• Title/Summary/Keyword: accident density

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Traffic Accident Density Models Reflecting the Characteristics of the Traffic Analysis Zone in Cheongju (존별 특성을 반영한 교통사고밀도 모형 - 청주시 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Kyeong Yong;Beck, Tea Hun;Lim, Jin Kang;Park, Byung Ho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.75-83
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    • 2015
  • PURPOSES : This study deals with the traffic accidents classified by the traffic analysis zone. The purpose is to develop the accident density models by using zonal traffic and socioeconomic data. METHODS : The traffic accident density models are developed through multiple linear regression analysis. In this study, three multiple linear models were developed. The dependent variable was traffic accident density, which is a measure of the relative distribution of traffic accidents. The independent variables were various traffic and socioeconomic variables. CONCLUSIONS : Three traffic accident density models were developed, and all models were statistically significant. Road length, trip production volume, intersections, van ratio, and number of vehicles per person in the transportation-based model were analyzed to be positive to the accident. Residential and commercial area ratio and transportation vulnerability ratio obtained using the socioeconomic-based model were found to affect the accident. The major arterial road ratio, trip production volume, intersection, van ratio, commercial ratio, and number of companies in the integrated model were also found to be related to the accident.

Development of Accident Density Model in Korea (국내 교통사고 밀도 모형 개발)

  • Park, Na Young;Kim, Tae Yang;Park, Byung Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.130-135
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    • 2017
  • This study deal with the traffic accident. The purpose of this study is to develop the accident density models reflecting the transportation and socioeconomic characteristics based on 230 zones of Korea. In this study, The models which are tested to be statistically significant are developed through multiple linear regression analysis. The main research results are as follows. First, in the transportation-based model, road length, avenue ratio, number of intersections and tunnels are analyzed to be positive to the model, however, school zone is analyzed to be negative to the model. Second, in the socioeconomic-based model, population density, transportation vulnerable ratio, children and truck ratio are analyzed to be positive to the model. Finally, in the integrated models, road ratio, population density, transportation vulnerable ratio, children ratio, truck ratio and number of companies are analyzed to be positive, however, school zone is analyzed to be negative to the model. This results could be expected to give good implications to accident-reduction policy-making.

A Selection of High Pedestrian Accident Zones Using Traffic Accident Data and GIS: A Case Study of Seoul (교통사고 데이터와 GIS를 이용한 보행자사고 개선구역 선정 : 서울시를 대상으로)

  • Yang, Jong Hyeon;Kim, Jung Ok;Yu, Kiyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.221-230
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    • 2016
  • To establish objective criteria for high pedestrian accident zones, we combined Getis-ord Gi* and Kernel Density Estimation to select high pedestrian accident zones for 54,208 pedestrian accidents in Seoul from 2009 to 2013. By applying Getis-ord Gi* and considering spatial patterns where pedestrian accident hot spots were clustered, this study identified high pedestrian accident zones. The research examined the microscopic distribution of accidents in high pedestrian accident zones, identified the critical hot spots through Kernel Density Estimation, and analyzed the inner distribution of hot spots by identifying the areas with high density levels.

Development of Traffic Accident Forecasting Models Considering Urban-Transportation System Characteristics (토지이용 및 교통특성을 반영한 교통사고 예측모형 개발 연구)

  • Park, Jun-Tae;Jang, Il-Jun;Son, Ui-Yeong;Lee, Su-Beom
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.39-56
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    • 2011
  • This study proposed a traffic accident prediction model developed based on administrative districts of Seoul. The model was to find the relationship between accident rates and the representative land usage of the districts (development density) - the higher the development density (building floor area) is, the higher the traffic accident rate is. The findings showed that traffic accident statistics differ from (1) residential building floor area, (2) commercial building floor area and (3) business building floor area.

Research on Selection of Vulnerable Areas to Walking Traffic Accidents for the Elderly Considering Jaywalking Accidents (무단횡단사고를 고려한 노인 보행 교통사고 취약 지역 선정 연구)

  • Hong, Kiman;Im, I-jeong;Kim, Jonghoon;Song, Jaein
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.341-350
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to present an analysis method to select priorities for areas where the traffic safety system is applied to reduce pedestrian accidents. Method: Using Kernel density analysis using the coordinate information of the accident point, we performed density analysis of elderly walking accidents and elderly jaywalking accidents, and analysis of the weight of two types of walking accidents. Result: As a result of density analysis of the weight considering elderly jaywalking accidents, it was analyzed that the density of pedestrian traffic accidents for th elderly was higher in Gunsan-si, Jeongeup-si, and Gimje -si compared to Jeonju-si, where the number of elderly pedestrian accidents were high. Conclusion: The analysis results of this study are judged to be possible to use objective indicators for the selection of target sites for the introduction of the traffic safety system.

Development Status of Accident-tolerant Fuel for Light Water Reactors in Korea

  • Kim, Hyun-Gil;Yang, Jae-Ho;Kim, Weon-Ju;Koo, Yang-Hyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2016
  • For a long time, a top priority in the nuclear industry was the safe, reliable, and economic operation of light water reactors. However, the development of accident-tolerant fuel (ATF) became a hot topic in the nuclear research field after the March 2011 events at Fukushima, Japan. In Korea, innovative concepts of ATF have been developing to increase fuel safety and reliability during normal operations, operational transients, and also accident events. The microcell $UO_2$ and high-density composite pellet concepts are being developed as ATF pellets. A microcell $UO_2$ pellet is envisaged to have the enhanced retention capabilities of highly radioactive and corrosive fission products. High-density pellets are expected to be used in combination with the particular ATF cladding concepts. Two concepts-surface-modified Zr-based alloy and SiC composite material-are being developed as ATF cladding, as these innovative concepts can effectively suppress hydrogen explosions and the release of radionuclides into the environment.

An Incident Detection Method for Using Speed-Density Relations (검지기간 속도-밀도의 관계를 활용한 돌발상황 감지기법)

  • Lee, Seon-Ha;An, U-Yeong;Gang, Hui-Chan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.2 s.88
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    • pp.127-137
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    • 2006
  • This Paper Presents a novel incident detection method for using the speed-density difference between detectors. When a incident is happened the downstream traffic condition is mostly lower speed and higher density and the upstream is higher speed and lower density In respect of such characteristics, we can suggest a method for detecting an incident based on the speed-density information provided from detectors. The incident detection method is tested by using the accident data collected from the Cheonan-Nonsan Highway. The results show that suck an incident detection method can analyze the position of accident by comparing the speed-density difference between detectors. The work described in this paper is only at on early stage, in the sense that there are several areas to be further investigated in application of this method. such as setting a critical value for judging the incident. a level of accident wave, a varying Pattern between the incident locations and detectors, etc.

A Study on Probability Density Function Analysis and Application of Car Reaccident (자동차사고 재발생의 확률밀도함수분석과 활용방안)

  • 이공섭;김영민
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.20 no.44
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    • pp.163-169
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    • 1997
  • Due to the increasing of the number of cars and bad road conditions, car accidens are increasing every you in Korea. When a person meets a car accident, it is necessary for him to analyze and determine whether applying insurance or not, because standard discount rate and special increasing rate change with accident types and the amount of accident expenditure. When we consider insurance rate that includes more then ten elements, we need a decision making, In this paper, S insurance company investigated previous car causers in 1988, 1989, 1990 to 1996 with 600,000 real data. We investigate probability density functions and cumulative distribution functions for each year using ARENA software. We can apply the results of this study to various accidents that occur under uncertainty in our life. I hope that this paper contribute to strengthening competitive power of companies and developing new insurance rate systems in future.

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Effect of Agricultural Countermeasures on Ingestion Dose Following a Nuclear Accident

  • Keum, Dong-Kwon;Jeong, Hyojoon;Jun, In;Lim, Kwang-Muk;Choi, Yong-Ho;Lee, So-Hyeon;Jung, Tae-Jong
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.8-14
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    • 2019
  • Background: Management of an agricultural food product system following a nuclear accident is indispensable for reducing radiation exposure due to ingestion of contaminated food. The present study analyzes the effect of agricultural countermeasures on ingestion dose following a nuclear accident. Materials and Methods: Agricultural countermeasures suitable for domestic farming environments were selected by referring to the countermeasures applied after the Fukushima accident in Japan. The avertable ingestion doses that could be obtained by implementing the selected countermeasures were calculated using the Korean Agricultural Countermeasure Analysis Program (K-ACAP) to investigate the efficiency of each countermeasure. Results and Discussion: Of the selected countermeasures, the management of crops was effective when radionuclide deposition occurred during the growing season of plants. Treatment by soil additive and topsoil removal was effective when deposition occurred during the nongrowing season of plants. The disposal of milk was not effective owing to the small contribution of milk to the overall ingestion dose. Clean feeding of livestock was effective when deposition occurred during the growing season of fodder plants such as pasture and rice-straw. Finally, the effect of food restriction increased with the soil deposition density of radionuclide. The practical effect of countermeasures was very small when the avertable ingestion dose was absolutely low. Conclusion: The agricultural countermeasures selected to reduce the radionuclide ingestion dose after a nuclear accident must be made appropriate by considering the accident situation, such as the soil deposition density of the radionuclide and the deposition date in relation to farming cycles.

A Study on Decision Making for Applying Insurance in Car Accident -Using the Conditional Probability on Car Accident- (자동차사고 발생시 보험처리 의사결정에 관한 연구 -사고에 대한 조건부확율의 이용-)

  • 이공섭
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.22 no.51
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    • pp.199-210
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    • 1999
  • The number of car accident is Recently on the increase in Korea because of the explosive increase of cars, the poor road condition, the lack of safety facility, and others. The insurant with a accident has to decide whether receiving a insurance or not. In this paper, we represent a reasonable decision support material by calculating the approximate insurance fee based on the discount rate and premium additive rate, which is changed by the accident type and the accident expenditure. Practically, there is difference in the standard insurance rate and premium additive rate according to the accident type and the accident expenditure in Korea. The premium additive rate is assessed considering the number of accident, the pattern of accident, and the reason of accident for 3 years. In this paper, we represent a decision making method considering not only the first-time car accident but also the future car accident. For considering the repeated accident, we analyzed the real data accumulated until the year of 1996 from S Insurance Company, and estimated the probability density function between the first and the second-time accident, and executed the goodness of fit test using ARENA and STATISTICA software. Using this conditional PDF, we can calculate the insurance fee next 3 years and compare the insurance fee with the equivalent present value of cash flows. The program performing this analysis is represented, and written in VISUAL BASIC Language. We tried to suggest an accurate guideline for the insurant to decide the insurance coverage rationally, and tried to correct a wrong idea of dependence on the car insurance only by the amount of the accident expenditure. And we expect this study can generally be applied to many different accident types under the uncertain circumstances in our daily life.

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