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Improved method of the conventional flow duration curve by using daily mode discharges (일 최빈유량을 이용한 유황곡선 개선방안)

  • Park, Tae Sun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.6
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    • pp.355-363
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    • 2021
  • The conventional Flow Duration Curve has limitations that it does not consider hydrologic persistence of daily discharge, that the daily discharge is greatly affected by the maximums or minimums, and that the date of occurrence and duration of a specific discharge cannot be known. In this study, we propose a Daily Mode Discharge Curve, which consists of aligning the daily discharge each year by the date of occurrence, calculating the daily mode discharge, and averaging them every 5 days. As a result of reviewing the long-term observational daily discharge data at 8 points upstream and downstream of the mainstream of the 4 major rivers in Korea, it was found that the daily discharge at all points shows hydrological persistence, and the distortion of it was alleviated by using Daily Mode Discharge Curve. We also suggest that the Daily Mode Discharge Curve is useful for utilizing reference discharge such as Drought, Low, Normal, Plentiful, and Flood Discharge.

Development of Traffic Accident Forecasting Model in Pusan (부산시 교통사고예측모형의 개발)

  • 이일병;임현정
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.103-122
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    • 1992
  • The objective of this research is to develop a traffic accident forecasting model using traffic accident data in pusan from 1963 to 1991 and then to make short-term forecasts('93~'94) of traffic accidents in pusan. In this research, several forecasting models are developed. They include a multiple regression model, a time-series ARIMA model, a Logistic curve model, and a Gompertz curve model. Among them, the model which shows the most significance in forecasting accuracy is selected as the traffic accident forecasting model. The results of this research are as followings. 1. The existing model such as Smeed model which was developed for foreign countries shows only 47.8% explanation for traffic accident deaths in Korea. 2. A nonliner regression model ($R^2$=0.9432) and a Logistic curve model are appeared to be th gest forecasting models for the number of traffic accidents, and a Logistic curve model shows th most significance in predicting the accident deaths and injuries. 3. The forecasting figures of the traffic accidents in pusan are as followings: . In 1993, 31, 180 accidents are predicted to happen, and 430 persons are predicted to be deaths and 29, 680 persons are predicated to be injuries. . In 1994, 33, 710 accidents are predicted to happen, and 431.persons are predicted to be deat! and 30, 510 persons are predicted to be injuried. Therefore, preventive measures against traffic accidents are certainly required.

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Successful Robotic Gastrectomy Does Not Require Extensive Laparoscopic Experience

  • An, Ji Yeong;Kim, Su Mi;Ahn, Soohyun;Choi, Min-Gew;Lee, Jun-Ho;Sohn, Tae Sung;Bae, Jae-Moon;Kim, Sung
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.90-98
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: We evaluated the learning curve and short-term surgical outcomes of robot-assisted distal gastrectomy (RADG) performed by a single surgeon experienced in open, but not laparoscopic, gastrectomy. We aimed to verify the feasibility of performing RADG without extensive laparoscopic experience. Materials and Methods: Between July 2012 and December 2016, 60 RADG procedures were performed by a single surgeon using the da $Vinci^{(R)}$ Surgical System (Intuitive Surgical). Patient characteristics, the length of the learning curve, surgical parameters, and short-term postoperative outcomes were analyzed and compared before and after the learning curve had been overcome. Results: The duration of surgery rapidly decreased from the first to the fourth case; after 25 procedures, the duration of surgery was stabilized, suggesting that the learning curve had been overcome. Cases were divided into 2 groups: 25 cases before the learning curve had been overcome (early cases) and 35 later cases. The mean duration of surgery was 420.8 minutes for the initial cases and 281.7 minutes for the later cases (P<0.001). The console time was significantly shorter during the later cases (168.6 minutes) than during the early cases (247.1 minutes) (P<0.001). Although the volume of blood loss during surgery declined over time, there was no significant difference between the early and later cases. No other postoperative outcomes differed between the 2 groups. Pathology reports revealed the presence of mucosal invasion in 58 patients and submucosal invasion in 2 patients. Conclusions: RADG can be performed safely with acceptable surgical outcomes by experts in open gastrectomy.

The Effects of Family Relationship of Women Immigrants on Satisfaction with life (여성 결혼이민자의 가족관계가 삶의 만족에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Chang-Seek
    • Journal of Agricultural Extension & Community Development
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.717-742
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    • 2010
  • This study was done to investigate the effects of family relationship on satisfaction with life in women immigrants. The participants were 346 women immigrants in S city, Chungnam province. The data were collected through self-reported questionnaires which were constructed to include such scales as satisfaction with life and family relationship. First, satisfaction with family relationship ranked in order of couple, parents-in-law, and brothers-in-law and sisters-in-law. Second, as the women immigrants were younger, and their wedding time was shorter, satisfaction with couple was higher. Third, when women immigrants were between 20 and 30 years old in age, and between 2006 and 2010 in wedding year, satisfaction with parents-in-law were higher. Fourth, when women immigrants were between 20 and 30 years old in age, and 2006 and 2010 in wedding year, satisfaction with brothers-in-law and sisters-in-law were higher. Fifth, satisfaction with life was higher for women immigrants with younger age, lower educational level, and shorter residence and wedding time. Sixth, curve term more accounted for relationship between satisfaction with parents-in-law and life. Seventh, significant predictors influencing satisfaction with life were satisfaction with couple, and brothers-in-law and sisters-in-law.

Kalman filter technique for defining solar regular geomagnetic variations

  • Martini, Daniel;Orispaa, Mikko;Ulich, Thomas;Lehtinen, Markku;Mursula, Kalevi;Lee, Dong-Hun
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.81.2-81.2
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    • 2011
  • Motivated by recent attempts to derive geomagnetic activity from hourly mean data in long term studies, we test the recursive Kalman filter method to obtain the regular solar variation curve of the geomagnetic field. Using a simple algorithm, we are able to assign a quiet day curve to every day separately, without the need for additional input parameter(s) to define the geomagnetically quiet days. We derive a digital counterpart AhK of the analog range index Ak at the subauroral Sodankyl$\ddot{a}$ station and compare it to the earlier digital estimate Ah and the local Ak index. We find that the new method outperforms the former estimate in every aspect studied and provides a robust, straightforward manner of estimating and verifying the manually scaled Ak index, based on readily available hourly values. The model is independent of sampling; thus, for shorter term studies where high-sampling data are available, more accurate estimates can also be obtained when needed. Therefore, in contrast to other recent approaches, we do not provide a method to quantify irregular activity directly but derive the actual quiet day curves in the traditional manner. In future applications the same algorithm may be used to define a wide variety of geomagnetic indices (such as Ak, Dst, or AE).

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Design and Validation of Low-cost Flight Control Computer for Multi-rotor UAVs (저가 하드웨어 기반 멀티로터 비행제어 컴퓨터 설계 및 검증)

  • Lee, Dasol;Shim, David Hyunchul
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.401-408
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    • 2017
  • This paper describes development and validation processes of a low-cost hardware based flight control computer designed for multi-rotor UAVs. The developed flight control computer controls multi-rotors stable and can handle complex flight missions using an integrated high-performance Linux computer. A complementary filter generates a navigation solution with 500 Hz, and a proposed observer significantly reduces measurement noise. A control algorithm utilizes a feed-forward term computed by a three-dimensional curve fitting method, and it increases tracking performance. The developed flight control system has been fully tested through several test flights, and it can apply to real flight environments.

Prediction of Long-Term Stress Intensity Limit of High-Temperature Creep Structures (고온 크리프 구조물의 장시간 한계응력강도 예측)

  • Kim, Woo-Gon;Ryu, Woo-Seog;Kim, Hyun-Hie
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2003.04a
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    • pp.648-653
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    • 2003
  • In order to predict stress intensity limit of high-temperature creep structures, creep work-time equation, defined as $W_ct^P=B$, was used, and the results of the equation were compared with isochronous stress-strain curve (ISSC) ones of ASME BPV NH Code. For this purpose, the creep strain tests with. time variations for commercial type 316 stainless steel were conducted with different stresses; 160 MPa, 150 MPa, 145 MPa, 140 MPa and 135 MPa at $593^{\circ}C$. The results of log $W_c$ and log t plots showed a good linear relation up to $10^5$ hr. The constants p, B and stress intensity limit values showed comparatively good agreement to those of ASME NH ISSC. It is believed that the relation can be simply obtained with only several short-term 1% strain data without ISSC which can be obtained by long-term creep data.

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Short-term Electric Load Forecasting Based on Wavelet Transform and GMDH

  • Koo, Bon-Gil;Lee, Heung-Seok;Park, Juneho
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.832-837
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    • 2015
  • The group method of data handling (GMDH) algorithm has proven to be a powerful and effective way to extract rules or polynomials from an electric load pattern. However, because it is nonstationary, the load pattern needs to be decomposed using a discrete wavelet transform. In addition, if a load pattern has a complicated curve pattern, GMDH should use a higher polynomial, which requires complex computing and consumes a lot of time. This paper suggests a method for short-term electric load forecasting that uses a wavelet transform and a GMDH algorithm. Case studies with the proposed algorithm were carried out for one-day-ahead forecasting of hourly electric loads using data during the years 2008-2011. To prove the effectiveness of our proposed approach, the results were evaluated and compared with those obtained by Holt-Winters method and artificial neural network. Our suggested method resulted in better performance than either comparison group.

Feasibility of Long Term Feed and Bleed Operation For Total Loss of Feedwater Event

  • Kwon, Young-Min;Song, Jin-Ho
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.257-264
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    • 1996
  • The conventional Equipment Environment Qualification (EEQ) envelope is developed based on the containment responses during the design basis events. The Safety Depressurization System (SDS) design without In-containment Refueling Water Storage Tank (IRWST) adopted in the Ulchin 3&4 challenges the conventional EEQ envelope during long term Feed and Bleed (F&B) operation due to the direct discharge of high mass and energy into the containment. Therefore, it is necessary to confirm that the containment pressure and temperature history during the long term F&B operation does not violate the conventional EEQ envelope. However, this subject has never been quantitatively assessed before. To investigate the success path of long term F&B operation this paper analyzes the thermal hydraulic response of the containment and Reactor Coolant System (RCS) until the completion of depressurization and cooldown of RCS into Shutdown Cooling System (SCS) entry condition. It is found that the SCS entry condition can be reached within 6 hours without violating the EEQ curve by proper operation of SDS valves, High Pressure Safety Injection (HPSI) pumps and active Containment Heat Removal System (CHRS). The suggested strategy not only demonstrates the feasibility of long term F&B operation but also can be utilized in the preparation of Emergency Procedure Guidelines (EPGs)

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Experimental Vibration Analysis of a Super-Structure Model Using Curve Fitting Method (곡선맞춤법을 이용한 선체상부구조 모델의 진동해석)

  • Oh, Chang-Geun;Je, Hae-Kwang;Park, Sok-Chu
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.281-288
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    • 2002
  • It might be true that both experimental and analytic techniques have been developed in the vibration analysis end engineering. It could not be said, however, that the experimental method has been also developed as much as analytic method, such as Finite Element Method One of the reason is that computation time becomes longer and that the solution often diverges depending on the choice of initial value in solving nonlinear equation. The equation in experimental modal analysis is usually composed of the nonlinear term of natural frequency and modal damping ratio, and the linear one of equivalent stiffness. In this study, the nonlinear terms were solved first, and then the linear term was obtained. The experimental modal parameters were estimated, applying the developed experimental modal analysis curve-fitting method to the super-structure model. In addition, the number of modes and modal damping ratio could be easily determined by the developed program with the application of graphical techniques and with easy handling button.