• Title/Summary/Keyword: binomial data

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Heat-Wave Data Analysis based on the Zero-Inflated Regression Models (영-과잉 회귀모형을 활용한 폭염자료분석)

  • Kim, Seong Tae;Park, Man Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.2829-2840
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    • 2018
  • The random variable with an arbitrary value or more is called semi-continuous variable or zero-inflated one in case that its boundary value is more frequently observed than expected. This means the boundary value is likely to be practically observed more than it should be theoretically under certain probability distribution. When the distribution considered is continuous, the variable is defined as semi-continuous and when one of discrete distribution is assumed for the variable, we regard it as zero-inflated. In this study, we introduce the two-part model, which consists of one part for modelling the binary response and the other part for modelling the variable greater than the boundary value. Especially, the zero-inflated regression models are explained by using Poisson distribution and negative binomial distribution. In real data analysis, we employ the zero-inflated regression models to estimate the number of days under extreme heat-wave circumstances during the last 10 years in South Korea. Based on the estimation results, we create prediction maps for the estimated number of days under heat-wave advisory and heat-wave warning by using the universal kriging, which is one of the spatial prediction methods.

Does Social Distance Always Increase Content Performance in Online Distribution Channels? (온라인 유통 채널에서 컨텐츠의 성과는 사회적 거리에 의해 항상 증가하는가? YouTube의 문화별컨텐츠를 중심으로)

  • Son, Jung-Min;Kang, Seong-Ho
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.13 no.8
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    • pp.97-104
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    • 2015
  • Purpose - This study examines the positive impact of the social distance between producers and users of online content, investigating and analyzing the most popular Web content. In addition, it tries to elicit the matching effect that appears when the individuals'cultural background is consistent with social distance. Research design, data, and methodology - We collected and analyzed actual data about 4,981 videos clips on YouTube, looking at six countries in order to verify the content of this study. Based on the results of the data analysis, the study conducted behavioral measurements on popularity, social distance, culture, and user engagement. The unit of analysis was the content and we collected information about the content producers and the content records. We controlled the views, comments, likes, calendar dates, and ages in the empirical models. The data was collected in 2011, with the records coming from South Korea, Japan, China, U.S., German, and France. A total of 4,980 elements were analyzed in the model. The empirical model estimated is the bivariate negative binomial distribution (NBD) model. Results - It turns out that there is a possibility that the matching effect can be diminished by variables that reflect the psychological involvement of user engagement. This study proposes academic and practical implications based on these research results. This research shows the positive effect of social distance between users and producers on the increased performance of the online content. We find the effect of social distance to be a stronger tendency in collectivism. The collectivists follow their sense of friendship and intimacy in their culture and, the social congruence effect can be found there as well. The effect, however, could erode in a social case where users are motivated by strong intrinsic and psychological factors. In addition, user engagement complicates the process of user decision making regarding the information. Conclusions - This study examines how the differential effects of social distance caused by culture could disappear through user commitment as a complicated user motivation. Some potential implications are as follows. First, a firm in the collectivism culture has to communicate based on the social distance. In fact, most online channels do not have a function that indicates the social distance as measured by favorites or subscribers. This function could help increase the performance of the content in online channels, but this increasing effect can only be found in a collectivist culture. Based on this, the firms have to communicate and announce to users the actual social distance between users and producers. Second, firms should develop a system that discovers the social distance and culture and shows these measures to users and producers, since the congruence effect between social distance and culture is found only for low user engagement. The firms can take the advantage of the congruence effect only for the development of the social distance and culture visualized system.

What goes problematic in the Existing Accident Prediction Models and How to Make it Better (전통적 사고예측모형의 한계 및 개선방안 : Hauer 사고예측모형의 소개 및 적용)

  • Han, Sang-Jin;Kim, Kewn-Jung;Oh, Sun-Mi
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.19-29
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    • 2008
  • The main purpose of this study is to introduce Hauer's(2004) approach that overcomes current accident prediction models' limitation and to apply this approach to Korean situation using fatal accident data on motorways. After developing accident prediction models according to this approach, it is found that AADT and vertical grade could improve fitness of the model, whereas a radius of roads is not related to the number of accidents. The advantage of Hauer's approach is to reduce possibility to eliminate critical variables and to keep uncritical variables when we consider many variables to develop accident prediction models.

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Assessing the Impacts of Job insecurity, Job satisfaction and Relationship with customers on Intention of Retention of Employees in Social Enterprises (사회적기업 근로자의 직무불안, 직무만족, 고객과의 관계가 재직 의도에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Eun Jung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.11 no.12
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    • pp.835-843
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    • 2013
  • Despite their social mission, social enterprises work in the changing global economic environment and therefore face to comply with performance objectives. This situation means that human resources management strategy has a crucial role to play. Especially, the challenge in maintaining competitive efficiency depends on achieving a lower level of employee turnover. This study aims to investigate the role of job insecurity, job satisfaction, relationship with customers regarding the intention of retention among social enterprise workers. Data were collected in South Korea from 271 women employees in 36 social enterprises and the binomial logistic regression was used to assess the model hypothesized. As the result, social enterprise employees showed a considerably positive attitude toward the intent to stay their workplace. However, job insecurity appeared to have the strongest negative effect on the intention of retention, whereas job satisfaction and relationship with customers had the positive effects, above and beyond demographic variables and organization variables. The result suggested the human resource management can play a significant role in retaining social enterprise employees by reducing job instability and improving job satisfaction and customers management.

Smoking Rate of Workers according to Employment Status and Industry: 1992-2006 (산업군별 고용형태에 따른 근로자 흡연율 변화 추이: 1992-2006)

  • Kim, Il-Ho;Park, Ki-Soo;Chun, Hee-Ran;Noh, Samuel
    • Korean Journal of Health Education and Promotion
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 2011
  • Objectives: The present study examined whether smoking rate has declined in 1992-2006 and who the high risk groups were on industry classification and employment type. Methods: Data from 91,263 persons aged 25-64 years were analyzed from three rounds of the Social Statistical Surveys of Korea between 1992 and 2006. Industry indicators were divided by the 9th Korean Standard Industrial Classification. Age-adjusted prevalence of smoking was calculated. Prevalence ratios(PR) and differences(PD) were estimated using log-binomial regression analysis. Results: Age-adjusted prevalence of smoking decreased between 1992 and 2006, specially the smoking prevalence of regular employees decreased most. PD in age-adjusted prevalence of smoking were the biggest between regular and daily employees. PR of the temporary employees', daily employees', self-employed persons' in order was wider than that of regular employees. PR increased significantly increased between 1999 and 2006 for those in manufacturing, construction, wholesale & retail trade, service industries. Increases in PR(regular/irregular) for women in service industry were statistically significant. Conclusions: Despite reducing overall cigarette smoking rates in males, the smoking rate was not reduced equally by industry classification and employment type in both genders. More adjustable antismoking policies and consideration of employment type are requested to reduce inequalities in smoking.

A Study on Groundwater Age Dating Methods Using Tritium (삼중수소를 이용한 지하수 연령측정 방법에 관한 연구)

  • 오진석;김선준
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Groundwater Environment
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 1995
  • Areas of Chungyang in Chungcheongnamdo, Cheju island and Georgia in U.S.A. were selected to calculate their groundwater ages and dispersion parameters using tritium. Piston flow model, Completely mixing model and Dispersion binomial model which calculate men residence times, and Dispersion normal model and Dispersion model(C$\_$FF) which calculate mean residence times and dispersion parameters simultaneously were applied. Since the input data, tritium concentrations of rainwaters, lack in part, tritium input function was prepared using the correlation of tritium concentrations of rainwaters of Pohang, Korea and Ottawa, Canada. Similar results of PFM and DBM reflect the intrinsical similarity of two models, assumption of low dispersion. The ages of sites of showing relatively higher tritium concentrations than other sites in the sam, region were not calculated by CMM. Since the calculations of DNM and DM(C$\_$FF/) provide the combination of wide ranges of parameters and groundwater ages, the ranges of dispersion parameters were narrowed down under the assumption that ages calculated by PFM and DBM are correct. Since large variation of tritium concentrations of outflows in a same region may reflect the different characteristics of each groundwater flow regime, using only one specific model on a whole region is not recommended.

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Relationship Between Accidents and Non-Homogeneous Geometrics: Main Line Sections on Interstates (기하구조의 비동질성을 고려한 교통사고와의 관계: 고속도로 본선구간을 중심으로)

  • Park, Min Ho;Noh, Kwan Sub;Kim, Jongmin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.170-178
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    • 2014
  • Until now, several research on the relationship of traffic crash occurrences and geometric had been conducted and revealed that projects of road alignment, geometric improvement and hazardous segment selection reduced the number of accidents and accident severities. However, such variables did not consider the non-homogeneous characteristics of roadway segments due to the difficulty of data collection, which results in under-estimation of the standard error affecting the overall modeling goodness-of-fit. This study highlights the importance of non-homogeneity by looking at the effect of the non-homogeneous geometric variables through the modeling process. The model delivers meaningful results when using some geometric variables without relevant geometrics' variables.

Freeway Crash Frequency Model Development Based on the Classification of Geometric Alignment Type (선형유형 구분을 통한 고속도로 사고빈도모형 개발 연구)

  • Kim, Sang-Youp;Choi, Jai-Sung;Lee, Soo-Beom;Kim, Seong-Min;Cho, Won-Bum;Kim, Yong-Seok
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 2011
  • This paper presents how one can investigate the effects on crash occurrence of freeway geometric design elements including the horizontal, vertical alignment and road environment. At present, the available research results for the most part involve geometric data analysis that are obtained along a relatively long section of freeway, and, because of the long section's diverse geometric conditions, the results tend to miss the specific local geometric impacts on vehicle crashes. In this regard, this research attempts to establish vehicle crash models based on a set of freeway geometric patterns whose crash generating characteristics are identical because they are homogeneous in terms of producing the same vehicle operating speeds, and subsequently their actual relationships are described by providing statistical analysis made in this research. Also each standard is comprised of part of straight, curve and continuous curve. This research has revealed that each type of model has different relation between accident and geometry structure. This research results should be useful for doing more reasonable highway designs and safety audit analysis.

The Effects of Workplace Rest Breaks on Health Problems Related to Long Working Hours and Shift Work among Male Apartment Janitors in Korea

  • Park, Sungjin;Lee, June-Hee;Lee, Wanhyung
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.512-517
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    • 2019
  • Background: Rest breaks at work are reported to reduce fatigue and job stress. Apartment janitors in Korea who perform night shift work and work long hours can be exposed to various health problems (HPs). However, few studies have evaluated relationships between their rest breaks and HPs. This study was conducted to examine the relationships between long working hours, shift work, and insufficient rest breaks and HPs among Korean apartment janitors. Methods: Data on 1,212 selected male apartment janitors were obtained from the 3rd and 4th Korean Working Conditions Surveys. Demographic and occupational characteristics were collected using self-reported questionnaires. Rest breaks at work were classified as "sufficient" or "insufficient." Long working hours were considered as working more than 60 hours per week. Zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) regression was performed to investigate the effects of shift work and long working hours on HPs and the effects of rest breaks on relationships between HPs and long working hours and shift work. Results: Among those with insufficient rest breaks at work, significant associations were found between long working hours and the risk of HPs [odds ratio (OR) = 1.489; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.038-2.136] and work-related HPs (WRHPs) [OR 1.621; 95% CI = 1.156-2.272], and between shift work and HPs [OR = 1.603; 95% CI = 1.084-2.372]. These relationships became nonsignificant when sufficient rest breaks were provided. Conclusion: It is important to provide breaks at work to reduce HPs because of long working hours and shift work among aged workers such as apartment janitors.

A Comparison of Characteristics between Success Group and Failure Group of 1-year Continuous Smoking Abstinence in Young Adult and Middle-aged Male Workers: with Focus on the First-year Analysis of Korean Cross-sectional Survey (청년 및 중년남성 근로자 중 1년 이상 금연 유지 성공군 및 실패군 간 개인적·사회적·환경적 특성 차이 분석: 제6기 국민건강영양조사 1차년도(2013년) 자료를 바탕으로)

  • Lee, Juna;Lee, Insook
    • Research in Community and Public Health Nursing
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.95-105
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: This study examined the characteristics differences associated with 1-year continuous smoking abstinence in Korean young adult and middle-aged male workers. Methods: 'Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES)' is an ongoing surveillance system that assesses the health and nutritional status of Koreans. For a secondary analysis of cross-sectional data from KNHANES VI-1, this study selected 683 Korean male workers as a subpopulation, who were young adult or middle-aged. The subpopulation was composed of success or failure group of 1-year continuous smoking abstinence. Binomial logistic regression analysis was performed. Results: Success group was more likely to be older, live in urban areas, rate their health status as excellent or good, and have ever been diagnosed with hypertension than failure group. Additionally, Success group was less likely to have used electronic cigarettes (e-cigarettes), drink more than once a month, and have been exposed to secondhand smoking in workplace within a week. Conclusion: Developing smoking cessation programs requires consideration of resources in rural areas, promoting self-efficacy, restricting e-cigarettes and drinking, and promoting a smoke-free workplace.