• Title/Summary/Keyword: climate(氣候)

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A Study on the Effective Decision-Making Support Model for Construction Duration by the Hypothetical Weather Simulation (가상기후 시뮬레이션에 의한 공기산정 의사결정 지원모델에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong Suk-Nam;Lee Hak-Ki
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.1 no.4 s.4
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    • pp.74-81
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    • 2000
  • The duration of construction in the construction works contains non-working days as well as working days. The duration is so relevant to climate that it should be calculated after fully considered about the regional climate in which construction processes. In most construction fields, however, there has been a frequent adjustment of duration because the field supervisor's experiences have decided non-working days indiscriminately without any accurate information about weather. Not only has that done great economic damages, but also caused many problems in interests among construction subject. So, in this study, we will analyse the elements of climate which has influences on the duration and implement the hypothetical weather simulation. By connecting the results of simulation with the duration of construction, we will propose the decision-making support model for the efficient calculation of duration when the field supervisor makes the projects schedule.

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Extended of User Interface Platform for Providing Customized Cliamte Service (맞춤형 기후서비스 제공을 위한 사용자인터페이스 플랫폼 확장)

  • Jung, Imgook;Park, Jihoon;Cho, Jaepil;Hwang, Syewoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.224-224
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    • 2019
  • 국제기상기구의 Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS)의 관점에서 살펴보면 국내의 기상 기후 정보는 기상청을 중심으로 관측 자료와 중장기 예측 및 기후변화 시나리오 정보 등의 다양한 시간규모로 생산되고 있다. 하지만 사용자가 직접적으로 다양한 기후정보를 상세화하여 활용하기 위해서는 기후정보의 구축 및 전처리를 수행해야하는 어려움이 있다. 따라서 APEC Climate Center (APCC)에서 다학제 융합 기반 기후정보 서비스를 중심으로 사용자 인터페이스 플랫폼 (User Interface Platform: UIP)의 기술적 플랫폼으로 APCC Integrated Modeling Solution (AIMS)를 개발하였다. AIMS는 사용자의 관점으로 상세화를 수행할 수 있고, 다양한 응용 분야에 적용하기 쉽게 데이터를 생성하여 연구에 도움을 주고 있다. 본 연구는 AIMS에서 제공하고 있는 기존의 국가별로 제공하는 제 5차 결합 기후모델 비교사업 (The $5^{th}$ phase of the coupled model intercomparision project, CMIP5)에서 해석한 전구기후모델 (General Circulation Model, GCM)의 통계적 상세화 방법인 Simple Quantile Mapping (SQM)과 Spatial Disaggregation Quantile Delta Mapping (SDQDM)를 포함하여 AIMS에 새롭게 추가 된 통계적 상세화 방법인 Bias Correction and Stochastic Analog (BCSA) 방법을 소개하고자 한다. 또한 60개의 종관기상관측 (Automated Surface Observing System, ASOS)자료를 중심으로 생성한 세 가지 통계적 상세화방법의 과거재현성과 RCP4.5, RCP8.5 시나리오를 활용한 미래 불확실성 평가 결과를 이용하여 연구자들의 맞춤형 자료를 생산하고 평가하는데 도움을 줌으로써 다양한 기후자료의 효과적인 활용이 가능할 것으로 기대된다.

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Wind Corridor Analysis and Climate Evaluation with Biotop Map and Airborne LiDAR Data (비오톱 지도와 항공라이다 자료를 이용한 바람통로 분석 및 기후평가)

  • Kim, Yeon-Mee;An, Seung-Man;Moon, Soo-Young;Kim, Hyeon-Soo;Jang, Dae-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.40 no.6
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    • pp.148-160
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    • 2012
  • The main purpose of this paper is to deliver a climate analysis and evaluation method based on GIS by using airborne LiDAR data and Biotop type map and to provide spatial information of climate analysis and evaluation based on Biotop type Map. At first stage, the area, slope, slope length, surface, wind corridor function and width, and obstacle factors were analyzed to obtain cold/fresh air production and wind corridor evaluation. In addition, climate evaluation was derived from those two results in the second stage. Airborne LiDAR data are useful in wind corridor analysis during the study. Correlation analysis results show that ColdAir_GRD grade was highly correlated with Surface_GRD (-0.967461139) and WindCorridor_ GRD was highly correlated with Function_GRD (-0.883883476) and Obstacle_GRD (-0.834057656). Climate Evaluation GRID was highly correlated with WindCorridor_GRD (0.927554516) than ColdAir_GRD (0.855051646). Visual validations of climate analysis and evaluation results were performed by using aerial ortho-photo image, which shows that the climate evaluation results were well related with in-situ condition. At the end, we applied climate analysis and evaluation by using Biotop map and airborne LiDAR data in Gwangmyung-Shiheung City, candidate for the Bogeumjari Housing District. The results show that the aerial percentile of the 1st Grade is 18.5%, 2nd Grade is 18.2%, 3rd Grade is 30.7%, 4th Grade is 25.2%, and 5th Grade is 7.4%. This study process provided both the spatial analysis and evaluation of climate information and statistics on behalf of each Biotop type.

Prediction Model of Pine Forests' Distribution Change according to Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 소나무림 분포변화 예측모델)

  • Kim, Tae-Geun;Cho, Youngho;Oh, Jang-Geun
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.229-237
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    • 2015
  • This study aims to offer basic data to effectively preserve and manage pine forests using more precise pine forests' distribution status. In this regard, this study predicts the geographical distribution change of pine forests growing in South Korea, due to climate change, and evaluates the spatial distribution characteristics of pine forests by age. To this end, this study predicts the potential distribution change of pine forests by applying the MaxEnt model useful for species distribution change to the present and future climate change scenarios, and analyzes the effects of bioclimatic variables on the distribution area and change by age. Concerning the potential distribution regions of pine forests, the pine forests, aged 10 to 30 years in South Korea, relatively decreased more. As the area of the region suitable for pine forest by age was bigger, the decreased regions tend to become bigger, and the expanded regions tend to become smaller. Such phenomena is conjectured to be derived from changing of the interaction of pine forests by age from mutual promotional relations to competitive relations in the similar climate environment, while the regions suitable for pine forests' growth are mostly overlap regions. This study has found that precipitation affects more on the distribution of pine forests, compared to temperature change, and that pine trees' geographical distribution change is more affected by climate's extremities including precipitation of driest season and temperature of the coldest season than average climate characteristics. Especially, the effects of precipitation during the driest season on the distribution change of pine forests are irrelevant of pine forest's age class. Such results are expected to result in a reduction of the pine forest as the regions with the increase of moisture deficiency, where climate environment influencing growth and physiological responses related with drought is shaped, gradually increase according to future temperature rise. The findings in this study can be applied as a useful method for the prediction of geographical change according to climate change by using various biological resources information already accumulated. In addition, those findings are expected to be utilized as basic data for the establishment of climate change adaptation policies related to forest vegetation preservation in the natural ecosystem field.

Applied Technologies and Effects for the Carbon Zero Office Building (업무용 탄소제로건물의 적용기술 및 효과)

  • Lee, Jae-Bum;Hong, Sung-Chul;Beak, Name-Choon;Choi, Jin-Young;Hong, You-Deog;Lee, Suk-Jo;Lee, Dong-won
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.283-295
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    • 2011
  • Many actions against climate change have been taken to reduce greenhouse gases (GHGs) emissions at home and abroad. As of 2007, the GHGs emitted from buildings accounted for about 23 % of Korea's total GHGs emission, which is the second largest GHG reduction potential following industry. In this study, we introduced Carbon Zero Building (CZB), which was constructed by the National Institute of Environmental Research to cut down GHGs from buildings in Korea, and evaluated the main applied technologies, the amount of energy load and reduced energy, and economic values for CZB to provide data that could be a basis in the future construction of this kind of carbon-neutral buildings. A total of 66 technologies were applied for this building in order to achieve carbon zero emissions. Applied technologies include 30 energy consumption reduction technologies, 18 energy efficiency technologies, and 5 eco-friendly technologies. Out of total annual energy load ($123.8kWh/m^2$), about 40% of energy load ($49kWh/m^2$) was reduced by using passive technologies such as super insulation and use of high efficiency equipments and the other 60% ($74.8kWh/m^2$) was reduced by using active technologies such as solar voltaic, solar thermal, and geothermal energy. The construction cost of CZB was 1.4 times higher than ordinary buildings. However, if active technologies are excluded, the construction cost is similar to that of ordinary buildings. It was estimated that we could save annually about 102 million won directly from energy saving and about 2.2 million won indirectly from additional saving by the reduction in GHGs and atmospheric pollutants. In terms of carbon, we could reduce 100 ton of $CO_2$ emissions per year. In our Life Cycle Cost (LCC) analysis, the Break Even Point (BEP) for the additional construction cost was estimated to be around 20.6 years.

Assessment of water supply reliability in the Geum River Basin using univariate climate response functions: a case study for changing instreamflow managements (단변량 기후반응함수를 이용한 금강수계 이수안전도 평가: 하천유지유량 관리 변화를 고려한 사례연구)

  • Kim, Daeha;Choi, Si Jung;Jang, Su Hyung;Kang, Dae Hu
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.12
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    • pp.993-1003
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    • 2023
  • Due to the increasing greenhouse gas emissions, the global mean temperature has risen by 1.1℃ compared to pre-industrial levels, and significant changes are expected in functioning of water supply systems. In this study, we assessed impacts of climate change and instreamflow management on water supply reliability in the Geum River basin, Korea. We proposed univariate climate response functions, where mean precipitation and potential evaporation were coupled as an explanatory variable, to assess impacts of climate stress on multiple water supply reliabilities. To this end, natural streamflows were generated in the 19 sub-basins with the conceptual GR6J model. Then, the simulated streamflows were input into the Water Evaluation And Planning (WEAP) model. The dynamic optimization by WEAP allowed us to assess water supply reliability against the 2020 water demand projections. Results showed that when minimizing the water shortage of the entire river basin under the 1991-2020 climate, water supply reliability was lowest in the Bocheongcheon among the sub-basins. In a scenario where the priority of instreamflow maintenance is adjusted to be the same as municipal and industrial water use, water supply reliability in the Bocheongcheon, Chogang, and Nonsancheon sub-basins significantly decreased. The stress tests with 325 sets of climate perturbations showed that water supply reliability in the three sub-basins considerably decreased under all the climate stresses, while the sub-basins connected to large infrastructures did not change significantly. When using the 2021-2050 climate projections with the stress test results, water supply reliability in the Geum River basin was expected to generally improve, but if the priority of instreamflow maintenance is increased, water shortage is expected to worsen in geographically isolated sub-basins. Here, we suggest that the climate response function can be established by a single explanatory variable to assess climate change impacts of many sub-basin's performance simultaneously.

The Analysis of planning methode and case study for Model 'Climate Change Adaptation City' (기후변화 적응도시 모델개발을 위한 계획기법 및 사례 분석)

  • Kim, Jongkon
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.13-19
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    • 2012
  • The Earth's surface temperature still continues to rise, and extreme weather phenomena such as heat waves, drought, and precipitation have been repeated every year. It is reported that international communities attribute the main cause of the Earth's surface temperature rise to the excessive use of the fossil energy. Recently, the damage caused by climate change is getting worse, and the place where we live is suffering the most. Cities have been continuously growing not only meeting the basic functions of human habitation, work and leisure but also being places for various economic and social activities. But Cities, the victims of climate change, have grown only considering human needs and convenience rather than predicting their physical and ecological systems(Albedo effects, urban microclimate, resources and energy of the circulatory system, etc). In other words, the cities offer the cause of the problems of climate change, and even worsen the extreme weather phenomena without coping with them. Therefore, it is urgent priorities to protect the climate, to prevent the causes of the extreme weather phenomena and to enhance the adaptive capacity for the worse weather events. This study is to derive the concept for adapting to these climate changes which can make cities escape from exposure to these climate change impacts and make themselves safer places to live. And it analyzes some European cities and present developing models to implement planning methods. In this study, the concept of the climate adaptive cities will be suggested to prepare the adaptation measures for urban planners, and climate change adaptation models will be presented by analyzing some preliminary cases.

Effect of Climate Change on the Tree-Ring Growth of Pinus koraiensis in Korea (기후변화가 잣나무의 연륜생장에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Lim, Jong Hwan;Chun, Jung Hwa;Park, Ko Eun;Shin, Man Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.105 no.3
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    • pp.351-359
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    • 2016
  • This study was conducted to analyze the effect of climate change on the tree-ring growth of Pinus koraiensis in Korea. Annual tree-ring growth data of P. koraiensis collected by the $5^{th}$ National Forest Inventory were first organized to analyze yearly growth patterns of the species. When tree-ring growth data were analyzed through cluster analysis based on similarity of climatic conditions, five clusters were identified. Yearly growing degree days and standard precipitation index based on daily mean temperature and precipitation data from 1951 to 2010 were calculated by cluster. Using the information, yearly temperature effect index(TEI) and precipitation effect index(PEI) by cluster were estimated to analyze the effect of climatic conditions on the growth of the species. Tree-ring growth estimation equations by cluster were developed by using the product of yearly TEI and PEI as independent variable. The tree-ring growth estimation equations were applied to the climate change scenarios of RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 for predicting the changes in tree-ring growth by cluster of P. koraiensis from 2011 to 2100. The results of this study are expected to provide valuable information necessary for estimating local growth characteristics of P. koraiensis and for predicting changes in tree-ring growth patterns caused by climate change.

Geospatial Assessment of Frost and Freeze Risk in 'Changhowon Hwangdo' Peach (Prunus persica) Trees as Affected by the Projected Winter Warming in South Korea: III. Identifying Freeze Risk Zones in the Future Using High-Definition Climate Scenarios (겨울기온 상승에 따른 복숭아 나무 '장호원황도' 품종의 결과지에 대한 동상해위험 공간분석: III. 고해상도 기후시나리오에 근거한 동해위험의 미래분포)

  • Chung, U-Ran;Kim, Jin-Hee;Kim, Soo-Ock;Seo, Hee-Cheol;Yun, Jin-I.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.221-232
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    • 2009
  • The geographical distribution of freeze risk determines the latitudinal and altitudinal limits and the maximum acreage suitable for fruit production. Any changes in its pattern can affect the policy for climate change adaptation in fruit industry. High-definition digital maps for such applications are not available yet due to uncertainty in the combined responses of temperature and dormancy depth under the future climate scenarios. We applied an empirical freeze risk index, which was derived from the combination of the dormancy depth and threshold temperature inducing freeze damage to dormant buds of 'Changhowon Hwangdo' peach trees, to the high-definition digital climate maps prepared for the current (1971-2000), the near future (2011-2040) and the far future (2071-2100) climate scenarios. According to the geospatial analysis at a landscape scale, both the safe and risky areas will be expanded in the future and some of the major peach cultivation areas may encounter difficulty in safe overwintering due to weakening cold tolerance resulting from insufficient chilling. Our test of this method for the two counties representing the major peach cultivation areas in South Korea demonstrated that the migration of risky areas could be detected at a sub-grid scale. The method presented in this study can contribute significantly to climate change adaptation planning in agriculture as a decision aids tool.