• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• v.22 no.3
• /
• pp.589-596
• /
• 2011

The conditional autoregressive value at risk (CAViaR) model is useful for risk management, which does not require the assumption that the conditional distribution does not vary over time but the volatility does. But it does not provide volatility forecasts, which are needed for several important applications such as option pricing and portfolio management. For a variety of probability distributions, it is known that there is a constant relationship between the standard deviation and the distance between symmetric quantiles in the tails of the distribution. This inspires us to use a support vector quantile regression (SVQR) for volatility forecasts with the distance between CAViaR forecasts of symmetric quantiles. Simulated example and real example are provided to indicate the usefulness of proposed forecasting method for volatility.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• v.27 no.5
• /
• pp.1225-1239
• /
• 2016

We investigate pediatric tumor incidence data collected by the Florida Association for Pediatric Tumor program using various models commonly used in disease mapping analysis. Particularly, we consider Poisson normal models with various conditional autoregressive structure for spatial dependence, a zero-in ated component to capture excess zero counts and a spatio-temporal model to capture spatial and temporal dependence, together. We found that intrinsic conditional autoregressive model provides the smallest Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) among the models when only spatial dependence is considered. On the other hand, adding an autoregressive structure over time decreases DIC over the model without time dependence component. We adopt weighted ranks squared error loss to identify high risk regions which provides similar results with other researchers who have worked on the same data set (e.g. Zhang et al., 2014; Wang and Rodriguez, 2014). Our results, thus, provide additional statistical support on those identied high risk regions discovered by the other researchers.

• Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
• /
• v.9 no.2
• /
• pp.825-835
• /
• 2002

In this paper, we extend the conditional unrelated question model which was suggested by Lee and Hong(2000) to two-sample case when there is no information about the true proportion of the unrelated character Y. Conditions are obtained under which the proposed model is more efficient than Carr et al.\`s conditional modal and Greenberg et al.'s two-sample unrelated question model.

• Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
• /
• 2001.11a
• /
• pp.179-184
• /
• 2001

Schafer and Shenker(2000) mentioned the one of analytic imputation technique involving conditional means. We derive an approximate moments of a variance estimate with imputed conditional means.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• v.12 no.2
• /
• pp.359-364
• /
• 2005

This paper considers a specification test of conditional Poisson regression model for time series count data. Although conditional models for count data have received attention and proposed in several ways, few studies focused on checking its adequacy. Motivated by the test of martingale difference assumption, a specification test via Ljung-Box statistic is proposed in the conditional model of the time series count data. In order to illustrate the performance of Ljung- Box test, simulation results will be provided.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• v.8 no.3
• /
• pp.753-765
• /
• 2001

We suggest a quantitative conditional unrelated question model that can be used in obtaining more sensitive information. For whom say "yes" about the less 7han sensitive question .B we ask only about the more sensitive variable X. We extend our model to two sample case when there is no information about the true mean of the unrelated variable Y. Finally we compare the efficiency of our model with that of Greenberg et al.′s.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• v.15 no.2
• /
• pp.405-411
• /
• 2004

In the analysis of cancer data, it is important to make inferences of survival function and to assess the effects of covariates. Cox's proportional hazard model(PHM) and Beran's nonparametric method are generally used to estimate the survival function with covariates. We adjusted the incomplete survival time using the Buckley and James's(1979) pseudo random variables, and then proposed the estimator for the conditional survival function. Also, we carried out the simulation studies to compare the performances of the proposed method.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• v.25 no.5
• /
• pp.1079-1094
• /
• 2014

In this paper, we study efficient gene selection methods by using conditional mutual information. We suggest gene selection methods using conditional mutual information based on semiparametric methods utilizing multivariate normal distribution and Edgeworth approximation. We compare our suggested methods with other methods such as mutual information filter, SVM-RFE, Cai et al. (2009)'s gene selection (MIGS-original) in SVM classification. By these experiments, we show that gene selection methods using conditional mutual information based on semiparametric methods have better performance than mutual information filter. Furthermore, we show that they take far less computing time than Cai et al. (2009)'s gene selection but have similar performance.

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
• /
• v.11 no.3
• /
• pp.199-215
• /
• 2020

Purpose - This article tries to test if the conditional consumption capital asset pricing model (CCAPM) with bank credit for household as a conditional variable can explain the cross-sectional variation of stock returns in Korea. The performance of conditional CCAPM is compared to that of multifactor asset pricing models based on Arbitrage Pricing Theory. Design/methodology/approach - This paper extends the simple CCAPM to the conditional version of CCAPM by using bank credit for household as conditioning information. By employing KOSPI and KOSDAQ stocks as test assets from the second quarter of 2003 to the first quarter of 2018, this paper estimates risk premiums of conditional CCAPM and a variety of multifactor linear models such as Fama-French three and five-factor models. The significance of risk factors and the adjusted coefficient of determination are the basis for the comparison in models' performances. Findings - First, the paper finds that conditional CCAPM with bank credit performs as well as the multifactor linear models from Arbitrage Pricing theory on 25 test assets sorted by size and book-to-market. When using long-term consumption growth, the conditional CCAPM explains the cross-sectional variation of stock returns far better than multifactor models. Not only that, although the performances of multifactor models decrease on 75 test assets, conditional CCAPM's performance is well maintained. Research implications or Originality - This paper proposes bank credit for household as a conditional variable for CCAPM. This enables CCAPM, one of the most famous economic asset pricing models, to conform with the empirical data. In light of this, we can now explain the cross-sectional variation of stock returns from an economic perspective: Asset's riskiness is determined by its correlation with consumption growth conditional on bank credit for household.

• ETRI Journal
• /
• v.33 no.2
• /
• pp.210-218
• /
• 2011

Battiti's mutual information feature selector (MIFS) and its variant algorithms are used for many classification applications. Since they ignore feature synergy, MIFS and its variants may cause a big bias when features are combined to cooperate together. Besides, MIFS and its variants estimate feature redundancy regardless of the corresponding classification task. In this paper, we propose an automated greedy feature selection algorithm called conditional mutual information-based feature selection (CMIFS). Based on the link between interaction information and conditional mutual information, CMIFS takes account of both redundancy and synergy interactions of features and identifies discriminative features. In addition, CMIFS combines feature redundancy evaluation with classification tasks. It can decrease the probability of mistaking important features as redundant features in searching process. The experimental results show that CMIFS can achieve higher best-classification-accuracy than MIFS and its variants, with the same or less (nearly 50%) number of features.