• Title/Summary/Keyword: bilinear time series

Search Result 20, Processing Time 0.019 seconds

Test of Homogeneity for Panel Bilinear Time Series Model (패널 중선형 시계열 모형의 동질성 검정)

  • Lee, ShinHyung;Kim, SunWoo;Lee, SungDuck
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.26 no.3
    • /
    • pp.521-529
    • /
    • 2013
  • The acceptance of the test of the homogeneity for panel time series models allows for the pooling of the series to achieve parsimony. In this paper, we introduce a panel bilinear time series model as well as derive the stationary condition and the limiting distribution of the test statistic of the homogeneity test for the model. For the applications study, we use Korea Mumps data from January 2001 to December 2008. Finally, we perform test of homogeneity for the panel data with 8 independent bilinear time series.

Asymptotic Distribution of Sample Autocorrelation Function for the First-order Bilinear Time Series Model

  • Kim, Won-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • v.19 no.2
    • /
    • pp.139-144
    • /
    • 1990
  • For the first-order bilinear time series model $X_t = aX_{t-1} + e_i + be_{t-1}X_{t-1}$ where ${e_i}$ is a sequence of independent normal random variables with mean 0 and variance $\sigma^2$, the asymptotic distribution of sample autocarrelation function is obtained and shown to follow a normal distribution. The variance of the asymptotic distribution is of a complicated form and hence a bootstrap estimate of the variance is proposed for large sample inference. This result can be used to distinguish between different bilinear models.

  • PDF

STATIONARY $\beta-MIXING$ FOR SUBDIAGONAL BILINEAR TIME SERIES

  • Lee Oe-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • v.35 no.1
    • /
    • pp.79-90
    • /
    • 2006
  • We consider the subdiagonal bilinear model and ARMA model with subdiagonal bilinear errors. Sufficient conditions for geometric ergodicity of associated Markov chains are derived by using results on generalized random coefficient autoregressive models and then strict stationarity and ,a-mixing property with exponential decay rates for given processes are obtained.

Bayes Inference for the Spatial Bilinear Time Series Model with Application to Epidemic Data

  • Lee, Sung-Duck;Kim, Duk-Ki
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.25 no.4
    • /
    • pp.641-650
    • /
    • 2012
  • Spatial time series data can be viewed as a set of time series simultaneously collected at a number of spatial locations. This paper studies Bayesian inferences in a spatial time bilinear model with a Gibbs sampling algorithm to overcome problems in the numerical analysis techniques of a spatial time series model. For illustration, the data set of mumps cases reported from the Korea Center for Disease Control and Prevention monthly over the years 2001~2009 are selected for analysis.

News Impact Curves of Volatility for Asymmetric GARCH via LASSO (LASSO를 이용한 비대칭 GARCH 모형의 변동성 커브)

  • Yoon, J.E.;Lee, J.W.;Hwang, S.Y.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.27 no.1
    • /
    • pp.159-168
    • /
    • 2014
  • The news impact curve(NIC) originally proposed by Engle and Ng (1993) is a graphical representation of volatility for financial time series. The NIC is a simple but a powerful tool for identifying variability of a given time series. It is noted that the NIC is suited to symmetric volatility. Recently a lot of attention has been paid to asymmetric volatility models and therefore asymmetric version of the NIC would be useful in the field of financial time series. In this article, we propose to incorporate LASSO in constructing asymmetric NICs based on asymmetric GARCH models. In particular, bilinear GARCH models are considered and illustrated via KOSDAQ data.

CONSISTENT AND ASYMPTOTICALLY NORMAL ESTIMATORS FOR PERIODIC BILINEAR MODELS

  • Bibi, Abdelouahab;Gautier, Antony
    • Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
    • /
    • v.47 no.5
    • /
    • pp.889-905
    • /
    • 2010
  • In this paper, a distribution free approach to the parameter estimation of a simple bilinear model with periodic coefficients is presented. The proposed method relies on minimum distance estimator based on the autocovariances of the squared process. Consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimator, as well as hypotheses testing, are derived. Numerical experiments on simulated data sets are presented to highlight the theoretical results.

AUTOCORRELATION FUNCTION STRUCTURE OF BILINEAR TIME SREIES MODELS

  • Kim, Won-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • v.21 no.1
    • /
    • pp.47-58
    • /
    • 1992
  • The autocorrelation function structures of bilinear time series model BL(p, q, r, s), $r \geq s$ are obtained and shown to be analogous to those of ARMA(p, l), l=max(q, s). Simulation studies are performed to investigate the adequacy of Akaike information criteria for identification between ARMA(p, l) and BL(p, q, r, s) models and for determination of orders of BL(p, q, r, s) models. It is suggested that the model of having minimum Akaike information criteria is selected for a suitable model.

  • PDF

Satellite communication Equalizer Using Complex Bilinear Recurrent Neural Network (C-BLRNN을 이용한 위성채널 등화기)

  • 박동철;정태균
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
    • /
    • v.25 no.3A
    • /
    • pp.375-382
    • /
    • 2000
  • Equalization of satellite communication using Complex-Bilinear Recurrent Neural Network(C-BLRNN) is proposed in this pater. Since the BLRNN is based on the bilinear polynomial and it has been more effectively used in modeling highly nonlinear systems with time-series characteristics than multi-layer perception type neural networks(MLPNN) , it can be applied to satellite equalizer. the proposed C-BLRNN based equalizer for M-PSK with a channel model is compared with Volterra filter Equalizer, DFE, and conventional Complex MLPNN Equlizer. The results show that the proposed C-BLRNN based equalizer gives very favorable results in both of MSE and BER criteria over other equalizers.

  • PDF

The Comparison of Parameter Estimation and Prediction Methods for STBL Model

  • Kim, Duk-Gi;Kim, Sung-Soo;Lee, Chan-Hee;Lee, Keon-Myung;Lee, Sung-Duck
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.18 no.1
    • /
    • pp.17-29
    • /
    • 2007
  • The major purpose of this article is the comparison of estimation method with Newton-Raphson, Kalman-filter, and prediction method with Kalman prediction. Conditional expectation in space time bilinear(STBL) model, which is a very powerful and parsimonious nonlinear time-series model for the space time series data can be viewed as a set of time series collected simultaneously at a number of spatial locations and time points, and which have appeared in a important applications areas: geography, geology, natural resources, ecology, epidemiology, etc.

  • PDF

Nonlinearities and Forecasting in the Economic Time Series

  • Lee, Woo-Rhee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.10 no.3
    • /
    • pp.931-954
    • /
    • 2003
  • It is widely recognized that economic time series involved not only the linearities but also the non-linearities. In this paper, when the economic time series data have the nonlinear characteristics we propose the forecasts method using combinations of both forecasts from linear and nonlinear models. In empirical study, we compare the forecasting performance of 4 exchange rates models(AR, GARCH, AR+GARCH, Bilinear model) and combination of these forecasts for dairly Won/Dollar exchange rates returns. The combination method is selected by the estimated individual forecast errors using Monte Carlo simulations. And this study shows that the combined forecasts using unrestricted least squares method is performed substantially better than any other combined forecasts or individual forecasts.