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http://dx.doi.org/10.3741/JKWRA.2013.46.1.59

Derivation of Flood Frequency Curve with Uncertainty of Rainfall and Rainfall-Runoff Model  

Kwon, Hyun-Han (Department of Civil Engineering, Chonbuk National University)
Kim, Jang-Gyeong (Department of Civil Engineering, Chonbuk National University)
Park, Sae-Hoon (Water supply & sewerage team, KISTEC)
Publication Information
Journal of Korea Water Resources Association / v.46, no.1, 2013 , pp. 59-71 More about this Journal
Abstract
The lack of sufficient flood data being kept across Korea has made it difficult to assess reliable estimates of the design flood while relatively sufficient rainfall data are available. In this regard, a rainfall simulation based derivation technique of flood frequency curve has been proposed in some of studies. The main issues in deriving the flood frequency curve is to develop the rainfall simulation model that is able to effectively reproduce extreme rainfall. Also the rainfall-runoff modeling that can convey uncertainties associated with model parameters needs to be developed. This study proposes a systematic approach to fully consider rainfallrunoff related uncertainties by coupling a piecewise Kernel-Pareto based multisite daily rainfall generation model and Bayesian HEC-1 model. The proposed model was applied to generate runoff ensemble at Daechung Dam watershed, and the flood frequency curve was successfully derived. It was confirmed that the proposed model is very promising in estimating design floods given a rigorous comparison with existing approaches.
Keywords
rainfall simulation; uncertainty analysis; flood frequency curve; rainfall-runoff simulation;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 3  (Citation Analysis)
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