• 제목/요약/키워드: decision making method

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가뭄관리를 위한 수문학적 의사결정에 관한 연구 : 2. 가뭄관리를 위한 의사결정 방법 (A Study on the Hydrologic Decision-Making for Drought Management : 2. Decision-Making Method for Drought Management)

  • 강인주;윤용남
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제35권5호
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    • pp.597-609
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    • 2002
  • 본 연구에서는 과거 가뭄분석에 의해 가뭄관리 기준을 설정하고 가룰 진행 상황에 따라 가룸을 감시 및 관리하는 의사결정 방법을 제시하고자 한다. 이를 위하여 의사결정분기도를 작성하여 분석을 수행하고, 가뭄의 정도에 따라 구체적인 단계별 조치방안을 제안한다. 즉, 월강수의 전이확률과 강수량에 의하여 의사결정분기도를 작성하여 분석을 수행함으로써 가뭄의 진행상황을 파악해 가뭄주의보, 가뭄경보, 가뭄의 비상대책 등 3가지의 단계별 조치기준을 설정하는 것이다. 본 연구에서 제안된 방법은 다근 지역에서도 이용이 가능할 뿐 아니라 목적에 따라 분기도를 변환하여 이용할 수도 있을 것이다. 또한 지속적으로 기상자료를 보완하여 월 Parmer 지수(PDSI)의 등급 선정과 깅수량 분석을 수행할수 있어 보완된 의사결정분기도에 의한 기준값을 제공함으로써 계속적인 가뭄관리가 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

The Impact of Methods of Presenting Cash Flow Statement on Loan Decision: Evidence from Vietnam

  • NGUYEN, Dung Duc
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권8호
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    • pp.87-94
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    • 2020
  • The paper aims to investigate the impact of presenting statements of cash flow using the direct method and the indirect method on loan decision by credit officers at Vietnamese banks. The data was collected from 150 credit officers of commercial banks in Vietnam based on the questionnaire about making loan decision when the cash flow statement is presented in different methods, namely, direct and indirect methods. This research uses T-tests to check whether using the direct or indirect method affects the accurate calculation of loan criteria, affects the loan decision by credit officers, and compare these two methods in the aspects of information provision. The research has pointed out that: 1) the direct method helps the calculation of indicators related to loans more accurately; 2) credit officers say that, while the direct method of presenting cash flow statement provides clearer information, the use of either the direct method or the indirect method does not affect the banks' loan decision. Since then, the author recommends that cash flow statements should be provided with information in a direct method to present the information needed for loan decision more accurately so as to improve the quality of cash flow statement.

철도시설물에 대한 자산관리체계수립을 위한 개념 연구 (Conceptual Study for Asset Management Framework Construction of Railway Infra Structure System)

  • 이지하;박미연;이종근;박만호;정대호
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2011년도 정기총회 및 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.2473-2478
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    • 2011
  • The asset management of railway facilities is a total framework for finally supporting a safe and comfortable train service, which includes functions of supporting evaluation of condition and performance of infrastructures, making the decision method of repair or rehabilitation of deteriorated facilities, and lengthening the life cycle of structure through the decision of adequate cost and time of repair or reinforcement. In the range of the asset management, organization, human, the target, and information & data of company are included. Therefore, in this paper, appling the method of asset management analysis to the railway structures, the process of the risk assesment using BRE(Business Risk Exposure) and the basis of consisting optimized renewal decision-making are expressed.

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AHP를 이용한 정보시스템 개발업체 선정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Selection of Information System Developer using AHP)

  • 장양철;안병석
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.187-201
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    • 2006
  • Nowadays, many organizations more increasingly show their interests in developing informations systems through not only in-house development but outsourcing. Selecting a proper information system developer, however, is not easy task partly due to the absence of evaluation criteria pertinent to explain the pros and cons of information system developers considered. Further, much care should be taken of choosing an appropriate decision method applicable to semi-structured or strategical decision making problems such as selection of information system developer even though evaluation criteria are well provided. The purpose of this paper is to provide for the selection process, ranging from identification of problem structure to solution method, of information system developer with the use of Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP).

유전 알고리즘에 의한 플랜트 보전을 위한 최적검사기간 결정 방법론 (Decision-making Method of Optimum Inspection Interval for Plant Maintenance by Genetic Algorithms)

  • 서광규;서지한
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2003
  • The operation and management of a plant require proper accounting for the constraints coming from reliability requirements as well as from budget and resource considerations. Most of the mathematical methods to decide the inspection time interval for plant maintenance by reliability theory are too complicated to be solved. Moreover, the mathematical and theoretical models are not usually cases in the practical applications. In order to overcome these problems, we propose a new the decision-making method of optimal inspection interval to minimize the maintenance cost by reliability theory and genetic algorithm (GA). The most merit of the proposed method is to decide the inspection interval for a plant machine of which failure rate $\lambda$(t) conforms to any probability distribution. Therefore, this method is more practical. The efficiency of the proposed method is verified by comparing the results obtained by GA-based method with the inspection model haying regular time interval.

공공공사 발주방식 선정에 영향을 미치는 요인 연구 (A Study of Factors Influencing Delivery Methods Selection on Public Construction Projects)

  • 김대길;이웅균;이학주
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2014년도 추계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.218-219
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    • 2014
  • The selection of an appropriate contract method is vital for the successful operation of the project. However, there has been a lack of studies on objective decision making support models for use in the planning stage of a project contract. The present study had the goal of analyzing the factors that influence contract method selection, as an initial study for developing a project contract method selection model. The existing related studies were analyzed, and the factors considered in the literature were selected. Then, based on the findings, the opinions of an expert group on the important factors for contract method selection were collected through a survey. The collected opinions were analyzed using factor analysis, a statistical analysis method. The results will be utilized in the future as preliminary data for developing a decision making model for selecting a contract method.

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과학 관련 사회적 쟁점에서 의사결정에 대한 문헌 연구 (A Literature Review of Studies on Decision-making in Socio-scientific Issues)

  • 조헌국
    • 한국과학교육학회지
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    • 제35권5호
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    • pp.791-804
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 과학 관련 사회적 쟁점을 다룬 연구에 대한 문헌 조사를 통해 의사결정의 정의와 의사결정에 영향을 미치는 요인을 탐색하며, 의사결정의 질을 판별할 수 있는 기준을 수립하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 이에 본 연구는 SSCI급 학술지에 게재된 과학 관련 사회적 쟁점에서의 의사결정을 다룬 논문을 분석 대상으로 선정하였다. 최종적으로 147개의 연구 논문이 분석 대상으로 선정되었으며 분류 분석을 통해 논문에서 나타나는 의사결정의 정의, 의사결정에 영향을 미치는 요인, 의사결정을 판단하는 준거 등을 추출하였다. 연구 결과 대부분의 연구들이 의사결정을 명시적으로 정의하지 않고 있으며 의사결정 과정의 전반을 다루기보다는 대안 판단이나 준거 수립 등 일부 요소만 다루고 있었다. 선행 연구에서 다룬 의사결정에 영향을 미치는 요인들은 과학지식, 과학의 본성, 쟁점의 종류, 논의 형태, 개인의 신념과 가치관, 문화 등이었다. 이러한 요소들과 의사결정을 이루는 여러 요소들과의 관계를 분석한 결과, 24가지의 관계 중 오직 6개에 대해서만 유의미한 관련성을 가짐을 알 수 있었고 대부분 대안 판단과만 연결되었다. 선행연구에서 주로 다룬 의사결정의 준거로는 균형, 다양성, 정당화였으며 대체로 Toulmin이 제시한 논변틀을 따르고 있었다. 이에 본 연구에서는 의사결정의 핵심인 위험과 불확실성을 중심으로 한 의사결정의 준거를 제안하였다.

퍼지 의사결정법에 의한 주암호 수질관리 전략 평가 (Water Quality Management Strategies Evaluation of Juam Lake by A Fuzzy Decision-Making Method)

  • 이용운;황윤애;이성우;이병희;최정욱
    • 대한환경공학회지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.699-712
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    • 2000
  • 주암호는 광주 전남지역의 주민생활이나 공 농업활동에 기반이 되는 중요한 수자원의 역할을 하고 있으나, 주암호에 유입되는 오염물질로 말미암아 호수의 수질은 점점 악화되고 있는 실정이다. 따라서 주암호 수질개선 전략은 시급히 마련되어야 할 것이다. 호수의 수질개선 전략으로 하나가 아닌 다수의 대안이 개발될 경우에 대안별 평가 및 최적순위 결정을 위해서는 목표수질의 달성도, 사회 기술적 적용성 및 경제성 측면을 고려한 평가기준들이 선정된다. 그러나 평가기준들의 수가 많고 각 기준이 추구하는 목적이 서로 상충될 때 의사결정은 어려워진다. 특히, 각 평가기준에 대한 대안별 기준값이 불확실성을 내포하는 경우에는 의사결정이 더욱 곤란하게 된다. 이러한 불확실성의 정도가 크면 클수록 의사결정은 점점 어려워지는데, 각 기준값의 불확실성이 발생하는 주요 원인은 활용할 수 있는 정보의 부족, 미래 상황의 불확실 또는 전문가 지식의 한계 때문이다. 본 논문에서는 의사결정권자가 불확실성 하에서도 호수의 수질개선 대안들을 평가하는데 이용할 수 있는 퍼지 의사결정법이 보여질 것이다. 이 방법은 퍼지이론을 응용하여 대안별 평가기준 값의 불확실성 정도를 해석하고, 이를 그대로 의사결정 과정에 반영하기 때문에 불확실성을 고려하지 않는 방법들에 비해 합리적이고 현실성있는 최적의 수질관리 대안이 선정될 수 있다.

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인터넷상의 의류상품 제시방법과 구매의사결정과의 관계 연구 -여대생의 청바지 구매를 중심으로- (The Effect of Presentation Methods of Apparel Products on the Internet on Purchase Decision Making. - Focused on the purchase of jeans apparel far college students -)

  • 최은영
    • 복식
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    • 제50권5호
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    • pp.103-115
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    • 2000
  • There are various presentation methods of apparel products on the internet shopping mall. The objective of this study was (a) to identify the effect of information supply about the criteria to evaluate a garment according to presentation methods and (b) to investigate the relation between the consumer's evaluation of presentation methods and confidence in purchase decision. For this experiment. 4 presentation methods of jean were selected from internet shopping mall. They were rotating appearance on the body, enlarged product picture, apparel items coordination method and just picture of wearing appearance. Each presentation method was evaluated by panels using questionnaire. Consumer's evaluation of presentation methods were developed 5 point likert scale. The major findings drawn from this study were as follows : 1. There were significant differences in degree of information supply about product criteria according to presentation methods. Enlarged product picture introduction was good for confirmation of sewing state, fabric and detail. Apparel items coordination method was good for judgement of styling and current fashion suitability. 2. Dimension of information evaluation was composed of providing pleasure, utility of information, reliability & attractiveness, negative emotions. All of these factors affect confidence in purchase decision and intention of revisiting the site. The most important factor for confidence in purchase decision making was reliability & attractiveness. as compared to this, intention of revisiting the site was more influenced by providing pleasure.

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Seismic induced damageability evaluation of steel buildings: a Fuzzy-TOPSIS method

  • Shahriar, Anjuman;Modirzadeh, Mehdi;Sadiq, Rehan;Tesfamariam, Solomon
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제3권5호
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    • pp.695-717
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    • 2012
  • Seismic resiliency of new buildings has improved over the years due to better seismic codes and design practices. However, there is still large number of vulnerable and seismically deficient buildings. It is not economically feasible to retrofit and upgrade all vulnerable buildings, thus there is a need for rapid screening tool. Many factors contribute to the damageability of buildings; this makes seismic evaluation a complex multi-criteria decision making problem. Many of these factors are noncommensurable and involve subjectivity in evaluation that highlights the use of fuzzy-based method. In this paper, a risk-based framework earlier proposed by Tesfamariam and Saatcioglu (2008a) is extended using Fuzzy-TOPSIS method and applied to develop an evaluation and ranking scheme for steel buildings. The ranking is based on damageability that can help decision makers interpret the results and take appropriate decision actions. Finally, the application of conceptual model is demonstrated through a case study of 1994 Northridge earthquake data on seismic damage of steel buildings.