• Title/Summary/Keyword: accident severity

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Development of Quantitative Risk Assessment Methodology for the Maritime Transportation Accident of Merchant Ship (상선 운항 사고의 양적 위기평가기법 개발)

  • Yim, Jeong-Bin
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.9-19
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    • 2009
  • This paper describes empirical approach methodology for the quantitative risk assessment of maritime transportation accident (MTA) of a merchant ship. The principal aim of this project is to estimate the risk of MTA that could degrade the ship safety by analyzing the underlying factors contributing to MTA based on the IMO's Formal Safety Assessment techniques and, by assessing the probabilistic risk level of MTA based on the quantitative risk assessment methodology. The probabilistic risk level of MTA to Risk Index (RI) composed with Probability Index (PI) and Severity Index (SI) can be estimated from proposed Maritime Transportation Accident Model (MTAM) based on Bayesian Network with Bayesian theorem Then the applicability of the proposed MTAM can be evaluated using the scenario group with 355 core damaged accident history. As evaluation results, the correction rate of estimated PI, $r_{Acc}$ is shown as 82.8%, the over ranged rate of PI variable sensitivity with $S_p{\gg}1.0$ and $S_p{\ll}1.0$ is shown within 10%, the averaged error of estimated SI, $\bar{d_{SI}}$ is shown as 0.0195 and, the correction rate of estimated RI, $r_{Acc}$(%), is shown as 91.8%. These results clearly shown that the proposed accident model and methodology can be use in the practical maritime transportation field.

Multinomial Logit Framework to Evaluate the Impact of Seating Position on Senior Occupant Injury Severity in Traffic Accidents (고령탑승자의 좌석별 상해정도에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Jaesung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.141-150
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    • 2017
  • A rapid increase in traffic accidents involving senior vehicle occupants has been an issue in Korea because of the aging of the population occurring at one of the fastest rates in the world; unfortunately, few studies beyond several looking at the effect of senior occupants on the level of accident injury severity can be found in the literature. A Multinomial logit model was estimated with Newton-Raphson algorithm to perform bias-reducing penalized likelihood optimization. Model covariates integral to developing the model were included, but the main focus was on the interaction of seating position and injury to senior vehicle occupants. It was found that the likelihood of an accident resulting in a fatality increased: 2.2 times for the driver seat, 2.7 times for the front passenger seat, and even 6.7 times for the rear seat. A mandatory seatbelt law to be extended to the rear seat needs to pass the assembly as soon as possible, and government, industry, and safety groups should be encouraged to join forces to strongly carry out targeted campaigns for the wearing of seatbelts in all vehicle seats to enhance the safety of senior occupants as well as other occupants who are vulnerable to road traffic accidents.

Development of a Work-Related Injury and Illness Monitoring Geographic Information System using Workers' Compensation Insurance Big Data (산재보험 빅데이터를 활용한 산재 모니터링 지리정보시스템 개발)

  • Yoo, Dong Hee;Chung, Suk Hoon;Lee, Jeong Hwa;Choi, Keun Ho
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.217-238
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    • 2022
  • Purpose This study aims to develop a work-related injury and illness monitoring geographic information system that analyzes and visualizes the types of work-related injury and illness based on workers' compensation insurance big data. Design/methodology/approach Using the developed system, we explained the process of monitoring the areas of the applied workplace, medical care application, index, and medical care institution. We also showed examples of analyzing the index and medical care institution area. By applying the system, we can intuitively recognize the current status of workers' compensation insurance and confirm the basic information necessary for managing the current status of workers' compensation insurance. Findings We generated more helpful information by combining workers' compensation insurance data and designated medical care institution data. We were able to apply the severity score and the vulnerability index of work-related injury and illness to the system as a demonstration. To efficiently manage workers' compensation insurance, it was necessary to integrate workers' compensation insurance and designated medical care institution data, as well as the data from various sources.

EFT and Korean Medicine Treatment for ASD Induced by a Traffic Accident: A Case Report (교통사고 상해증후군 환자의 급성 스트레스 장애에 시행한 한의치료와 EFT 치료 치험 1례)

  • Chaewon Son;Jinyoug Kang;Backjun Kim;Wonjeong Ha;Hwan Kim
    • Journal of Oriental Neuropsychiatry
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.115-124
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    • 2023
  • Objectives: To report the efficacy of using EFT and Korean medicine treatment for ASD induced by a traffic accident. Methods: We treated ASD symptoms with Korean medicine (acupuncture, cupping, interferential current therapy, herbal acupuncture therapy). To evaluate results of this treatment, Korean version of PTSD Checklist-5 (PCL-5-K), Beck Depression Inventory (BDI), Insomnia Severity Index (ISI), and Numeric rating scale (NRS) at first visit, 5 weeks, and 12 weeks were used. Results: Korean version of PTSD Checklist-5 (PCL-5-K), Beck Depression Inventory (BDI), Insomnia Severity Index (ISI), and Numeric rating scale (NRS) showed improvements after treatments. Conclusions: This study suggests that Korean medicine and EFT treatment might be effective for ASD.

Analysis on the Driving Safety and Investment Effect using Severity Model of Fatal Traffic Accidents (대형교통사고 심각도 모형에 의한 주행안전성 및 투자효과 분석)

  • Lim, Chang-Sik;Choi, Yang-Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.103-114
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    • 2011
  • In this study, we discuss a fatal accident severity model obtained from the analysis of 112 crash sites collected since 2000, and the resulting relationship between fatal accidents and roadway geometry design. From the 720 times computer simulations for improving driving safety, we then reached the following conclusions:. First, the result of cross and frequency-analyses on the car accident sites showed that 43.7% of the accidents occurred on the curved roads, 60.7% on the vertical curve section, 57.2% on the roadways with radius of curvature of 0 to 24m, 83.9% on the roads with superelevation of 0.1 to 2.0% and 49.1% on the one-way 2-lane roads; vehicle types involved are passenger vehicles (33.0%), trucks (20.5%) and buses (14.3%) in order of frequency. The results also show that the superelevation is the most influencing factor for the fatal accidents. Second, employing the Ordered Probit Model (OPM), we developed a severity model for fatal accidents being a function of on various road conditions so as to the damages can be predicted. The proposed model possibly assists the practitioners to predict dangerous roadway segments, and to take appropriate measures in advance. Third, computer simulation runs show that providing adequate superelevation on the segment where a fatal accident occurred could reduce similar fatal accidents by at least 85%. This result indicates that the regulations specified in the Rule for Road Structure and Facility Standard (description and guidelines) should be enhanced to include more specific requirement for providing the superelevation.

Factors Contributing to Mortality for Patients at a Newly-designated Regional Trauma Center (중증 외상 특성화 센터에서 사망률에 영향을 미치는 인자 분석)

  • Chang, Ikwan;Kim, Hoon;Shin, Hee Jun;Joen, Woo Chan;Park, Joon Min;Shin, Dong Wun;Park, Jun Seok;Kim, Kyung Hwan;Park, Je Hoon;Choi, Seung Woon
    • Journal of Trauma and Injury
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.188-195
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: An increase in the demand for specialized Trauma Centers led to a government-driven campaign, that began in 2009. Our hospital was selected as one of the Trauma Centers, and we reviewed data on trauma patients in order to correlate the mortality at a regional Trauma Center with its contributing factors, such as the severity of the injury, the means of arrival, and the time duration before arrival at our center. Methods: Data on the patients who visited our Trauma Center from January 2010 to November 2011 were retrospectively reviewed using electronic medical records. The patients who had revised trauma scores (RTSs) less than 7 or injury severity scores (ISSs) greater than 15 were included. The patients were categorized as survivors and non-survivors, and the means of arrival as transferred or visited directly. Time durations before arrival of less than one hour were also taken intoconsideration. Results: Two hundred(200) patients were enrolled, and the mortality rate was 36.5%. The most common cause of the accident was an automobile accident, and the most common cause of death was brain injury. The RTSs and the ISSs were significantly different in the non-survivor and the survivor groups. The mortality rate of the patients who were transferred was not statistically different from that of patients who visited directly. However, a time duration before arrival of less than one hour was statistically meaningful. Conclusion: The prognosis of the trauma patients were correlated with the severity of the trauma as can be expected, but the time between the incidence of accident and the arrival at hospital and whether the presence of transfer to trauma center were not statistically significant to the prognosis.

Modeling Traffic Accident Characteristics and Severity Related to Drinking-Driving (음주교통사고 영향요인과 심각도 분석을 위한 모형설정)

  • Jang, Taeyoun;Park, Hyunchun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.6D
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    • pp.577-585
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    • 2010
  • Traffic accidents are caused by several factors such as drivers, vehicles, and road environment. It is necessary to investigate and analyze them in advance to prevent similar and repetitive traffic accidents. Especially, the human factor is most significant element and traffic accidents by drinking-driving caused from human factor have become social problem to be paid attention to. The study analyzes traffic accidents resulting from drinking-driving and the effects of driver's attributes and environmental factors on them. The study is composed as two parts. First, the log-linear model is applied to analyze that accidents by drinking or non-drinking driving associate with road geometry, weather condition and personal characteristics. Probability is tested for drinking-driving accidents relative to non-drinking drive accidents. The study analyzes probability differences between genders, between ages, and between kinds of vehicles through odds multipliers. Second, traffic accidents related to drinking are classified into property damage, minor injury, heavy injury, and death according to their severity. Heavy injury is more serious than minor one and death is more serious than heavy injury. The ordinal regression models are established to find effecting factors on traffic accident severity.

The Activation Plan of Variable Speed Control of Considering Urban Freeway Continuos Traffic Characteristics (In Busan Metropolitan City) (도시고속도로 연속류의 교통특성을 고려한 가변속도제어 활성화 방안 - 부산광역시를 중심으로 -)

  • Jeong, Yong-Hwa;Choi, Yang-Won;Lim, Chang-Sik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.627-635
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    • 2014
  • Currently the highest speed limit on the road traffic congestion or because you can not cope with climate change to cause a traffic accident may be a factor. According to the Road Traffic Act as well as 20% to 50% in case of inclement weather, but the driver must slow speed left to the judgment of the difficulties, and to slow the vehicle and the relative velocity between the vehicle does not run longer be a big influence on the environment and safety. Thus, variable speed control for drivers on the road, specify the appropriate maximum speed limit in bad weather It keeps motorists slowed the run rate to prevent accidents or reduce the severity of accident damage is expected to be possible. The purpose of this study is the frequent traffic accidents Continuous Busan (City Freeway) around the variable speed control in the appropriate sections so that it can be done by analyzing the characteristics of traffic accidents were the severity of the accident. Highway and urban environment, the geometry of the structure because it has a lot of Curved planar point compared to wet and dry road surfaces by simulated rain wet had bom the more the speed the greater the risk of an accident was the result. Based on these results, the primary section, first urban highway tunnel, near the lamp, near Toll Plaza, near binary Outlet after considering various factors such as speed reduction is needed in the first period by conducting awareness and recognize the need for the participation of the driver and the future city installation and operation of highways in all sectors is expected to be expanded.

Characteristics and Severity of Side Right-Angle Collisions at Signalized Intersections (신호교차로의 측면직각 층돌사고 특성과 심각도)

  • Park, Jeong-Soon;Park, Gil-Soo;Kim, Tae-Young;Park, Byung-Ho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.199-211
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    • 2008
  • This study deals with the side right-angle collisions of 4-legged signalized intersections in Cheongju. The goals are to analyze the characteristics of accidents and to find out the accident factors that affect severity using ordered probit model. In pursuing the above, the study uses the data of 580 side right-angle collisions occurred at the 181 intersections(2004-2005). The analyses show that more accidents were occurred in the nighttime and in going straight. The main cause was analyzed to be the red-light violation. Also, the main results of modeling are the following, First, the likelihood ratio index is 0.094 and t-ratio values that explain goodness of fit are significant. Second, minor road traffic volumes, minor road lanes, major road left-turn lanes, major road left-turn signal, major road yellow signal time, cross angle, major and minor road speed limits are significant factors affecting crash severities at signalized intersections.

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Analysis of the Feature Importance of Occupational Accidents Occurring at Construction Sites on the Severity of Lost Workdays (건설 현장에서 발생한 업무상 재해가 근로손실일수 심각도에 미치는 특징 중요도 분석)

  • Kang, Kyung-Su;Choi, Jae-Hyun;Ryu, Han-Guk
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.165-174
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    • 2021
  • The construction industry causes the most accidents and fatalities among all industries. Although many efforts have been made to reduce safety accidents in construction, the study on the lost workdays that return to work place is insufficient. Therefore, this study proposes a model that classifies the lost workdays lost into moderate and severity, and derives the importance of variable and analyzes important factors through the trained random forest model. We analyze the learning process of the random forest which is a black box model, and extracted important variables that impact on the severity of the lost workdays through the extracted feature importance. The factors existing inside were analyzed through the extracted variables. The purpose of this study is to analyze the accident case data at the construction site through a random forest model and to review variables that have a high impact on the lost workdays. In the future, this sutdy can apply to improve construction safety management and reduce the accident of industrial accidents.