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A hierarchical Bayesian model for spatial scaling method: Application to streamflow in the Great Lakes basin

  • Ahn, Kuk-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.176-176
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    • 2018
  • This study presents a regional, probabilistic framework for estimating streamflow via spatial scaling in the Great Lakes basin, which is the largest lake system in the world. The framework follows a two-fold strategy including (1) a quadratic-programming based optimization model a priori to explore the model structure, and (2) a time-varying hierarchical Bayesian model based on insights found in the optimization model. The proposed model is developed to explore three innovations in hierarchical modeling for reconstructing historical streamflow at ungaged sites: (1) information of physical characteristics is utilized in spatial scaling, (2) a time-varying approach is introduced based on climate information, and (3) heteroscedasticity in residual errors is considered to improve streamflow predictive distributions. The proposed model is developed and calibrated in a hierarchical Bayesian framework to pool regional information across sites and enhance regionalization skill. The model is validated in a cross-validation framework along with four simpler nested formulations and the optimization model to confirm specific hypotheses embedded in the full model structure. The nested models assume a similar hierarchical Bayesian structure to our proposed model with their own set of simplifications and omissions. Results suggest that each of three innovations improve historical out-of-sample streamflow reconstructions although these improvements vary corrsponding to each innovation. Finally, we conclude with a discussion of possible model improvements considered by additional model structure and covariates.

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Shape Optimization of Cavitator for a Supercavitating Projectile Underwater (초공동(超空洞) 하의 수중 주행체 캐비데이터 형상최적설계)

  • Grandhli Ramana V.;Choi JooHo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.28 no.10
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    • pp.1566-1573
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    • 2004
  • When a projectile travels at high speed underwater, supercavitating flow arises, in which a huge cavity is generated behind the projectile so that only the nose, i.e., the cavitator, of the projectile is wetted, while the rest of it should be surrounded by the cavity. In that case, the projectile can achieve very high speed due to the reduced drag. Furthermore if the nose of the body is shaped properly, the attendant pressure drag can be maintained at a very low value, so that the overall drag is also reduced dramatically. In this study, shape optimization technique is employed to determine the optimum cavitator shape for minimum drag, given certain operating conditions. Shape optimization technique is also used to solve the potential flow problem fur any given cavitator, which is a free boundary value problem having the cavity shape as unknown a priori. Analytical sensitivities are derived for various shape parameters in order to implement a gradient-based optimization algorithm. Simultaneous optimization technique is proposed for efficient cavitator shape optimization, in which the cavity and cavitator shape are determined in a single optimization routine.

A Study on the Impacts of Mirror Design Parameters on the Wind Noise (미러 형상인자가 바람소리에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구)

  • Ih, Kang-Duck
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2009.10a
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    • pp.130-136
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    • 2009
  • The goal of this paper is to develop a standard side mirror geometry that will perform well across multiple vehicles. One of the important performance attributes of a side mirror is the amount of wind noise generated under the flow conditions on a car. PowerFLOW can be used for Computer Aided Testing of the aeroacoustics performance of a design in addition to directing design modifications based on a detailed analysis of the flow structures responsible for the noise generation. Alternatively, a Design of Experiment (DOE) approach is useful to explore the design space without any a-priori assumptions of the effects of design parameter changes. Some general design guidelines regarding the significant mirror geometry factors will be determined which may help to reduce vehicle development time and cost in the future. The results of this research will also allow us to estimate the trade-off between cost saving and performance optimum related to using a standard mirror shape for different vehicles.

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Development of a flat shell element by using the hybrid Trefftz plane element with drilling D.O.F. and the DKMQ element (면내 회전 자유도가 추가된 hybrid Trefftz 평면 요소와 DKMQ 요소를 이용한 4 절점 평면 셸 요소의 개발)

  • 최누리;추연석;이승규;이병채
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.855-859
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    • 2004
  • We develop a new four-node flat shell element which is accurate, efficient, and suitable to be used on general purpose. The new element has a hybrid Trefftz element with drilling degrees of freedom as a membrane part. We define the two independent displacement field: the internal displacement field that satisfies governing equations in the domain a priori and the boundary displacement field that is usually used as a conventional finite element method. The hybrid Trefftz variational formulation connects these two displacement fields on the boundary of the domain. To add drilling degrees of freedom, we introduce the Allman's quadratic displacement field to the boundary displacement field. As a result, our flat shell element has 6 degrees of freedom per a node. We also use the well-known DKMQ plate bending element for the plate part of the proposed element. The DKMQ element satisfies Mindlin-Reissner‘s plate theory along the edge of the element and gives proper behavior regardless of the thickness. A series of numerical experiments shows that the performance of the new element such as accuracy, rate of convergence, robustness to mesh quality, and so on.

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A Study on Visual Feedback Control of a Dual Arm Robot with Eight Joints

  • Lee, Woo-Song;Kim, Hong-Rae;Kim, Young-Tae;Jung, Dong-Yean;Han, Sung-Hyun
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.610-615
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    • 2005
  • Visual servoing is the fusion of results from many elemental areas including high-speed image processing, kinematics, dynamics, control theory, and real-time computing. It has much in common with research into active vision and structure from motion, but is quite different from the often described use of vision in hierarchical task-level robot control systems. We present a new approach to visual feedback control using image-based visual servoing with the stereo vision in this paper. In order to control the position and orientation of a robot with respect to an object, a new technique is proposed using a binocular stereo vision. The stereo vision enables us to calculate an exact image Jacobian not only at around a desired location but also at the other locations. The suggested technique can guide a robot manipulator to the desired location without giving such priori knowledge as the relative distance to the desired location or the model of an object even if the initial positioning error is large. This paper describes a model of stereo vision and how to generate feedback commands. The performance of the proposed visual servoing system is illustrated by the simulation and experimental results and compared with the case of conventional method for dual-arm robot made in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.

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Dynamic Boundary Tracking Control in Active Sensor Network (동적 센서네트워크에서의 유동적 경계선 추종 제어)

  • Jang, Seyong;Lee, Giroung;Song, Bongsob;Chwa, Dongkyoung;Hong, Sukkyo
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.57 no.9
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    • pp.1628-1635
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, the motion coordination algorithm of mobile agents in active sensor network is proposed to track the dynamic boundary for environmental monitoring. While most of dynamic boundary tracking algorithms in the literature were studied under the assumption that the boundary and/or its evolving rate is known a priori, the proposed algorithm is assumed that the individual active agent can measure the state of environment locally without any information of the boundary. When the boundary is evolving dynamically, the formation of active agents is designed to achieve two objectives. One is to track boundary layer based on the measured information and a small deviation. The other is to maintain a uniform distance between adjacent agents. The algorithm structure based on a state diagram is proposed to achieve these two objectives. Finally, it will be shown in the simulations that all given agents converge to a desired boundary layer and maintain a formation along the boundary. (e.g., a circle, an ellipse, a triangle and a rectangle)

Robust Adaptive Fuzzy Backstepping Control for Trajectory Tracking of an Electrically Driven Nonholonomic Mobile Robot with Uncertainties (불확실성을 가지는 전기 구동 논홀로노믹 이동 로봇의 궤적 추종을 위한 강인 적응 퍼지 백스테핑 제어)

  • Shin, Jin-Ho
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.18 no.10
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    • pp.902-911
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    • 2012
  • This paper proposes a robust adaptive fuzzy backstepping control scheme for trajectory tracking of an electrically driven nonholonomic mobile robot with uncertainties and actuator dynamics. A complete model of an electrically driven nonholonomic mobile robot described in this work includes all models of the uncertain robot kinematics with a nonholonomic constraint, the uncertain robot body dynamics with uncertain frictions and unmodeled disturbances, and the uncertain actuator dynamics with disturbances. The proposed control scheme uses the backstepping control approach through a kinematic controller and a robust adaptive fuzzy velocity tracking controller. The presented control scheme has a voltage control input with an auxiliary current control input rather than a torque control input. It has two FBFNs(Fuzzy Basis Function Networks) to approximate two unknown nonlinear robot dynamic functions and a robust adaptive control input with the proposed adaptive laws to overcome the uncertainties such as parameter uncertainties and external disturbances. The proposed control scheme does not a priori require the accurate knowledge of all parameters in the robot kinematics, robot dynamics and actuator dynamics. It can also alleviate the chattering of the control input. Using the Lyapunov stability theory, the stability of the closed-loop robot control system is guaranteed. Simulation results show the validity and robustness of the proposed control scheme.

Minimizing Cost and Delay in Shared Multicast Trees

  • Koh, Seok-Joo;Yi, Jong-Hwa;Hahm, Jin-Ho;Chin, Byoung-Moon;Park, Chee-Hang
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.30-37
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    • 2000
  • Existing tree construction mechanisms are classified into source-based trees and center-based trees. The source-based trees produce a source-rooted tree with a low delay. However, for the applications with multiple senders, the management overheads for routing tables and resource reservations are too high. The center-based trees are easy to implement and manage, but a priori configuration of candidate center nodes is required, and the optimization mature such as tree cost and delay is not considered. In this paper, we propose a new multicast tree building algorithm. The proposal algorithm basically builds a non-center based shared tree. In particular, any center node is not pre-configured. In the purposed algorithm, a multicast node among current tree nodes is suitably assigned to each incoming user: Such a node is selected in a fashion that tree cost and the maximum end-to-end delay on the tree are jointly minimized. The existing and proposed algorithms are compared by experiments. In the simulation results, it is shown that the proposed algorithm approximately provides the cost saving of 30% and the delay saving of 10%, compared to the existing approaches. In conclusion, we see that the cost and delay aspects for multicast trees can be improved at the cost of additional computations.

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A MAP Estimate of Optimal Data Association in Multi-Target Tracking (다중표적추적의 최적 데이터결합을 위한 MAP 추정기 개발)

  • 이양원
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.210-217
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    • 2003
  • We introduced a scheme for finding an optimal data association matrix that represents the relationships between the measurements and tracks in multi-target tracking (MIT). We considered the relationships between targets and measurements as Markov Random Field and assumed a priori of the associations as a Gibbs distribution. Based on these assumptions, it was possible to reduce the MAP estimate of the association matrix to the energy minimization problem. After then, we defined an energy function over the measurement space that may incorporate most of the important natural constraints. To find the minimizer of the energy function, we derived a new equation in closed form. By introducing Lagrange multiplier, we derived a compact equation for parameters updating. In this manner, a pair of equations that consist of tracking and parameters updating can track the targets adaptively in a very variable environments. For measurements and targets, this algorithm needs only multiplications for each radar scan. Through the experiments, we analyzed and compared this algorithm with other representative algorithm. The result shows that the proposed method is stable, robust, fast enough for real time computation, as well as more accurate than other method.

Shape Optimization of Cavitator for a Supercavitating Projectile Underwater (초공동(超空洞) 하의 수중 주행체 캐비테이터 형상최적설계)

  • Choi, Joo-Ho;Grandhi, Ramana V.
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.1876-1881
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    • 2003
  • When a projectile travels at high speed underwater, supercavitating flow arises, in which a huge cavity is generated behind the projectile so that only the nose, i.e., the cavitator, of the projectile is wetted, while the rest of it should be surrounded by the cavity. In that case, the projectile can achieve very high speed due to the reduced drag. Furthermore if the nose of the body is shaped properly, the attendant pressure drag can be maintained at a very low value, so that the overall drag is also reduced dramatically. In this study, shape optimization technique is employed to determine the optimum cavitator shape for minimum drag, given certain operating conditions. Shape optimization technique is also used to solve the potential flow problem for any given cavitator, which is a free boundary value problem having the cavity shape as unknown a priori. Analytical sensitivities are derived for various shape parameters in order to implement a gradient-based optimization algorithm. Simultaneous optimization technique is proposed for efficient cavitator shape optimization, in which the cavity and cavitator shape are determined in a single optimization routine.

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