• 제목/요약/키워드: basic event

검색결과 414건 처리시간 0.029초

Computer-Aided Decision Analysis for Improvement of System Reliability

  • Ohm, Tai-Won
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
    • /
    • 제2권4호
    • /
    • pp.91-102
    • /
    • 2000
  • Nowadays, every kind of system is changed so complex and enormous, it is necessary to assure system reliability, product liability and safety. Fault tree analysis(FTA) is a reliability/safety design analysis technique which starts from consideration of system failure effect, referred to as “top event”, and proceeds by determining how these can be caused by single or combined lower level failures or events. So in fault tree analysis, it is important to find the combination of events which affect system failure. Minimal cut sets(MCS) and minimal path sets(MPS) are used in this process. FTA-I computer program is developed which calculates MCS and MPS in terms of Gw-Basic computer language considering Fussell's algorithm. FTA-II computer program which analyzes importance and function cost of VE consists. of five programs as follows : (l) Structural importance of basic event, (2) Structural probability importance of basic event, (3) Structural criticality importance of basic event, (4) Cost-Failure importance of basic event, (5) VE function cost analysis for importance of basic event. In this study, a method of initiation such as failure, function and cost in FTA is suggested, and especially the priority rank which is calculated by computer-aided decision analysis program developed in this study can be used in decision making determining the most important basic event under various conditions. Also the priority rank can be available for the case which selects system component in FMEA analysis.

  • PDF

결점나무 분석에서 실험적 방법을 이용한 불확실성 중요도 측도의 평가 (Evaluation of Uncertainty Importance Measure by Experimental Method in Fault Tree Analysis)

  • 조재균
    • 한국산업정보학회논문지
    • /
    • 제14권5호
    • /
    • pp.187-195
    • /
    • 2009
  • 결점나무 분석에서 불확실설 중요도 측도는 basic event 확률 ($q_i$)의 불확실성이 top event 확률 (Q)의 불확실성에 얼마나 많이 기여하는지를 나타내는 측도로서, top event 확률의 불확실성을 감소시키기 위하여 어떤 basic event 확률의 불확실성을 감소시키는 것이 효과적인지를 밝히는데 사용된다. $q_i$의 분산 $\upsilon_i$가 백분율 단위로 한 단위 변화될 때 Q의 분산 V의 변화량을 평가하는 측도가 불확실성 중요도 측도로서 많은 저자들에 의해 제안되었으며, 이 측도를 계산하기 위해서는 V와 ${\partial}V/{\partial}{\upsilon}_i$를 해석적인 방법이나 몬테칼로 시뮬레이션을 사용하여 계산해야 한다. 그러나 대규모 결점나무에 대해서 V와 ${\partial}V/{\partial}{\upsilon}_i$를 해석적인 방법으로 계산하는 것은 매우 복잡하며, 몬테칼로 시뮬레이션을 사용하여 V와 ${\partial}V/{\partial}{\upsilon}_i$의 안정적인 추정치를 얻는 것은 매우 어렵다. 본 연구에서는 불확실성 중요도 측도를 실험적인 방법을 이용하여 평가하기 위한 방법을 제안한다. 제안된 방법은 몬테칼로 시뮬레이션을 이용하는 방법에 비해 계산량이 매우 적으며, 불확실성 중요도의 안정적 인 추정치를 제공한다.

재해 예방을 위한 안전작업의 설계 및 안전도 측정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Design of Safety Work and the Measure of Safety for Accident Prevention)

  • 이근희;김도희
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
    • /
    • 제17권31호
    • /
    • pp.177-186
    • /
    • 1994
  • Most causes of accidents are due to physical unsafety conditions and human unsafety actions. The design of safety work by ergonomics method is one of the methodes which effectively reduce these unsafety conditions and unsafety actions. This paper presents considerations in design of safety work. And when we try to analyze the accident event by means of probability, there exist some problems because of fuzziness in physical unsafety conditions' components and human unsafety actions' components which are the causes of basic event. For this reason, it is impossible for input probability of basic event to define a crisp value. In consideration of the uncertain probability of components, this paper deals with the Fuzzy set theory by membership value and suggests calculation procedure and analysis of disaster event.

  • PDF

대학생의 이벤트 식단에 대한 선호도 조사 (A survey on Preference of the Event Menus in the Foodservice Operations for University Students)

  • 배현주
    • 대한영양사협회학술지
    • /
    • 제12권3호
    • /
    • pp.235-242
    • /
    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study of was to provide basic data for preparing event menus to increase customer's satisfaction by investigating university students' participation and preference for the event menus in the foodservice operations. The questionnaires were distributed to 300 customers from August 1 to 31, 2005. 88.0% of the questionnaires were analyzed. Statistical analysis of data was performed using SAS package program(version 8.2) for descriptive analysis and $χ^2$-test, t-test, one-way ANOVA, Duncan multiple range test. The results of this study can be summarized as follows : 50.4% of the students have participated in foodservice operation's event and the average degree of the satisfaction was 2.67 out of 5. The type of the events customers have most frequently participated in were the national holiday·subdivisions of the season event(47.3%), the day event(34.1%), environment event(26.9%) and so on. In large classification, preferred were season event(85.2%), international food event(76.9%), and healthy food event(73.1%) and so on. In small classification, orgarnic food event(53.0%), summer fruits festival(41.3%), midsummer event(36.6%) and christmas event(34.4%) and so on. From now on, the event reflecting customers' expectation and requirement should be planned and implemented.

  • PDF

핸드스프링 동작의 운동학적 분석 (A Kinematical Analysis of Forward Handspring Motion)

  • 배남은
    • 한국운동역학회지
    • /
    • 제13권2호
    • /
    • pp.89-100
    • /
    • 2003
  • In this research was to analyze 3-D kinematics variables for handspring of basic motion in the heavy gymnastics in order to investigate kinematical difference between expert and novice. Therefore, the purpose of this research was provide quantitative information, systematic provision, rules, establishment of basic skill for improving skill and teaching athletes. And in the research, results were as followings. 1. In the time variables, total time was that expert took 0.745sec and novice took 0.829sec, and as duration time of each event, expert was faster than novice in the all motion event except till second event of the preparation motion. 2. In the center of body variables, vertical direction variables, the displacement of body center hight was that expert showed 61.26% and novice showed 54.48% in the third event of all motion, also all event were showed expert was higher displacement than novice except first of event in preparatory stage. 3. In the angle displacement of main joint, the right direction was that expert showed 154.12degree and novice showed 174.85degree and the left direction was that expert showed 159.29degree and novice showed 171.46degree In the second event of main joint curved point at the same time hand was reached floor. In the angle displacement of knee joint in the third event of all motion, expert showed 155.25degree and novice showed 154.00degree In right, and expert showed 155.24degree and novice showed 154.55degree in left. In this result, both were same motion type. In the angle displacement of hip joint in the third event of the all motion, expert showed 142.80degree and novice showed 134.17degree in right, and expert showed 140.28degree and novice showed 144.94degree in left. In this result, motion pattern of expert was same both sides, but novice was different. According to the results, to increase efficiency of motion and aesthetic effect in the all motion, it should stretch displacement and height of body center and make similarly angle of right and left joint.

PCR 과정의 오류 관리를 위한 Fault Tree Analysis 적용에 관한 시범적 연구 (Feasibility Study on the Fault Tree Analysis Approach for the Management of the Faults in Running PCR Analysis)

  • 임지수;박애리;이승주;홍광원
    • Applied Biological Chemistry
    • /
    • 제50권4호
    • /
    • pp.245-252
    • /
    • 2007
  • FTA(fault tree analysis)는 system 오류 관리를 위한 정성적/정량적 기법으로 적용되고 있다. FTA를 적용한 PCR의 오류 관리 system의 구축을 위한 시범적 단계로서 PCR 실행의 여러 단계 중 가장 간단한 단계인 '반응액의 제조 및 PCR 기기 사용 단계'를 모델로 하여 분석하였다. PCR 실행시 발생할 수 있는 오류를 연역적 논리 방식에 의해 fault tree의 형태로 규명하였다. Fault tree는 오류 관리의 최상위 요소인 top event를 중심으로 중간 계층을 이루는 intermediate events와 최하위의 요소인 basic events로 세분하여 구성하였다. Top event는 '반응액의 제조 및 PCR 기기 사용 단계에서의 오류'; 중간계층 events는 '기기 유래 오류', '실험행위 유래 오류'; basic events는 '정전상황', 'PCR 기기 선정', '기기 사용 관리', '기기 내구성', '조작의 오류', '시료 구분의 오류'로 분석되었다. 이로부터 top event의 원인 분석 및 중요 관리점을 도출하기 위하여 정성적/정량적 분석을 실시하였다. 정성적 기법으로 minimal cut sets, structural importance, common cause vulnerability를 분석하였고, 정량적 기법으로 simulation, cut set importance, item importance, sensitivity를 분석하였다. 정성적 분석과 정량적 분석의 결과에서 '시료 구분의 오류'와 '기기 조작의 오류'가 제 1중요관리점; '기기 관리의 오류'와 '내구성에 의한 오류'는 제 2중요관리점으로 일치되게 나타났다. 그러나 '정전상황'과 '기기 선정의 오류'는 정성적 분석에서만 중요관리점으로 분석되었다. 특히 sensitivity 분석에서 '기기 관리의 오류'는 사용 시간이 경과함에 따라 가장 중요한 관리점으로 부각되었다. 결론적으로 FTA는 PCR 모델 case에 대한 오류의 원인 분석 및 그 방지를 위한 중요관리점을 제시함에 따라, 궁극적으로 미래에 PCR의 오류 관리 system을 완성할 수 있는 효과적인 방법으로 사료된다.

The Effect of Antecedent Moisture Conditions on the Contributions of Runoff Components to Stormflow in the Coniferous Forest Catchment

  • Choi, Hyung-Tae;Kim, Kyong-Ha;Lee, Choong-Hwa
    • 한국산림과학회지
    • /
    • 제99권5호
    • /
    • pp.755-761
    • /
    • 2010
  • This study analyzed water quality data from a coniferous forest catchment in order to quantify the contributions of runoff components to stormflow, and to understand the effects of antecedent moisture conditions within catchment on the contributions of runoff components. Hydrograph separation by the twocomponent mixing model analysis was used to partition stormflow discharge into pre-event and event components for total 10 events in 2005 and 2008. To simplify the analysis, this study used single geochemical tracer with Na+. The result shows that the average contributions of event water and pre-event water were 34.8% and 65.2% of total stormflow of all 10 events, respectively. The event water contributions for each event varied from 18.8% to 47.9%. As the results of correlation analysis between event water contributions versus some storm event characteristics, 10 day antecedent rainfall and 1 day antecedent streamflow are significantly correlated with event water contributions. These results can provide insight which will contribute to understand the importance of antecedent moisture conditions in the generation of event water, and be used basic information to stormflow generation process in forest catchment.

철도차량 유지보수 장비의 Discrete Event Simulation 기반 기초 성능평가 및 적용방안 연구 (Discrete Event Simulation and Its Application to Railway Maintenance Evaluation System)

  • 문형석;장창두;하윤석;조영천
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국정밀공학회 2005년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.331-336
    • /
    • 2005
  • A lot of manufacturing knowledge and method have applied to increase manufacturing efficiency in industry field. DES(Discrete Event Simulation) is one of solution to deal with manufacturing problems in factory. Beginning of research, old maintenance system of KNR ( Korea National Railroad) and its technical problems are basically investigated. KNR has maintained railway vehicle with their own solution based on experience. Very advanced railway vehicles such as KTX (Korea Train Express) and TTX(Tilting Train Express) will be difficult to maintain with their old maintenance method. In order to apply knowledge of DES, maintenance field of railway must be considered. Imaginary maintenance machine are selected to variable of DES. Maintenance capability of each machine will be evaluated base on imaginary data from imaginary machine. The machine could be very expensive as well as difficult to replace. Target of research is minimization of number of machine in railway workshop. So basic knowledge of discrete event simulation is introduced. Then five essential stages of discrete event simulation are provided. Each maintenance case defined as event. Each event is discrete and simulated base on different case such as one maintenance line with one machine and one maintenance line with two machines in railway workshop. simple maintenance method, discrete event simulation, will be come out very powerful in complicate maintenance system and will be helpful to reduce maintenance cost as well as maintenance labor.

  • PDF

결점나무 분석에서 불확실성 중요도 측도의 평가 (Evaluation of Uncertainty Importance Measure in Fault Tree Analysis)

  • 조재균;정석찬
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
    • /
    • 제17권3호
    • /
    • pp.25-37
    • /
    • 2008
  • In a fault tree analysis, an uncertainty importance measure is often used to assess how much uncertainty of the top event probability (Q) is attributable to the uncertainty of a basic event probability ($q_i$), and thus, to identify those basic events whose uncertainties need to be reduced to effectively reduce the uncertainty of Q. For evaluating the measures suggested by many authors which assess a percentage change in the variance V of Q with respect to unit percentage change in the variance $v_i$ of $q_i$, V and ${\partial}V/{\partial}v_i$ need to be estimated analytically or by Monte Carlo simulation. However, it is very complicated to analytically compute V and ${\partial}V/{\partial}v_i$ for large-sized fault trees, and difficult to estimate them in a robust manner by Monte Carlo simulation. In this paper, we propose a method for evaluating the measure using discretization technique and Monte Carlo simulation. The proposed method provides a stable uncertainty importance of each basic event.

RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN GEOMAGNETIC STORMS AND RELATIVISTIC ELECTRON EVENTS

  • Kim, Hee-Jeong;Lee, Dae-Young
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
    • /
    • 제20권2호
    • /
    • pp.95-100
    • /
    • 2003
  • This paper is for the investigation of the relationship between the geomagnetic disturbances and the relativistic electron events occurring at geosynchronous orbit. We have analyzed the electron fluxes of E > 2 MeV measured by GOES 10 satellite and the hourly Dst index for the period of April, 1999 to December, 2002. With the rigorous definition of the relativistic event, total 34 events were identified during the time period. Our statistical study showed that more than 50% of the total events occurred associated with weak (or sometimes virtually no) magnetic storms. And only ~ 20% of the events took place accompanied by a strong magnetic storm of $Dst_{min}$ < -100 nT. This result suggests that large geomagnetic storms may not be crucial for the occurrence of a relativistic event at geosynchronous orbit. We also found that there is no clear correlation between the maximum electron flux of an event and the associated minimum of Dst. Therefore any study on the physical mechanism (s) accounting for the relativistic events should take it into account that strong magnetic storms may not be necessarily required for the occurrence of a relativistic electron event at geosynchronous orbit.