• Title/Summary/Keyword: apartment sales price

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A Basic Study on Sale Price Prediction Model of Apartment Building Projects using Machine Learning Technique (머신러닝 기반 공동주택 분양가 예측모델 개발 기초연구)

  • Son, Seung-Hyun;Kim, Ji-Myong;Han, Bum-Jin;Na, Young-Ju;Kim, Tae-Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2021.05a
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    • pp.151-152
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    • 2021
  • The sale price of apartment buildings is a key factor in the success or failure of apartment projects, and the factors that affect the sale price of apartments vary widely, including location, environmental factors, and economic conditions. Existing methods of predicting the sale price do not reflect the nonlinear characteristics of apartment prices, which are determined by the complex impact factors of reality, because statistical analysis is conducted under the assumption of a linear model. To improve these problems, a new analysis technique is needed to predict apartment sales prices by complex nonlinear influencing factors. Using machine learning techniques that have recently attracted attention in the field of engineering, it is possible to predict the sale price reflecting the complexity of various factors. Therefore, this study aims to conduct a basic study for the development of a machine learning-based prediction model for apartment sale prices.

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A Study on the Seoul Apartment Jeonse Price after the Global Financial Crisis in 2008 in the Frame of Vecter Auto Regressive Model(VAR) (VAR분석을 활용한 금융위기 이후 서울 아파트 전세가격 변화)

  • Kim, Hyun-woo;Lee, Du-Heon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.9
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    • pp.6315-6324
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    • 2015
  • This study analyses the effects of household finances on rental price of apartment in Seoul which play a major role in real estate policy. We estimate VAR models using time series data. Economy variables such as sales price of apartment in Seoul, consumer price index, hiring rate, real GNI and loan amount of housing mortgage, which relate to household finances and influence the rental price of apartment, are used for estimation. The main findings are as follows. In the short term, the rental price of apartment is impacted by economy variables. Specifically, Relative contributions of variation in rental price of apartment through structural shock of economy variables are most influenced by their own. However, in the long term, household variables are more influential to the rental price of apartment. These results are expected to contribute to establish housing price stabilization policies through understanding the relationship between economy variables and rental price of apartment.

Comparing the Effects of the Access to the International School on Apartment Sales and Rental Prices: A Case of Songdo International School in Incheon (국제학교 입지가 아파트 매매 및 전월세 가격에 미치는 영향 비교·분석 -인천 송도국제도시 사례 -)

  • Kim, Yoon-Jae;Shin, Gwang-Mun;Lee, Jae-Su
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.45-58
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    • 2022
  • This study intends to compare the factors influencing the location of international schools on apartment sales and monthly rent prices for Songdo International School in Incheon, which has a history of more than 10 years. At the latest point, 10 years after the opening of the school, apartments in areas near international schools are divided into sales and monthly rent markets and analyzed. Songdo International City, designed as a planned city, was set as a spatial scope, and 2018-19, which is a relatively stable real estate period, was set as a temporal analysis period to avoid the overheating period of real estate after COVID-19. Considering the urban image of the "New Special Education Zone," such as the opening of Songdo Campus by private academies formed around international schools and domestic and foreign universities, the multiple regression model was applied based on the traditional Hedonic price model. As a result of the empirical analysis, first, differences in the price determinants of sales and monthly rent were confirmed. Second, the price influence of international schools was much higher than that of the variables. Third, the influence of international schools was more pronounced in the monthly rent market than in the sales market.

A Study on Characteristic of each Cities·Counties Regions by Trade Causes of Apartment Sales - Focused on the Resale of Apartment Unit - (아파트 거래원인별 시·군 지역간 특성에 관한 연구 - 분양권 전매를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Sun-Woong;Kang, Hyeun-Ju;Suh, Jeong-Yeal
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.283-296
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    • 2016
  • This paper aims to analyze characteristic by the cities focused on the ratio of new apartment resale that is one of the apartment unit sale market, which has been increased recently. To do so, this study examined characteristics of population, housing, residential, and economical with 162 cities and counties and performed multiple regression analysis with dependent variable, ratio of new apartment resale. As a result. the factors affecting the ratio of new apartment resale are 7variables, regional apartment rate, population increasing rate, a mount of sell in lots, housing rent price (Jeonse price) rate compared to average apartment sale price, single-person households increasing rate, apartment subscription rate and number of buyers in the area. Thus, this study showed that the factors affecting characteristic by the regions are ordered characteristics of residential, population and rate of sale and dealing. Based on this result, this study will be basic data for policy of government and development of apartment sales system and for end user to activate resale in apartment sales market.

The Spillover Effects of Fluctuations in Apartment Sales Prices in the Capital Region (수도권 아파트 매매가격 변동의 확산효과)

  • Jeong, Jun Ho
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.147-170
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    • 2022
  • This article analyzes the spillover effects by dividing the weekly rate of return on apartment prices in 70 si-gun-gu (local area) in the Capital Region into three periods: the entire period (April 2008~August 2021); the period before the price surge (April 2008~October 2018); and the period of price surge (November, 2018~August 2021), based on a consideration of the cycle of fluctuations in apartment sales prices and the timing of the current government's policy interventions. The results obtained from this analysis are summarized as follows. First, the analysis of the spillover effects is similar to or different from the results of existing work depending on the period. The analysis of the spillover effects on the entire period and the period before the price surge shows that the 'Gangnam' effect exists in the apartment market in the Capital Region. On the other hand, the analysis of the spillover effects on the period of price surge reveals different results than before. The spillover effect index calculated through the analysis of the rolling sample decreases during the decline in the cycle of apartment sales prices, while the opposite trend is shown during the upward period. Looking at the timing between the peak of the spillover effect index and policy interventions, it appears that the government's policy interventions took place after the peak of the spillover effect index in 2017, before the peak in 2018 and 2019, and around or after the peak after 2020.

An Empirical Study on the Estimation of Housing Sales Price using Spatiotemporal Autoregressive Model (시공간자기회귀(STAR)모형을 이용한 부동산 가격 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Chun, Hae Jung;Park, Heon Soo
    • Korea Real Estate Review
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2014
  • This study, as the temporal and spatial data for the real price apartment in Seoul from January 2006 to June 2013, empirically compared and analyzed the estimation result of apartment price using OLS by hedonic price model for the problem of space-time correlation, temporal autoregressive model (TAR) considering temporal effect, spatial autoregressive model (SAR) spatial effect and spatiotemporal autoregressive model (STAR) spatiotemporal effect. As a result, the adjusted R-square of STAR model was increased by 10% compared that of OLS model while the root mean squares error (RMSE) was decreased by 18%. Considering temporal and spatial effect, it is observed that the estimation of apartment price is more correct than the existing model. As the result of analyzing STAR model, the apartment price is affected as follows; area for apartment(-), years of apartment(-), dummy of low-rise(-), individual heating (-), city gas(-), dummy of reconstruction(+), stairs(+), size of complex(+). The results of other analysis method were the same. When estimating the price of real estate using STAR model, the government officials can improve policy efficiency and make reasonable investment based on the objective information by grasping trend of real estate market accurately.

A Spatial-Temporal Correlation Analysis of Housing Prices in Busan Using SpVAR and GSTAR (SpVAR(공간적 벡터자기회귀모델)과 GSTAR(일반화 시공간자기회귀모델)를 이용한 부산지역 주택가격의 시공간적 상관성 분석)

  • Kwon, Youngwoo;Choi, Yeol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.245-256
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    • 2024
  • Since 2020, quantitative easing and easy money policies have been implemented for the purpose of economic stimulus. As a result, real estate prices have skyrocketed. In this study, the relationship between sales and rental prices by housing type during the period of soaring real estate prices in Busan was analyzed spatio-temporally. Based on the actual transaction price data, housing type, transaction type, and monthly data of district units were constructed. Among the spatio-temporal analysis models, the SpVAR, which is used to understand the temporal and spatial effects of variables, and the GSTAR, which is used to understand the effects of each region on those variables, were used. As a result, the sales price of apartment had positive effect on the sale price of apartment, row house, and detached house in the surrounding area, including the target area. On the other hand, it was confirmed that demand was converted to apartment rental due to an increase in apartment sales prices, and the sale price fell again over time. The spatio-temporal spillover effect of apartments was positive, but the positive effect of row house and detached house were concentrated in the original downtown area.

A Study on the Living Room Cabinet Furniture Design for the Apartment (아파트 거실장 가구디자인 연구)

  • Kang, Shin-Woo;Cha, Sung-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Furniture Society
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.166-176
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    • 2007
  • Thanks to the recent apartment housing sales in new cities and metropolitan area, the public-use furniture market is greatly animated with the development of customized furniture. Nevertheless, the situation becomes difficult because of the fierce competition among the furniture suppliers with quoting at the lower price to get the order. In order to produce unique and stylish living cabinets, it is required for the furniture designer to create the design under the systematic design process collaborated with the construction company and make the design proposal thereby to the construction company. The present paper is focused on the re-usability of TV set currently possessed by the tenant, variability, uniqueness, pricing level suitable for the cost of real estate sales, modern design and so on. in the development of apartment living room cabinet. Thus, it is important for the furniture supplier to realize the importance of the design field in order to enhance the competitiveness of the customized furniture in the apartment housing. Accordingly the present researcher has developed the modem variable living room cabinet in accordance with the systemic design process by realizing the leads of tenant of the apartment housing and then establishing the concept focused on the design required by both the tenant and construction company.

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A Study on the Prediction of Initial Sales Rate on Apartment Housing Projects (민간 아파트 사업의 초기계약률 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seongsoo;Kim, Leeyoung
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.3-11
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    • 2015
  • Apartment developers consider the initial sales rate as an important indicator for their success of apartment development projects. They tried to achieve a secure level of initial sales rate. In spite of its importance, there is little research on the initial sales rate because of the difficulties in gathering proper data for analysis. This study, however, collects the data in initial sales rates in Su-won from various sources such as construction companies, marketing companies, sales companies and so on. By using this rare data, this study analyses the initial contract rate of apartment and estimates the initial contract rate by sales price. The result of this study shows that important of land area ratio, brand, and distance to park. It is expected that the proposed model will be used for apartment developers in sales planning phase.

Estimating Construction Cost for Small-Sized Apartment Unit (소형공동주택의 적정건축비 추정방안 연구)

  • Lee, Yoo-Seob;Kang, Tae-Kyung;Cho, Hun-Hee;Huh, Young-Ki
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.94-104
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    • 2006
  • The changed Korean government law associated with the public apartment housing supply, so called the $^{\circ}{\AE}$Apartment Sales Price $Cap^{\circ}{\phi}$, requires new system for estimating construction cost in order to set appropriate price. A model apartment project was carefully designed and its construction cost were analyzed in many different ways. Based on the analyses outcomes, 1,028,000 Won/m2 (excluding cost for underground parking lot) is the most appropriate Price Cap for a smaller than $85{\beta}{\geq}$ apartment unit. Further, it was revealed that the price have to be adjusted reflecting such factors as underground size; structural system; external complex quality; and consumer preferences. Findings from this study will enable the Korean government to realize faster and better application of the related laws. The methodology for obtaining appropriate apartment construction cost will also benefit for future researchers.