• Title/Summary/Keyword: area under the curves

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Predicting Suicidal Ideation in College Students with Mental Health Screening Questionnaires

  • Shim, Geumsook;Jeong, Bumseok
    • Psychiatry investigation
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    • v.15 no.11
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    • pp.1037-1045
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    • 2018
  • Objective The present study aimed to identify risk factors for future SI and to predict individual-level risk for future or persistent SI among college students. Methods Mental health check-up data collected over 3 years were retrospectively analyzed. Students were categorized as suicidal ideators and non-ideators at baseline. Logistic regression analyses were performed separately for each group, and the predicted probability for each student was calculated. Results Students likely to exhibit future SI had higher levels of mental health problems, including depression and anxiety, and significant risk factors for future SI included depression, current SI, social phobia, alcohol problems, being female, low self-esteem, and number of close relationships and concerns. Logistic regression models that included current suicide ideators revealed acceptable area under the curve (AUC) values (0.7-0.8) in both the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and precision recall (PR) curves for predicting future SI. Predictive models with current suicide non-ideators revealed an acceptable level of AUCs only for ROC curves. Conclusion Several factors such as low self-esteem and a focus on short-term rather than long-term outcomes may enhance the prediction of future SI. Because a certain range of SI clearly necessitates clinical attention, further studies differentiating significant from other types of SI are necessary.

Selecting Protected Area Using Species Richness

  • Kwon, Hyuksoo;Kim, Jiyoen;Seo, Changwan
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.14-20
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    • 2015
  • We created species richness maps of mammals, birds and plants using "Nnational Ecosystem Survey" data and identified correlations between species richness maps of each taxa. We examine the distribution of species richness of each taxa and calculated conservation priority rank through plotting species-area curves using an additive benefit function in Zonation. The conclusions of this study are as follows. First, plant showed high species richness in Gangwon province and Baekdudaegan, and mammals showed high species richness at eastern slope of Baekdudaegan in Gangwon province unusually and the species richness of mammals distributed equally except Gyeonggi and Chungnam province. However, birds showed high species richness in the west costal because the area is the major route of winter migratory birds. Second, correlation of each taxa's distribution is not significant. Correlation between mammals and birds is positive but correlations between birds and others are negative. Because mammals inhabit in forest but birds mostly live in coastal wetlands and rivers. Therefore, bird's habitats are not shared with other habitats. Third, the probability of mammals occurrence is very low under 25% in species-area curve, others increase proportionally to area. Birds increase dramatically richness at 10% because bird's habitat is concentrated in coastal wetlands and rivers. Plants increased gently species richness due to large forest in Gangwon province. We can calculate the predicted number of species in curves and plan various conservation strategies using the marginal number of species. Finally, high priority ranks for conservation distributed mainly in Gangwon province and Baekdudaegan. When we compared with priority map and terrestrial national parks, the parks were evaluated as high priority ranks. However, the rank of parks away from Baekdudaegan was low. This study has the meaning of selecting conservation priority area using National Ecosystem Survey. In spite of the omission of survey data in national parks and Baekdudaegan, the results were good. Therefore, the priority rank method using species distribution models is useful to selecting protected areas and improving conservation plans. However, it is needed to select protected areas considering various evaluation factors, such as rarity, connectivity, representativeness, focal species and so on because there is a limit to select protected area only using species richness.

Characteristics of Photosynthesis and Leaf Growth of Peucedanum japonicum by Leaf Mold and Shading Level in Forest Farming (임간재배지 내 부엽토 및 차광수준에 따른 갯기름나물의 광합성과 엽생장 특성)

  • Song, Ki Seon;Jeon, Kwon Seok;Choi, Kyu Seong;Kim, Chang Hwan;Park, Yong Bae;Kim, Jong Jin
    • Korean Journal of Medicinal Crop Science
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 2015
  • This study was carried out in order to investigate the photosynthesis response and leaf characteristics of Peucedanum japonicum growing in forest farming. The experiment was performed by leaf mold (pine tree and chestnut tree) and shading levels (0%, 35%, 50% and 75% shading). Light relative intensity was 100% (full sunlight), 60.3% (35% shading), 35.1% (50% shading), and 17.4% (75% shading) respectively. Light response curves of pine-leaf mold and chestnut-leaf mold were the highest in control (full sunlight) and these were getting lower in the higher shading level. Photosynthesis capacity and light saturation point were indicated higher in chestnut-leaf mold within the same shading level. As the shading level increased, maximum photosynthesis rate decreased. And apparent quantum yield was not indicated statistically significant difference from all treatment. Leaf area, leaf length and leaf width were significant higher in 35% shading and control under chestnut-leaf mold in all treatment. As the shading level increased, LAR (leaf area ratio), SLA (specific leaf area) and SPAD value decreased in pine-leaf mold and chestnut-leaf mold. As a result of surveying the whole experiment, P. japonicum is judged better growth and higher yield by maintaining 35% shading (relative light intensity 60%) under chestnut-leaf mold in forest farming.

Evaluation of Plastic Collapse Bending Load of Elbows with Thinning Area of Various Shapes (여러 형상의 감육부를 가진 엘보우의 소성붕괴 굽힘 하중의 평가)

  • Shin, Kyu-In;Lee, Sung-Ho;Yoon, Kee-Bong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2008
  • Elbows with various shapes of local wall thinning were numerically analyzed by finite element method to get load-displacement curves and the maximum loads. Results were compared with the experimental data obtained by another study. Elastic-plastic analysis were carried out under the combined loading conditions of internal pressure and in-plane bending loads. Two types of bending loads were considered such as elbow opening mode and elbow closing mode. Also, two different wall thinning geometries were modeled. Wall thinning area located extrados or intrados of elbow inner surface was considered. Longitudinal and circumferential lengths of the thinning area and the thinned thickness were varied for analysis. The results showed that the maximum load of the wall-thinned elbow decreased with increasing of the circumferential thinning length and the thinned thickness in both of extrados and intrados thinning locations in both loading types. The maximum load obtained by the analysis were in good agreement with the experimentally measured maximum load with the same wall thinning type and dimensions. This supports accuracy of the analysis results obtained in this study.

The Unscented Kalman Filter Based Backward Filters for the Precise INS/GPS System (정밀 INS/GPS시스템을 위한 언센티드 칼만 필터 기반의 역방향 필터연구)

  • Kwon, Jay-Hyoun;Lee, Jong-Ki;Lee, Ji-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.157-167
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    • 2010
  • Unscented Kalman filter based backward filter is derived and the positions from extended Kalman filter, unscented Kalman filter, and extended Kalman smoother are compared and analyzed through a simulation test. Considering the poor GPS signal reception, the simulation is performed under the assumption of only the start and end points of the trajectory, composed of 4 curves and 5 straight sections in the area of $40m{\times}40m $, are known. The test shows that the smoothers generate much better positioning results of 8~9m improvement compared to those from the forward filters. For the comparison between the smoothers, the analysis is performed separately for the curves and straight segments. In both cases, the unscented Kalman smoother generates better positioning error; 10cm and 23cm improved positioning results in straight segment and curves, respectively.

A Computational Analysis on Candela Distribution Curves and Performance Prediction of a Fiber Optic Dish Daylighting System by Photopia (Photopia를 이용한 추적식 디쉬형 집광기의 배광분포 분석 및 자연채광 성능 예측)

  • Oh, Seung-Jin;Han, Hyun-Joo;Jeon, Young-Il;Chun, Won-Gee
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.104-113
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    • 2012
  • A set of candela distribution curves(CDCs) were generated for a fiber optic dish daylighting system by Photopia under clear sky conditions at different solar altitudes. The candela distribution curves were then exported to Radiance for photometric analysis of a windowless lecture room. Observations were made on the Radiance rendered illuminance images, which provided photo realistic scenes varying with solar altitudes. If no tracking error were assumed, the daylight collection efficiency of the system remained at a constant value of 68.4% during its operation. Higher the solar altitude angle, greater in photometric quantities were observed, which are represented by candela(cd) and total lumens(lm). In all cases considered, however, the angle of light distribution remained fixed reflecting the solar tracking feature of the system. The illuminance uniformity on the workplane lingered around 0.12, which is quite low. This is quite a contrast to its average value of 0.68 of the $2.7m^2$ area directly below the terminal device (diffuser) of the system. The maximum illuminance of 1,340lux was obtained at a solar altitude of 80 degrees.

Composition and Structure of Himalayan Oak (Quercus leucotrichophora A. Camus) Forest under Various Degrees of Disturbance

  • Prasad, Sunil;Uniyal, Pooja;Chauhan, D.S.
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.7-13
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    • 2015
  • Forest disturbance sometime considered as a tool of management as it believed that mid level disturbance constructs better micro-climatic conditions which ultimately boost up the plant diversity. The effect of different levels of disturbance on species composition and regeneration is very important. Present attempt was carried out in a temperate evergreen oak forest which was under various degree of disturbance. The study area is one of the large ranges of oak forest in Garhwal Himalaya and compensating various types of daily needs of local people. On the basis of IVI values Quercus leucotrichophora holds first position in all the disturbance zones whereas Myrica esculenta upgraded it's rank in highly disturbed zone and showed less impacted species by disturbance. Berberis aristata and Eupatorium adenophorum in shrub layer and Anaphalis adnata and Bidens pilosa in herb layer were found as disturbance friendly species because they attained higher rank in highly disturbed zone whereas Caryopteris foetida was found disturbance-sensitive in shrub layer. The banj oak regenerated well under mid disturbance as compared to no and high degree of disturbance and a sharp downfall in the species diversity was recorded with increasing magnitude of disturbance. Density-diameter curves showed a reverse trend of lower density in higher girth classes. The results of the study should be useful for the forest management strategies.

Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve Analysis of SEER Medulloblastoma and Primitive Neuroectodermal Tumor (PNET) Outcome Data: Identification and Optimization of Predictive Models

  • Cheung, Min Rex
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.16
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    • pp.6781-6785
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: This study used receiver operating characteristic curves to analyze Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) medulloblastoma (MB) and primitive neuroectodermal tumor (PNET) outcome data. The aim of this study was to identify and optimize predictive outcome models. Materials and Methods: Patients diagnosed from 1973 to 2009 were selected for analysis of socio-economic, staging and treatment factors available in the SEER database for MB and PNET. For the risk modeling, each factor was fitted by a generalized linear model to predict the outcome (brain cancer specific death, yes/no). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was computed. Similar strata were combined to construct the most parsimonious models. A Monte Carlo algorithm was used to estimate the modeling errors. Results: There were 3,702 patients included in this study. The mean follow up time (S.D.) was 73.7 (86.2) months. Some 40% of the patients were female and the mean (S.D.) age was 16.5 (16.6) years. There were more adult MB/PNET patients listed from SEER data than pediatric and young adult patients. Only 12% of patients were staged. The SEER staging has the highest ROC (S.D.) area of 0.55 (0.05) among the factors tested. We simplified the 3-layered risk levels (local, regional, distant) to a simpler non-metastatic (I and II) versus metastatic (III) model. The ROC area (S.D.) of the 2-tiered model was 0.57 (0.04). Conclusions: ROC analysis optimized the most predictive SEER staging model. The high under staging rate may have prevented patients from selecting definitive radiotherapy after surgery.

Effect of Poncirus Trifoliata on Colonic Motility in Spinal Cord Injured Rats (척수손상 흰쥐에서 대장 운동에 대한 지실의 효과)

  • Choi, Chul-Won;Joo, Min-Cheol;Lee, Moon-Young
    • Journal of Korean Medicine Rehabilitation
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 2008
  • Objectives : The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of Poncirus Trifoliata(PT) on improvement of fecal impaction in spinal cord injured(SCI) rats. Methods : Fifteen adult Sprague-Dawley female rats were used weighing 200~250 g. A complete spinal cord transection was performed surgically at the T10 cord level. Experimental groups were assigned into 3 groups: Control(n=5), SCI+vehicle(n=5) and SCI+PT(n=5). PT was administered 100mg/kg in 0.5ml every 24 hours from 1st operation day to 7th day. We measured the body weight and food intake as well as the number and the weight of fecal pellet every morning. After 1 week of operation, whole colon was divided into proximal and distal segments under anesthesia. Each segment of colon was mounted with longitudinal direction in a organ bath. We measured spontaneous contraction and compared the area under the curve in each segments. Enhanced responses were observed by acetylcholine($10^{-6}M$), 40 mM KCl solution, L-NAME($10^{-4}M$). Results : The fecal number and weights were significantly higher in the group of SCI+PT than SCI+vehicle group(p<0.05). In organ bath study, area under the curves of the spontaneous contraction in SCI+vehicle and SCI+PT groups were significantly increased compared to control group. Contractility of distal colon in response to acetylcholine or KCl in SCI+vehicle group was significantly decreased compared to other groups(p<0.05). Conclusions : These results suggest that PT might be useful to promote bowel emptying in spinal cord injured rats.

Transient Characteristics of Mg/Air Fuel Cell (마그네슘/공기연료전지의 과도특성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Yong-Hyuk
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.65 no.3
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    • pp.210-215
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    • 2016
  • The transient characteristics of the Mg/Air fuel cell were ascribed to the load current, electrolyte concentrations, air electrode area and electrode distance. It was found that transient phenomena occurred in the load current, which is due to activate of the oxidation and reduction reaction process. The transient time increase with the load current increase. The transient characteristics were investigated with regard to internal resistance. The maximum power output analysis was employed in order to explain the delayed action under various experimental conditions. The internal resistances had a significant effect on the transient characteristics. The transient curves thus obtained were in almost agreement with internal resistance characteristics.