• Title/Summary/Keyword: bayesian approach

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Utilizing Visual Information for Non-contact Predicting Method of Friction Coefficient (마찰계수의 비접촉 추정을 위한 영상정보 활용방법)

  • Kim, Doo-Gyu;Kim, Ja-Young;Lee, Ji-Hong;Choi, Dong-Geol;Kweon, In-So
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.28-34
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we proposed an algorithm for utilizing visual information for non-contact predicting method of friction coefficient. Coefficient of friction is very important in driving on road and traversing over obstacle. Our algorithm is based on terrain classification for visual image. The proposed method, non-contacting approach, has advantage over other methods that extract material characteristic of road by sensors contacting road surface. This method is composed of learning group(experiment, grouping material) and predicting friction coefficient group(Bayesian classification prediction function). Every group include previous work of vision. Advantage of our algorithm before entering such terrain can be very useful for avoiding slippery areas. We make experiment on measurement of friction coefficient of terrain. This result is utilized real friction coefficient as prediction method. We show error between real friction coefficient and predicted friction coefficient for performance evaluation of our algorithm.

Comparison of imputation methods for item nonresponses in a panel study (패널자료에서의 항목무응답 대체 방법 비교)

  • Lee, Hyejung;Song, Juwon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.377-390
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    • 2017
  • When conducting a survey, item nonresponse occurs if the respondent does not respond to some items. Since analysis based only on completely observed data may cause biased results, imputation is often conducted to analyze data in its complete form. The panel study is a survey method that examines changes of responses over time. In panel studies, there has been a preference for using information from response values of previous waves when the imputation of item nonresponses is performed; however, limited research has been conducted to support this preference. Therefore, this study compares the performance of imputation methods according to whether or not information from previous waves is utilized in the panel study. Among imputation methods that utilize information from previous responses, we consider ratio imputation, imputation based on the linear mixed model, and imputation based on the Bayesian linear mixed model approach. We compare the results from these methods against the results of methods that do not use information from previous responses, such as mean imputation and hot deck imputation. Simulation results show that imputation based on the Bayesian linear mixed model performs best and yields small biases and high coverage rates of the 95% confidence interval even at higher nonresponse rates.

Derivation of Flood Frequency Curve with Uncertainty of Rainfall and Rainfall-Runoff Model (강우 및 강우-유출 모형의 불확실성을 고려한 홍수빈도곡선 유도)

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Jang-Gyeong;Park, Sae-Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.59-71
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    • 2013
  • The lack of sufficient flood data being kept across Korea has made it difficult to assess reliable estimates of the design flood while relatively sufficient rainfall data are available. In this regard, a rainfall simulation based derivation technique of flood frequency curve has been proposed in some of studies. The main issues in deriving the flood frequency curve is to develop the rainfall simulation model that is able to effectively reproduce extreme rainfall. Also the rainfall-runoff modeling that can convey uncertainties associated with model parameters needs to be developed. This study proposes a systematic approach to fully consider rainfallrunoff related uncertainties by coupling a piecewise Kernel-Pareto based multisite daily rainfall generation model and Bayesian HEC-1 model. The proposed model was applied to generate runoff ensemble at Daechung Dam watershed, and the flood frequency curve was successfully derived. It was confirmed that the proposed model is very promising in estimating design floods given a rigorous comparison with existing approaches.

Fault Localization for Self-Managing Based on Bayesian Network (베이지안 네트워크 기반에 자가관리를 위한 결함 지역화)

  • Piao, Shun-Shan;Park, Jeong-Min;Lee, Eun-Seok
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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    • v.15B no.2
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    • pp.137-146
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    • 2008
  • Fault localization plays a significant role in enormous distributed system because it can identify root cause of observed faults automatically, supporting self-managing which remains an open topic in managing and controlling complex distributed systems to improve system reliability. Although many Artificial Intelligent techniques have been introduced in support of fault localization in recent research especially in increasing complex ubiquitous environment, the provided functions such as diagnosis and prediction are limited. In this paper, we propose fault localization for self-managing in performance evaluation in order to improve system reliability via learning and analyzing real-time streams of system performance events. We use probabilistic reasoning functions based on the basic Bayes' rule to provide effective mechanism for managing and evaluating system performance parameters automatically, and hence the system reliability is improved. Moreover, due to large number of considered factors in diverse and complex fault reasoning domains, we develop an efficient method which extracts relevant parameters having high relationships with observing problems and ranks them orderly. The selected node ordering lists will be used in network modeling, and hence improving learning efficiency. Using the approach enables us to diagnose the most probable causal factor with responsibility for the underlying performance problems and predict system situation to avoid potential abnormities via posting treatments or pretreatments respectively. The experimental application of system performance analysis by using the proposed approach and various estimations on efficiency and accuracy show that the availability of the proposed approach in performance evaluation domain is optimistic.

Quantitative separation of impacting factors to runoff variation using hydrological model and hydrological sensitivity analysis (수문모형과 수문학적 민감도분석을 이용한 유량변동 요인의 정량적 분리)

  • Kim, Hyeong Bae;Kim, Sang Ug;Lee, Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.139-153
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    • 2017
  • The variation in runoff due to global climate change and urbanization should be identified quantitatively because these two factors have been significantly accelerated during the last three decades in South Korea. However, only a few research to analyze the impacts due to two factors over different time scales can be found. Therefore, in this study, the hydrological model based approach and the hydrological sensitivity approach were used to separate relative impacts by two factors on monthly, seasonal, and annual time scales at the Soyang River upper basin and the Seom River basin in South Korea. The 3 techniques such as the double mass curve method, the Pettitt's test, and the BCP analysis were performed to detect change point occurred by abrupt change in the collected observed runoff. After detection of change ponts, SWAT models calibrated on the natural periods were used to calculate the changes due to human activities. Also, 6 Budyko based methods were auxiliary to verify the results from hydrological based approach.

Design of a User Location Prediction Algorithm Using the Cache Scheme (캐시 기법을 이용한 위치 예측 알고리즘 설계)

  • Son, Byoung-Hee;Kim, Sang-Hee;Nahm, Eui-Seok;Kim, Hag-Bae
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.32 no.6B
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    • pp.375-381
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    • 2007
  • This paper focuses on the prediction algorithm among the context-awareness technologies. With a representative algorithm, Bayesian Networks, it is difficult to realize a context-aware as well as to decrease process time in real-time environment. Moreover, it is also hard to be sure about the accuracy and reliability of prediction. One of the simplest algorithms is the sequential matching algorithm. We use it by adding the proposed Cache Scheme. It is adequate for a context-aware service adapting user's habit and reducing the processing time by average 48.7% in this paper. Thus, we propose a design method of user location prediction algorithm that uses sequential matching with the cache scheme by taking user's habit or behavior into consideration. The novel approach will be dealt in a different way compared to the conventional prediction algorithm.

A User Adaptation Method for Hand Shape Recognition Using Wrist-Mounted Camera (손목 부착형 카메라를 이용한 손 모양 인식에서의 사용자 적응 방법)

  • Park, Hyun;Shi, Hyo-Seok;Kim, Heon-Hui;Park, Kwang-Hyun
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.805-814
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    • 2013
  • This paper proposes a robust hand segmentation method using view-invariant characteristic of a wrist-mounted camera, and deals with a hand shape recognition system based on segmented hand information. We actively utilize the advantage of the proposed camera device that provides view-invariant images physically, and segment hand region using a Bayesian rule based on adaptive histograms. We construct HSV histograms from RGB histograms, and update HSV histograms using hand region information from a current image. We also propose a user adaptation method by which hand models gradually approach user-dependent models from user-independent models as the user uses the system. The proposed method was evaluated using 16 Korean manual alphabet, and we obtained increases of 27.91% in recognition success rate.

MOnCa2: High-Level Context Reasoning Framework based on User Travel Behavior Recognition and Route Prediction for Intelligent Smartphone Applications (MOnCa2: 지능형 스마트폰 어플리케이션을 위한 사용자 이동 행위 인지와 경로 예측 기반의 고수준 콘텍스트 추론 프레임워크)

  • Kim, Je-Min;Park, Young-Tack
    • Journal of KIISE
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.295-306
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    • 2015
  • MOnCa2 is a framework for building intelligent smartphone applications based on smartphone sensors and ontology reasoning. In previous studies, MOnCa determined and inferred user situations based on sensor values represented by ontology instances. When this approach is applied, recognizing user space information or objects in user surroundings is possible, whereas determining the user's physical context (travel behavior, travel destination) is impossible. In this paper, MOnCa2 is used to build recognition models for travel behavior and routes using smartphone sensors to analyze the user's physical context, infer basic context regarding the user's travel behavior and routes by adapting these models, and generate high-level context by applying ontology reasoning to the basic context for creating intelligent applications. This paper is focused on approaches that are able to recognize the user's travel behavior using smartphone accelerometers, predict personal routes and destinations using GPS signals, and infer high-level context by applying realization.

Bayesian Model Selection for Linkage Analyses: Considering Collinear Predictors (연관분석을 위한 베이지안 모형 선택: 상호상관성 변수를 중심으로)

  • Suh, Young-Ju
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.533-541
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    • 2005
  • We identify the correct chromosome and locate the corresponding markers close to the QTL in the linkage analysis of a quantitative trait by using the SSVS method. We consider several markers linked to the QTL, as well as to each oyher and thus the i.b.d. values at these loci generate collinear predictors to be evaluated when using the SSVS approach. The results on considering only closely linked markers to two QTL simultaneously showed clear evidence in favor of the closest marker to the QTL considered over other markers. The results of the analysis of collinear markers with SSVS showeed high concordance to those obtained using traditional multiple regression. We conclude based on this simulation study that the SSVS is quite useful to identify linkage with multiple linked markers simultaneously for a complex quantitative trait.

Particle filter for Correction of GPS location data of a mobile robot (이동로봇의 GPS위치 정보 보정을 위한 파티클 필터 방법)

  • Noh, Sung-Woo;Kim, Tae-Gyun;Ko, Nak-Yong;Bae, Young-Chul
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.381-389
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    • 2012
  • This paper proposes a method which corrects location data of GPS for navigation of outdoor mobile robot. The method uses a Bayesian filter approach called the particle filter(PF). The method iterates two procedures: prediction and correction. The prediction procedure calculates robot location based on translational and rotational velocity data given by the robot command. It incorporates uncertainty into the predicted robot location by adding uncertainty to translational and rotational velocity command. Using the sensor characteristics of the GPS, the belief that a particle assumes true location of the robot is calculated. The resampling from the particles based on the belief constitutes the correction procedure. Since usual GPS data includes abrupt and random noise, the robot motion command based on the GPS data suffers from sudden and unexpected change, resulting in jerky robot motion. The PF reduces corruption on the GPS data and prevents unexpected location error. The proposed method is used for navigation of a mobile robot in the 2011 Robot Outdoor Navigation Competition, which was held at Gwangju on the 16-th August 2011. The method restricted the robot location error below 0.5m along the navigation of 300m length.