• 제목/요약/키워드: accident analysis model

검색결과 834건 처리시간 0.029초

차량유형에 따른 교통사고심각도 분석모형 개발 (Developing the Traffic Accident Severity Models by Vehicle Type)

  • 김경환;박병호
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.131-136
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    • 2010
  • This study deals with the accident models of arterial link sections by vehicle type. The objectives are to analyze the characteristics of accidents, and to develop the models by type. In pursuing the above, this study uses the data of 414 accidents occurred on 24 major arterial links in 2007. The main results analyzed are as follows. First, the number of accidents is analyzed to account for about 47% in passenger car, 15% in SUV and 10% in trucks. Second, 3 Poisson regression models which are all statistically significant are developed using passenger car, SUV and truck as dependant variables. Finally, AADT and the number of traffic islands as common variables, and the number of pedestrian crossings, lanes, connecting roads, intersections(4-Leg), rate of medians and the number of bus stops as specific variables of the models are selected.

CRASHWORTHY DESIGN AND EVALUATION ON THE FRONT-END STRUCTURE OF KOREAN HIGH SPEED TRAIN

  • Koo, J.S.;Youn, Y.H.
    • International Journal of Automotive Technology
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.173-180
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    • 2004
  • An intensive study was conducted for the crash worthy structural design of the recently developed Korean High Speed Train (KHST). Two main design concepts were set up to protect both crews and passengers from serious injury in heavy collision accidents, and to reduce damage to the train itself in light collision accidents. A collision against a movable 15-ton rigid obstacle at 110 kph was selected from train accident investigations as the accident scenario for the heavy collisions. A train-to-train collision at the relative velocity of 16 kph was used for the light collision. The crashworthiness behaviors of KHST were numerically evaluated using FEM. Analysis results using 1-D collision dynamics model of the full rake consist and 3-D shell element model of the front end structure showed good crashworthy responses in a viewpoint of structural design. Occupant analyses and sled tests demonstrated that KHST performed well enough to protect occupants under the considered accident scenarios. Finally our numerical approaches were evaluated by a real scale collision test.

시스템이론 기반의 안전사고 모델의 해석과 응용사례 소개 (An Introduction to Systems Theory Approach to Accident Modeling AND Its Applications)

  • 박철호;박영원
    • 시스템엔지니어링워크숍
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    • 통권4호
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    • pp.151-154
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents the general system theory and its applications to the safety analysis method that is a recent trend over the traditional event-driven model. This new model is known as STAMP(Systems Theory Accident Modeling and Process)proposed by Nancy G. Leveson in MIT. The new model has benefits of systemic approaches concerning the system safety as a whole including the context it is in, its stimulants and outcomes, and its parts as well as the relationships among them in a holistic manner. The method consists of a hierarchical control structure, a process model, and the safety constraints governing the control. This paper demonstrates an example the contrasts the differences between the approaches of STAMP and the traditional safety models.

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시스템 이론 기반의 안전사고 모델의 해석과 응용사례 소개 (An Introduction to Systems Theory Approach to Accident Modeling and Its Applications)

  • 박철호;박영원
    • 시스템엔지니어링학술지
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.20-25
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents the general system theory and its applications to the safety analysis method that is a recent trend over the traditional event-driven model. This new model is known as STAMP(Systems Theory Accident Modeling and Process) proposed by Nancy G. Leveson in MIT. The new model has benefits o f systemic approaches concerning the system safety as a whole including the context it is in, its stimulants and outcomes, and its parts as well as the relationships among them in a holistic manner. The method consists of a hierarchical control structure, a process model, and the safety constraints governing the control. This paper demonstrates an example that contrasts the differences between the approaches of STAMP and the traditional safety models.

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원자력발전소의 냉각재상실사고 특성DB를 활용한 중대사고 관리체계연구 (A Study on Severe Accident Management Scheme using LOCA Sequence Database System)

  • 최영;박종호
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제29권6호
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    • pp.172-178
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    • 2014
  • In terms of an accident management, the cases causing severe core damage need to be analyzed and arranged systematically for an easy access to the results since the Three Mile Island (TMI) accident. The objectives of this paper are to explain how to identify the plant response and cope with its vulnerabilities using the probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) quantified results and severe accident database SARDB(Severe Accident Risk Data Bank) based on sequences analysis results. Although PSA has been performed for the Korean Standard Power Plants (KSNPs), and that it considered the necessary sequences for an assessment of the containment integrity. The developed Database (DB) system includes a graphical display for a plant and equipment status, previous research results by a knowledge-based technique, and the expected plant behaviour. The plant model used in this paper is oriented to the cases of loss of coolant accident (LOCA) is be used as a training simulator for a severe accident management.

고령운전자 교통안전성 평가모형 개발 (The Development of Traffic Accident Severity Evaluation Models for Elderly Drivers)

  • 김태호;이기영;최윤환;박제진
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.118-127
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구는 최근 사회적으로 이슈가 되고 있는 고령자 교통사고 인적요인을 평가할 수 있는 모형 개발을 목적으로 한다. 본 연구의 수행을 위해 교통안전공단의 운전자적성검사(Simulation, 설문조사) 자료를 수집하였으며, 교통사고영향 모형개발을 위해 포아송 및 음이항 회귀분석(Poisson Regression Analysis)을 실시하였다. 교통안전성 평가모형 분석결과, 고령운전자의 경우 선택적 주의능력, 속도예측능력, 주의배분능력이 교통사고에 유의한 정(+)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 분석되었다. 다음으로 비고령운전자의 경우 선택적 주의능력, 속도예측능력, 거리지각능력, 주의배분능력, 주의전환능력이 교통사고와 유의한 정(+)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 분석되었다. 이러한 분석결과를 바탕으로 고령운전자와 비고령운전자의 사고발생에 미치는 영향요인은 서로 다르게 나타났으며, 교통사고를 미연에 방지하기 위한 최소한의 방편으로 고령운전자와 비고령운전자를 구분하여 교통사고 예방교육을 실시해야 할 것으로 판단된다.

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SHELL 모델과 HFACS를 활용한 영국 민간 무인 항공기 사고 요인 특징 분석 (Characteristics Analysis of Accident Factors of UK Civil Unmanned Aircraft Using SHELL Model and HFACS)

  • 김도윤;장조원
    • 한국항공운항학회지
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2024
  • The unmanned aerial vehicle industry has developed a lot, but the possibility of accidents is increasing due to potential risks. In this study, SHELL models and HFACS were used to analyze unmanned aerial vehicle accidents in the UK and to identify the main causes and characteristics of accidents. The main cause analyzed by the SHELL model was identified as an abnormality in the alarm system. The main cause of the accident analyzed by HFACS was identified as the technical environment. The common cause identified by the SHELL model and HFACS was identified as a mechanical problem of unmanned aerial vehicles. This is due to the lack of accurate information or functionality of the alarm system in the operator interface, which often prevents the operator from responding to sensitive information. Therefore, in order to prevent civil UAV accidents, the stability and reliability of the system must be secured through regular inspections of the UAV system and continuous software updates. In addition, an ergonomic approach considering human interfaces is needed when developing technologies.

Strategic analysis on sizing of flooding valve for successful accident management of small modular reactor

  • Hyo Jun An;Jae Hyung Park;Chang Hyun Song;Jeong Ik Lee;Yonghee Kim;Sung Joong Kim
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제56권3호
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    • pp.949-958
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    • 2024
  • In contrast to all-time flooded small modular reactor (SMR) systems, an in-kind flooding safety system (FSS) has been proposed as a passive safety system applicable to small modular reactors (SMRs) that adopt a metal containment vessel (MCV). Under transient conditions, the FSS can provide emergency cooling to dry reactor cavities and sustain long-term coolability using re-acquired evaporated steam in the reactor building on demand. When designing an FSS, the effect of the flooding flow area is vital as it affects the overall accident sequence and safety. Therefore, in this study, a MELCOR model of a reference SMR is developed and numerical analysis is performed under postulated accident scenarios. Without flooding, the MCV pressure of the reactor module exceeds the design pressure before core damage. To prevent core damage, an emergency flooding strategy is devised using various flow path parameters and requirements to ensure an adequate emergency coolant supply before the core damage is investigated. The results indicate that a flow area exceeding 0.02 m2 is required in the FSS to prevent MCV overpressure and core damage. This study is the first to report a strategic analysis for appropriately sizing an FSS flooding valve applicable to innovative SMRs.

증기발생기 전열관 다중파단-피동보조급수냉각계통 사고 실험 기반 안전해석코드 SPACE 검증 (Verification of SPACE Code with MSGTR-PAFS Accident Experiment)

  • 남경호;김태우
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제35권4호
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    • pp.84-91
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    • 2020
  • The Korean nuclear industry developed the SPACE (Safety and Performance Analysis Code for nuclear power plants) code and this code adpots two-phase flows, two-fluid, three-field models which are comprised of gas, continuous liquid and droplet fields and has a capability to simulate three-dimensional model. According to the revised law by the Nuclear Safety and Security Commission (NSSC) in Korea, the multiple failure accidents that must be considered for accident management plan of nuclear power plant was determined based on the lessons learned from the Fukushima accident. Generally, to improve the reliability of the calculation results of a safety analysis code, verification work for separate and integral effect experiments is required. In this reason, the goal of this work is to verify calculation capability of SPACE code for multiple failure accident. For this purpose, it was selected the experiment which was conducted to simulate a Multiple Steam Generator Tube Rupture(MSGTR) accident with Passive Auxiliary Feedwater System(PAFS) operation by Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI) and focused that the comparison between the experiment results and code calculation results to verify the performance of the SPACE code. The MSGR accident has a unique feature of the penetration of the barrier between the Reactor Coolant System (RCS) and the secondary system resulting from multiple failure of steam generator U-tubes. The PAFS is one of the advanced safety features with passive cooling system to replace a conventional active auxiliary feedwater system. This system is passively capable of condensing steam generated in steam generator and feeding the condensed water to the steam generator by gravity. As the results of overall system transient response using SPACE code showed similar trends with the experimental results such as the system pressure, mass flow rate, and collapsed water level in component. In conclusion, it could be concluded that the SPACE code has sufficient capability to simulate a MSGTR accident.

보행상충을 고려한 보행사고 노출 추정 모형 개발 (Development of a Pedestrian Accident Exposure Estimation Modelconsidering Walking Conflicts)

  • 장일준;권남주;안세영
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.54-63
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    • 2023
  • 보행 교통사고를 예측하기 위해서는 보행 및 차량 통행량을 정확히 반영해야 한다. 그러나 보행량은 차량 통행량에 비해 측정에 어려움이 있다. 기존 연구는 직접 조사, 가구통행실태조사 등을 통해 추정하였지만 이는 많은 비용과 시간이 소요되며 정확도가 떨어진다. 이에 본 연구는 적은 시간과 비용으로 실시간으로 데이터를 수집 및 분석할 수 있는 스마트폰을 활용한 모바일 cctv를 대안으로 제시하였다. 본 연구는 사고로 발전할 수 있는 보행자-차량간 상충을 보행사고 노출로 정의하였다. 대구 동성로 일대의 40개 구간에 모바일 cctv를 설치한 후, 수집된 데이터를 활용하여 음이항 회귀분석을 통해 보행사고 노출을 추정한다. 분석 결과 보행사고 노출 변수들도 통계적으로 유의한 결과를 보인다. 분석 결과를 통해 보행사고 노출 추정 모형을 개발하였고, 이를 통해 잠재적으로 보행사고 발생할 수 있는 구간을 도출하는 것에 활용될 수 있음을 보여준다.