng, lectures on prevention of CVA, correct understanding of the misuse/abuse of oriental medicine, daily health care, meridian/acupoints massage, and Kigong therapy should be included in the promoting oriental health nursing servies. Conclusion: The agreed opinions by the experts on the oriental health promotion services and nursing, can help enhance the understanding of oriental health promotion. The curriculum should be developed further and tested with the development of the Korean oriental nursing intervention methods which is appropriate to Korean culture.

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A Study on Survey for Technology Forecasting using Delphi in Animal Science and Veterinary Medicine (축산 . 수의분야의 델파이 기술예측조사에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, K.T.;Paik, I.K.;Cho, Y.W.;Lee, J.I.
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.479-494
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    • 2004
  • The study was designed to forecast and derive future core technologies using Delphi method for Korean livestock industry. The technologies will make livestock industJy a core and strategic industry that has high value-added sector in 21 century. Questions were given to specialists of each technology in order to survey importance, realization time. level of R&D in Korea and foremost countries, leading group of R&D, effective policy, etc. for each technology. The target of the survey for Delphi is confined to specialists in the area of Animal Science and Veterinary Medicine. 90 core technologies were derived and 62 specialists answered the questionnaire.

Korean Organization ERP System Implementation CSFs: A Delphi Study

  • Kim, Yeong Real
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.17 no.7
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    • pp.159-166
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    • 2012
  • This study focused on the factors that are critical to Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) system implementation success. This study employed a Delphi panel to explore the characteristics of ERP project success. The expert panel was comprised of executives from Korean organizations who had participated in and were experienced with ERP implementation projects. The two round Delphi study found the importance of senior management involvement/top management support in project. Additionally, the study found that the same Critical Success Factors(CSFs) existing in large-sized Korean organizations are also applicable to small or mid-sized Korean organizations.

Correctional Officer's Mental Health Management and Promotion (교정공무원의 정신건강 관리와 예방)

  • Im, Hyuk;Lee, Hyo-Young;Kim, Hye-Sook
    • The Korean Journal of Health Service Management
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2013
  • This study is proposed to suggest the preventing methods for correctional officer's mental health problems. For this purpose, Delphi method was used and the study panel was composed of finally 10 people. Total Delphi process was performed for 4 times and six qualified researchers & skilled correctional officers participated in developing Delphi questionnaires. As the main results, major correctional officer's mental health problems are PTSD(post traumatic stress disorder), job stress, suicide witnessing, stress from violent accidents, and anger by related with their own work. All of these problems must need to be managed. Besides, the most effective preventing method for correctional officer's mental health problem is providing regular counsels & treatments with a psychiatrist or the fully qualified experts. The mental health promotion strategies for correctional officers must be settled for providing appropriate mental health services to them.

A Study on Survey for Technology Forecasting using Delphi in Biosystems Engineering (농업기계화분야의 델파이 기술예측조사에 관한 연구)

  • 이종인;조근태;장동일;이규천;조영우
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.175-186
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    • 2004
  • The study was designed to forecast and derive future core technologies using Delphi method in Korea agriculture. The technologies will make agriculture for core and strategic industry that has high value-added in 21 century. Questions were given to specialists by each technology in order to survey importance, realization time, level of R&D in Korea and foremost country, leading group of R&D, effective policy, etc. for each technology. The target of the survey for Delphi is confined specialists in the area of Bioystems Engineering. 55 core technologies were derived and 31 specialists answered the survey.

A Delphi Study on the Price Escalation Clause in a Construction Contract

  • Choi, Min Soo;Kim, Moo Han
    • Architectural research
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to suggest policies to improve the price escalation system in a construction contract through a Policy Delphi technique. The Delphi, including two times questionnaires and a group discussion, was conducted by joining 14 experts. Also, the escalation provisions of various countries were examined. Results of the Delphi showed that the minimum fluctuation rate for price escalation was desirable at a level of 3%. To compute the fluctuation rate, calculating the price fluctuation of overall articles was more desirable than using price indices. A bidding date was more reasonable as the initial date of change in price. Losses caused by price change should be shared between contractor and owner; therefore a deduction rate should be introduced in price escalation. Meanwhile, overhead and profit should be adjusted in proportion to the fluctuation rate; but advance payment or the delayed construction amount should be deducted from the adjusted amount.

A Delphi Survey of Corporate Needs for Technical Skills (기업에서 요구하는 직무수행능력에 대한 델파이 분석)

  • Park, Sung-Mi
    • Journal of Fisheries and Marine Sciences Education
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.12-22
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    • 2008
  • This study presents the results of a delphi survey which is intended to identify technical skills that corporations expect of employees. A total of 300 managers from different businesses took part in the survey. To obtain the delphi data, a questionnaire of expected technical skills developed on the basis of previous research was used. The obtained data were analyzed in terms of frequency and other descriptive statistics. Eleven technical skills emerged as important ones in the corporate environment. In order of importance, subjects listed communication skills, business capabilities, negotiation skills, problem-solving ability, organizational adaptation, ability to gather and analyze relevant information, practical computer literacy, self-management, creativity, and foreign language proficiency.

Development of Mobile Application Contents for Self-management of Patients with Osteoarthritis: Using Delphi Method (골관절염 대상자 자기관리를 위한 모바일앱 콘텐츠 개발: 델파이 조사를 활용하여)

  • Park, Ju Young;Son, Jung Tae
    • Journal of muscle and joint health
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.307-318
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to explore the essential contents of mobile application for self-management of patients with osteoarthritis through Delphi survey. Methods: The Delphi survey was conducted with 14 experts to determine the importance of contents in osteoarthritis self-management mobile application. Results: A total of 25 contents were finalized for the osteoarthritis self-management mobile application. The contents consisted of 7 items for daily living management, 8 items for disease information, 3 items for pain management, 6 items for exercise, and 1 item for weight management. Conclusion: Based on the results of this study, self-management mobile application can be developed and used as an interventional tool for patients with osteoarthritis.