• 제목/요약/키워드: dam risk analysis

검색결과 88건 처리시간 0.029초

저수지 물공급을 위한 신뢰도 분석에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Reliability Analysis for Water Supply on Reservoir System)

  • 심명필;이봉희;김경탁
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제30권5호
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    • pp.527-537
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    • 1997
  • 본 연구에서는 수자원 관리와 저수지의 최적 운영에 영향을 미치는 위험의 수준을 결정하고 위험의 특징을 규명하기 위하여 위험도 평가시 평가기준이 될 수 있는 신뢰도, 복원도, 취약도 등의 지표를 수학적으로 정의하였다. 그리고 저수지 시스템의 기능 수행 능력을 평가하기 위해서 추계학적 모의 발생기법을 통하여 모의 발생된 월 유입량 자료를 이용하여 대청 다목적댐을 대상으로 저수지 물수지 분석을 실시하였다. 분석 결과를 토대로 저수지 시스템의 기능 수행 능력을 평가하기 위하여 시간, 빈도, 양적 기준 신뢰도 및 복원도 지수, 취약도를 산정하였으며, 상호간의 관계에 대하여 검토하였다.

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소규모 저수지 대상 비상대처계획 수립 선정기준 연구 (Study on Selection Criteria of Small-Scales Reservoirs for Emergency Action Plan(EAP) Establishment)

  • 박기찬;최경숙
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제61권3호
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    • pp.101-112
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    • 2019
  • This study developed selection criteria of small-scales reservoirs, having under $300,000m^3$ storage capacity, for the Emergency Action Plan(EAP) establishment in order to reduce the disaster risks of the reservoir's failures. Those reservoirs are out of ranges of Korean EAP establishment standard, but have potential risk of disasters as they have often failed by the recent extreme rainfall events and earthquakes, causing economical and life losses. The problem of reservoir aging is also one of the reasons of them. In this study, the developed selection criteria of small reservoirs for EAP establishment are storage capacity, embankment height, reservoir age, heavy rain factor and earthquake factor. These criteria were selected based on the review of the existing EAP establishment guidelines, analysis of the past dam failure cases, and the previous related studies. The quantification of these criteria were conducted for the practical applications in the fields, and applied to 67 previous failures in order to investigate the relation of each criteria with these failures. The earthquake factor found to be the highest relations followed by heavy rain factors, combination of earthquake and heavy rain factors, and reservoir age. The classification was made as observation and review groups for EAP establishments based on overlapping numbers of each criteria. This classifications applied to 354 reservoirs designated as having the potential disaster risk by MOIS, and showed 38.4% of observation and 11.9% of review groups. Anticipatory monitoring and regular inspection should be made by professional facility managers for the observation group, and necessity of EAP establishment should be assessed for the review group based on the downstream status and financial budget.

사무실 실내공기중 휘발성유기화합물의 기준설정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Standards of Volatile Organic Compounds in Indoor Air of Office)

  • 김윤신;이철민;노영만;이소담;손종렬;김석원
    • 한국산업보건학회지
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.413-427
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    • 2006
  • It is necessary to study and develop guidelines for providing comfort and health indoor air quality for office workers since air-tight envelope system of current office building may cause poor indoor air quality. The purpose of this study is to propose guideline for volatile organic compounds in office base on the field study, human health risk assessment and cost-benefit analysis. The field study was conducted to survey the concentrations of volatile organic compounds in indoor air of 69 offices from June to September, 2005 in Seoul and Gyeonggi-do. The rate of excess to guideline of volatile organic compounds in indoor air of new apartment on the Ministry of Environment in Korea(MOE) was surveyed 37.6% for benzene, 6.8% for toluene, and 1.5% for ethylbenzene. As the result of human health risk assessment, mean cancer risk did not exceed 10-6 which is guideline of US.EPA. Also, total hazard index did not exceed 1 which is guideline of US.EPA. Through the cost-benefit analysis of angle on the social-economics to verify the necessary to establish the standards of volatile organic compounds for improvement and development of indoor air quality in office, the present value of benefit was higher than the present value of cost. With the above considerations in mind, it is suggested that the field study for indoor air quality in offices should be expanded and human health risk assessment and cost-benefit analysis be performed th offer scientific data for decision-making of policy for improvement and management of indoor air quality in office.

지진에 대한 재해위험도 평가 모형에 관한 연구 - 청주시 사례 중심으로 - (A Study on the Evaluation Model of Disaster Risks for Earthquake : Centering on the Cases of Cheongju City)

  • 정의담;신창호;황희연
    • 한국방재학회 논문집
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    • 제10권5호
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    • pp.67-73
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    • 2010
  • 많은 기회요소와 편의성이 존재하기 때문에 도시에는 많은 인구와 건물이 집중되어 있다. 이러한 이유로 인하여 재해 발생 가능성이 높고 재해가 발생하면 그 피해는 치명적이다. 본 연구는 우리나라 도시특성에 맞는 실용적인 재해 위험도 평가방법을 제시하는데 있으며, 사례지역으로 충청북도 청주시를 대상으로 평가하였다. 화재위험도, 건물붕괴위험도, 대피위험도, 가스폭발 위험도를 포함한 종합위험도를 분석하고 적용한 결과, 현재 도심공동화 현상이 나타나는 북문로 일대가 위험성이 가장 높게 나타나는 것으로 분석되었다. 이 일대는 구시가지로 재난의 대책 및 정비가 이루어지지 않았음을 예상할 수 있으며 시급한 정비가 이루어져야 된다고 판단된다.

SSP 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 농업용 저수지 홍수조절능력 분석 (Analysis of Flood Control Capacity of Agricultural Reservoir Based on SSP Climate Change Scenario)

  • 김지혜;곽지혜;황순호;전상민;이성학;이재남;강문성
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제63권5호
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    • pp.49-62
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    • 2021
  • The objective of this study was to evaluate the flood control capacity of the agricultural reservoir based on state-of-the-art climate change scenario - SSP (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways). 18 agricultural reservoirs were selected as the study sites, and future rainfall data based on SSP scenario provided by CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6) was applied to analyze the impact of climate change. The frequency analysis module, the rainfall-runoff module, the reservoir operation module, and their linkage system were built and applied to simulate probable rainfall, maximum inflow, maximum outflow, and maximum water level of the reservoirs. And the maximum values were compared with the design values, such as design flood of reservoirs, design flood of direct downstream, and top of dam elevation, respectively. According to whether or not the maximum values exceed each design value, cases were divided into eight categories; I-O-H, I-O, I-H, I, O-H, O, H, X. Probable rainfall (200-yr frequency, 12-h duration) for observed data (1973~2020) was a maximum of 445.2 mm and increased to 619.1~1,359.7 mm in the future (2011~2100). For the present, 61.1% of the reservoirs corresponded to I-O, which means the reservoirs have sufficient capacity to discharge large inflow; however, there is a risk of overflowing downstream due to excessive outflow. For the future, six reservoirs (Idong, Baekgok, Yedang, Tapjung, Naju, Jangsung) were changed from I-O to I-O-H, which means inflow increases beyond the discharge capacity due to climate change, and there is a risk of collapse due to dam overflow.

침식과 침투영향을 고려한 하천제방의 위험도 평가 (Risk Assessment of Levee Embankment Integrated Erosion and Seepage Failure Factor)

  • 안기홍;한건연
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제42권8호
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    • pp.591-605
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구에서는 하천제방의 침식, 침투영향을 고려한 위험도 및 통합위험도를 산정하였다. 이를 위해 추계학적 강우변동 생성기법을 이용하여 생성된 태풍기와 장마기별 유량 및 수위수문곡선을 활용하여 하천제방에 대한 침식, 침투 그리고 통합 위험도를 산정하였다. 침식에 대한 하천제방의 위험도는 허용 소류력을 이용하여 평가하였고 침투류 해석은 각 제방별로 대표 제방단면을 선정 후 SEEP/W 모형을 통해 해석을 실시하였으며 한계동수경사법을 이용한 MFOSM 분석을 통해 제방의 침투붕괴 위험도를 산정하였다. 본 연구에서는 확정론적 분석방법과 달리 정량적인 위험도를 산정할 수 있었고 실제 강우 변동의 특성 및 다양한 제방파괴 요인을 반영하였으며, 이를 하나의 위험도로 통합하여 제시하고 있으므로 본 연구모형의 결과는 그 적용성에 있어 매우 유용할 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구모형은 향후 홍수에 대한 제방파괴 위험지점 파악 및 제내지 홍수위험도와 연계한 홍수보험, 주민대피지도 구축 등에 활용 될 수 있어 유역의 홍수통합관리시 효율적이고 체계적인 대책수립에 크게 기여할 것으로 판단된다.

기후변화에 따른 댐의 수문학적 안전성 평가 및 적응방안 고찰 (Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation on Hydrological Safety Perspectives of Existing Dams)

  • 박지연;정일원;권지혜;김원술
    • 한국습지학회지
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    • 제21권spc호
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    • pp.149-156
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    • 2019
  • 기후변화에 대한 기존 댐의 수문학적 안전성을 평가하고 적응방안을 마련하는 것은 장기적인 물공급과 관리 측면에서 중요하다. 국내 주요 댐은 '시설물의 안전 및 유지관리에 관한 특별법'에 따른 주기적인 점검과 유지보수를 통해 안전을 확보하도록 하고 있다. 특히 정밀안전진단을 수행할 경우에는 가능최대강수량(PMP)을 이용한 수문학적 안전성을 평가하고 위험에 대비하도록 하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화가 댐의 수문학적 안전성에 미치는 영향을 평가하기 위해 RCP4.5와 RCP8.5 온실가스 배출시나리오에 기반해 산정한 미래 가능최대강수량(PMP)을 이용하였다. 분석기간은 2011년~2040년, 2041년~2070년, 2071년~2100년으로 선정하였다. 국내 4개 댐(A, B, C, I)을 대상으로 가능최대홍수량(PMF)에 대해 평가한 결과 RCP 시나리오와 분석기간에 따라 다소 차이는 있으나 기후변화가 3개 댐(A, B, I)의 월류 위험성을 증가시킬 것으로 나타났다. 이 결과는 기존 댐의 기후변화 적응을 위해서는 비구조적 대책과 더불어 장기적인 구조적 대책 마련도 필요함을 시사하였다.

발전방류구 위치변화에 따른 저수지내 탁수변화 -대청댐을 대상으로- (Effect of Hydroelectric Power Plant Discharge on the Turbidity Distribution in Dae-Cheong Dam Reservoir)

  • 서세덕;이재일;하성룡
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.227-234
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    • 2011
  • In the study, CE-QUAL-W2 was used and its examination and correction were conducted targeting 2001 and 2003 when the condition of rainfall was contradicted. Using the proved model in 2003, a scenario was implemented with management of locations for dewatering outlets and actual data for dam management in 1987 when inflow and outflow level were almost same. In case of the scenario which the location of dewatering outlets was 5m higher than usual location, exclusion efficiency for turbid water inflow at the beginning of precipitation was good. In case of the scenario which the location of dewatering outlets was 10m lower than usual location, exclusion efficiency for excluding turbid water remained in a reservoir after the end of precipitation. However, the scenario applying dam management data in 1987, exclusion efficiency was relatively low. In the scenario, power-generating water release spot at EL.57m for first four days after the beginning of precipitation, EL.52m for 5th to 8th and EL.42m from 9th days. An analysis of the scenario reveals that both excessive days exceeded 30 NTU and average turbidity levels were decreased comparing before and after the alteration on outlets. The average turbidity levels were decreased by minimum of 55% to maximum of 70% and 30NTU exceeding days were decreased by 45 days at maximum. Also, since it could exclude most of turbid water in a reservoir before the destatifcation, the risk for turbid water evenly distributed in a reservoir along with turn-over could be decreased as well.

개선된 미소면 모델을 적용한 매스콘크리트 기초슬래브의 초기균열거동 해석 (Early Age Cracking Analysis of Massive Concrete Base Slab with Enhanced Microplane Model)

  • 이윤;김진근;우상균;송영철;이성태
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 2006년도 춘계학술발표회 논문집(I)
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    • pp.458-461
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    • 2006
  • Early age cracking of concrete is a widespread and complicated problem, and diverse applications in practical engineering have focused on this issue. Since massive concrete base slab composes the infrastructure of other concrete structures such as pier, concrete dam, and high rise buildings, early age cracking of that is considered as a crucial problem. In this study, finite element analysis (FEA) implemented with the age-dependent microplane model was performed. For a massive concrete base slab, cracking initiation and propagation, and deformation variation were investigated with concrete age. In massive concrete slab, autogenous shrinkage increases the risk of early age cracking and it reduces reinforcement effect on control of early age cracking. Gradual crack occurrence is experienced from exterior surface towards interior of the slab in case of combined hydration heat and autogenous shrinkage. FEA implemented with enhanced microplane model successfully simulates the typical cracking patterns due to edge restraint in concrete base slab.

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Analysis of Erosion Risk in a Catchment using Projected Rainfall Data and Spatial Rainfall-Erosion Model

  • Felix, Micah Lourdes;Kim, Joocheol;Choi, Mikyoung;Jang, Ning;Jung, Kwansue
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2021년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.316-316
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    • 2021
  • Erosion in a watershed is one of the main sources of sediment inflow in dams. While sediment management practices can be performed to reduce and manage sedimentation in reservoirs, managing the sediment inflow before it reaches the reservoir should also be consider. The accurate location of areas with high erosion and deposition rates should be determined in order to propose an appropriate sediment management procedure such as the construction of check dams. In this study, the projected rainfall from HadGEMRA-3 for RCP 8.5, was used in C-SEM, a distributed rainfall-erosion model, to determine the projected spatial erosion patterns in Cheoncheon catchment, which is located in the upstream part of Yongdam Dam.

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