• 제목/요약/키워드: conflict prediction

검색결과 35건 처리시간 0.019초

ADS-B based Trajectory Prediction and Conflict Detection for Air Traffic Management

  • Baek, Kwang-Yul;Bang, Hyo-Choong
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
    • /
    • 제13권3호
    • /
    • pp.377-385
    • /
    • 2012
  • The Automatic Dependent Surveillance Broadcast (ADS-B) system is a key component of CNS/ATM recommended by the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) as the next generation air traffic control system. ADS-B broadcasts identification, positional data, and operation information of an aircraft to other aircraft, ground vehicles and ground stations in the nearby region. This paper explores the ADS-B based trajectory prediction and the conflict detection algorithm. The multiple-model based trajectory prediction algorithm leads accurate predicted conflict probability at a future forecast time. We propose an efficient and accurate algorithm to calculate conflict probability based on approximation of the conflict zone by a set of blocks. The performance of proposed algorithms is demonstrated by a numerical simulation of two aircraft encounter scenarios.

반복되는 불일치 상황에서 상황 제시 방법에 따라 초등학생들이 예상을 바꾸는 특성 (The Characteristics of Elementary School Students' Prediction Changes by the Suggestion Types for Situation in Repeated Anomalous Situation - Focused on Buoyancy -)

  • 전아름;노석구;박재근
    • 한국초등과학교육학회지:초등과학교육
    • /
    • 제31권3호
    • /
    • pp.298-310
    • /
    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the characteristics of elementary school students' prediction changes by the suggestion types in a multiple anomalous situation. We investigated the responses, the rate and time of changing prediction, and cognitive conflicts of the students when repeated anomalous situation was suggested in experimental or logical way in science classes focused on buoyancy. As the anomalous situation was repeated, the students to change the prediction increased in number and also the rates to choose the correct prediction became higher. The group who was exposed in experimental way changed their prediction more than in logical way. In addition, when we classified the students to change the prediction by types, the group in experimental way showed higher rate of NM, MM type and FFT type. With anomalous situation repeated, cognitive conflicts of the students has been gradually declining in both groups. But it seemed that the group in experimental way experienced higher mental conflicts. In particular, as students changed the prediction more and arrived at the correct answer after changing their prediction, all the more so. It is concluded that the degree of students' changing prediction and experiencing cognitive conflict can be different according to the suggestion types for situation. Therefore the correlation with cognitive conflict factors can be also observed with the types of students' reactions.

교사-유아 관계의 갈등 및 친밀감에 대한 예측 모형: 의사결정나무분석을 적용한 유아변인의 탐색 (Prediction Models of Conflict and Intimacy in Teacher-Child Relationships: Investigation of Child Variables Based on Decision Tree Analysis)

  • 신유림
    • 한국보육지원학회지
    • /
    • 제16권5호
    • /
    • pp.69-86
    • /
    • 2020
  • Objective: The purpose of this research was to examine the prediction models of conflict and intimacy in teacher-child relationships based on decision tree analysis. Methods: The participants were 297 preschool children from ages three to five including 166 boys and 131 girls. Teacher-child relationships were measured by the Student-Teacher Relationship Scale(STRS). Physical aggression, relational aggression, social withdrawal, and prosocial behaviors were measured by teacher ratings. Moreover, ADHD-RS(Attentive Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder Rating Scale) was used to measure ADHD. The data was analyzed with decision tree analysis. Results: According to the prediction model for teacher-child conflict, the significant predictors were physical aggression and social withdrawal. According to the prediction model for teacher-child intimacy, the significant predictors were prosocial behaviors and relational aggression. However, children's age, gender and ADHD were not significant predictors. Conclusion/Implications: The findings suggest that social behaviors may be closely related with teacher-child relationships for preschool children. Based on the results of this study, intervention suggestions were made.

물리 학업 성취도에 따른 예상의 확인 결과가 고등학생의 인지갈등과 개념변화에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of the Results of Ascertaining Prediction on High School Students' Cognitive Conflict and Conceptual Change by Physics Achievement)

  • 최혁준;권재술
    • 한국과학교육학회지
    • /
    • 제25권3호
    • /
    • pp.382-389
    • /
    • 2005
  • 이 연구는 학생들이 제시된 상황에 대해 자신의 예상이 옳은지 또는 틀린지를 확인하였을 때, 예상의 확인 결과가 인지갈등과 개념변화에 영향을 미치는지, 그리고 물리 학업 성취도에 따라 예상의 확인 결과가 인지갈등과 개념변화에 미치는 영향에는 차이가 있는지를 알아보는 것이다. 고등학교 2학년 186명을 대상으로, 학생들이 무중력 상태에 관한 두 문항의 사전개념 검사문항에 대해 답하도록 하였다. 그 중 한 문항에 대해서만 시범실험을 실시하여 학생들이 자신이 예상한 답이 옳았는지 틀렸는지를 확인하게 하고, 인지갈등 정도를 측정하였다. 간단한 수업 처치 후, 사후개념을 검사하여 개념변화 정도를 확인하였다. 연구 결과, 자신의 예상이 틀렸다는 것을 확인한 학생들이 자신의 예상이 옳았다는 것을 확인한 학생들에 비해 인지갈등과 개념변화가 유의미하게 더 많이 일어났다. 그리고 학업 성취도가 높은 경우에는 예상의 확인 결과에 따라 인지갈등과 개념변화에 유의미한 차이를 보이지 않았으나 학업 성취도가 낮은 경우에는 예상의 확인 결과가 틀렸을 때가 예상의 확인 결과가 옳았을 때보다 인지갈등 점수와 사후개념 점수가 높게 나타나는 경향을 볼 수 있었다. 즉, 예상의 확인 결과는 학업 성취도가 높은 경우보다 학업 성취도가 낮은 경우 인지갈등과 개념변화에 더 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다.

자유비행 다중 충돌회피 효율성 측정 연구 (Measurement of Multi Conflict Avoidance for Free flight Efficiency)

  • 이대용;강자영
    • 한국항행학회논문지
    • /
    • 제16권2호
    • /
    • pp.197-203
    • /
    • 2012
  • 본 논문에서는 자율형 운항 알고리즘을 활용하여 분리보증 해결과 충돌탐지거리와의 상관관계, 충돌회피 후 경로점 복귀와 시간제약 조건에 따른 항로 복귀, 3대 이상의 다중 충돌회피 상황의 분리보증 실험을 수행하여 운항환경에서 발생하는 실증적인 문제를 규명하였다. 실험결과 자유비행 충돌회피를 위하여 탐지거리 확대가 분리보증 해결과 운항 효율성 향상에 유리하며, 충돌회피 후 복귀기동 시 충돌예측상황에 따라 고정 경로점 복귀 또는 시간제약 조건을 적용한 항로 복귀기동을 선택할 수 있었다. 그리고 다중 충돌 상황에서 2도 이상의 선회각을 적용하면 분리보증 해결되었고, 최적의 선회각 선택 시에는 운항 효율성을 대폭 향상시킬 수 있었다.

간호대학생의 성인지 감수성, 성역할 갈등이 간호전문직관에 미치는 영향 (The Effects of the Gender Sensitivity, the Gender Role Conflict on Nursing Professionalism in Nursing Students)

  • 우정희;유승연
    • 한국학교ㆍ지역보건교육학회지
    • /
    • 제22권3호
    • /
    • pp.41-54
    • /
    • 2021
  • Objectives: This study aimed to confirm the degree of gender sensitivity, gender role conflict, nursing professionalism of nursing students and the factors that affect nursing professionalism. Methods: During Jan. 19 to Feb. 5 in 2021, the structured questionnaire was used for 187 nursing students by on-line research methods. Data were analyzed by descriptive analysis, mean comparison(t-test, ANOVA), correlation analysis(Pearson's correlation coefficient) and multiple regression using SPSS/WIN 25.0. Results: The gender sensitivity had positive relationship with nursing professionalism, and gender role conflict had negative relationship with nursing professionalism. And the prediction factors influencing nursing professionalism were major satisfaction, gender sensitivity and gender role conflict. The total variance was 8.2% by predictors. Conclusions: In order to improve the nursing professionalism of nursing students, various ways to increase the satisfaction level of major should be sought, and program should be prepared to improve gender sensitivity and reduce gender role conflict.

해양력 변화와 한반도 해양분쟁 발생의 상관관계 연구 - 해양국력과 동맹전이이론의 타당성 검증을 중심으로 - (A Study of Relationship between Changing of Sea Power and Maritime Conflicts of the Korean Peninsula)

  • 김용식
    • Strategy21
    • /
    • 통권36호
    • /
    • pp.180-214
    • /
    • 2015
  • The Republic of Korea navy challenged from the unexpected surprise attacks by the North Korea navy, albeit, the developments of up-to-date naval forces' technology, and the ceaseless efforts for war preparedness. My study divided into two categories. Qualitative methods used for literature review of international relations theory related to the war onset and for investigating events occurred on the Peninsula and its surrounding seas from 1968 to 2007. Quantitative method used such as the analyses of national power index of the two Koreas, the United States, and China, the uses of equation model to calculate power index of alliance, COPDAB(Conflict and Peace Data Bank) index analysis. Like Choi's study on East Asia maritime conflict, as a conclusion, considering both AT theory and maritime national power as a tool for predicting maritime conflict in the Peninsula proved significant. Based on the study, ROK navy need to prepare for the maritime conflict because the results showed North Korea would initiate maritime disputes sooner or later using fatal asymmetric forces and methods. As a policy suggestion, we are required to maintain a concrete ROK-US alliance ties and to construct naval forces due to the deterring functions of maritime national power.

이해상충과 애널리스트 예측 (Conflict of Interests and Analysts' Forecast)

  • 박창균;연태훈
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
    • /
    • 제31권1호
    • /
    • pp.239-276
    • /
    • 2009
  • 본 연구에서는 주식시장에서 정보 생산자로서 중요한 기능을 수행하는 '애널리스트'의 이익 예측치 편의와 정확도가 증권사와 평가 대상 기업의 동일인 소유 여부에 의하여 영향을 받는지를 점검하였다. 소유구조에 기반한 증권사와 평가 대상 기업 간의 특수관계에 의하여 평가자의 행태가 달라지고 그로 인하여 불특정 다수의 투자자에게 부정적 영향이 초래되는 경우 적절한 규제조치가 필요할 것이라는 측면에서 제기된 문제의 실천적 의미를 찾을 수 있다. 물론 평판효과(reputation effect)가 중요한 역할을 하는 증권업과 애널리스트 시장에서 시장규율(market discipline)이 원활히 작동한다면 특수관계로 인해 왜곡된 정보를 제공할 유인이 사라질 것이며 별도의 규제가 필요하지는 않을 것이다. 분석 결과에 의하면, 특수관계가 존재할 경우 양의 예측편의가 발생하는 빈도가 높은 것은 사실이나, 예측편의의 크기를 포함한 종합적 상관관계를 고려할 경우 증권사와 평가 대상 기업 간의 특수관계가 유의한 예측편의를 발생시키는 것으로 보기는 어려우며, 정확도 또한 의미있는 차이를 보이는 것으로 결론짓기는 어려운 것으로 나타났다. 이는 적어도 현재까지는 증권사가 소유구조로 인하여 왜곡된 정보를 생산하려는 유인보다 정확한 정보를 제공한다는 평판을 지키려는 유인이 더욱 크게 작용한 결과 관측되는 현상으로 해석될 수 있다.

  • PDF

Prediction of network security based on DS evidence theory

  • Liu, Dan
    • ETRI Journal
    • /
    • 제42권5호
    • /
    • pp.799-804
    • /
    • 2020
  • Network security situation prediction is difficult due to its strong uncertainty, but DS evidence theory performs well in solving the problem of uncertainty. Based on DS evidence theory, this study analyzed the prediction of the network security situation, designed a prediction model based on the improved DS evidence theory, and carried out a simulation experiment. The experimental results showed that the improved method could predict accurately in the case of a large conflict, and had strong anti-jamming abilities as compared with the original method. The experimental results prove the effectiveness of the improved method in the prediction of the network security situation and provide some theoretical basis for the further application of DS evidence theory.

무중력 상태에 대한 예상의 확인 결과가 예비 초등 교사의 인지갈등과 개념변화에 미치는 영향 (The Effects of the Result of Ascertaining Predictions on Pre-service Elementary Teachers' Cognitive Conflict and Conceptual Change in the Concept of Weightlessness)

  • 최혁준;김준태;권재술
    • 한국초등과학교육학회지:초등과학교육
    • /
    • 제24권1호
    • /
    • pp.43-50
    • /
    • 2005
  • This study examined the effects of the result of ascertaining predictions on cognitive conflict and conceptual change when students teamed the concept of weightlessness. Participants were 200 pre-service elementary teachers. They answered the pretest composed of two items. Through the demonstration on either of two items of the pretest, they identified whether their predictions were correct or not. In addition, students' cognitive conflicts were measured. After brief instructional treatment, the posttest was conducted. The results of this study are as follows: The more students who identified their own predictions on the experiment were incorrect there were, the more effective it was on cognitive conflict and conceptual change. And cognitive conflicts and conceptual changes of students who identified that their predictions were incorrect were generated meaningfully more than those of students who identified that their predictions were correct. From these results, it is concluded that students who identified that their predictions were correct experience cognitive conflicts, but their cognitive conflicts and conceptual changes were smaller than those of students who identified that their predictions were incorrect.

  • PDF