• 제목/요약/키워드: accident density

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존별 특성을 반영한 교통사고밀도 모형 - 청주시 사례를 중심으로 - (Traffic Accident Density Models Reflecting the Characteristics of the Traffic Analysis Zone in Cheongju)

  • 김경용;백태헌;임진강;박병호
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제17권6호
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    • pp.75-83
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    • 2015
  • PURPOSES : This study deals with the traffic accidents classified by the traffic analysis zone. The purpose is to develop the accident density models by using zonal traffic and socioeconomic data. METHODS : The traffic accident density models are developed through multiple linear regression analysis. In this study, three multiple linear models were developed. The dependent variable was traffic accident density, which is a measure of the relative distribution of traffic accidents. The independent variables were various traffic and socioeconomic variables. CONCLUSIONS : Three traffic accident density models were developed, and all models were statistically significant. Road length, trip production volume, intersections, van ratio, and number of vehicles per person in the transportation-based model were analyzed to be positive to the accident. Residential and commercial area ratio and transportation vulnerability ratio obtained using the socioeconomic-based model were found to affect the accident. The major arterial road ratio, trip production volume, intersection, van ratio, commercial ratio, and number of companies in the integrated model were also found to be related to the accident.

국내 교통사고 밀도 모형 개발 (Development of Accident Density Model in Korea)

  • 박나영;김태양;박병호
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.130-135
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    • 2017
  • This study deal with the traffic accident. The purpose of this study is to develop the accident density models reflecting the transportation and socioeconomic characteristics based on 230 zones of Korea. In this study, The models which are tested to be statistically significant are developed through multiple linear regression analysis. The main research results are as follows. First, in the transportation-based model, road length, avenue ratio, number of intersections and tunnels are analyzed to be positive to the model, however, school zone is analyzed to be negative to the model. Second, in the socioeconomic-based model, population density, transportation vulnerable ratio, children and truck ratio are analyzed to be positive to the model. Finally, in the integrated models, road ratio, population density, transportation vulnerable ratio, children ratio, truck ratio and number of companies are analyzed to be positive, however, school zone is analyzed to be negative to the model. This results could be expected to give good implications to accident-reduction policy-making.

교통사고 데이터와 GIS를 이용한 보행자사고 개선구역 선정 : 서울시를 대상으로 (A Selection of High Pedestrian Accident Zones Using Traffic Accident Data and GIS: A Case Study of Seoul)

  • 양종현;김정옥;유기윤
    • 한국측량학회지
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    • 제34권3호
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    • pp.221-230
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구에서는 보행자사고 개선구역 선정을 위한 객관적 기준 마련을 위해 서울시의 2009년~2013년 보행자사고 54,208건에 대해서 Getis-ord Gi*와 커널 밀도를 결합하여 보행자사고 개선구역을 선정하였다. Getis-ord Gi*를 통해 보행자사고 발생 지점의 공간적 분포를 고려하여 보행자사고 핫스팟이 군집된 보행자사고 개선구역을 선정할 수 있었고 값을 통해 선정된 구역 간의 우선순위를 판별할 수 있었다. 그리고 보행자사고 개선구역 내부에 대해 커널밀도추정을 시행함으로써 사고 발생 지점의 미시적인 분포를 파악하고 사고 발생에 중대한 영향을 미치는 핫스팟을 식별할 수 있었다. 또한, 핫스팟에서 높은 밀도 레벨을 가지는 부분을 확인함으로써 핫스팟 내부를 분석할 수 있었다.

토지이용 및 교통특성을 반영한 교통사고 예측모형 개발 연구 (Development of Traffic Accident Forecasting Models Considering Urban-Transportation System Characteristics)

  • 박준태;장일준;손의영;이수범
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제29권6호
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    • pp.39-56
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구에서는 서울시 자치구(행정구역) 중심의 거시적 사고예측모형을 개발하였다. 사고예측모형 개발과정에서 서울시 전체를 하나의 모형식으로 개발하지 않고 지역 토지이용(개발밀도)과 교통사고빈도와의 관계를 분석하여 토지이용 유형에 따른 사고예측모형을 개발하였다. 토지이용과 교통사고빈도와의 관계에서 개발밀도(연상면적)가 높을수록 교통사고빈도가 높게 나타나는 상관성을 파악하였으며 주거연상면적, 상업연상면적, 업무연상면적 모두 교통사고와 반응하는 특징이 다름을 확인할 수 있었다. 총 4개의 유형구분이 가능하였으며 각 유형에 대한 지역특성과 사고특성을 살펴보았다. 4개 유형의 모형에 반영된 설명변수는 공통변수와 각 유형별로 상이한 특성변수가 도출되어 지역적 특성이 모형에 반영된 것으로 판단할 수 있다. 사회 경제적 변수로는 통행을 유발 유입시키는 교통활동을 대변할 수 있는 변수가 채택되었으며 교통여건 변수로는 교통시설 및 안전과 관련된 변수가 채택되었다.

무단횡단사고를 고려한 노인 보행 교통사고 취약 지역 선정 연구 (Research on Selection of Vulnerable Areas to Walking Traffic Accidents for the Elderly Considering Jaywalking Accidents)

  • 홍기만;임이정;김종훈;송재인
    • 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.341-350
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    • 2021
  • 연구목적: 본 연구는 보행사고 감소를 위해 도입되고 있는 교통안전시스템의 적용 지역에 대하여 우선 순위를 선정하기 위한 분석 방법을 제시하는데 목적이 있다. 연구방법: 사고지점의 좌표 정보를 이용한 Kernel density Analysis를 통해 노인보행사고 및 노인무단횡단추정사고에 대한 밀도 분석과 두 가지 보행사고 형태에 대한 가중치 분석을 수행하였다. 연구결과: 노인무단횡단추정사고를 고려한 가중치 밀도 분석 결과, 노인보행사고 발생건수가 많은 전주시에 비해 군산시, 정읍시, 김제시에서 노인 보행 교통사고 밀도가 높은 것으로 분석되었다. 결론: 본 연구의 분석 결과는 교통안전시스템 도입을 위한 대상지 선정시 지표 활용이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

Development Status of Accident-tolerant Fuel for Light Water Reactors in Korea

  • Kim, Hyun-Gil;Yang, Jae-Ho;Kim, Weon-Ju;Koo, Yang-Hyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제48권1호
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2016
  • For a long time, a top priority in the nuclear industry was the safe, reliable, and economic operation of light water reactors. However, the development of accident-tolerant fuel (ATF) became a hot topic in the nuclear research field after the March 2011 events at Fukushima, Japan. In Korea, innovative concepts of ATF have been developing to increase fuel safety and reliability during normal operations, operational transients, and also accident events. The microcell $UO_2$ and high-density composite pellet concepts are being developed as ATF pellets. A microcell $UO_2$ pellet is envisaged to have the enhanced retention capabilities of highly radioactive and corrosive fission products. High-density pellets are expected to be used in combination with the particular ATF cladding concepts. Two concepts-surface-modified Zr-based alloy and SiC composite material-are being developed as ATF cladding, as these innovative concepts can effectively suppress hydrogen explosions and the release of radionuclides into the environment.

검지기간 속도-밀도의 관계를 활용한 돌발상황 감지기법 (An Incident Detection Method for Using Speed-Density Relations)

  • 이선하;안우영;강희찬
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.127-137
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    • 2006
  • 돌발상황이 발생하였을 경우 발생장소를 기준으로 상류부와 하류부에서는 교통류의 특성이 서로 다르게 나타난다 즉, 상류부에는 저속으로 운행하는 높은 밀도의 교통류가 그리고, 하류부에는 고속으로 운행하는 낮은 밀도의 교통류가 형성되는 것이다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 특성을 이용하여 돌발발생 장소의 상 하류부 검지기 간의 속도와 밀도의 차이를 시간적, 공간적으로 동시에 고려한 돌발감지기법을 제시하였다 따라서 본 연구에서는 기존에 운영되고 있는 비교기법에 속하는 돌발감지기법들이 점유율 단독 또는 점유율과 운행속도의 추세를 별개로 분석한 후 두 개 지표의 변화추세를 고려한 것에 비하여 검지기 간의 거리 및 속도와 밀도를 동시에 고려 할 수 있는 개념을 제시하는데 그 의의가 있다. 천안-논산고속도로의 사고 상황 자료를 바탕으로 off-line 상에서 본 기법을 적용한 결과 인접 검지기 간의 속도-밀도관계를 분석함으로서 사고위치와 검지기간의 관계 등을 포함한 돌발상황을 감지할 수 있었다. 향후 본 기법이 고속도로교통관리시스템(FTMS)의 돌발감지기법(AID)으로 적용되기 위해서는 광범위한 자료를 바탕으로 돌발을 판정할 수 있는 임계치, 사고의 파장정도 및 돌발발생장소와 검지기 간의 위치에 따른 변화추이 등에 대한 추후 연구가 필요할 것으로 판단된다.

자동차사고 재발생의 확률밀도함수분석과 활용방안 (A Study on Probability Density Function Analysis and Application of Car Reaccident)

  • 이공섭;김영민
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제20권44호
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    • pp.163-169
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    • 1997
  • Due to the increasing of the number of cars and bad road conditions, car accidens are increasing every you in Korea. When a person meets a car accident, it is necessary for him to analyze and determine whether applying insurance or not, because standard discount rate and special increasing rate change with accident types and the amount of accident expenditure. When we consider insurance rate that includes more then ten elements, we need a decision making, In this paper, S insurance company investigated previous car causers in 1988, 1989, 1990 to 1996 with 600,000 real data. We investigate probability density functions and cumulative distribution functions for each year using ARENA software. We can apply the results of this study to various accidents that occur under uncertainty in our life. I hope that this paper contribute to strengthening competitive power of companies and developing new insurance rate systems in future.

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Effect of Agricultural Countermeasures on Ingestion Dose Following a Nuclear Accident

  • Keum, Dong-Kwon;Jeong, Hyojoon;Jun, In;Lim, Kwang-Muk;Choi, Yong-Ho;Lee, So-Hyeon;Jung, Tae-Jong
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • 제44권1호
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    • pp.8-14
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    • 2019
  • Background: Management of an agricultural food product system following a nuclear accident is indispensable for reducing radiation exposure due to ingestion of contaminated food. The present study analyzes the effect of agricultural countermeasures on ingestion dose following a nuclear accident. Materials and Methods: Agricultural countermeasures suitable for domestic farming environments were selected by referring to the countermeasures applied after the Fukushima accident in Japan. The avertable ingestion doses that could be obtained by implementing the selected countermeasures were calculated using the Korean Agricultural Countermeasure Analysis Program (K-ACAP) to investigate the efficiency of each countermeasure. Results and Discussion: Of the selected countermeasures, the management of crops was effective when radionuclide deposition occurred during the growing season of plants. Treatment by soil additive and topsoil removal was effective when deposition occurred during the nongrowing season of plants. The disposal of milk was not effective owing to the small contribution of milk to the overall ingestion dose. Clean feeding of livestock was effective when deposition occurred during the growing season of fodder plants such as pasture and rice-straw. Finally, the effect of food restriction increased with the soil deposition density of radionuclide. The practical effect of countermeasures was very small when the avertable ingestion dose was absolutely low. Conclusion: The agricultural countermeasures selected to reduce the radionuclide ingestion dose after a nuclear accident must be made appropriate by considering the accident situation, such as the soil deposition density of the radionuclide and the deposition date in relation to farming cycles.

자동차사고 발생시 보험처리 의사결정에 관한 연구 -사고에 대한 조건부확율의 이용- (A Study on Decision Making for Applying Insurance in Car Accident -Using the Conditional Probability on Car Accident-)

  • 이공섭
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제22권51호
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    • pp.199-210
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    • 1999
  • The number of car accident is Recently on the increase in Korea because of the explosive increase of cars, the poor road condition, the lack of safety facility, and others. The insurant with a accident has to decide whether receiving a insurance or not. In this paper, we represent a reasonable decision support material by calculating the approximate insurance fee based on the discount rate and premium additive rate, which is changed by the accident type and the accident expenditure. Practically, there is difference in the standard insurance rate and premium additive rate according to the accident type and the accident expenditure in Korea. The premium additive rate is assessed considering the number of accident, the pattern of accident, and the reason of accident for 3 years. In this paper, we represent a decision making method considering not only the first-time car accident but also the future car accident. For considering the repeated accident, we analyzed the real data accumulated until the year of 1996 from S Insurance Company, and estimated the probability density function between the first and the second-time accident, and executed the goodness of fit test using ARENA and STATISTICA software. Using this conditional PDF, we can calculate the insurance fee next 3 years and compare the insurance fee with the equivalent present value of cash flows. The program performing this analysis is represented, and written in VISUAL BASIC Language. We tried to suggest an accurate guideline for the insurant to decide the insurance coverage rationally, and tried to correct a wrong idea of dependence on the car insurance only by the amount of the accident expenditure. And we expect this study can generally be applied to many different accident types under the uncertain circumstances in our daily life.

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