Browse > Article
http://dx.doi.org/10.12652/Ksce.2010.30.6D.577

Modeling Traffic Accident Characteristics and Severity Related to Drinking-Driving  

Jang, Taeyoun (전북대학교 도시공학과)
Park, Hyunchun (전북대학교 건축도시공학과)
Publication Information
KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research / v.30, no.6D, 2010 , pp. 577-585 More about this Journal
Abstract
Traffic accidents are caused by several factors such as drivers, vehicles, and road environment. It is necessary to investigate and analyze them in advance to prevent similar and repetitive traffic accidents. Especially, the human factor is most significant element and traffic accidents by drinking-driving caused from human factor have become social problem to be paid attention to. The study analyzes traffic accidents resulting from drinking-driving and the effects of driver's attributes and environmental factors on them. The study is composed as two parts. First, the log-linear model is applied to analyze that accidents by drinking or non-drinking driving associate with road geometry, weather condition and personal characteristics. Probability is tested for drinking-driving accidents relative to non-drinking drive accidents. The study analyzes probability differences between genders, between ages, and between kinds of vehicles through odds multipliers. Second, traffic accidents related to drinking are classified into property damage, minor injury, heavy injury, and death according to their severity. Heavy injury is more serious than minor one and death is more serious than heavy injury. The ordinal regression models are established to find effecting factors on traffic accident severity.
Keywords
drinking-driving; log-linear model; severity; ordinal regression model; traffic accident;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 1  (Citation Analysis)
연도 인용수 순위
1 서울경제(2010) 2010년 5월 14일자.
2 오경근(2009) 날씨가 음주운전 결정에 미치는 영향. 교통안전교육논문. 도로교통공단 전북지부.
3 장영채, 황정현(2007) 음주운전 교통사고 감소를 위한 제언. 교통 기술과 정책, 제4권 제4호. pp. 143-160.
4 정신교(2008) 음주운전과 도로의 범위. 교통기술과 정책, 제5권 제4호 pp. 35-44.
5 최상진, 손영미, 김정인, 박정열 (2001) 음주운전 결정요인에 관한 심리학적 연구. 대학교통학회지, 대한교통학회, 제19권 제6호, pp. 33-47.
6 Agresti, Alan (1990) Ategorical Data Analysis. New York: John Wiley & Sons.
7 Ahlm, K., Bjornstig, U., and Ostrom, M. (2009) Alcohol and drugs in fatally and non-fatally injured motor vehicle drivers in Northern Sweden. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 41. pp. 129-136.   DOI   ScienceOn
8 Burgess, M. and Lindsey, T. (1997) Alcohol Involvement in Fatal Traffic Accidents 1995. Technical Report DOT HS 808-547. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. US DOT, Washington, D.C.
9 Chen, M., Grube, J., Nygaard, P., and Miller, B. (2008) Identifying social mechanisms for the prevention of adolescent drinking and driving. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 40, pp. 576-585.   DOI   ScienceOn
10 Connor, J., Norton, R., Ameratunga, S., and Jackson, R. (2004) The contribution of alcohol to serious car crash injuries. Epidemiology, Vol. 15, pp. 337-344.   DOI   ScienceOn
11 Elvik, R. and Vaa, T. (2004) The Handbook Road Safety Measures. Elsevier.
12 Ferrante, A., Rosman, D., and Marom, Y. (2001) Novice drink drivers, recidivism and crash involvement. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 33, pp. 221-227.   DOI   ScienceOn
13 Fillmore, M., Blackburn, J., and Harrison, E. (2008) Acute disinhibiting effects of alcohol as a factor in risky driving behavior. Drug and Alcohol Dependence, Vol. 95. pp. 97-106.   DOI   ScienceOn
14 Greene, W. (2000) Econometric Analysis. Prentice Hall International, Inc.
15 Gustin, J. and Simons, J. (2008) Perceptions of level intoxication and risk rel ated to drinkin and driving. Addictive Behavior, Vol. 33, pp. 605-615.   DOI   ScienceOn
16 Hingson, R., Heeren, T., and Zakocs, R. (2001) Age of drinking onset and involvement in phusical fights after drinking. Pediatrics, Vol. 108, pp. 872-877.   DOI   ScienceOn
17 Hingson, R., Heeren, T., Levenson, S., Jamanka, A., and Voas, R. (2002) Age of drinking onset, driving after drinking and involvement in alcohol related motor-vehicle crashes. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 34. pp. 85-92.   DOI   ScienceOn
18 Hingson, R., Heeren, T., Winter, M., and Wechsler, H. (2005) Magnitude of alcohol-related mortality and morbidity among US College Students Ages 18-24: Changes from 1998 to 2001. Annual Review Public Health, Vol. 26, pp. 259-279.   DOI   ScienceOn
19 Horwood, J. and Fergusson, D. (2000) Drunk driving and traffic accidents in young people. Accident Analysis and Prevention 32. pp. 805-814.   DOI   ScienceOn
20 Hoyert, D., Kung, H., and Smith, B. (2005) Deaths: Preliminary data for 2003. National Vital Statistics Reports, Vol. 53, No. 15. National Center for Health Statistics, Hyattsville, MD.
21 Levitt, S. and Porter, J. (1999) Estimating the Effect of Alcohol on Driver Risk Using Only Fatal Accident Statistics (Working paper series NO. 6944). Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economics Research.
22 Pendleton, O., Hatfield, N., and Bremer, R. (1986) Alcohol Involvement in Texas Driver Fatalities: Accident Reports Versus Blood Alcohol Concentration. TRB 1068.
23 McKelvey, R. and Zavoina, W. (1975) A statistic model for the analysis of ordinal level dependent variables. Journal of Math. Sociol., Vol. 4, pp. 103-120.   DOI
24 Movig, K. and Matthijssen, M., Nagel, P., Van Egmond, T., De Gier, J. Leutkens, H., and Egberts, A. (2004) Psychoactive substance use and the risk of motor vehicle accidents. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 36, pp. 631-636.   DOI   ScienceOn
25 Ogden, K. W. (1996) Safer Roads: A Guide to Road Safety Engineering. Avebury Technical.
26 Shinar, D. and Compton, R. (2004) Aggressive driving: an observation study of driver, vehicle, and situational variables. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 36, pp. 429-437.   DOI   ScienceOn
27 VanIaar, W. (2005) Multilevel modeling in traffic safety research: two empirical example illustrating the consequences of ignoring hierarchies. Traffic Injury Preview, Vol. 6, pp. 311-316.   DOI   ScienceOn
28 Vanlaar, W. (2008) Less is more: The influence of traffic count on drinking and driving behavior. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 40, pp. 1018-1022.   DOI   ScienceOn
29 Zakletskaia, L., Mundt, M., Balousek, S., Wilson, E., and Fleming, M. (2009) Alcohol-impaired driving behavior and sensationseeking disposition in a college population receiving routine care at campus health services centers. Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 41, pp. 380-386.   DOI   ScienceOn
30 Zakrajsek, J. and Shope, J. (2006) Longitudinal examination of underage drinking and subsequent drinking and risky driving. Journal of Safety Research, Vol. 37, pp. 443-451.   DOI   ScienceOn