• 한국안전학회지
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• 제32권4호
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• pp.107-113
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• 2017

This paper deals with the traffic factors related to the collisions of circular intersections. The purpose of this study is to develop traffic accident models by type of collision based on land use. In pursuing the above, the traffic accident data from 2010 to 2014 were collected from the "Traffic Accident Analysis System (TAAS)" data set of the Road Traffic Authority. A multiple regression model was utilized in this study to develop the traffic accident models by type of collision. 17 explanatory variables such as geometry and traffic volume factors were used. The main results are as follows. First, the null hypothesis that the type of land use does not affect the number of accidents by type of collision is rejected. Second, 10 accident models by type of collision based on land use are developed, which are all statistically significant. Finally, the ADT, inscribed circle diameter, bicycle lane, area of central island, number of speed hump, circulatory roadway width, splitter island, area of circulatory roadway, mean number of entry lane and mean width of entry lane are analyzed to see how they affect accident by type of accident based on land use.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제54권2호
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• pp.579-588
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• 2022

In order to meet the needs of domestic reactor severe accident analysis program, a MIDAC (Module Invessel Degraded severe accident Analysis Code) is developed and maintained by Xi'an Jiaotong University. As the accuracy of the calculation results of the analysis program is of great significance for the formulation of severe accident mitigation measures, the article select three experiments to evaluate the updated severe accident models of MIDAC. Among them, QUENCH-06 is the international standard No.45, QUENCH-16 is a test for the analysis of air oxidation, and FROMA is an out-of-pile fuel rod melting experiment recently carried out by Xi'an Jiaotong University. The heating and melting model with lumped parameter method and the steam oxidation model with Cathcart-Pawel and Volchek-Zvonarev correlations combination in MIDAC could better meet the needs of severe accident analysis. Although the influence of nitrogen still need to be further improved, the air oxidation model with NUREG still has the ability to provide guiding significance for engineering practice.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제9권5호
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• pp.1-5
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• 2007

We construct the procedure to predict safety accidents following Bayesian approach. We make a model that can utilize the data to predict other levels of accidents. An event tree model which is a frequently used graphical tool in describing accident initiation and escalation to more severe accident is transformed into an influence diagram model. Prior distributions for accident occurrence rate and probabilities to escalating to more severe accidents are assumed and likelihood of number of accidents in a given period of time is assessed. And then posterior distributions are obtained based on observed data. We also points out the advantages of the bayesian approach that estimates the whole distribution of accident rate over the classical point estimation.

• 한국가스학회지
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• 제2권1호
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• pp.90-98
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• 1998

미래의 화재 사고에 대한 구체적인 대응과 사고를 줄이기 위하여 국내외 사고사례의 집적과 체계적인 자료 분류가 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 화재 사고사례 분류 모델을 제시하고 미국 NFPA의 분류 모델과 일본의 모델을 비교하여 향후 개선 방향을 제시하였다. 또한 PC의 Windows 환경에서 운영될 수 있는 사고사례에 관한 데이터베이스 프로그램(FADBS)을 개발하여 사고사례 분석을 쉽고 효과적으로 활용할 수 있도록 하였다.

• 한국직업건강간호학회지
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• 제25권1호
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• pp.65-74
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• 2016

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to predict industrial accident rate using time series analysis. Methods: The rates of industrial accident and occupational injury death were analyzed using industrial accident statistics analysis system of the Korea Occupational Safety and Health Agency from 2001 to 2014. Time series analysis was done using the most recent data, such as raw materials of Economically Active Population Survey, Economic Statistics System of the Bank of Korea, and e-National indicators. The best-fit model with time series analysis to predict occupational injury was developed by identifying predictors when the value of Akaike Information Criteria was the lowest point. Variables into the model were selected through a series of expertises' consultations and literature review, which consisted of socioeconomic structure, labor force structure, working conditions, and occupational accidents. Results: Indexes at the meso- and macro-levels predicting well occurrence of occupational accidents and occupational injury death were labor force participation rate for ages 45-49 and budget for small scaled workplace support. The rates of industrial accident and occupational injury death are expected to decline. Conclusion: For reducing industrial accident continuously, we call for safe employment policy of economically active middle aged adults and support for improving safety work environment of small sized workplace.

• 한국항공운항학회지
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• 제28권2호
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• pp.63-70
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• 2020

Many organizations apply reactive safety management to prevent the same or similar types of accidents by through investigation and analysis of the accident cases. Although research on investigation techniques has contributed a lot to the objective results of safety accidents and the preparation of countermeasures, many accident investigation techniques currently in use treat accidents from a linear perspective, revealing limitations in reflecting current systems dominated by complexity and uncertainty. In order to overcome these limitations, this study will review recent studies and concepts from a system safety perspective and predict future research trends through a case analysis of aviation accident. The models used in the analysis are STAMP, HFACS, and FRAM, and the characteristics of each technique are presented so that analysts who perform related tasks in the field can refer to them.

• 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한안전경영과학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회
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• pp.113-123
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• 2007

Through so that accident of semiconductor industry deduces unsafe factor of the person center on unsafe behaviour that incident history and questionnaire and I made starting point that extract very important factor. It served as a momentum that make up base that analyzes factors that happen based on factor that extract factor cause classification for the first factor, the second factor and the third factor and presents model of human error. Factor for whole defines factor component for human factor and to cause analysis 1 stage in human factor and step that wish to do access of problem and it do analysis cause of data of 1 step. Also, see significant difference that analyzes interrelation between leading persons about human mistake in semiconductor industry and connect interrelation of mistake by this. Continuously, dictionary road map to human error theoretical background to basis traditional accidental cause model and modern accident cause model and leading persons. I wish to present model and new model in semiconductor industry by backbone that leading persons of existing scholars who present model of existent human error deduce relation. Finally, I wish to deduce backbone of model of pre-suppression about accident leading person of the person center.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제56권4호
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• pp.1213-1224
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• 2024

The liquid lead-bismuth cooled fast reactor has been in a single-phase, low-pressure, and high-temperature state for a long time during operation. Considering the requirement of calculation efficiency for long-term transient accident calculation, based on a homogeneous hydrodynamic model, one-dimensional heat conduction model, coolant flow and heat transfer model, neutron kinetics model, coolant and material properties model, this study used the fully implicit difference scheme algorithm of the convection-diffusion term to solve the basic conservation equation, to develop the transient analysis program NUSOL-LMR 2.0 for the lead-bismuth fast reactor system. The steady-state and typical design basis accidents (including reactivity introduction, loss of flow caused by main pump idling, excessive cooling, and plant power outage accidents) for the ABR have been analyzed. The results are compared with the international system analysis software ATHENA. The results indicate that the developed program can stably, accurately, and efficiently predict the transient accident response and safety characteristics of the lead-bismuth fast reactor system.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2001년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.429-434
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• 2001

Rail crossings pose special safety concerns for modern railroad operation with faster trains. More than ninety percent of train operation-related accidents occurs on at-grade crossings. Surest countermeasure for this safety hazard is to eliminate at-grade crossings by constructing over/under pass or by closing them. These eliminations usually require substantial amount of investment and/or heavy public protest from those affected by them. Thorough and objective analysis are usually required, and valid accident prediction models are essential to the process. This paper developed an accident prediction model for Korean at-grade crossings. The model utilized many important factors such as guide personnel, highway traffic, train frequency, train sight distance, and number of tracks. Developed model was validated with actual accident data.

• 한국가스학회지
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• 제22권5호
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• pp.107-113
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• 2018

사고 데이터는 사고의 경각심을 보여주거나 유사사례를 검토 할 때 활용되기는 하나 사고 데이터 본질에 대한 분석이나 사고와 주변 환경요소와의 연관성에 대한 분석은 굉장히 미흡하다. 따라서 사고와 연관된 데이터와 함께 분석하는 기법을 개발하여 특정 지역에 대한 사고 가능성을 제시하는 것이 대단히 필요하다. 본 연구는 과거 기상정보 데이터와 사고 및 신고 데이터를 기반으로 지역별 사고 가능성을 산출하는 분석 모델 개발하고 시스템을 구현하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 한국의 다수 지역에 대해 기상과 사고간의 개연성을 토대로 선택적 사용자 환경변수가 적용된 k-NN 과 의사결정트리 알고리즘 모델이 생성되도록 시스템을 설계하고 개발한다. 향후, 본 연구에서 개발된 모델은 좀 더 협소한 지역의 위험도를 분석하고 산출하는데 사용할 계획이다.