• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
• /
• 제12권1호
• /
• pp.5-8
• /
• 1999

Weight records from birth to calving and calving scores of 407 two-year old heifers and weights of their offspring from birth to one year of age were used to study the effects of sire birth weight on maternal traits of their female progeny. The heifers ($G_1$) were Ihe progeny of 81 sires ($G_0$) and were classified into three classes based on their sires' birth weights (High, Medium and Low). The heifers were from three distinct breed-groups and were mated to bulls with medium birth weights within each breed-group to produce the second generation ($G_2$). The data were analyzed using a covariance model. The female progeny of high birth-weight sires were heavier from birth to calving than those sired by medium and low birth-weight bulls. The effect of sire birth weight on calving difficulty scores of their female progeny was not significant. Grand progeny (G2) of low birth-weight sires were lighter at birth than those from high birth-weight sires (p < 0.05) but they did not differ significantly in weaning and yearling weights from the other two Grand progeny groups. The results indicated that using low birth weight sires would not result in an increase in the incidence of dystocia among their female progeny calving at two-year of age and would not have an adverse effect On weaning and yearling weights of their grand progeny.

• 한국주거학회논문집
• /
• 제12권2호
• /
• pp.161-169
• /
• 2001

This study has been performed to analyze association between general housing status and demographic characteristics such as family extension period, total fertility within a family, male birth rates, and birth order among the elderly in Korea. In this study, 183 subjects aged late 60s to 70s were interviewed for their childbearing history under legal marriage and current housing status such as tenure, residence(urban vs rural), and household composition. In this study , average term from the first to the last birth is 11.88 years, and total number of live births is 4.51. The average rate of male firths among live births within a family is 0.532, which is close to data of Korean statistical office in 1995. There were some association of housing status and the fertility; those living in rented units have longer family extension period and rural elderly have higher rate of male children. in addition, there is a significant impact of birth order on tenure. Majority of the first-born subjects were home owners by virtue of bequeath eligibility, and the rate of home owners was 50% higher than the second-born group. Overall in this study, it is recommended that when planning elderly living facilities, service policies be differentiated by both housing & fertility characteristics.

• 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국정보통신학회 2021년도 춘계학술대회
• /
• pp.496-498
• /
• 2021

우리나라는 1980년 이전 높은 출산율을 기반으로 총인구는 지속적으로 증가하여 왔으며, 1980년대 중반 이후 출산율은 급격하게 떨어지면서 인구대체 수준 이하까지 떨어지게 되었다. 지역 내 저출산의 원인은 자발적 거부라기보다는 지역 사회 구조적인 원인을 다각적으로 파악하여 원인을 찾아내는 것이 필요하다. 여러 지역 중 출산율이 매우 낮은 예산 지역을 기준으로 지역 인터넷 뉴스 및 산모들이 많이 참여하는 지역 대표 카페 데이터를 수집하였다. 인구감소, 저출산, 육아 복지 등에 관하여 이슈화 되었던 동시출현단어의 빈도를 분석하여 출산 저해 원인을 분석하였다.

• 가족자원경영과 정책
• /
• 제12권2호
• /
• pp.15-30
• /
• 2008

According to the research taken by the National Statistical Office, the fertility rate of a Korean fertile female is 1.17. This figure is the lowest in the world, and the reduction in the fertility rate over the last 30 years was the biggest in the world. It can be seen as a warning alarm about the effects of a low birth rate and a silver society. Assuming that there are several factors involved in this phenomenon, this study inquired into the attitude towards children, attitude towards nourishing children, attitude towards sex roles and the harmony between the jobs and families of married females, and examined the factors that influence the willingness to give birth. Final 581 copies of the survey questionnaire were used for analysis and the collected data were analysed by SPSS, Pearson's correlation analysis, t-test, ANOVA, and Duncan's Multiple Range Test. Three main conclusions were reached: Firstly, the value variables, such as sex-role attitudes and the preference for work or home, affect the willingness to give birth. Therefore, it can be said that one's values have a significant effect on these variables and the willingness to give birth. Secondly, both working morns and housewives have a strong tendency to give a birth if they are supported on child rearing. Finally, the employment of the married women itself can be a variable that can affect childbirth. In other words, the working hours affect employed married women so as sex-role attitudes, the preference between work and home, ideal number of children, and the income to housewives. Also, even in whole married women, the employment itself can be a major factor of the willingness to have a baby. Therefore, unemployed married women have more of a tendency to have children than employed married women.

• 응용통계연구
• /
• 제28권4호
• /
• pp.685-701
• /
• 2015

한국의 지속적인 저출산은 세계적으로 유례가 없을 정도의 급격한 고령화 속도와 맞물려 국가경쟁력 및 사회보장 시스템을 약화시키는 요인이 되었다. 저출산 문제를 해결하기 위하여 정부에서는 각종 출산장려정책을 실시하고 있으나, 현재까지 저출산에서 벗어나지 못하고 있어 정책이 효과적이지 못하였던 것으로 평가된다. 그러므로 본 연구에서는 보다 효과적인 정책개발의 근간을 마련하기 위하여 조건부 순위별 출산율을 제안하고, 이를 이용하여 한국의 출산정책 효과를 파악하였다. 조건부 순위별 출산율을 사용하면 순위별 출산율을 사용하는 것보다 합계출산율의 변화와 효과를 명확히 산출할 수 있으므로, 다양한 순위별 출산율의 시나리오에 따라 합계출산율의 변화를 비교하였다. 이를 통하여 현재 정부의 셋째 아 출산지원 정책으로 도달할 수 있는 합계출산율 및 둘째 아 또는 첫째 아의 출산지원을 하였을 때 도달할 수 있는 합계출산율을 산출할 수 있었다. 또한 지속적인 저출산으로 빠르게 감소하고 있는 가임여성(15-49세)을 고려하여 합계출산율에 따른 출생아수를 함께 제시하여 실질적인 출생아수의 증가를 유도하는 정책개발에 도움이 될 수 있도록 연구결과를 정리하였다.

• 보건행정학회지
• /
• 제28권3호
• /
• pp.233-239
• /
• 2018

A rapid decrease of total fertility rate to 1.08 in 2005 prompted the Korean government to plan and implement a '5-year plan for ageing society and population policy' starting from 2006. The 1st and 2nd 5-year plans had not shown any discernible impact on the fertility and the 3rd 5-year plan was launched in 2016. However, the fertility rate is going down further. The author reviewed the contents and assessment reports of the fertility promotion plan to suggest ideas for complementing the shortcomings of it. Author defined the major determinants of marriage and child birth as philosophy, politics, sense of value, social norm, culture, healthcare, and education. The plan was examined in view of these determinants. Transformation of Korea from an agricultural society to an industrialized society in a short period of time had brought about changes in most of the determinants of marriage and child birth; in particular philosophy and sense of value. These aspects were not put into consideration in the plan. Author suggested to launch a social education program for the general public to establish a sound philosophy of life, reform the sense of value on family, child birth and education, and cultivate the skill to draw a consensus through discussions on the social issues. A special program to promote marriage of women at the optimum age for child birth was proposed. The government should implement well balanced policy for economic development and labor. Multidisciplinary approach was recommended for these tasks.

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
• /
• 제31권2호
• /
• pp.237-244
• /
• 2018

Objective: Piglet pre-weaning mortality is an important variable indicating the efficacy of farrowing management and animal well-being during lactation. The present study determined the association of newborn traits measured soon after birth with piglet pre-weaning mortality and growth. Methods: In total, 805 piglets born from 57 multiparous sows were investigated. Their blood oxygen saturation, blood glucose and rectal temperature at 24 h after birth (RT24h) were monitored. Birth order, sex, skin color, integrity of the umbilical cord, attempts to stand and birth intervention were monitored. Piglets were weighed at day 0, 7, and 21 to evaluate average daily gain (ADG). Results: Piglet pre-weaning mortality for lactation period was 12.6% and cumulative mortality during the first 7 days of age was 8.6%. A higher proportion of piglets with pale skin color died compared to piglets with normal skin color (26.7% vs 7.7%, p<0.001). A higher (p<0.001) proportion of piglets that attempted to stand after 5 min (38.5%) died compared to piglets that attempted to stand within 1 min (6.3%) after birth. Piglet body weight at birth ($BW_B$), blood glucose and the number of piglets born alive (BA) were correlated with ADG (p<0.05). Piglets with $BW_B$ <1.30 kg had higher (p<0.001) mortality rate than piglets with $BW_B{\geq}1.80 kg$ (19.0% vs 3.3%) and piglets with $BW_B$ 1.30 to 1.79 kg (4.0%). Piglet with RT24h <$37.0^{\circ}C$ had higher (p<0.001) mortality rate (86.2%) than piglets with RT24h >$38.5^{\circ}C$ (3.9%). Conclusion: Low $BW_B$ and low RT24h compromise piglet survival during the lactation period in the tropical conditions. Piglets in the litters with a high BA, low $BW_B$ and low blood glucose have reduced ADG.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
• /
• 제2권4호
• /
• pp.543-548
• /
• 2007

We present a dynamic Bayesian network (DBN) model of a generalized class of nonstationary birth-death processes. The model includes birth and death rate parameters that are randomly selected from a known discrete set of values. We present an on-line algorithm to obtain optimal estimates of the parameters. We provide a simulation of real-time characterization of load traffic estimation using our DBN approach.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• 제3권1호
• /
• pp.235-242
• /
• 1996

When the linear growth birth and death process observed at a set of equidistant time points, McNeil and Weiss (1997) present a method for simultaneously estimating the Malthusian parameter and the sum of the two parameters under wery restricted assumptions using a diffusion approximation. This article suggests a method, which does not require the restrictions given by Weiss, for estimating simultaneously the Malthusian parameter and the sum of the two parameters.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
• /
• 제16권9호
• /
• pp.3951-3955
• /
• 2015

Background: Colorectal cancer mortality has started to decrease in several developed countries in Asia. The current study aimed to present the long-term trends in colorectal cancer mortality in Korea using joinpoint analysis and age-period-cohort modeling. Materials and Methods: The number of colorectal cancer deaths and the population for each 5-year age group were obtained from Statistics Korea for the period 1984-2013 for adults 30 years and older. Joinpoint regression analysis was conducted to determine changes in trends in age-standardized mortality rates, and age-period-cohort analysis was performed to describe trends in colorectal cancer mortality using the intrinsic estimator method. Results: In men, the age-standardized mortality rate for colorectal cancer increased from 1984 to 2003, and the mortality rates stabilized thereafter, whereas the mortality rate of colorectal cancer in women has decreased since 2004. The age-specific mortality rate of colorectal cancer increased in both men and women over time, whereas decreases in the age-specific mortality rate in younger cohorts were observed. In the age-period-cohort analysis, old age and recent period were associated with higher mortality for both men and women. The birth cohort born after 1919 showed reduced colorectal cancer mortality in both men and women. Conclusions: Our study showed a recent decreasing trend in colorectal cancer mortality in women and a stable trend in men after 2003-2004. These changes in colorectal cancer mortality may be attributed to birth cohort effects.