• Title/Summary/Keyword: conditional test

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Statistical Model-Based Voice Activity Detection Using the Second-Order Conditional Maximum a Posteriori Criterion with Adapted Threshold (적응형 문턱값을 가지는 2차 조건 사후 최대 확률을 이용한 통계적 모델 기반의 음성 검출기)

  • Kim, Sang-Kyun;Chang, Joon-Hyuk
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.76-81
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we propose a novel approach to improve the performance of a statistical model-based voice activity detection (VAD) which is based on the second-order conditional maximum a posteriori (CMAP). In our approach, the VAD decision rule is expressed as the geometric mean of likelihood ratios (LRs) based on adapted threshold according to the speech presence probability conditioned on both the current observation and the speech activity decisions in the pervious two frames. Experimental results show that the proposed approach yields better results compared to the statistical model-based and the CMAP-based VAD using the LR test.

GARCH Model with Conditional Return Distribution of Unbounded Johnson (Unbounded Johnson 분포를 이용한 GARCH 수익률 모형의 적용)

  • Jung, Seung-Hyun;Oh, Jung-Jun;Kim, Sung-Gon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.29-43
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    • 2012
  • Financial data such as stock index returns and exchange rates have the properties of heavy tail and asymmetry compared to normal distribution. When we estimate VaR using the GARCH model (with the conditional return distribution of normal) it shows the tendency of the lower estimation and clustering in the losses over the estimated VaR. In this paper, we argue that this problem can be resolved through the adaptation of the unbounded Johnson distribution as that of the condition return. We also compare this model with the GARCH with the conditional return distribution of normal and student-t. Using the losses exceed the ex-ante VaR, estimates, we check the validity of the GARCH models through the failure proportion test and the clustering test. We nd that the GARCH model with conditional return distribution of unbounded Johnson provides an appropriate estimation of the VaR and does not occur the clustering of violations.

Independence tests using coin package in R (coin 패키지를 이용한 독립성 검정)

  • Kim, Jinheum;Lee, Jung-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.1039-1055
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    • 2014
  • The distribution of a test statistic under a null hypothesis depends on the unknown distribution of the data and thus is unknown as well. Conditional tests replace the unknown null distribution by the conditional null distribution, that is, the distribution of the test statistic given the observed data. This approach is known as permutation tests and was developed by Fisher (Fisher, 1935). Theoretical framework for permutation tests was given by Strasser and Weber(1999). The coin package developed by Hothon et al. (2006, 2008) implements a unified approach for conditional inference via the generic independence test. Because convenient functions for the most prominent problems are available, users will not have to use the extremely flexible procedure. In this article we briefly review the underlying theory from Strasser and Weber (1999) and explain how to transform the data to perform the generic function independence test. Finally it was illustrated with a few real data sets.

A Consistent Test for Linearity for a Class of General First order Nonlinear Time Series

  • Hwang, Sun Y.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.451-458
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    • 1998
  • Problem of testing linearity among general class of first order nonlinear time series models is discussed. The null hypotheses of linearity is identified via conditional expectations. A consistent test is then suggested and relevant limiting results are derived. It is worth indicating that any specific alternatives are not specified.

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News Impact Curve and Test for Asymmetric Volatility

  • Park, J.A.;Choi, M.S.;Kim, K.K.;Hwang, S.Y.
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.697-704
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    • 2007
  • It is common in financial time series that volatility(conditional variance) as a measure of risk exhibits asymmetry in such a manner that positive and negative values of return rates of the series tend to provide different contributions to the volatility. We are concerned with asymmetric conditional variances for Korean financial time series especially during the time span of 2000-2001. Notice that these periods suffer from 9-11 disaster in US and collapses of stock prices of dot-companies in Korea. Threshold-ARCH models are considered and a Wald test of asymmetry is suggested. News impact curves are illustrated for graphical representations of leverage effects inherent in various Korean financial time series.

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Bounds for the Full Level Probabilities with Restricted Weights and Their Applications

  • Park, Chul Gyu
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.489-497
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    • 1996
  • Lower bounds for the full level probabilities are derived under order restrictions in weights. Discussions are made on typical isotonic cones such as linear order, simple tree order, and unimodal order cones. We also discuss applications of these results for constructing conditional likelihood ratio tests for ordered hypotheses in a contingency table. A real data set on torus mandibularis will be analyzed for illustrating the testing procedure.

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Conditional Replenishment를 이용한 영상 신호 전송량 압축

  • Jeong, Yun-Chae
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.10-14
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    • 1984
  • A method for image data compression, Called condtional replenishment, using the interframe correlation of image signal hasbeen studied. In this study, only those picture elements between successive frames are transmitted instead of every picture element in each, frame. A real time test simulator that can demonstrate the functions of conditional replenishment coder with condition of noiseless channel has been realized, and the result shows that the transmitting pixels can be compressed to the 25% of original signal retaining good picture quality.

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Volatility of Export Volume and Export Value of Gwangyang Port (광양항의 수출물동량과 수출액의 변동성)

  • Mo, Soo-Won;Lee, Kwang-Bae
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2015
  • The standard GARCH model imposing symmetry on the conditional variance, tends to fail in capturing some important features of the data. This paper, hence, introduces the models capturing asymmetric effect. They are the EGARCH model and the GJR model. We provide the systematic comparison of volatility models focusing on the asymmetric effect of news on volatility. Specifically, three diagnostic tests are provided: the sign bias test, the negative size bias test, and the positive size bias test. This paper shows that there is significant evidence of GARCH-type process in the data, as shown by the test for the Ljung-Box Q statistic on the squared residual data. The estimated unconditional density function for squared residual is clearly skewed to the left and markedly leptokurtic when compared with the standard normal distribution. The observation of volatility clustering is also clearly reinforced by the plot of the squared value of residuals of export volume and values. The unconditional variance of both export volumes and export value indicates that large shocks of either sign tend to be followed by large shocks, and small shocks of either sign tend to follow small shocks. The estimated export volume news impact curve for the GARCH also suggests that $h_t$ is overestimated for large negative and positive shocks. The conditional variance equation of the GARCH model for export volumes contains two parameters ${\alpha}$ and ${\beta}$ that are insignificant, indicating that the GARCH model is a poor characterization of the conditional variance of export volumes. The conditional variance equation of the EGARCH model for export value, however, shows a positive sign of parameter ${\delta}$, which is contrary to our expectation, while the GJR model exhibits that parameters ${\alpha}$ and ${\beta}$ are insignificant, and ${\delta}$ is marginally significant. That indicates that the asymmetric volatility models are poor characterization of the conditional variance of export value. It is concluded that the asymmetric EGARCH and GJR model are appropriate in explaining the volatility of export volume, while the symmetric standard GARCH model is good for capturing the volatility.

Current Control for Three Phase PWM Converter Using LQ Controller with Conditional Integrator (조건부 적분기를 가지는 LQ 제어기를 이용한 3상 PWM 컨버터의 전류제어)

  • 김홍성;전윤석;조영준;목형수;최규하;김한성
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 1997.07a
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    • pp.345-351
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, controller for PWM converter considering unsymetrical input voltage is designed and current controller using LQ controller with conditional integrator is proposed. And the proposed current controller is compared with other current controller-predictive controller, decoupling PI controller. As simulation results, LQ controller with Conditional Integrator shows the improved performance for DC link voltage regulation through transient test of load variation. And when unsymeritrical input voltage is applied to converter with conventional current controller considering only symetrical input voltage, input current is distorted but it is showed that current controller considering unsymetrical input has robust control characteristics under phase voltage unbalance.

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Conditional Confidence Interval for Parameters in Accelerated Life Testing

  • Park, Byung-Gu;Yoon, Sang-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.21-35
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, estimation and prediction procedures are discussed for grneral situation in which the failure time follows the independent density $f_{i}({\varepsilon}_{i})$ for the accelerated life testing under Type II censoring. In the context of accelerated life test experiment, procedures are given for estimating the parameters in the Eyring model, and for estimating mean life at a given future stress level. The procedures given are conditional confidence interval procedures, obtained by conditioning on ancillary statistics. A comparison is made of these procedures and procedures based on asymptotic properties of the maximum, likelihood estimates.

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