• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.32 no.1
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• pp.1-10
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• 2003

We consider obtaining graphical summaries of uncertainty in estimates of parameters in nonlinear models. A nonlinear constrained optimization algorithm is developed for likelihood based confidence intervals for the functions of parameters in the model The results are applied to the problem of finding significance levels in nonlinear models.

• Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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• v.31 no.4
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• pp.164-175
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• 2003

This paper investigates bootstrap confidence intervals of the process capability index(PCI) based on the expected loss derived from the empirical distribution function(EDF). The PCI based on the expected loss is too complex to derive its confidence interval analytically, so the bootstrap method is a good alternative. We propose three types of the bootstrap confidence interval; the standard bootstrap(SB), the percentile bootstrap(PB), and the acceleration biased­corrected percentile bootstrap(ABC). We also perform a comprehensive simulation study under various process distributions, in order to compare the accuracy of the coverage probability of the bootstrap confidence intervals. In most cases, the coverage probabilities of the bootstrap confidence intervals from the EDF PCI turned out to be more accurate than those from the PCI based on the normal distribution. It is expected that the bootstrap confidence intervals from the EDF PCI can be utilized in real processes where the true distribution family may not be known.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.16 no.2
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• pp.377-393
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• 2003

Several confidence interval estimates for the difference of two binomial proportions were introduced. Bootstrap confidence interval is also suggested. We examined the over estimation property of approximate intervals and under estimation trend of exact intervals for the difference of proportions. We compared these confidence intervals based on the average coverage probability, expected width and skewness measure. Particularly actual coverage probability were calculated by using the prior distribution of parameters. Monte Carlo simulation for small sample size is conducted. Some interesting contour plots of average coverage probability and marginal plots for several interval estimates are presented.

• Genomics & Informatics
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• v.18 no.3
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• pp.31.1-31.8
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• 2020

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), has become a global pandemic. No specific therapeutic agents or vaccines for COVID-19 are available, though several antiviral drugs, are under investigation as treatment agents for COVID-19. The use of convalescent plasma transfusion that contain neutralizing antibodies for COVID-19 has become the major focus. This requires mass screening of populations for these antibodies. While several countries started reporting population based antibody rate, its simple point estimate may be misinterpreted without proper estimation of standard error and confidence intervals. In this paper, we review the importance of antibody studies and present the 95% confidence intervals COVID-19 antibody rate for the Korean population using two recently performed antibody tests in Korea. Due to the sparsity of data, the estimation of confidence interval is a big challenge. Thus, we consider several confidence intervals using Asymptotic, Exact and Bayesian estimation methods. In this article, we found that the Wald method gives the narrowest interval among all Asymptotic methods whereas mid p-value gives the narrowest among all Exact methods and Jeffrey's method gives the narrowest from Bayesian method. The most conservative 95% confidence interval estimation shows that as of 00:00 on September 15, 2020, at least 32,602 people were infected but not confirmed in Korea.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.22 no.6
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• pp.1289-1300
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• 2009

The double sampling scheme is effective in reducing the sampling cost. However, the doubly sampled data is contaminated by two types of error, namely false-positive and false-negative errors. These would make the statistical analysis more difficult, and it would require more sophisticate analysis tools. For instance, the Wald method for the interval estimation of a proportion would not work well. In fact, it is well known that the Wald confidence interval behaves very poorly in many sampling schemes. In this note, the property of the Wald interval is investigated in terms of the coverage probability and the expected width. An alternative confidence interval based on the Agresti-Coull's approach is recommended.

• The Mathematical Education
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• v.55 no.3
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• pp.317-334
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• 2016

Knowledge and data interpretation on statistical estimation was important to have statistical literacy that current curriculum was said not to satisfy. The author investigated mathematics teachers' MKT on statistical estimation concerning interpretation of confidence interval by using questionnaire and interview. SMK of teachers' confidence was limited to the area of textbooks to be difficult to interpret data of real life context. Most of teachers wrongly understood SMK of interpretation of confidence interval to have influence upon PCK making correction of students' wrong concept. SMK of samples and sampling distribution that were basic concept of reliability and confidence interval cognized representation of samples rather exactly not to understand importance and value of not only variability but also size of the sample exactly, and not to cognize appropriateness and needs of each stage from sampling to confidence interval estimation to have great difficulty at proper teaching of statistical estimation. PCK that had teaching method had problem of a lot of misconception. MKT of sample and sampling distribution that interpreted confidence interval had almost no relation with teachers' experience to require opportunity for development of teacher professionalism. Therefore, teachers were asked to estimate statistic and to get confidence interval and to understand concept of the sample and think much of not only relationship of each concept but also validity of estimated values, and to have knowledge enough to interpret data of real life contexts, and to think and discuss students' concepts. So, textbooks should introduce actual concepts at real life context to make use of exact orthography and to let teachers be reeducated for development of professionalism.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.103-110
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• 2011

Exponential distribution is widely adopted as a lifetime model. Many authors have considered the interval estimation of the parameters of two-parameter exponential distribution based on complete and censored samples. In this paper, we consider the interval estimation of the location and scale parameters and the joint confidence region of the parameters of two-parameter exponential distribution based on upper records. A simulation study is done for the performance of all proposed confidence intervals and regions. We also propose the predictive intervals of the future records. Finally, a numerical example is given to illustrate the proposed methods.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.13 no.1
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• pp.141-150
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• 2006

Penalized likelihood regression for exponential families have been considered by Kim (2005) through smoothing parameter selection and asymptotically efficient low dimensional approximations. We derive approximate Bayesian confidence intervals based on Bayes model associated with lower dimensional approximations to provide interval estimates in penalized likelihood regression and conduct empirical studies to access their properties.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.3 no.3
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• pp.263-269
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• 1996

The somplest approximate confidence interval for the probability of success is the one based on the normal approximation to the binomial distribution, It is widely used in the introductory teaching, and various guidelines for its use with "large" sample have appeared in the literature. This paper suggests a guideline when to use it as an approximation to the exact confidence interval, and comparisons with existing guidelines are provided. provided.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.14 no.3
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• pp.451-459
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• 2003

The present paper suggests a method to estimate confidence interval using SV(Support Vector) in LS-SVM(Least-Squares Support Vector Machine). To get the proposed method we used the fact that the values of the hessian matrix obtained by full data set and SV are not different significantly. Since the suggested method implement only SV, a part of full data, we can save computing time and memory space. Through simulation study we justified the proposed method.