• 제목/요약/키워드: annual distribution

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부산항 컨테이너 물류 시스템의 비용분석에 관하여 (On the Cost Analysis of Container Physical Distribution System in Pusan Port)

  • 박창호;이철영
    • 한국항해학회지
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 1991
  • This paper aims to determining the optimal capacity of Pusan port in view point of Container Physical Distribution cost. It has been established a coast model of the container physical distribution system in Pusan port is composed of 4 sub-systems and in-land transport system. Cargo handling system, transfer & storage system and in-land transport system, and analyzed the cost model of the system. From this analysis, we found that the system had 7 routes including in-land transport by rail or road and coastal transport by feeder ship between Pusan port and cargo owner's door. Though railway transport cost was relatively cheap, but, it was limited to choose railway transport routes due to the introducing of transport cargo allocation practice caused by shortage of railway transport capacity. The physical distribution ost for total import & export container through Pusan port was composed of 4.47% in port entring cost, 12.98% in cargo handling cost, 7.44% in transfer & storage cost and 75.11% in in-land transport cost. Investigation in case of BCTOC verified the results as follows. 1) The optimal level of one time cargo handling was verified 236VAN (377TEU) and annual optimal handling capacity was calculated in 516, 840VAN(826, 944TEU) where berth occupancy is $\rho$=0.6 when regardless of port congestion cost, 2) The optimal level of one time cargo handling was verified 252VAN (403TEU) and annual optimal handling capacity was calculated in 502, 110VAN (803, 376TEU) where berth occupancy is $\rho$=0.58 when considering of port congestion cost.

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지구온난화에 따른 홍수 및 가뭄 발생빈도의 변화와 관련하여 : 2. 지구 온난화에 따른 일강수량 분포의 변화 추정 (On the Change of Flood and Drought Occurrence Frequency due to Global Warming : 2. Estimation of the Change in Daily Rainfall Depth Distribution due to Global Warming)

  • 윤용남;유철상;이재수;안재현
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제32권6호
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    • pp.627-636
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    • 1999
  • 지구온난화의 영향으로 배증 CO2 상태가 되는 약 60년 후의 한반도 평균강수량은 약 5-10%정도의 증가로 예측되고 있다. 그러나 수자원분야에서 평균강수량의 증가보다 더 중요한 것은 홍수 또는 가뭄과 같은 극치기상의 빈도 변화이다. 현재 국제적으로 이러한 극치기상의 빈번한 발생이 지구온난화의 한 증거로 받아들여지고 있기는 하나 그 양상이 어떻게 되리라고는 예측되고 있지 않다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 그러한 변화 양상을 예측해 보기 위한 방법론을 제시해 보는 것을 목적으로 한다. 본 연구에서 사용한 방법은 Todorovic과 Woolhiser(1975), katz(1977) 등의 일강수분포 관련 연구를 토대로 하여 월/연강수량의 변화에 다른 일강수의 특성을 매개변수의 변화로 고려하고 이를 통해 일강수의 분포변화를 예측하는 것이다. 본 연구에서는 두 일강수량(10mm,50mm)을 임계치로 하여 월/연강수량의 변화에 따른 10mm이하 및 50mm이상의 발생확률을 조사하였다. 이러한 발생확률의 변화가 바로 가뭄과 홍수의 변화로 직결되지는 않으나 그 양상을 짐작하게 하는 좋은 지표가 될 수 있으리라 판단된다. 아울러 연강수량의 변화에 따른 일강수의 분포변화는 월강수의 변화를 고려하는 경우보다 그 정도가 작았으며, 특히 월강수량의 변화를 고려하는 경우 우기인 여름철에 그 발생빈도의 변화가 아주 큰 것으로 나타났다.

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지속기간별 강우자료의 적정분포형 선정을 통한 확률강우강도식의 유도 (Derivation of Rainfall Intensity-Duration-Frequency Equation Based on the Approproate Probability Distribution)

  • 허준행;김경덕;한정훈
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.247-254
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    • 1999
  • 우리 나라 주요 우량관측소 22개 지점의 매년 최대치 강우자료에 대하여 빈도해석을 실시하였다. 매개변수 추정방법은 모멘트법, 확률가중 모멘트법, 최우도법 등이며, 매개변수 적합성, 도시적 해석, 분리효과, 적합도 검정결과 GEV 분포가 우리 나라 강우자료에 대하여 가장 적합한 확률분포형으로 나타났다. 선정된 GEV 분포형을 모집단의 확률분포형으로 가정하여 재현기간별 확률강우량을 산정하므로써 지역적 해석을 실시하였으며, 정확도 있는 선형화 기법을 통해 회귀분석을 실시하여 확률강두강도식을 유도하였다. 본 연구에서 유도된 확률강우강도식은 실무차원에서 임의 지속기간의 재현기간별 확률강우량을 간편하게 구할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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우리나라의 연 강수량, 계절 강수량 및 월 강수량의 확률분포형 결정 (The Determination of Probability Distributions of Annual, Seasonal and Monthly Precipitation in Korea)

  • 김동엽;이상호;홍영주;이은재;임상준
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.83-94
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구의 목적은 우리나라의 연 강수량, 계절 강수 량 그리고 월 강수량의 최적 확률분포형을 선정하는 것이다. 이를 위해서 전국 32개의 강우 관측소에서 얻은 자료에 대하여 L-모멘트 비 다이어그램과 평균가중거리 값을 이용하여 각 강수량별 최적 확률분포를 산정하였으며, 최종적으로 선정된 최적 확률분포형을 관측 지점별로 적합도 검정을 실시하였다. 그 결과, 연강수량에서는 3변수 Weibull 분포(W3), 봄과 가을에는 3변수 대수정규분포(LN3), 여름과 겨울에는 일반화된 극치분포(GEV)가 관측값에 가장 잘 적합하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 월 강수량에서는 1월은 LN3, 2월과 7월은 W3, 3월은 2변수 Weibull 분포(W2), 4월, 9월, 10월, 11월은 일반화된 Pareto 분포(GPA), 5월과 6월은 GEV, 그리고 8월과 12월은 log-Pearson type III 분포(LP3)가 가장 잘 적합하였다. 하지만, 최적 확률분포형의 지점별 적합도 검정의 결과, 1월, 4월, 9월, 10월, 11월의 GPA와 LN3에 대한 기각율이 확률 분포의 매개변수 추정에서의 오류와 상대적으로 높은 AWD 값으로 인하여 매우 높게 나타났다. 한편, 23개 관측소의 자료를 추가하여 분석해본 결과 기존의 32개 의 관측소 자료를 이용한 것과 큰 차이를 나타내지 않았다. 종합적으로 보다 적합한 확률분포형을 선정하기 위해서는 더 장기간의 표본자료를 이용한 추가적인 연구가 필요할 것으로 판단된다.

Statistical Properties of Geomagnetic Activity Indices and Solar Wind Parameters

  • Kim, Jung-Hee;Chang, Heon-Young
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.149-157
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    • 2014
  • As the prediction of geomagnetic storms is becoming an important and practical problem, conditions in the Earth's magnetosphere have been studied rigorously in terms of those in the interplanetary space. Another approach to space weather forecast is to deal with it as a probabilistic geomagnetic storm forecasting problem. In this study, we carry out detailed statistical analysis of solar wind parameters and geomagnetic indices examining the dependence of the distribution on the solar cycle and annual variations. Our main findings are as follows: (1) The distribution of parameters obtained via the superimposed epoch method follows the Gaussian distribution. (2) When solar activity is at its maximum the mean value of the distribution is shifted to the direction indicating the intense environment. Furthermore, the width of the distribution becomes wider at its maximum than at its minimum so that more extreme case can be expected. (3) The distribution of some certain heliospheric parameters is less sensitive to the phase of the solar cycle and annual variations. (4) The distribution of the eastward component of the interplanetary electric field BV and the solar wind driving function BV2, however, appears to be all dependent on the solar maximum/minimum, the descending/ascending phases of the solar cycle and the equinoxes/solstices. (5) The distribution of the AE index and the Dst index shares statistical features closely with BV and $BV^2$ compared with other heliospheric parameters. In this sense, BV and $BV^2$ are more robust proxies of the geomagnetic storm. We conclude by pointing out that our results allow us to step forward in providing the occurrence probability of geomagnetic storms for space weather and physical modeling.

일 강우량의 모의 발생을 통한 갈수유량 계열의 산정 및 빈도분석 (Low Flow Frequency Analysis of Steamflows Simulated from the Stochastically Generated Daily Rainfal Series)

  • 김병식;강경석;서병하
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.265-279
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    • 1999
  • 본 연구에서는, Markov 연쇄 모형에 의해 산정된 모의 일 강우량을 일 유출모형인 Tand 모형에 입력시켜 모의 일유출량을 산정함으로써 저수유량계열을 확장하는 방법을 개발하였다. 또한, 모의된 일 유량계열로부터 지속기간별 연 최저치 계열을 작성하였으며, 지속기간별 연 최저치계열에 대한 빈도분석을 시행하였다. 분석에 사용된 분포형은 Lognormal-2, Lognormal-3, Gamma-2, Gamma-3, LogGamma-3, Gumbel-2, Weibull-2 분포이었으며, 모수추정은 모멘트법과 최우도법을 사용하였다. Kolmogorov - Sminorv 검정방법으로 지속기간별 연 최저치 계열에 적합한 확률분포형을 결정하고, 용담댐 지점을 대상으로 하여 지속기간별 갈수 빈도곡선을 산정하였다. 본 연구에서 제안된 방법을 적용하면 과거 저수 유량계열의 통계적 특성을 잘 나타내는 일 유량의 모의가 가능 하여, 갈수유량계열 자료가 빈곤한 유역에서 확률 갈수량을 추정하는데 유용하리라고 판단된다.

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한반도의 몇 삼림형에 따른 임토육기물 축종량의 위도적차이에 대해서 (Latitudinal Differences in the Accumulation of Soil Organic Matter in Selected Kroean Forest Types)

  • 임양재
    • Journal of Plant Biology
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.5-13
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    • 1971
  • Accumulation of soil organic matter and its vertical distribution at different latitudes in peninsular Korea were studied in the soil of four different forest types viz. Pinus densiflora forest, Castanea forest, Quercus acutissima forest and Carpinus laxiflora forest. Among them, accumulation of soil organic matter in Cheju sites, with a mean annual temperature of 15$^{\circ}C$, was maximum with increasing latitude, soil organic matter concentration decreased. Considering the relationship between concentration of soil organic matter and some climatic conditiions, it seems that concentrations of soil organic matter is a function of annual temperature, especially warmth index or cold index.

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Factors Affecting Voluntary Information Disclosure on Annual Reports: Listed Companies in Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange

  • NGUYEN, Thi Mai Huong;NGUYEN, Ngoc Tien;NGUYEN, Hong Thu
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2020
  • The study aims to provide some plausible explanation for why Vietnamese listed companies only stop at the level of truthful presentation of information related to accounting data through the opinion of independent auditors. The information is only at the level of compliance with the requirements of Circular 155/2015/TT-BTC in form, but in essence is sketchy. What factors affect the level of voluntary disclosure of listed companies in Vietnam? In order to identify the factors affecting voluntary information disclosure on annual reports of listed companies, the study collected data on annual reports of 122 companies listed on the stock market in Ho Chi Minh City in the period 2015-2018 and uses regression analysis methods. The research presents 8 factors affecting the level of voluntary information disclosure including: Firm size, Listed time, Profitability, Solvency, Separation of board of directors and executive director, Board size, Organizational ownership and Foreign ownership. Next, the study conducted descriptive statistical analysis correlation coefficient analysis to examine the correlation and relevance of independent variables measured by the scale ratio, testing multiple linear regression model. The results of the study show that factors listed time, profitability and organizational ownership affecting voluntary information disclosure on annual reports of listed companies in Vietnam.

Optimal Replacement Scheduling of Water Pipelines

  • Ghobadi, Fatemeh;Kang, Doosun
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2021년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.145-145
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    • 2021
  • Water distribution networks (WDNs) are designed to satisfy water requirement of an urban community. One of the central issues in human history is providing sufficient quality and quantity of water through WDNs. A WDN consists of a great number of pipelines with different ages, lengths, materials, and sizes in varying degrees of deterioration. The available annual budget for rehabilitation of these infrastructures only covers part of the network; thus it is important to manage the limited budget in the most cost-effective manner. In this study, a novel pipe replacement scheduling approach is proposed in order to smooth the annual investment time series based on a life cycle cost assessment. The proposed approach is applied to a real WDN currently operating in South Korea. The proposed scheduling plan considers both the annual budget limitation and the optimum investment on pipes' useful life. A non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm is used to solve a multi-objective optimization problem. Three decision-making objectives, including the minimum imposed LCC of the network, the minimum standard deviation of annual cost, and the minimum average age of the network, are considered to find optimal pipe replacement planning over long-term time period. The results indicate that the proposed scheduling structure provides efficient and cost-effective rehabilitation management of water network with consistent annual budget.

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ESTIMATION OF NET GROUND WATER RECHARGE IN LARGE AQUIFER SYSTEMS BY GENETIC ALGORITHM: A CASE STUDY

  • K. Lakshmi Prasad;A. K. Rastogi
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • 제2권3호
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    • pp.161-169
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    • 2001
  • Present study deals with the development of a numerical model for the estimation of net annual recharge by coupling the Galerkin's finite element flow simulationl model with the Gauss-Newton-Marquardt optimization technique. The developed coupled numerical model is applied for estimating net annual recharge for Mahi Right Bank Canal (MRBC) project the norms of Groundwater Resources Estimation committee (1984, 1997) and Indian Agricultural research Institute(1983). It is observed that the estimated net recharge by inverse modeling is closer to the net recharge estimated using the water balance approach. Further it is observed that the computed head distribution from the estimated recharge agree closely with the observed head distribution. The study concludes that the developed model for inverse modeling can be successfully applied to large groundwater system involving regional aquifers where reliable recharge estimation always requires considerable time and financial resources.

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