Journal of the Korean earth science society (한국지구과학회지)

The Korean Earth Science Society (한국지구과학회)
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The Adjustment of Radar Precipitation Estimation Based on the Kriging Method

크리깅 방법을 기반으로 한 레이더 강우강도 오차 조정

  • Kim, Kwang-Ho (Department of Environmental Atmospheric Sciences, Pukyong National University) ;
  • Kim, Min-seong (Department of Environmental Atmospheric Sciences, Pukyong National University) ;
  • Lee, Gyu-Won (Department of Astronomy and Atmospheric Sciences, Kyungpook National University) ;
  • Kang, Dong-Hwan (Geo-Sciences Institute, Pukyong National University) ;
  • Kwon, Byung-Hyuk (Department of Environmental Atmospheric Sciences, Pukyong National University)
  • 김광호 (부경대학교 환경대기과학과) ;
  • 김민성 (부경대학교 환경대기과학과) ;
  • 이규원 (경북대학교 천문대기과학과) ;
  • 강동환 (부경대학교 지구과학연구소) ;
  • 권병혁 (부경대학교 환경대기과학과)
  • Received : 2012.11.10
  • Accepted : 2013.01.09
  • Published : 2013.02.28
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Abstract

Quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) is one of the most important elements in meteorological and hydrological applications. In this study, we adjusted the QPE from an S-band weather radar based on co-kriging method using the geostatistical structure function of error distribution of radar rainrate. In order to estimate the accurate quantitative precipitation, the error of radar rainrate which is a primary variable of co-kriging was determined by the difference of rain rates from rain gauge and radar. Also, the gauge rainfield, a secondary variable of co-kriging is derived from the ordinary kriging based on raingauge network. The error distribution of radar rain rate was produced by co-kriging with the derived theoretical variogram determined by experimental variogram. The error of radar rain rate was then applied to the radar estimated precipitation field. Locally heavy rainfall case during 6-7 July 2009 is chosen to verify this study. Correlation between adjusted one-hour radar rainfall accumulation and rain gauge rainfall accumulation improved from 0.55 to 0.84 when compared to prior adjustment of radar error with the adjustment of root mean square error from 7.45 to 3.93 mm.

정량적인 강수량 추정은 기상학 수문학적 연구와 활용에 가장 중요한 요소 중 하나이다. 본 논문에서는 정량적 강수량 추정을 위하여 레이더 강우의 지리통계적 오차 구조 함수를 공동크리깅에 적용하여 레이더 강우강도를 조정하였다. 레이더 강우강도의 오차는 공동크리깅의 주변수로서 지상 우량계와 레이더의 강우강도의 차이로 산출되었다. 지상 우량계 강우장은 공동크리깅의 이차변수로서 정규크리깅에 의해 산출되었다. 레이더 강우강도의 오차 분포는 실험적 베리오그램으로 결정된 이론적 베리오그램을 공동크리깅에 적용하여 생성되었고, 레이더 강우강도 조정을 위하여 레이더 강우강도의 오차 분포를 레이더 강우장에 적용하였다. 본 연구의 검증을 위하여 국지적으로 호우가 발생하였던 2009년 7월 6일에서 7일까지의 강우 사례를 선정하였다. 오차가 조정된 1시간 레이더 누적강우량과 지상 우량계 누적강우량의 상관성은 조정 전에 비하여 0.55에서 0.84로 향상되었고, 평균제곱근오차는 7.45에서 3.93 mm로 조정되었다.

Keywords

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