• Title/Summary/Keyword: accumulation of the estimation error

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The Adjustment of Radar Precipitation Estimation Based on the Kriging Method (크리깅 방법을 기반으로 한 레이더 강우강도 오차 조정)

  • Kim, Kwang-Ho;Kim, Min-seong;Lee, Gyu-Won;Kang, Dong-Hwan;Kwon, Byung-Hyuk
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.13-27
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    • 2013
  • Quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) is one of the most important elements in meteorological and hydrological applications. In this study, we adjusted the QPE from an S-band weather radar based on co-kriging method using the geostatistical structure function of error distribution of radar rainrate. In order to estimate the accurate quantitative precipitation, the error of radar rainrate which is a primary variable of co-kriging was determined by the difference of rain rates from rain gauge and radar. Also, the gauge rainfield, a secondary variable of co-kriging is derived from the ordinary kriging based on raingauge network. The error distribution of radar rain rate was produced by co-kriging with the derived theoretical variogram determined by experimental variogram. The error of radar rain rate was then applied to the radar estimated precipitation field. Locally heavy rainfall case during 6-7 July 2009 is chosen to verify this study. Correlation between adjusted one-hour radar rainfall accumulation and rain gauge rainfall accumulation improved from 0.55 to 0.84 when compared to prior adjustment of radar error with the adjustment of root mean square error from 7.45 to 3.93 mm.

Evaluating the contribution of calculation components to the uncertainty of standardized precipitation index using a linear mixed model (선형혼합모형을 활용한 표준강수지수 계산 인자들의 불확실성에 대한 기여도 평가)

  • Shin, Ji Yae;Lee, Baesung;Yoon, Hyeon-Cheol;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.8
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    • pp.509-520
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    • 2023
  • Various drought indices are widely used for assessing drought conditions which are affected by many factors such as precipitation, soil moisture, and runoff. The values of drought indices varies depending on hydro-meteorological data and calculation formulas, and the judgment of the drought condition may also vary. This study selected four calculation components such as precipitation data length, accumulation period, probability distribution function, and parameter estimation method as the sources of uncertainty in the calculation of standardized precipitation index (SPI), and evaluated their contributions to the uncertainty using root mean square error (RMSE) and linear mixed model (LMM). The RMSE estimated the overall errors in the SPI calculation, and the LMM was used to quantify the uncertainty contribution of each factor. The results showed that as the accumulation period increased and the data period extended, the RMSEs decreased. The comparison of relative uncertainty using LMM indicated that the sample size had the greatest impact on the SPI calculation. In addition, as sample size increased, the relative uncertainty related to the sample size used for SPI calculation decreased and the relative uncertainty associated with accumulation period and parameter estimation increased. In conclusion, to reduce the uncertainty in the SPI calculation, it is essential to collect long-term data first, followed by the appropriate selection of probability distribution models and parameter estimation methods that represent well the data characteristics.

Influence of Modeling Errors in the Boundary Element Analysis of EEG Forward Problems upon the Solution Accuracy

  • Kim, Do-Won;Jung, Young-Jin;Im, Chang-Hwan
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.10-17
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    • 2009
  • Accurate electroencephalography (EEG) forward calculation is of importance for the accurate estimation of neuronal electrical sources. Conventional studies concerning the EEG forward problems have investigated various factors influencing the forward solution accuracy, e.g. tissue conductivity values in head compartments, anisotropic conductivity distribution of a head model, tessellation patterns of boundary element models, the number of elements used for boundary/finite element method (BEM/FEM), and so on. In the present paper, we investigated the influence of modeling errors in the boundary element volume conductor models upon the accuracy of the EEG forward solutions. From our simulation results, we could confirm that accurate construction of boundary element models is one of the key factors in obtaining accurate EEG forward solutions from BEM. Among three boundaries (scalp, outer skull, and inner skull boundary), the solution errors originated from the modeling error in the scalp boundary were most significant. We found that the nonuniform error distribution on the scalp surface is closely related to the electrode configuration and the error distributions on the outer and inner skull boundaries have statistically meaningful similarity to the curvature distributions of the boundary surfaces. Our simulation results also demonstrated that the accumulation of small modeling errors could lead to considerable errors in the EEG source localization. It is expected that our finding can be a useful reference in generating boundary element head models.

Effect of R-Z Relationships Derived from Disdrometer Data on Radar Rainfall Estimation during the Heavy Rain Event on 5 July 2005 (2005년 7월 5일 폭우 사례 시 우적계 R-Z 관계식이 레이더 강우 추정에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, GyuWon;Kwon, Byung-Huk
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.33 no.7
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    • pp.596-607
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    • 2012
  • The R-Z relationship is one of important error factors to determine the accuracy of radar rainfall estimation. In this study, we have explored the effect of the R-Z relationships derived from disdrometer data in estimating the radar rainfall. The heavy rain event that produced flooding in St-Remi, Quebec, Canada has been occurred. We have tried to investigate the severity of rain for this event using high temporal (2.5 min) and spatial resolution ($1^{\circ}$ by 250 m) radar data obtained from the McGill S-band radar. Radar data revealed that the heavy rain cells pass directly over St-Remi while the coarse raingauge network was not sufficient to detect this rain event. The maximum 30 min (1 h) accumulation reaches about 39 (42) mm in St-Remi. During the rain event, the two disdrometers (POSS; Precipitation Occurrence Sensor System) were available: One used for the reflectivity calibration by comparing disdrometer Z and radar Z and the other for deriving disdrometric R-Z relationships. The result shows the significant improvement with the disdrometric reflectivity-dependent R-Z relationships against the climatological R-Z relationship. The bias in radar rain estimation is reduced from +12% to -2% and the root-mean squared error from 16 to 10% for daily accumulation. Using the estimated radar rainfall rate with disdrometric R-Z relationships, the flood event was well captured with proper timing and amount.

Study on the Method of Estimating the Accumulation of Co-60 in Consideration of the Operating History of a NPP (원전 운전환경을 고려한 방사성폐기물 내 Co-60 재고량 평가 방안 연구)

  • Kim Tae-man;Whang Joo-ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Radioactive Waste Society Conference
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.145-150
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    • 2005
  • To dispose of radwaste in a repository, the safety of disposal must be ensured. This study developed a program for estimating radionuclide accumulation of radwaste, based on the material balance method, one of the indirect methods, and performed application evaluation during the 9th preventive maintenance period of Gori Plant 4, one of the commercial power plants in Korea. First of all, to ensure the technique developed in this study is assessed accurately, this study utilized the data regarding the radionuclide removal in the purification system during the shutdown water chemistry control, and a related estimation technique called SCALP. The target nuclide was Co-60, and it turned out that the relative error was less than $1\%$. The estimation result was compared with the result of direct measurement of the radwaste during the corresponding period as presented by commercial power plants. The result showed that the quantity of Co-60 measured by the direct method was about $50\%$ less than that calculated by the technique developed in this study.

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A Method of Estimating Radionuclide Accumulation in Coolant Purification System (원자력발전소 냉각수 정화계통의 핵종누적량 예측기법)

  • Whang, Joo-Ho;Lee, Jae-Min
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.183-193
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    • 1997
  • The amount and kinds of radionuclide contained in waste volume should be known to prepare for occupational exposure management, perform safety assessment and finally to license a repository. Although the volume of filters and resins are small, activities of them comprise most of the radioactivity that made during power generation. This study aims at developing a method of estimating the radionuclide accumulation at the filters and resins of coolant systems. In this study, accumulated amount of radionuclides is estimated by a computer program which makes use of instantaneous decontamination factor, DF, instead of average DF. A FORTRAN program was developed for the estimation. Data from in-plant source-term measurements at Rancho-Seco nuclear power plant in the United States are employed for verification of the estimating method. And experimental data are employed, too. The instantaneous-DF-method showed smaller error than the average-DF-method. Accumulated amount of radionuclides can be calculated with only the DF and the radionuclide concentration, which are measured periodically according to the operating guide. However, especially, when the operating condition of nuclear power plant changes rapidly, the measuring term of DF and radionuclide should be shortened to ensure the accurate estimation.

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Elimination of Idle Tones by a 2-Bit Adaptive Sigma-Delta Modulation System

  • Prosalentis, Evangelos;Tombras, George S.
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.393-398
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    • 2009
  • The operation of a first-order 2-bit adaptive sigma-delta modulation system is described and discussed in this paper. The system operation is based on the combination of both "memory" and "look-ahead" estimation in the employed step-size adaptation algorithm of the basic quantizer. In comparison to simple systems and other adaptive sigma-delta systems, computer simulation results show that these features of the described system are responsible for the high SNR values and the extended dynamic range achieved for AC signals as well as the noise power reduction of almost 10 dB and the complete elimination of the idle tones for DC signals. However, such an advantageous performance requires the least possible multiplicative error accumulation, and this cannot be achieved without analog circuits of the highest possible accuracy.

A Study on The Feliability Predication Model of Gyroscope (자이로의 신뢰성 예측모델에 관한 연구)

  • 백순흠;문홍기;김호룡
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 1993.10a
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    • pp.475-481
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    • 1993
  • The objective of this study is to develope the reliability prediction model for Float Rated Integrating Gyroscope( :FRIG) at maximum loading. The equation of motion for FRIG is firstly derived to set up the reliability prediction model. To analysis reliability or all parts of the gyro is not easy due to their complicated structure. Therefore the failure parts are chosen by Failure Mode Effective Analysis (:FMEA). F.E.M is utilized to calculate loads for the selseced rotating assembly and pivot / jewel. The technical reliability is calculated by applying reliability design theory with these results and the performance reliability is sought through distribution estimation with error test data. The bulk reliability of gyroscope is sought by applying the two results. The present prediction results are compared with the accumulation time in good agreement.

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An Adaptive Estimation Model for Propagation Errors Incurred by CD in FD-CD Transcoding (FD-CD 트랜스코딩기법에서 CD에 의한 전파 왜곡의 적응적 예측 모델)

  • Kim Jin-soo;Kim Jae-Gon
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.7 no.11
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    • pp.1571-1579
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    • 2004
  • Recently, FD(Frame Dropping)-CD(Coefficient Dropping) transcoding is considered mainly due to the low computational complexity and simple implementation. But, CD errors in the FD-CD transtoding scheme tend to be propagated and they have a significant effect on the qualities of decoded images. In this paper, we derive the error characteristics incurred by the CD operations and propose an effective estimation model that adaptively describes well the characteristics of propagation/accumulation errors in compressed domain. Furthermore, we apply the proposed model to distortion control achieving nearly constant distortion allocation among frames. Simulation results show that the proposed model is quite accurate in estimating the overall distortions and is effectively applied to distortion control over a range of sequences with varying scene types.

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A study on the Precision Pattern Measurement Based on Gradient Transition Vector (그라디언트 변이 벡터 기반 패턴 측정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Gyung Bum
    • Journal of the Semiconductor & Display Technology
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.45-50
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    • 2021
  • The adjustment of lens magnification can make the degree of precision in pattern measurement be improved, but several problems such as high cost, smaller field of view and stage error accumulation are followed. In this paper, a method for precisely measuring patterns is proposed based on gradient transition vector, in order to solve these problems. The performance of our method is evaluated using pattern images with several directions. Also, it is compared with previous methods based on edge and gray-level moment. It is judged that the proposed method outperforms consistent pattern width results, and so could be applied to automation processes for measurement and inspection of precise and complexed patterns in IT, BT industry products.