• Title/Summary/Keyword: accident severity

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Prediction Models for the Severity of Traffic Accidents on Expressway On- and Off-Ramps (유입·유출특성을 고려한 고속도로 연결로의 교통사고 심각도 예측모형)

  • Yun, Il-Soo;Park, Sung-Ho;Yoon, Jung-Eun;Choi, Jin-Hyung;Han, Eum
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.101-111
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    • 2012
  • PURPOSES: Because expressway ramps are very complex segments where diverse roadway design elements dynamically change within relatively short length, drivers on ramps are required to drive their cars carefully for safety. Especially, ramps on expressways are designed to guarantee driving at high speed so that the risk and severity of traffic accidents on expressway ramps may be higher and more deadly than other facilities on expressways. Safe deceleration maneuvers are required on off-ramps, whereas safe acceleration maneuvers are necessary on onramps. This difference in required maneuvers may contribute to dissimilar patterns and severity of traffic accidents by ramp types. Therefore, this study was aimed at developing prediction models of the severity of traffic accidents on expressway on- and off-ramps separately in order to consider dissimilar patterns and severity of traffic accidents according to types of ramps. METHODS: Four-year-long traffic accident data between 2007 and 2010 were utilized to distinguish contributing design elements in conjunction with AADT and ramp length. The prediction models were built using the negative binomial regression model consisting of the severity of traffic accident as a dependent variable and contributing design elements as in independent variables. RESULTS: The developed regression models were evaluated using the traffic accident data of the ramps which was not used in building the models by comparing actual and estimated severity of traffic accidents. Conclusively, the average prediction error rates of on-ramps and offramps were 30.5% and 30.8% respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The prediction models for the severity of traffic accidents on expressway on- and off-ramps will be useful in enhancing the safety on expressway ramps as well as developing design guidelines for expressway ramps.

Development of Severity Model for Elderly Pedestrian Accidents Considering Urban Facility Factor (도시 시설 특성을 반영한 고령 보행자의 사고 심각도 모형 개발)

  • Choi, Sung Taek;Lee, Hyang Sook;Choo, Sang Ho;Kim, Su Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.94-103
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    • 2015
  • This study analyzes the influence factors on elderly pedestrian accident. Elderly people are easy to be badly injured by car accidents compared to younger people. Therefore, various plans and measures are required to protect elderly pedestrian from accidents. However, pedestrian accidents studies only focused on microscopic factors such as attribute of driver, pedestrian, road design. In order to prevent pedestrian accident and reduce the severity of the accident, not only microscopic factors but macroscopic variables such as urban planning and facility should be considered. In this regard, this study develops an ordered probit model introduced the characteristics of urban facility which were not considered in the previous studies. The result shows that there is higher level of accident severity in such areas as large commercial area, well-developed area with transportation infrastructure service and non-pedestrian safety zone. Thus, various and appropriate countermeasures should be prepared in order that pedestrian accident can be prevented in the areas mentioned above. In addition to the aforementioned variables, it is revealed that other variables including vehicle speed, gender and age of pedestrian, weather condition, type of vehicle, etc. partly affect the severity of pedestrian accident.

Relationship between Severity of Physical Trauma and Subsequent the Severity of PTSD Symptoms in Traffic Accident Related PTSD Patients (교통사고 관련 외상후 스트레스 장애 환자에서 신체적 외상의 정도와 외상후 스트레스 장애 증상의 심각도 사이의 관계)

  • Lee, Ji-Youn;Na, Chul;Cho, Ju-Yeon
    • Korean Journal of Psychosomatic Medicine
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.28-34
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    • 1998
  • Objective: This study was designed to evaluate the etiological factors of the PTSD(post traumatic stress disorder) by examining the relationship between severity of physical trauma and subsequent the severity of PTSD symptom in traffic accident related PTSD patients. Method: Subjects were 21 psychiatric inpatients with history of traffic accident related PTSD(DSM-IV criteria), the purpose of evaluation of mental disability and no evidence of organic brain leisons. The severity of physical trauma was assessed by McBride number of nonpsychiatric department and the presence / absence of loss of conciousness. The severity of PTSD symptom was assessed by Hovens' self rating inventory for PTSD. And then we evaluated the correlation between these two factors. And we also evaluated relationship between severity of PTSD symtom and clinical variables. Results : There were no significant relationship between McBride number of nonpsychiatric department severity and symptomatic severity(r= 0.17, p<0.05), the presence / absence of loss of conciousness and symptomatic severity(p>0.05). And significant relationship between symptomatic severity and clinical varibles such as sex, education level, marital status(p<0.05). Conclusions : These data did not support data of previous studies that traumatic severity was correlated with symptom severity but, suggested that other variables affecting the severity of PTSD symptom is more important indirectly. And that the 'trauma' in PTSD is psychological meaning rather than physical meaning is also suggested.

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Factors affecting injury severity of occupant in rollover accident (전복사고에서의 탑승자 손상중증도에 미치는 요인 분석)

  • Hyuk Jin Jeon;Sang Chul Kim;Kang Hyun Lee;Ho Jung Kim
    • Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.22-26
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    • 2014
  • Fatality of accidents on curved roads where rollover accidents are likely to take place was higher than that on straight roads. We ought to investigate factors affecting injury severity of occupant in a vehicle rollover accident. From January 2011 to December 2013, we collected data about rollover motor vehicle crash accident. We surveyed occupant's injury, vehicle type, safety devices, type of rollover accident and the number of turn in accident. Of the 132 subjects, 56.1% were males, 50.8% were drivers, 48.5% fastened seat belt, and air bag deployed in 12.1%. Among injuries sustained head, chest and abdomen were major sites of severe injury(Abbreviated injury scale>2). Seat belt use, rollover type, and the number of 1/4 turn were found to have significant positive correlations with Injury Severity Score. The regression analysis herein found significance in safety belt use and the number of 1/4 turn. Seat belt use was a significant factor affecting injury severe of occupant in rollover accident.

Analysis on Factors Affecting Traffic Accident Severity - Case Study : Arterial Included Curve Section - (교통사고심각도 영향요인 분석에 관한 연구 - 곡선부가 포함된 국도를 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Jae Hong;Yun, Duk Geun;Sung, Jung Gon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.84-89
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    • 2013
  • The main causes of traffic accidents can be classified by 3 factors - human error, vehicle deficiency and road environmental problem and most accidents occurs not only 1 factor but combination of 2 or 3-factors. Among these factors, road environmental factor is the most important factor due to influence the behavior of cars and road users and road environmental factor affects 30% of total accidents approximately. The 5 years traffic accidents data analyzed to verify the accidents severity on Korea National Highways. In order to analyze the severity, Ordered Probit Model was used. As a independent variables of this model the number of lane, neighbor road environments, sight distance, vertical grade, lane width, shoulder width and traffic volume were used and as a dependent variables the minor injuries, serious injuries and fatalities were used. Research results shows that sight distance and lane width are identified as significant factors for the traffic accident severity and lesser sight distance and lane width shows greater traffic accident severity.

A Development of Models for Analyzing Traffic Accident Injury Severity for Signalized Intersections (신호교차로 안전성 향상을 위한 사고심각도 모형개발)

  • Ha, Oh-Keun;Hu, Ec;Won, Jai-Mu
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.65-71
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    • 2008
  • As the interest in traffic safety has been increasing recently, social movement is being made to reduce the number of traffic accidents and the view on improving the mobility of the existing roads is being converted into on establishing traffic safety as a priority. The increase of traffic accidents related to an intersection in a state that traffic accidents are decreasing overall may suggests the necessity to investigate the specific causes. In addition, we have to consider them when establishing the measures against traffic accidents in a intersection by investigating and analyzing the influences and factors that may affect traffic accidents. To induce the accident severity model, we collected the factors that affect accidents and then applied the Poisson Regression Model among nonlinear regression analysis by verifying the distribution of variables. As a result of the analysis, it turned out that the volume of traffic on main roads, the right turn ratio on sub-roads, the number of ways out on sub-roads, the number of exclusive roads for a left turn, the signals for a right turn on main roads, and an intersect angle were the factors that affect the accident severity.

Severity Analysis for Vulnerable Pedestrian Accident Utilizing Vehicle Recorder Database of Taxi (택시 영상DB를 활용한 교통약자 보행자 사고의 심각도 분석)

  • Chung, JaeHoon;Sul, Jaehoon;Choi, SungTaek;Rho, JeongHyun;Lee, Jisun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.98-106
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    • 2014
  • This study proposes severity analysis for pedestrian accidents by improving variables which were used for general severity analysis. The existing variables were collected based on the interviews with policeman or witnesses and evidence of accidents. Therefore, existing variables were subjective and had several measurement errors. In order to improve such problems, this study collected variables from vehicle recorder of taxi which recorded the moment of accidents. As a result, explanatory power of independent variables was enhanced and the complete objective variables could be collected. After collecting variables, ordered probit model was developed by utilizing vehicle recorder database. Fitness of ordered probit model was 0.23. Vehicle speed and pedestrian's eye direction variables were the most critical factors for severity of pedestrian accident. In addition, severity analysis for vulnerable pedestrian was carried out. As a result, it was revealed that vehicle speed, pedestrian's eye direction and safety zone variables affected the severity of pedestrian accidents most. Particularly, vehicle speed variable is the most important factor. Consequently, driver's defensive driving and compliance to the regulations are the priority to reduce severity of pedestrian accidents and prevent pedestrian accident.

Proposed TATI Model for Predicting the Traffic Accident Severity (교통사고 심각 정도 예측을 위한 TATI 모델 제안)

  • Choo, Min-Ji;Park, So-Hyun;Park, Young-Ho
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.10 no.8
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    • pp.301-310
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    • 2021
  • The TATI model is a Traffic Accident Text to RGB Image model, which is a methodology proposed in this paper for predicting the severity of traffic accidents. Traffic fatalities are decreasing every year, but they are among the low in the OECD members. Many studies have been conducted to reduce the death rate of traffic accidents, and among them, studies have been steadily conducted to reduce the incidence and mortality rate by predicting the severity of traffic accidents. In this regard, research has recently been active to predict the severity of traffic accidents by utilizing statistical models and deep learning models. In this paper, traffic accident dataset is converted to color images to predict the severity of traffic accidents, and this is done via CNN models. For performance comparison, we experiment that train the same data and compare the prediction results with the proposed model and other models. Through 10 experiments, we compare the accuracy and error range of four deep learning models. Experimental results show that the accuracy of the proposed model was the highest at 0.85, and the second lowest error range at 0.03 was shown to confirm the superiority of the performance.

Analysis of the Impact Factors of Peak and Non-peak Time Accident Severity Using XGBoost (XGBoost를 활용한 첨두, 비첨두시간 사고 심각도 영향요인 분석)

  • Je Min Seong;Byoung Jo Yoon
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.440-447
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: The number of registered vehicles in Korea continues to increase. As traffic volume increases gradually due to improved quality of life, the severity of accidents is expected to increase and congestion problems are also expected. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze the accident factors of pointed traffic accidents and non-pointed traffic accidents. Method: The severity of the apical and non-pointed traffic accidents in Incheon Metropolitan City is analyzed by dividing them into apical and non-pointed traffic accidents to investigate the factors affecting the accident. XGBoost machine learning techniques were applied to analyze the severity of pointed and non-pointed traffic accidents and visualized as plot through the results. Result: It was analyzed that during non-peak hours, such as the case of the victim's vehicle type at peak times, the victim's vehicle type and construction machinery are variables that increase the severity of the accident. Conclusion: It is meaningful to derive the seriousness factors of apical and non-pointed accidents, and it is hoped that it will be used to reduce congestion costs by reducing the seriousness of accidents in the case of apical and non-pointed in the future.

Injury Analysis of a 12-passenger Van Rollover Accident (12인승 밴 전복사고의 상해 분석)

  • Kim, S.C.;Choi, H.Y.;Kim, B.W.;Park, G.J.;An, S.M.;Lee, K.H.
    • Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.20-26
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    • 2018
  • The fatality of rollover accidents in motor vehicle crashes is high despite their low incidence. Through the investigation of a 12-passenger van rollover accident in which 10 passengers were involved, we intend to analyze the correlation between the severity of the injury and the position of the occupants. We collected accident information from medical records, interviews, photo-images of the damaged van, field surveys, and the results of the Korean New Car Assessment Program (KNCAP). Based on the occupants' position, we classified injury sites and estimated injury severity. Passenger injury severity was evaluated by trauma score calculation. The initiation type of the rollover accident was passenger side 'fall-over' and the Collision Deformation Classification (CDC) code for the damaged van was 00TDZO3. The crash of the van involved 10 passengers, with an average age of $16.3{\pm}4.2years$. Few of the occupants had fastened seat belts at the time of the incident, and there was no airbag installed. One patient sustained severe liver injury and another was diagnosed with a fracture of the right humerus. The most common injuries were at the upper extremities and the neck. The average of Injury Severity Score (ISS) was $4.8{\pm}5.9$, and the average ISS of right-seated, mid-seated and left-seated occupants was $7.5{\pm}9.3$, $1.5{\pm}0.7$, and $3.3{\pm}2.1$ respectively (p>0.05). In the rollover (to-passenger side) accident of occupant unfastened, the average ISS of right-seated occupants (near side) was higher, but there was no statistically significant difference.