• 제목/요약/키워드: cumulant

검색결과 48건 처리시간 0.029초

확산모형에 대한 누율생성함수의 근사와 가우도 추정법 (An Approximation of the Cumulant Generating Functions of Diffusion Models and the Pseudo-likelihood Estimation Method)

  • 이윤동;이은경
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제38권1호
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    • pp.201-216
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    • 2013
  • Diffusion is a basic mathematical tool for modern financial engineering. The theory of the estimation methods for diffusion models is an important topic of the financial engineering. Many researches have been tried to apply the likelihood estimation method for estimating diffusion models. However, the likelihood estimation method for diffusion is complicated and needs much amount of computing. In this paper we develop the estimation methods which are simple enough to be compared to the Euler approximation method, and efficient enough statistically to be compared to the likelihood estimation method. We devise pseudo-likelihood and propose the maximum pseudo-likelihood estimation methods. The pseudo-likelihoods are obtained by approximating the transition density with normal distributions. The means and the variances of the distributions are obtained from the delta expansion suggested by Lee, Song and Lee (2012). We compare the newly suggested estimators with other existing estimators by simulation study. From the simulation study we find the maximum pseudo-likelihood estimator has very similar properties with the maximum likelihood estimator. Also the maximum pseudo-likelihood estimator is easy to apply to general diffusion models, and can be obtained by simple numerical steps.

A Note on the Robustness of the X Chart to Non-Normality

  • Lee, Sung-Im
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.685-696
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    • 2012
  • These days the interest of quality leads to the necessity of control charts for monitoring the process in various fields of practical applications. The $\overline{X}$ chart is one of the most widely used tools for quality control that also performs well under the normality of quality characteristics. However, quality characteristics tend to have nonnormal properties in real applications. Numerous recent studies have tried to find and explore the performance of $\overline{X}$ chart due to non-normality; however previous studies numerically examined the effects of non-normality and did not provide any theoretical justification. Moreover, numerical studies are restricted to specific type of distributions such as Burr or gamma distribution that are known to be flexible but can hardly replace other general distributions. In this paper, we approximate the false alarm rate(FAR) of the $\overline{X}$ chart using the Edgeworth expansion up to 1/n-order with the fourth cumulant. This allows us to examine the theoretical effects of nonnormality, as measured by the skewness and kurtosis, on $\overline{X}$ chart. In addition, we investigate the effect of skewness and kurtosis on $\overline{X}$ chart in numerical studies. We use a skewed-normal distribution with a skew parameter to comprehensively investigate the effect of skewness.

MIXTURE OF CUMULANTS APPROXIMATION 법에 의한 발전시뮬레이션에 관한 연구 (A STUDY ON THE PROBABILISTIC PRODUCTION COST SIMULATION BY THE MIXTURE OF CUMULANTS APPROXIMATION)

  • 송길영;김용하;차준민
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1990년도 하계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.154-157
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    • 1990
  • This paper describes a new method of calculating expected energy generation and loss of load probability (L.O.L.P) for electric power system operation and expansion planning. The method represents an equivalent load duration curve (E.L.D.C) as a mixture of cumulants approximation (M.O.C.A), which is the general case of mixture of normals approximation (M.O.N.A). By regarding a load distribution as many normal distributions-rather than one normal distribution-and representing each of them in terms of Gram-Charller expansion, we could improve the accuracy of results. We developed an algorithm which automatically determines the number of distribution and demarcation points. In modelling of a supply system, we made subsets of generators according to the number of generator outage: since the calculation of each subset's moment needs to be processed rapidly, we futher developed specific recursive formulae. The method is applied to the test systems and the results are compared with those of cumulant, M.O.N.A and Booth-Baleriaux method. It is verified that the M.O.C.A method is faster and more accurate than any other methods.

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TDOA/FDOA 동시 추정을 위한 순차적 알고리즘에 관한 연구 (A study on the sequential algorithm for simultaneous estimation of TDOA and FDOA)

  • 김창성;김중규
    • 전자공학회논문지S
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    • 제35S권7호
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    • pp.72-85
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, we propose a new method that sequentially estimates TDOA(Time Delay Of Arrival) and FDOA(Frequency Delay Of Arrival) for extracting the information about the bearing and relative velocity of a target in passive radar or sonar arrays. The objective is to efficiently estimate the TDOA and FDOA between two sensor signal measurements, corrupted by correlated Gaussian noise sources in an unknown way. The proposed method utilizes the one dimensional slice function of the third order cumulants between the two sensor measurements, by which the effect of correlated Gaussian measurement noises can be significantly suppressed for the estimation of TDOA. Because the proposed sequential algoritjhm uses the one dimensional complex ambiguity function based on the TDOA estimate from the first step, the amount of computations needed for accurate estimationof FDOA can be dramatically reduced, especially for the cases where high frequency resolution is required. It is demonstrated that the proposed algorithm outperforms existing TDOA/FDOA estimation algorithms based on the ML(maximum likelihood) criterionandthe complex ambiguity function of the third order cumulant as well, in the MSE(mean squared error) sense and computational burden. Various numerical resutls on the detection probability, MSE and the floatingpoint computational burden are presented via Monte-Carlo simulations for different types of noises, different lengths of data, and different signal-to-noise ratios.

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Evolutionary Neural Network based on Quantum Elephant Herding Algorithm for Modulation Recognition in Impulse Noise

  • Gao, Hongyuan;Wang, Shihao;Su, Yumeng;Sun, Helin;Zhang, Zhiwei
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제15권7호
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    • pp.2356-2376
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we proposed a novel modulation recognition method based on quantum elephant herding algorithm (QEHA) evolving neural network under impulse noise environment. We use the adaptive weight myriad filter to preprocess the received digital modulation signals which passing through the impulsive noise channel, and then the instantaneous characteristics and high order cumulant features of digital modulation signals are extracted as classification feature set, finally, the BP neural network (BPNN) model as a classifier for automatic digital modulation recognition. Besides, based on the elephant herding optimization (EHO) algorithm and quantum computing mechanism, we design a quantum elephant herding algorithm (QEHA) to optimize the initial thresholds and weights of the BPNN, which solves the problem that traditional BPNN is easy into local minimum values and poor robustness. The experimental results prove that the adaptive weight myriad filter we used can remove the impulsive noise effectively, and the proposed QEHA-BPNN classifier has better recognition performance than other conventional pattern recognition classifiers. Compared with other global optimization algorithms, the QEHA designed in this paper has a faster convergence speed and higher convergence accuracy. Furthermore, the effect of symbol shape has been considered, which can satisfy the need for engineering.

왜정규 표본평균의 분포함수에 대한 안장점근사 (Saddlepoint approximation for distribution function of sample mean of skew-normal distribution)

  • 나종화;유혜경
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.1211-1219
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    • 2013
  • 최근 많은 통계 이론과 응용 문제에 정규분포의 대안으로 왜정규분포에 대한 활용이 높아지고 있다. 본 논문에서는 왜정규분포에 기반한 표본평균의 분포함수에 대한 안장점근사를 다루었다. 안장점근사는 기존의 정규근사에 비해 매우 뛰어난 정확성을 보일 뿐 아니라, 소표본에서도 정확한 근사결과를 제공한다. 본 논문에서 제시한 왜정규분포에 관련된 안장점근사는 복잡한 계산이 요구되는 기존의 Gupta와 Chen (2001)과 Chen 등 (2004)에 대한 근사적 방법으로 사용될 수 있다. 모의실험을 통해 표본평균의 분포함수에 대한 제안된 안장점근사의 정확도를 확인하고, 실제 자료에 대한 응용으로 Roberts (1966)의 쌍둥이 자료의 분석에 적용하였다.

용액상 색소분자의 흡수스펙트럼에 대한 이론적 연구 (Theoretical Study on the Absorption Spectrum of a Chromophore in Liquid)

  • 우정문;양민오
    • 대한화학회지
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    • 제52권1호
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    • pp.7-15
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    • 2008
  • 분자들의 전자 흡수스펙트럼에 영향을 주는 분자 핵 운동은 이론적으로 양자동역학적 시간상관함수로 표현된다. 본 연구에서는 분자동역학 전산모사와 양자화학적 계산등의 순 이론적 계산을 이용해 고전역학적 시간상관함수를 구하고 두 가지의 준고전역학적 근사방법으로 양자동역학적 시간상관함수를 얻었다. 또한 이차 축적전개 근사식을 이용하여 액체상에 있는 nile blue 색소분자의 전자전이 흡수스펙트럼을 얻었다. 계산 결과는 실험에서 얻은 스펙트럼과 비교적 잘 일치하였으며, 실험 결과와의 비교를 통해, 본 계의 용매화 동역학의 시간 척도는 1ps 보다 길며 색소분자에 인접한 용매분자들이 용매화에 영향을 주는 주 성분임을 확인하였다.

Direction of arrival estimation of non-Gaussian signals for nested arrays: Applying fourth-order difference co-array and the successive method

  • Ye, Changbo;Chen, Weiyang;Zhu, Beizuo;Tang, Leiming
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제43권5호
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    • pp.869-880
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    • 2021
  • Herein, we estimate the direction of arrival (DOA) of non-Gaussian signals for nested arrays (NAs) by implementing the fourth-order difference co-array (FODC) and successive methods. In particular, considering the property of the fourth-order cumulant (FOC), we first construct the FODC of the NA, which can obtain O(N4) virtual elements using N physical sensors, whereas conventional FOC methods can only obtain O(N2) virtual elements. In addition, the closed-form expression of FODC is presented to verify the enhanced degrees of freedom (DOFs). Subsequently, we exploit the vectorized FOC (VFOC) matrix to match the FODC of the NA. Notably, the VFOC matrix is a single snapshot vector, and the initial DOA estimates can be obtained via the discrete Fourier transform method under the underdetermined correlation matrix condition, which utilizes the complete DOFs of the FODC. Finally, fine estimates are obtained through the spatial smoothing-Capon method with partial spectrum searching. Numerical simulation verifies the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed method.