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A Study on the Traffic Accident Estimation Model using Empirical Bayes Method (Empirical Bayes Method를 이용한 교통사고 예측모형)

  • Gang, Hyeon-Geon;Gang, Seung-Gyu;Jang, Yong-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2009
  • This study estimates the expected number of accidents in Kyungbuk Province to capitalize on experience gained from four years of accident history using the Empirical Bayes (EB) Method. The number of accidents of each site in Kyungbuk Province is recalculated using the Equivalent Property Damage Only (EPDO) method to reflect the severities of the accidents. A cluster analysis is performed to determine similar sites and a unique Safety Performance Function (SPF) is established for each site. The overdispersion parameter is built to correct the difference between the actual number of accidents and the underlying probability distribution. To adjust for varying traffic characteristics of each site, a relative weight is applied and eventually estimates the expected number of accidents. The results show that the highest accident sites are Kimcheon, Youngcheon, and Chilgok, but on the other hand the lowest is Gunwi.

Study on Establishment of criteria for Heart Disease in Oriental Medicine (심병증 진단요건의 표준 설정을 위한 연구)

  • Choi Sun Mi;Park Kyung Mo;Jeung Chan Gil;Sung Hyun Jea;Ahn Kyoo Seok
    • Journal of Physiology & Pathology in Korean Medicine
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.845-851
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    • 2003
  • The objective is to establish the standard of criteria for differential diagnosis of signs and symptoms. This study selected signs and symptoms related to heart which stands for Fire(火) as a kind of five phase(五行). Eleven experts was asked to evaluate the adequateness of criteria which was developed by Korea Institute of Oriental Medicine(KIOM) and to suggest the amendment of them. To implement the study, we used the questionnaire which asks about the diagnosis criteria for an insufficiency of the heart-qi(心氣虛證), deficiency of the heart blood(心血氣證), deficiency of the heart-yin(心陰虛證), insufficiency of the heart-yang(心陽虛證), exuberant fire due to hyperactivity of the heart(心火亢盛證), stagnation of the heart blood(心血瘀阻證), heart disturbed by phlegm-fire(痰火擾心證), attack of the heart by retainedfluid(水氣凌心證). Every criteria consists of primary symptoms, secondary symptoms, tongue findings. and pulse findings. In perspectives of the classification of patterns for signs and symptoms and criteria for diagnosis, the result shows that the previous standard doesn't have so many problem. So many of experts were agree with the criteria which was suggested but the trend is that they use, in their actual practice, less than the criteria. Additionally, they pointed that every element in a criterion should have the different weight value, criteria for the overlapped pattern should be added, and, in future, criteria which are based on clinical investigation should be established.

Comparison of Nutrient Intakes between Disabled Children(Mental Retardation, Autism and Cerebral Palsy) and Non-disabled Children - Comparison According to the Types of Handicap - (정신지체, 자폐 및 뇌성마비 아동과 비장애아동의 영양소 섭취량 비교)

  • 김은경;김은경;김은미
    • Korean Journal of Community Nutrition
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.121-134
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    • 2004
  • Purpose of this study was to compare nutrient intakes of disabled children and non-disabled children. Subjects consisted of 86 disabled children from a special education school and 127 non-disabled children from an elementary school in Seoul. Nutrient intakes were assessed by modified 24-hr recall method, with the help of children's parents and teachers. Almost all nutrient intakes (energy, protein, fat, carbohydrates, vitamin B$_1$ and niacin) of children with cerebral palsy were significantly lower than those of other groups. But nutrient intakes per body weight of children with cerebral palsy were not significantly different with those of other groups. There was no significant difference between disabled and non-disabled children in almost % RDA (rate of actual intake to RDA) except of energy %RDA in children with cerebral palsy. NARs (nutrient adequacy ratio) for energy and vitamin B$_1$ of children with cerebral palsy were significantly lower than those of children with autism and mental retardation, and non-disabled children. The proportions of energy, carbohydrate and protein intakes from lunch were significantly higher than those from breakfast and dinner in children with mental retardation and autism. The nutrient intakes of disabled children were different between other groups according to the type of handicap. For example, children with cerebral palsy had the risk of undernutrition. On the other hand, autistic children had the tendency of overnutrition. These results suggest that nutrition educational programs and educational materials for disabled children, their teachers and their parents should be developed considering the type of handicap.

A Study on the Dietary Intake and the Nutritional Status among the Pancreatic Cancer Surgical Patients

  • Kang, Jimin;Park, Joon Seong;Yoon, Dong Sup;Kim, Woo Jeong;Chung, Hae-yun;Lee, Song Mi;Chang, Namsoo
    • Clinical Nutrition Research
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.279-289
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    • 2016
  • The adequate dietary intake is important to maintain the nutritional status of the patients after pancreatic cancer surgery. This prospective study was designed to investigate the dietary intake and the nutritional status of the patients who had pancreatic cancer surgery. Thirty-one patients (15 men, 16 women) were enrolled and measured body weight, body mass index (BMI), nutritional risk index (NRI), and Malnutrition Universal Screening Tool (MUST). Actual oral intake with nutritional impact symptoms recorded on the clinical research foam at every meal and medical information were collected from electronic medical charts. The rates of malnutrition at admission were 45.1% (14/31) and 28.9% (9/31) by NRI and MUST method, respectively, but those were increased to 87% (27/31) and 86.6% (26/31) after operation on discharge. The median values of daily intake of energy, carbohydrates, fat, and protein were 588.1 kcal, 96.0 g, 11.8 g, and 27.0 g, respectively. Most patients (n = 20, 64.5%) experienced two or more symptoms such as anorexia, abdominal bloating and early satiety. There were negative correlations between C-reactive protein (CRP) levels and the intake of total energy, protein, fat, and zinc. The rates of malnutrition were increased sharply after surgery and the dietary intake also influenced the inflammatory indicators. The results suggested that need of considering special therapeutic diets for the patients who received pancreatic surgery.

A Case Study on the Sustainability for a Stanchion of Recreational Crafts based on the Design for Additive Manufacturing Using a FFF-type 3D Printer (FFF 3D 프린터를 이용한 DfAM 기반 소형선박용 스탠션 지속가능 개발 사례 연구)

  • Lee, Dong-Kun;Park, Bon-Yeong
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.58 no.5
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    • pp.294-302
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    • 2021
  • In this study, the 3D printing technique called design for additive manufacturing (DfAM) that is widely used in various industries was applied to marine leisure ships of equipment. The DfAM for the stanchion for crew safety was applied to the equipment used in an actual recreational craft. As design constraints, the design alternatives were not to exceed the safety and weight of the existing stainless steel material, which were reviewed, and the production of a low-cost FFF-type 3D printing method that can be used even in small shipyards was considered. Until now, additive manufacturing has been used for manufacturing only prototypes owing to its limitations of high manufacturing cost and low strength; however, in this study, it was applied to the mass production process to replace existing products. Thus, a design was developed with low manufacturing cost, adequate performance maintenance, and increased design freedom, and the optimal design was derived via structural analysis comparisons for each design alternative. In addition, a life-cycle assessment based on the ISO 1404X was conducted to develop sustainable products. Through this study, the effectiveness of additive manufacturing was examined for future applications in the shipbuilding industry.

A Convergence Study through Durability Analysis due to the Configuration of Automotive Frame Butted (자전거 프레임 버티드 형상에 따른 내구성 해석을 통한 융합연구)

  • Choi, Gye-Gwang;Cho, Jae-Ung
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.9 no.11
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    • pp.271-276
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    • 2018
  • When the driver riding in a bicycle goes on board, the load of driver is shown differently according to the position loaded on the frame of bicycle. The load is applied most at the joint of bike frame and the load at the mid-part of frame is applied least than the other parts. So, the weight of frame is decreased as the part not applied with a lot of load is manufactured into the thin thickness. As the part applied with high load is manufactured into the thick thickness, it can be endured through this load. The configurations of general frame, double butted and triple butted were modelled by using CATIA program. The durabilities of each model due to the load of passenger were investigated by carrying the structural and fatigue analyses. As this study result investigated with the analysis program of ANSYS, the deformation of general frame happened most and that of triple butted became least. These simulation analysis data are intended to be used to design the actual bicycle frame in the most efficient way at design and manufacture.

Design Enhancement to Avoid Radar Mast Resonance in Large Ship using Design of Experiments (실험계획법을 이용한 대형 선박용 레이더 마스트의 공진회피 설계)

  • Park, Jun Hyeong;Lee, Daeyong;Yang, Jung-Wook;Song, Chang Yong
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.50-60
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    • 2019
  • Recently, problems with excessive vibration of the radar masts of large bulk carriers and crude oil tankers have frequently been reported. This paper explores a design method to avoid the resonance of a radar mast installed on a large ship using various design of experiment (DOE) methods. A local vibration test was performed during an actual sea trial to determine the excitation sources of the vibration related to the resonant frequency of the radar mast. DOE methods such as the orthogonal array (OA) and Latin hypercube design (LHD) methods were used to analyze the Pareto effects on the radar mast vibration. In these DOE methods, the main vibration performances such as the natural frequency and weight of the radar mast were set as responses, while the shape and thickness of the main structural members of the radar mast were set as design factors. From the DOE-based Pareto effect results, we selected the significant structural members with the greatest influence on the vibration characteristics of the radar mast. Full factorial design (FFD) was applied to verify the Pareto effect results of the OA and LHD methods. The design of the main structural members of the radar mast to avoid resonance was reviewed, and a normal mode analysis was performed for each design using the finite element method. Based on the results of this normal mode analysis, we selected a design case that could avoid the resonance from the major excitation sources. In addition, a modal test was performed on the determined design to verify the normal mode analysis results.

Development of Collaborative Filtering based User Recommender Systems for Water Leisure Boat Model Design (수상레저용 보트 설계를 위한 협력적 필터링 기반 사용자 추천시스템 개발)

  • Oh, Joong-Duk;Park, Chan-Hong;Kim, Chong-Soo;Seong, Hyeon-Kyeong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2014.05a
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    • pp.413-416
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    • 2014
  • Recently, demand for various leisure sports gradually increases, as people's sense of values changes into leisure-centered one according to the change of given social circumstance and the change of customer needs all over the world. The actual condition is that an interest and participation rate especially in water leports during the summer increases. And needs for various hull design of standardized boat for water leisure increase. Therefore, this paper is intended to develop a recommendation system to design a boat for water leisure by using the collaborative filtering technique in order to make it possible to actively cope with the change of various customer needs for hull design. To this end, emotion relating to kayak design was selected through consumer survey, and emotion was derived by factor analysis and assessment, and then a kayak design layout in the aspect of customer's emotional preference was presented. Besides, an analysis was made according to the elements such as hull, body, and propulsion system of kayak in order to select emotional words according to the kayak design reflecting user's preference, and then a boat model for water leisure in conformance with user's preference was presented.

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Bias adjusted estimation in a sample survey with linear response rate (응답률이 선형인 표본조사에서 편향 보정 추정)

  • Chung, Hee Young;Shin, Key-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.631-642
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    • 2019
  • Many methods have been developed to solve problems found in sample surveys involving a large number of item non-responses that cause inaccuracies in estimation. However, the non-response adjustment method used under the assumption of random non-response generates a bias in cases where the response rate is affected by the variable of interest. Chung and Shin (2017) and Min and Shin (2018) proposed a method to improve the accuracy of estimation by appropriately adjusting a bias generated when the response rate is a function of the variables of interest. In this study, we studied a case where the response rate function is linear and the error of the super population model follows normal distribution. We also examined the effect of the number of stratum population on bias adjustment. The performance of the proposed estimator was examined through simulation studies and confirmed through actual data analysis.

Analysis of Shear Behavior and Fracture Characteristics of Plywood in Cryogenic Environment (극저온 환경 하 플라이우드의 전단 거동 및 파손 특성 분석)

  • Son, Young-Moo;Kim, Jeong-Dae;Oh, Hoon-Kyu;Kim, Yong-Tai;Park, Seong-Bo;Lee, Jae-Myung
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.394-399
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    • 2019
  • Plywood is a laminated wood material where alternating layers are perpendicular to each other. It is used in a liquefied natural gas (LNG) carrier for an insulation system because it has excellent durability, a light weight, and high stiffness. An LNG cargo containment system (LNG CCS) is subjected to loads from gravity, sloshing impact, hydrostatic pressure, and thermal expansion. Shear forces are applied to an LNG CCS locally by these loads. For these reasons, the materials in an LNG CCS must have good mechanical performance. This study evaluated the shear behavior of plywood. This evaluation was conducted from room temperature ($25^{\circ}C$) to cryogenic temperature ($-163^{\circ}C$), which is the actual operating environment of an LNG storage tank. Based on the plywood used in an LNG storage tank, a shear test was conducted on specimens with thicknesses of 9 mm and 12 mm. Analyses were performed on how the temperature and thickness of the plywood affected the shear strength. Regardless of the thickness, the strength increased as the temperature decreased. The 9 mm thick plywood had greater strength than the 12 mm thick specimen, and this tendency became clearer as the temperature decreased.