• Title/Summary/Keyword: bias of CVM

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Consequentiality and Hypothetical Bias in Contingent Valuation Method: An Experimental Investigation (가상가치평가법에서의 결과수렴성과 가상편의)

  • Lee, Jinkwon;Hwang, Uk
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.1-22
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    • 2020
  • While contingent valuation method (CVM) has been widely used for non-market valuations, it has been argued that it may suffer from hypothetical bias. However, if CVM respondents believe that their responses could affect the real consequence, the method could satisfy consequentiality. If a CVM satisfies a sufficiently high consequentiality, hypothetical bias could disappear as shown by some previous studies. In this study, we experimentally compare the willingness to pay (WTP) for donation of a relatively high consequentiality group with that of a relatively low consequentiality group for Korean university students. We find that both the existence probability and the size of hypothetical bias are lower for the high consequentiality group. This result implies that a CVM for a real policy including environmental policies could be free from hypothetical bias because its consequentiality would be relatively high, and warrants a future field study investigating the effect of consequentiality on hypothetical bias.

Detecting Protest Responses (지불거부응답의 판별)

  • OH, Hyungna
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.135-168
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    • 2012
  • This study analyzes ways to detect protest responses (hereafter, PR zero-bid) in the contingent valuation method (CVM). In order to distinguish PR zero-bids from true zero-bids (non-PR zero bids), this study adopts the concept of the implicit willingness to pay employing the Hicksian compensating surplus and the Taylor's 1st order approximation. When a respondent proposes a zero-bid (i.e., WTP=0) and chooses a PR filtering item to indicate that her implicit WTP is not necessary zero, her response is identified as a PR zero bid. PR filtering items falling into the PR zero bids category include the uncertainty of information, distrust in the government and project achievement, disagreement to project plans, discontent with the fairness of public works and their payment method and animosity against the CVM itself. The empirical analysis shows that PR zero bids take place systematically in particular respondent groups: respondents who have never used similar facilities before nor plans to use the facility provided by the public project, the employed, and low income groups. In conclusion, the study suggests that a CVM questionnaire needs to be designed carefully to minimize problems associated with PR zero bids and the potential risks of having sample selection bias should be concerned.

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Issues in Applying CV Methods to the Preliminary Feasibility Test (예비타당성조사 적용 CVM의 분석체계와 개선과제)

  • Eom, Young Sook;Kwon, Oh-Sang;Shin, Youngchul
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.595-628
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    • 2011
  • This study investigates the issues and suggests reform measures in applying CV methods to the Korea Development Institute's (KDI's) Preliminary Feasibility Test (PFT) of public projects. Most public projects on culture, science and environment evaluated under the PFT system belong to the category of "nonstandard" projects whose outputs are non-marketed, and CV is currently the main tool used for their benefit estimation. A careful discussion and investigation is recommended for the selection of target population, payment vehicle, and number of payment times. Operating expert reviews, focus group interviews, and pre-tests is highly recommended to reduce the potential bias involved in the CV studies. A single or double bounded dichotomous choice format is the most popular design of questionnaire, but we identify several undissolved issues in designing and implementing the format. Some other forms of inducing WTPs may still deserve our consideration. Various specifications of the WTP function need to be tried and tested based on their stability, in particular. Employing a nonparametric approach is also recommended. Treatments of 0 or negative WTPs and protest bids are shown to be the most serious issues that affect the estimation results significantly. We review diverse measures of handling those issues and summarize their advantages and shortcomings.

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A Study on the Estimation of the Value of Tourists' WTP by Payment Method: Focusing on the Gangwon State

  • Hee-Won Yang;Chang-Young Jeon;O-Young Kwon
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.251-269
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - This study estimated the value of tourists' willingness to pay (WTP) to develop and promote regional tourism and minimize external effects using the contingent valuation method (CVM). Design/methodology/approach - To reduce exaggeration bias, a major issue of CVM, a pilot survey was conducted to categorize bid value. Additionally, the payment method was divided into a tourism fund and tourism taxes, and the respondents' answers were reaffirmed in two stages. Findings - As a result of the analysis, the tourists' WTP was estimated to be 5,132 KRW (3.60 USD) for the tourism fund and 1,036 KRW (0.73 USD) for tourism taxes. Research implications or Originality - The results of this study provide implications for securing financial resources and establishing policies in Gangwon province, which promotes special self-governing.

Comparative Analysis of Calculation Methods on Willingness to Pay for Introduction of Emergency-call System (교통사고 긴급통보시스템 도입을 위한 지불의사액 산정방안 비교분석)

  • Lee, Yoonjung;Do, Myungsik;Jang, Taek young;Han, Daeseok
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.50-59
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    • 2015
  • This study aimed at suggesting Willingness To Pay (WTP) for introduction of the Traffic Accident emergency Call (TAC) system by using Contingent Valuation Method (CVM) which is a general valuation method. As the method, this study suggested a WTP estimation method of the TAC system with the double-bound dichotomous choice model. In previous studies, the data are processed differently according to the type of questions and analysis models used for the calculation of willingness to pay. Therefore, we re-organized the model by the cases using the truncated data sets, and showed the difference in WTPs. The dataset was developed by more than 500 questionnaire obtained from online and offline survey with the consideration of composition ratio by age group referring housing census in 2010 to mitigate regional bias of samples. At last, this study applied various statistical methods, survival analysis, multiple regression, and Tobit model for better interpretation of the questionnaires.

Estimation of Willingness to Pay for Long-Term Care Insurance Using the Contingent Valuation Method (조건부가치측정법을 이용한 노인장기요양보험에 대한 지불의사금액 추정)

  • Lee, Tae-Jin;Lee, Sue-Hyung
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.95-116
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    • 2006
  • According to rapid increase of the population of senior citizens, there has been growing concern of Long-Tenn Care(LTC) services recently. Long-Tenn Care services, however, haven't been established systematically in Korea and the supply of LTC services is not sufficient despite the increase in the current social demand. This study aims to estimate the 'Willingness to Pay(WTP)' for LTC insurance which the government plans to introduce by means of social insurance, using Contingent Valuation Method(CYM). In addition, this study analyzes the factors affecting WTP for LTC insurance. An interview survey was carried out to derive WTP for LTC from 450 people who lived in Seoul aged 20 and above during the period from 16th to 21st of June 2003. Double-Bounded Dichotomous Choice Method was applied among several CVMs available to estimate both use value and no-use value of goods. There was pilot survey carried out prior to the main survey. The results show that the average monthly. WTP for LTC provided in home and residential setting is 18,192Won and 19,293Won, respectively. In the case of home care, WTP goes higher depending on reliability of LTC insurance policy and need for LTC insurance, as well as marital status, education and average monthly income. On the contrary, WTP is conversely affected by higher age and higher bids. In the case of institutional care, the factors affecting WTP are similar to those of home care, except age. This study followed NOAA's suggestions generally and the value derived through survey could be reliable. However, there can be the least bias in the process of survey because the CVM should be used under the supposed circumstances. Despite those limitations, it can be concluded that the amount the citizens are willing to pay for LTC is high enough to meet the costs needed to provide LTC.

Nonparametric Test of Net Economic Benefits by Open-Ended and Closed-Ended Contingent Valuations : An Application to Downhill Skiing in Muju, Korea (개방형(開放型)과 폐쇄형질문(閉鎖型質問)에 의한 Contingent Valuation의 순경제적(純經濟的) 가치평가(價値評價)에 대한 비모수적검정(非母數的檢定) : 무주리조트 스키장의 사례(事例))

  • Han, Sang Yoel;Choi, Kwan;Colletti, Joe P.
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.86 no.1
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 1997
  • The contingent valuation method(CVM) has been used to evaluate the economic value of nonmarket goods such as forest recreation. There are two commonly used CVM questionnaire formats: open-ended and closed-ended. This study evaluates the net economic value associated with day use downhill skiing, using CVM. A random, on-site survey of skiers in Muju, Korea generated the value estimates. In this paper a nonparametric test is introduced to find whether the difference between value estimates from open-ended and closed-ended formats are significantly different because the distributions of WTPs are non-normally distributed. The results show that the net economic benefits of a skier in Muju varies from \15,131 to \25,332. The closed-ended values were 1.15 to 1.67 times as large as the open-ended values, depending on the model specifications. In nonparametric test the mean WTPs of the open-ended and close-ended applications are significantly different. Its reason may be that closed-ended can be more reducing the incentive for strategic behavior than open-ended question. However, we cannot conclude that the closed-ended method is superior to the open-ended method.

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A Basic Study on the Estimating the Value of Sand Beach using amenities (어메니티요소를 활용한 백사장 가치평가의 기초적 연구)

  • Shin, Bum-Shick;Kim, Kyu-Han
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.373-380
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    • 2012
  • The sandy beach along the east coast of Korea offers beautiful scenery with high-quality sand for leisure, and is also famous for the white-sand and pine-tree which is an important scenic resource. Furthermore, the sandy beach helps to maintain natural environment of the costal area and functionates as a disaster prevention system against high waves. There are two major value evaluation methods, Travel Cost Method and Contingent Valuation Method, to assess the value of coastal sandy beach. Contingent Valuation Method is considered to be more appropriate for simultaneous evaluation on the usefulness and the uselessness of the beach. But in order to apply Contingent Valuation Method to coastal sandy beach evaluation, close examination and investigation on the potential bias, such as on questionnaires, surveys and replies, are required. In this study, the characteristic of primary amenity of sandy beach users is investigated, in prior to evaluating the usefulness and the uselessness of the beach measured by contingent valuation method. The characteristic of amenity on major sandy beaches on the east coast of Korea is studied and compared by diverse value evaluation methods.

Economic Feasibility Analysis of Developing Marine Environmental Risk Assessment and Management Technology (해양환경 위해성 평가 및 관리 기술개발사업의 경제성 분석)

  • Park, Sun-Young;Nam, Jung-Ho;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.20-40
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    • 2013
  • A project of developing marine environmental risk assesment and management technology was proposed to improve the level of marine environmental management research. This paper attempts to measure the non-market benefits of the project. To this end, the dichotomous choice contingent valuation method is used. In particular, recently proposed one and one-half bounded model is applied. The model can reduce the potential for response bias comparing to the double bounded model while maintaining much of its efficiency. Moreover, in order to deal with zero WTP observations, a spike model is adjusted for our data. A survey of randomly selected 600 households was implemented and the respondents were asked in person-to-person interviews about how they would be willing to pay for implementing the project. Respondents overall accepted the contingent market and were willing to contribute a significant amount (2,663 won), on average, per household per year. The aggregate value of the project in the nation amounts to approximately 46.3 billion won per year. The figure 2.16 of cost-benefit ratio shows that economic validity of this technical development.

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Study on Amenity and Economical Efficiency of Multi-functionality on the Grassland (초지형 축산의 어메니티 및 경제성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Cheon, D.W.;Lee, S.Y.;Park, M.S.;Park, H.S.;Hwang, K.J.;Yun, S.H.;Ko, M.S.
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Grassland and Forage Science
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.297-312
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    • 2007
  • This study is conducted to evaluate economical value of Jeju grassland and validity of its preservation, and draw up several measures to support. To measure its economical value, this study examined its environmental value and social and cultural value. For environmental value, this study used replacement method while it applied CVM method, a widely used method, to assess social and cultural value and two-level two-best choice selection method, which ask questions by assuming virtual circumstances to avoid reflecting some biased opinions. Jeju grassland has multiple functions-environmental functions such as preventing soil corrosion and flood, handling animal excrement, and purifying air, and social and cultural functions such as promoting physical and mental health and providing recreation places. From the results of the feasibility study, Jeju grassland's annual multiple functions are assessed to have a total $397,115{\sim}418,995$ million won worth. In addition, it is found that Jeju visitors recognize Jeju grassland for its functions to contribute to public interests. That is, they think it can provide attractive views and educational and recreational places and promote emotional development. Especially, many people presented their ideas that it be continuously preserved since it is worthwhile for us and our next generations. To preserve grassland's cultural resource, which create a huge economic value like this, the Government has to support a certain amount of financial aid for turning to a better grassland environment and its maintenance to realize environment-friendly livestock farming on Jeju Island and promote its tourism industry and consequently, add more value to Jeju.