• Title/Summary/Keyword: causal relationship

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Causality change between Korea and other major equity markets

  • Kwon, Tae Yeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.397-409
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    • 2018
  • The world financial markets are inter-linked in ways that varies according to market and time. We examine the causality of change focusing on the Korean market as related to the U.S. (S&P 500), Japan (Nikkei 225), Hong-Kong (HSI), and European (DAX) markets. In order to capture time-varying causality running from and to the Korea stock market, we apply the Granger causality test under a VAR model with a wild bootstrap rolling-window approach. We also propose a new concept of a significant causality ratio to measure the intensity of the Granger causality in each time unit. There are many asymmetric strengths in mutual Granger causal relationships. Moreover, there are cases with significant Granger causal relations only in one direction. The period with the most severe Granger causality both running from and to the KOSPI market is the GFC. The market that formed the two-way Granger causal relationship with the KOSPI market for the longest period is the S&P 500. The HSI and DAX markets have the strongest two-way Granger causal relationship with the KOSPI shortly after 2000, and the Nikkei market had the strongest two-way Granger causal relationship with the KOSPI market before the Asian financial crisis.

Mediating Effect of Psychological Empowerment on the Causal Relationship between High-Performance Work System and Organizational Citizenship Behavior in Social Welfare Organizations

  • Park, Miyoung
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.152-156
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    • 2020
  • The study is to examine the mediating effect of psychological empowerment on the causal relationship between high-performance work system and organizational citizenship behavior. This study collected data from public organizations that are responsible for social welfare provision in Daegu, Gyeongsangbuk-Do, and Pusan in South Korea. This study employs confirmatory factor analysis in Amos 21 to find the discriminant validity of all constructs and regression analysis by Baron and Kenny (1986) to test that psychological empowerment is a mediator of the causal relationship between high-performance work system and organizational citizenship behavior. As the result of the analysis, psychological empowerment has a significant mediating effect on the relationship between high-performance work system and organizational citizenship behavior. The study suggests to the managers in social welfare organizations how they need to enhance organizational citizenship behavior through psychological empowerment themselves.

Pharmaceutical Product Liability and the Burden of Proof (혈액제제 제조물책임 소송과 증명책임 -대법원 2011. 9. 29. 선고 2008다16776 판결과 관련하여-)

  • Moon, Hyeon-Ho
    • The Korean Society of Law and Medicine
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.65-117
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    • 2011
  • This article analyzes the case (2008Da16776) which has the issue how patients have to prove causal relationship when patients claim against pharmaceutical companies alleging that patients were infected with virus due to contaminated blood products. The Supreme court held that: (1) if patients prove that they didn't have symptoms suggesting virus infection before administration of blood products, the virus infection had been confirmed after administration of blood products, and there were significant potential of contamination of the blood products with the virus, the defect in blood products or the negligence of pharmaceutical company in making blood products shall be presumed to cause the infection of the victim. (2) The pharmaceutical companies could reverse the presumption by proving the blood products were not contaminated, but the fact that the victims were treated with the blood products manufactured by other companies or had received blood transfusions is not enough to reverse the presumption. The case is the first decision whether the burden of proof about causal relationship could be reduced in pharmaceutical product liability lawsuit. Hereafter pharmaceutical product liability cases, it would be necessary to reduce the burden of proof about causal relationship in order to make substantive equality between patients and pharmaceutical companies.

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Causal Relationship of Infra, Process and Firm Performance on Supply Chain Quality Management (모기업과 협력기업의 공급망 품질경영 인프라(Infra), 프로세스(Process), 성과(Performance)간 인과관계 연구)

  • Park, Ji-Young;Oh, Soo-Jung;Kim, Soo-Wook
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.464-479
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is that analyzing the causal relationship between Infra, Process and Performance of companies which are executing the Supply Chain Quality Management(SCQM) with their subcontractors and partners. Korean Standards Association(KSA) provides the Supply Chain Quality Management Model and Quality Collaboration Index for 4 years, but a few study has investigated the critical variables and their causal relationship to organizational performance. Therefore we examine the SCQM model and related index and choose the quality, human resource and risk management processes for identifying the path to organizational performance. In addition, exploratory factor analysis is conducted for figuring out the major factors among the 3 processes. Structural Equation Model are successively used for determining which characteristics of the infra and processes are the most critical variables to performance. The data was collected from KSA and composed of 52 companies and 346 their partners. The result shows that risk management process has no significant effect on the organizational performance and pre-production process collaboration.

Analysis of causal relationship among education quality factors using path analysis (경로분석을 이용한 교육품질요인의 인과관계 분석)

  • 이홍우;이진춘
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.72-83
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    • 2003
  • The main purpose of this study was to analyze the causal relationship, in the perspective of Total Quality Management, among the education quality factors, which were suggested in the previous researches, including education leadership, process improvement, educational environment, regional commitment, student performance and satisfaction of education quality. In this study, education quality factors were measured by several measures, and were processed with the most efficient statistical package in the SEM area, AMOS. In order to analyze the causal relationship among the education quality, this study designed the structural equation model with suggested factors and established several the research hypotheses. Also this study found that there was a prominent causality among the education quality factors, such as education leadership, education environment, student performance and satisfaction of education quality.

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Capturing the Short-run and Long-run Causal Behavior of Philippine Stock Market Volatility under Vector Error Correction Environment

  • CAMBA, Abraham C. Jr.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.8
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2020
  • This study investigates the short-run and long-run causal behavior of the Philippine stock market index volatility under vector error correction environment. The variables were tested first for stationarity and then long-run equilibrium relationship. Moreover, an impulse response function was estimated to examine the extent of innovations in the independent variables in explaining the Philippine stock market index volatility. The results reveal that the volatility of the Philippine stock market index exhibit long-run equilibrium relationship with Peso-Dollar exchange rate, London Interbank Offered Rate, and crude oil prices. The short-run dynamics-based VECM estimates indicate that in the short-run, increases (i.e., depreciation) in Peso-Dollar exchange rate cause PSEI volatility to increase. As for the London Interbank Offered Rate, it causes increases in PSEI volatility in the short-run. The adjustment coefficients used with the long-run dynamics validates the presence of unidirectional causal long-run relationship from Peso-Dollar exchange rate, London Interbank Offered Rate, and crude oil prices to PSEI volatility, and bidirectional causal long-run relationship between PSEI volatility and London Interbank Offered Rate. The impulse response functions developed within the VECM framework demonstrate the positive and negative reactions of PSEI volatility to unanticipated Peso-Dollar exchange rate, London Interbank Offered Rate, and crude oil price shocks.

Quantile causality from dollar exchange rate to international oil price (원유가격에 대한 환율의 인과관계 : 비모수 분위수검정 접근)

  • Jeong, Kiho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.361-369
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    • 2017
  • This paper analyzes the causal relationship between dollar exchange rate and international oil price. Although large literature on the relationship has accumulated, results are not unique but diversified. Based on the idea that such diversified results may be due to different causality at different economic status, we considers an approach to test the causal relationship at each quantile. This approach is different from the mean causality analysis widely employed by the existing literature of the causal relationship. In this paper, monthly data from May 1987 to 2013 is used for the causal analysis in which Brent oil price and Major Currencies Dollar Index (MCDI) are considered. The test method is the nonparametric test for causality in quantile suggested by Jeong et al. (2012). The results show that although dollar exchange rate causes oil price in mean, the causal relationship does not exist at most quantiles.

Relationships between Inbound Tourism, Financial Development, and Economic Growth: An Empirical Study of Fujian Province, China

  • An Lin, LIU;Yong Cen, LIU
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.213-222
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    • 2023
  • This paper mainly studies the relationship between financial development, inbound tourism development, and economic growth rate in Fujian Province, China. This study uses the data of real GDP, foreign exchange income from international tourism, and financial interrelations ratio from 1994 to 2019. In the analysis process, the Johansen cointegration test is first used to analyze whether the three have a long-term equilibrium relationship. Then the vector error correction model is established to test the restrictive relationship among the three. Next, the Granger causality test assesses whether the three have a causal relationship. Finally, the contribution rate of the three is analyzed by variance decomposition. The above methods show the following conclusions: first, the three have a long-term equilibrium relationship. Secondly, in the short term, local economic growth is constrained by inbound tourism and financial development. Thirdly, there is a causal relationship between economic growth and inbound tourism in Fujian, while there is a unidirectional causal relationship between financial development and economic growth, financial development, and inbound tourism. Fourthly, the contribution rate of inbound tourism to economic growth fluctuations in Fujian is higher than that of financial development.

Proposition of causal association rule thresholds (인과적 연관성 규칙 평가 기준의 제안)

  • Park, Hee Chang
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1189-1197
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    • 2013
  • Data mining is the process of analyzing a huge database from different perspectives and summarizing it into useful information. One of the well-studied problems in data mining is association rule generation. Association rule mining finds the relationship among several items in massive volume database using the interestingness measures such as support, confidence, lift, etc. Typical applications for this technique include retail market basket analysis, item recommendation systems, cross-selling, customer relationship management, etc. But these interestingness measures cannot be used to establish a causality relationship between antecedent and consequent item sets. This paper propose causal association thresholds to compensate for this problem, and then check the three conditions of interestingness measures. The comparative studies with basic and causal association thresholds are shown by numerical example. The results show that causal association thresholds are better than basic association thresholds.

Causal Perceptions, Coping Patterns and Psychosocial Adaptation in Rheumatoid Arthritis Patients (류마티스 관절염 환자의 원인지각, 대응양상, 사회심리적 적응과의 관계)

  • Jang, Se-Young;Park, Sang-Yeon
    • Journal of muscle and joint health
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.187-202
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    • 2002
  • This study was aim to provide rheumatoid arthritis patients the basic data of development of nursing intervention to help psychosocial adaptation of rheumatoid arthritis patients as exploring the relationship among causal perception, coping pattern, psychosocial adaptation of rheumatoid arthritis. As the results of this study the mean score of causal perception of the subjects was 3.37. The score of the internal-unstable was the highest. which was followed by extra-stable, internal factor, internal-stable, external factor and external-unstable in order among the factor of causal perception. The mean score of coping pattern was 2.64. The type of coping patterns the score of the receptive coping was the highest, which was followed by wishful coping active coping and negative coping in order among the type of coping pattern. The mean score of psychosocial adaptation was 3.28. The subconcept of psychosocial adaptation the score for personal relationship was the highest, which was followed by role function and mental state in order among the psychosocial adaptation. The analysis of the relation among causal perception, coping pattern and psychosocial adaptation showed significant negative correlation between causal perception and psychosocial adaptation(r=-0.3219, P=0.002). The analysis of the relation between the type of coping pattern and psychosocial adaptation showed significant negative correlation between psychosocial adaptation and active coping(r=-0.3210, P=0.002), negative coping(r=-0.2296, P=0.032). Only causal perception(-.36) and period of illness(-.26) effected on the psychosocial adaptation were shown to the negative direction significantly. The psychosocial adaptation was explained the 17% by these two variables. Based on this study results the factor of causal perception and the type of coping pattern of rheumatoid arthritis were shown significant relations between psychosocial adaptation. We suggests that nurses in practice apply to assessing the factor of causal perception of individuals illness and the type of coping patterns when nursing interventions in rheumatoid arthritis patients.

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