• Title/Summary/Keyword: approximate variance

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Confidence intervals on variance components in multiple regression model with one-fold nested error strucutre (중첩오차를 갖는 중회귀모형에서 분산의 신뢰구간)

  • 박동준
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1996.04a
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    • pp.495-498
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    • 1996
  • Regression model with nested error structure interval estimations about variability on different stages are proposed. This article derives an approximate confidence interval on the variance in the first stage and an exact confidence interval on the variance in the second stage in two stage regression model. The approximate confidence interval is based on Ting et al. (1990) method. Computer simulation is provided to show that the approximate confidence interval maintains the stated confidence coefficient.

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Confidence Intervals on Variance Components in Two Stage Regression Model

  • Park, Dong-Joon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 1996
  • In regression model with nested error structure interval estimations about variability on different stages are proposed. This article derives an approximate confidence interval on the variance in the first stage and an exact confidence interval on the variance in the second stage in two stage regression model. The approximate confidence interval is vased on Ting et al. (1990) method. Computer simulation is procided to show that the approximate confidence interval maintains the stated confidence coeffient.

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Approximate Variance of Least Square Estimators for Regression Coefficient under Inclusion Probability Proportional to Size Sampling (포함확률비례추출에서 회귀계수 최소제곱추정량의 근사분산)

  • Kim, Kyu-Seong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2012
  • This paper deals with the bias and variance of regression coefficient estimators in a finite population. We derive approximate formulas for the bias, variance and mean square error of two estimators when we select a fixed-size inclusion probability proportional to the size sample and then estimate regression coefficients by the ordinary least square estimator as well as the weighted least square estimator based on the selected sample data. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the comparison of the two estimators in terms of variance and mean square error are suggested. In addition, a simple example is introduced to numerically compare the variance and mean square error of the two estimators.

Comparison of methods of approximating option prices with Variance gamma processes (Variance gamma 확률과정에서 근사적 옵션가격 결정방법의 비교)

  • Lee, Jaejoong;Song, Seongjoo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.181-192
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    • 2016
  • We consider several methods to approximate option prices with correction terms to the Black-Scholes option price. These methods are able to compute option prices from various risk-neutral distributions using relatively small data and simple computation. In this paper, we compare the performance of Edgeworth expansion, A-type and C-type Gram-Charlier expansions, a method of using Normal inverse gaussian distribution, and an asymptotic method of using nonlinear regression through simulation experiments and real KOSPI200 option data. We assume the variance gamma model in the simulation experiment, which has a closed-form solution for the option price among the pure jump $L{\acute{e}}vy$ processes. As a result, we found that methods to approximate an option price directly from the approximate price formula are better than methods to approximate option prices through the approximate risk-neutral density function. The method to approximate option prices by nonlinear regression showed relatively better performance among those compared.

Design-based Properties of Least Square Estimators in Panel Regression Model (패널회귀모형에서 회귀계수 추정량의 설계기반 성질)

  • Kim, Kyu-Seong
    • Survey Research
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.49-62
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    • 2011
  • In this paper we investigate design-based properties of both the ordinary least square estimator and the weighted least square estimator for regression coefficients in panel regression model. We derive formulas of approximate bias, variance and mean square error for the ordinary least square estimator and approximate variance for the weighted least square estimator after linearization of least square estimators. Also we compare their magnitudes each other numerically through a simulation study. We consider a three years data of Korean Welfare Panel Study as a finite population and take household income as a dependent variable and choose 7 exploratory variables related household as independent variables in panel regression model. Then we calculate approximate bias, variance, mean square error for the ordinary least square estimator and approximate variance for the weighted least square estimator based on several sample sizes from 50 to 1,000 by 50. Through the simulation study we found some tendencies as follows. First, the mean square error of the ordinary least square estimator is getting larger than the variance of the weighted least square estimator as sample sizes increase. Next, the magnitude of mean square error of the ordinary least square estimator is depending on the magnitude of the bias of the estimator, which is large when the bias is large. Finally, with regard to approximate variance, variances of the ordinary least square estimator are smaller than those of the weighted least square estimator in many cases in the simulation.

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Approximate moments of a variance estimate with imputed conditional means

  • Kang Woo Ram;Shin Min Woong;Lee Sang Eum
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2001.11a
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    • pp.179-184
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    • 2001
  • Schafer and Shenker(2000) mentioned the one of analytic imputation technique involving conditional means. We derive an approximate moments of a variance estimate with imputed conditional means.

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Confidence Intervals on Variance Components in Two-Way Classification with Interaction Model

  • Kim, Jung I.;Park, Sung H.
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 1982
  • Arvesen (1969) has shown a procedure which produces an approximate confidence interval for a variance component in unbalanced one-way classification model. In this paper, his work is extended to the case when the model of interest is unbalanced two-way classification. Following the procedure described in this paper, approximate confidence intervals are computed by a Monte Carlo simulation.

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A Fuzzy-Neural network based IMM method for Tracking a Maneuvering Target (기동표적 추적을 위한 퍼지 뉴럴 네트워크 기반 다중모델 기법)

  • Son, Hyun-Seung;Joo, Young-Hoon;Park, Jin-Bae
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2006.07d
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    • pp.1858-1859
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents a new fuzzy-neural-network based interacting multiple model (FNNBIMM) algorithm for tracking a maneuvering target. To effectively handle the unknown target acceleration, this paper regards it as additional noise, time-varying variance to target model. Each sub model characterized by the variance of the overall process noise, which is obtained on the basis of each acceleration interval. Since it is hard to approximate this time-varying variance adaptively owing to the unknown acceleration, the FNN is utilized to precisely approximate this time-varying variance. The gradient descendant method is utilized to optimize each FNN. To show the feasibility of the proposed algorithm, a numerical example is provided.

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Estimating Variance Function with Kernel Machine

  • Kim, Jong-Tae;Hwang, Chang-Ha;Park, Hye-Jung;Shim, Joo-Yong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.383-388
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    • 2009
  • In this paper we propose a variance function estimation method based on kernel trick for replicated data or data consisted of sample variances. Newton-Raphson method is used to obtain associated parameter vector. Furthermore, the generalized approximate cross validation function is introduced to select the hyper-parameters which affect the performance of the proposed variance function estimation method. Experimental results are then presented which illustrate the performance of the proposed procedure.

Variance Estimation Using Poststratified Complex Sample

  • Kim, Kyu-Seong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.131-142
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    • 1999
  • Estimators for domains and approximate estimators of their variance are derived using post-stratified complex sample. Furthermore we propose an adjusted variance estimator of a domain mean in case of considering the post-stratified complex sample as simple random sample. A simulation study based on the data of Farm Household Economy Survey is presented to compare variance estimators numerically. From the study we showed that our adjusted variance estimator compensate for the under-estimation problem considerably.

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