• 제목/요약/키워드: analysis of hazard

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최근 4년간 국내 사면재해 현장조사를 통한 유발인자 분석 (Analysis of Slope Hazard Triggering Factors through Field Investigation in Korea Over the Past Four Years)

  • 전경재;윤찬영
    • 한국지반공학회논문집
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    • 제31권5호
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    • pp.47-58
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구에서는 2011년에서 2014년까지 최근 4년간 국내에서 발생한 사면재해에 대한 현장조사를 수행하고 재해발생지의 지질 및 강우자료를 수집하여 국내 사면재해 현황 및 유발강우와 지질특성을 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 변성암 지역에서 가장 많은 사면재해가 발생하였으며, 사면재해 중에서는 토석류가 가장 많이 발생한 것으로 나타났다. 월평균 강우량이 높을 때 사면재해도 증가하는 것으로 나타났으나, 대부분의 사면재해는 최대시간강우량이 내린 이 후 일정한 시간이 지나고 발생한 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 전반적인 사면재해 발생횟수는 1개월 이상의 장기강우와 관련이 있는 것으로 분석되었다.

Reevaluation of Seismic Fragility Parameters of Nuclear Power Plant Components Considering Uniform Hazard Spectrum

  • Park, In-Kil;Choun, Young-Sun;Seo, Jeong-Moon;Yun, Kwan-Hee
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제34권6호
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    • pp.586-595
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    • 2002
  • The Seismic probabilistic risk assessment (SPRA) or seismic margin assessment (SMA) have been used for the seismic safety evaluation of nuclear power plant structures and equipments. For the SPRA or SMA, the reference response spectrum should be defined. The site-specific median spectrum has been generally used for the seismic fragility analysis of structures and equipments in a Korean nuclear power plant Since the site-specific spectrum has been developed based on the peak ground motion parameter, the site-specific response spectrum does not represent the same probability of exceedance over the entire frequency range of interest. The uniform hazard spectrum is more appropriate to be used in seismic probabilistic risk assessment than the site- specific spectrum. A method for modifying the seismic fragility parameters that are calculated based on the site-specific median spectrum is described. This simple method was developed to incorporate the effects of the uniform hazard spectrum. The seismic fragility parameters of typical NPP components are modified using the uniform hazard spectrum. The modification factor is used to modify the original fragility parameters. An example uniform hazard spectrum is developed using the available seismic hazard data for the Korean nuclear power plant (NPP) site. This uniform hazard spectrum is used for the modification of fragility parameters.

국내 유통 식품의 잔류동물용의약품 모니터링 (Monitoring of Veterinary Drug Residues in Foods Produced in Korea)

  • 김희연;정소영;최선희;이진숙;최인선;조민자;신민수;송재상;최재천;박희옥;하상철;신일식;서은채
    • 한국식품과학회지
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    • 제42권6호
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    • pp.653-663
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    • 2010
  • 알(卵)류 및 축 수산물 321건에 대하여 엔로플록사신, 시프로플록사신, 노르플록사신, 아목시실린, 암피실린, 옥소린산 및 옥시테트라싸이클린, 테트라싸이클린, 클로르테트라싸이클린 및 독시싸이클린에 대한 모니터링을 실시한 결과 총 300건(93.5%)은 조사대상 동물용의약품이 불검출되었으며 검출된 21건(6.5%)의 시료 대부분은 현재 식품공전의 잔류허용기준 이하로 안전한 것으로 나타났다.

New fuzzy method in choosing Ground Motion Prediction Equation (GMPE) in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis

  • Mahmoudi, Mostafa;Shayanfar, MohsenAli;Barkhordari, Mohammad Ali;Jahani, Ehsan
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.389-408
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    • 2016
  • Recently, seismic hazard analysis has become a very significant issue. New systems and available data have been also developed that could help scientists to explain the earthquakes phenomena and its physics. Scientists have begun to accept the role of uncertainty in earthquake issues and seismic hazard analysis. However, handling the existing uncertainty is still an important problem and lack of data causes difficulties in precisely quantifying uncertainty. Ground Motion Prediction Equation (GMPE) values are usually obtained in a statistical method: regression analysis. Each of these GMPEs uses the preliminary data of the selected earthquake. In this paper, a new fuzzy method was proposed to select suitable GMPE at every intensity (earthquake magnitude) and distance (site distance to fault) according to preliminary data aggregation in their area using ${\alpha}$ cut. The results showed that the use of this method as a GMPE could make a significant difference in probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) results instead of selecting one equation or using logic tree. Also, a practical example of this new method was described in Iran as one of the world's earthquake-prone areas.

국내 주요 광역 도시에 대한 등재해도 스펙트럼 분석 (Analysis of Uniform Hazard Spectra for Metropolises in the Korean Peninsula)

  • 이현미;김민규;신동훈;최인길
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.71-77
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    • 2013
  • The uniform hazard spectra for seven major cities in Korea, Seoul, Daejeon, Daegu, Busan, Gwangju, Ulsan, and Inchon are suggested. Probabilistic seismic hazard analyses were performed using the attenuation equations derived from seismology research in Korea since 2000 and the seismotectonic models selected by expert assessment. For the estimation of the uniform hazard spectra, the seismic hazard curves for several frequencies and PGAs were calculated by using the spectral attenuation equations. The seismic hazards (annual exceedance probability) calculated for the 7 metropolises ranged from about $1.4305{\times}0^{-4}/yr$ to $1.7523{\times}10^{-4}/yr$ and averaged out at about $1.5902{\times}10^{-4}/yr$ with a log standard deviation of about 0.085 at 0.2 g. The uniform hazard spectra with recurrence intervals of 500, 1000, and 2500 years estimated by using the calculated mean seismic hazard on the frequencies presented peak values at 10.0 Hz, and the log standard deviations of the difference between metropolises ranged from about 0.013 to 0.209. In view of the insignificant difference between the estimated uniform hazard spectra obtained for the considered metropolises, the mean uniform hazard spectrum was estimated. This mean uniform hazard spectrum is expected to be used as input seismic response spectrum for rock sites in Korea.

위험성 분석에서의 다중모델을 이용한 자동화 시스템의 개발 (The development of automatic system using multimodel in hazard analysis)

  • 강경욱;강병관;서정철;윤인섭
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.87-94
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    • 1997
  • 화학공장에는 수많은 장치들이 있고 매우 복잡한 구조를 가지고 있다. 이러한 화학공장은 장치집약적인 특징으로 인해 항상 장치의 고장 또는 조업자의 실수로 인한 사고가 일어날 가능성을 안고 있다. 따라서 화학공정에서의 사고를 예방하고 안전을 확보하기 위해서는 잠재적인 사고 가능성 및 위험요인을 사전에 분석하고 예방하는 것이 중요하다. HAZOP 분석은 정성적인 평가 방법 중 가장 체계적이고 논리적인 방법으로 평가받고 있다. 이러한 HAZOP 분석과 같은 안정성 평가를 위해서는 많은 인력, 자원, 시간이 필요하다 따라서 전문가의 인력과 시간을 줄이며 일관된 결과를 얻기 위해 위험성 평가의 자동화가 요구된다. 그리고 자동화를 위한 여러 연구와 방법론이 있었으나 나름대로의 한계가 있었다. 본 연구에서는 기존 방법론의 한계를 극복하기 위해서 화학공정의 안정성 분석자동화 시스템을 구축하고자 한다. 이를 위해 일반적인 위험성 평가에 필요한 지식을 모델링한 다중모델 접근방법을 사용하여 물질지식베이스, 구조지식베이스, 장치지식베이스로 분하여 모델링 하였고, 안전성 분석을 수행하는 세가지의 추론 알고리듬 Deviation Analysis Algorithm, Malfunction Analysis Algorithm, Accident Analysis Algorithm을 개발하여 화학공저의 안정성 분석 자동화 시스템 AHA(Automated Hazard Analyzer)를 구축하였다 이것은 전문가 개발 도구인 G2를 이용하여 구축하였고, 제안된 시스템을 Olefin dimerization 공정의 feed section에 적용하여 유용성을 확인하였다.

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단층 파라미터에 따른 확률론적 지진해일 재해곡선의 민감도 분석 (Sensitivity Analysis According to Fault Parameters for Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Curves)

  • 조명환;김건형;윤성범
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제31권6호
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    • pp.368-378
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    • 2019
  • 확률론적 지진해일 재해도 평가를 위한 로직트리는 지진발생 패턴의 다양성을 고려하기 위해 많은 변수를 고려하여 구성된다. 고려되는 변수가 많아질수록 재해도 평가 결과는 다양한 패턴으로 변화한다. 본 연구에서는 로직트리에 제시되어 있는 다양한 단층 파라미터 변수와 스케일링 규칙이 부산 근해에서의 지진해일 재해도에 미치는 영향을 평가하였다. 로직트리에 제시된 변수 중 주향각, 경사각 및 단층변위분포 변수의 값을 변화시켜가며 지진해일 전파모의를 수행하고, 그 결과를 이용하여 민감도 분석을 수행하였다. 그 결과 주향각 변수가 재해도 평가 결과에 미치는 영향은 예상보다 크지 않은 반면, 초기수면의 공간적 분포에 영향을 줄 수 있는 경사각과 단층변위분포의 영향이 크게 나타났다. 이는 주향각보다는 초기수면의 형상을 결정하는 경사각과 단층변위의 공간분포가 동해 지진해일의 재해도 평가에서 중요인자임을 보여준다.

Earthquake hazard and risk assessment of a typical Natural Gas Combined Cycle Power Plant (NGCCPP) control building

  • A. Can Zulfikar;Seyhan Okuyan Akcan;Ali Yesilyurt;Murat Eroz;Tolga Cimili
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제35권6호
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    • pp.581-591
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    • 2023
  • North Anatolian Fault Zone is tectonically active with recent earthquakes (Mw7.6 1999-Kocaeli and Mw7.2 1999-Düzce earthquakes) and it passes through Marmara region, which is highly industrialized, densely populated and economically important part of Turkey. Many power plants, located in Marmara region, are exposed to high seismic hazard. In this study, open source OpenQuake software has been used for the probabilistic earthquake hazard analysis of Marmara region and risk assessment for the specified energy facility. The SHARE project seismic zonation model has been used in the analysis with the regional sources, NGA GMPEs and site model logic trees. The earthquake hazard results have been compared with the former and existing earthquake resistant design regulations in Turkey, TSC 2007 and TBSCD 2018. In the scope of the study, the seismic hazard assessment for a typical natural gas combined cycle power plant located in Marmara region has been achieved. The seismic risk assessment has been accomplished for a typical control building located in the power plant using obtained seismic hazard results. The structural and non-structural fragility functions and a consequence model have been used in the seismic risk assessment. Based on the seismic hazard level with a 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years, considered for especially these type of critical structures, the ratios of structural and non-structural loss to the total building cost were obtained as 8.8% and 45.7%, respectively. The results of the study enable the practical seismic risk assessment of the critical facility located on different regions.

Highway flood hazard mapping in Thailand using the Multi Criteria Analysis based the Analytic Hierarchy Process

  • Budhakooncharoen, Saisunee;Mahadhamrongchai, Wichien;Sukolratana, Jiraroth
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2015년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.236-236
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    • 2015
  • Flood is one of the major natural disasters affecting millions of people. Thailand also, frequently faces with this type of disaster. Especially, 2011 mega flood in Central Thailand, inundated highway severely attributed to the failure of national economic and risk to life. Lesson learned from such an extreme event caused flood monitoring and warning becomes one of the sound mitigations. The highway flood hazard mapping accomplished in this research is one of the strategies. This is due to highway flood is the potential risk to life and limb, and potential damage to property. Monitoring and warning therefore help reducing live and property losses. In this study, degree of highway flood hazard was assessed by weighting factors for each cause of the highway flood using Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA) based Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). These weighting factors are the essential information to classify the degree of highway flood hazard to enable pinpoint on flood monitoring and flood warning in hazard areas. The highway flood causes were then investigated. It was found that three major factors influence to the highway flood are namely the highway characteristics, the hydrological characteristics and the land topography characteristics. The weight of importance for each cause of the highway flood in the whole country was assessed by weighting 3 major factors influence to the highway flood. According to the result of MCA analysis, the highway, the hydrological and the land topography characteristics were respectively weighted as 35, 35 and 30 percent influence to the cause of highway flood. These weighting factors were further utilized to classify the degree of highway flood hazard. The Weight Linear Combination (WLC) method was used to compute the total score of all highways according to each factor. This score was later used to categorize highway flood as high, moderate and low degree of hazard levels. Highway flood hazard map accomplished in this research study is applicable to serve as the handy tool for highway flood warning. However, to complete the whole warning process, flood water level monitoring system for example the camera gauge should be installed in the hazard highway. This is expected to serve as a simple flood monitor as part of the warning system during such extreme or critical event.

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PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSIS FOR NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS - CURRENT PRACTICE FROM A EUROPEAN PERSPECTIVE

  • Klugel, Jens-Uwe
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제41권10호
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    • pp.1243-1254
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    • 2009
  • The paper discusses the methodology and the use of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) for nuclear power plants from a European perspective. The increasing importance of risk-informed approaches in the nuclear oversight process observed in many countries has contributed to increasing attention to PSHA methods. Nevertheless significant differences with respect to the methodology of PSHA are observed in Europe. The paper gives an overview on actual projects and discusses the differences in the PSHA-methodology applied in different European countries. These differences are largely related to different approaches used for the treatment of uncertainties and to the use of experts. The development of a probabilistic scenario-based approach is identified as a meaningful alternative to the development of uniform hazard spectra or uniform confidence spectra.