• 제목/요약/키워드: a error model

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한국형수치예보모델 자료동화에서 위성 복사자료 관측오차 진단 및 영향 평가 (Diagnostics of Observation Error of Satellite Radiance Data in Korean Integrated Model (KIM) Data Assimilation System)

  • 김혜영;강전호;권인혁
    • 대기
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.263-276
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    • 2022
  • The observation error of satellite radiation data that assimilated into the Korean Integrated Model (KIM) was diagnosed by applying the Hollingsworth and Lönnberg and Desrozier techniques commonly used. The magnitude and correlation of the observation error, and the degree of contribution for the satellite radiance data were calculated. The observation errors of the similar device, such as Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder (ATMS) and Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A shows different characteristics. The model resolution accounts for only 1% of the observation error, and seasonal variation is not significant factor, either. The observation error used in the KIM is amplified by 3-8 times compared to the diagnosed value or standard deviation of first-guess departures. The new inflation value was calculated based on the correlation between channels and the ratio of background error and observation error. As a result of performing the model sensitivity evaluation by applying the newly inflated observation error of ATMS, the error of temperature and water vapor analysis field were decreased. And temperature and water vapor forecast field have been significantly improved, so the accuracy of precipitation prediction has also been increased by 1.7% on average in Asia especially.

Gaussian noise addition approaches for ensemble optimal interpolation implementation in a distributed hydrological model

  • Manoj Khaniya;Yasuto Tachikawa;Kodai Yamamoto;Takahiro Sayama;Sunmin Kim
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.25-25
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    • 2023
  • The ensemble optimal interpolation (EnOI) scheme is a sub-optimal alternative to the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) with a reduced computational demand making it potentially more suitable for operational applications. Since only one model is integrated forward instead of an ensemble of model realizations, online estimation of the background error covariance matrix is not possible in the EnOI scheme. In this study, we investigate two Gaussian noise based ensemble generation strategies to produce dynamic covariance matrices for assimilation of water level observations into a distributed hydrological model. In the first approach, spatially correlated noise, sampled from a normal distribution with a fixed fractional error parameter (which controls its standard deviation), is added to the model forecast state vector to prepare the ensembles. In the second method, we use an adaptive error estimation technique based on the innovation diagnostics to estimate this error parameter within the assimilation framework. The results from a real and a set of synthetic experiments indicate that the EnOI scheme can provide better results when an optimal EnKF is not identified, but performs worse than the ensemble filter when the true error characteristics are known. Furthermore, while the adaptive approach is able to reduce the sensitivity to the fractional error parameter affecting the first (non-adaptive) approach, results are usually worse at ungauged locations with the former.

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Takagi-Sugeno Fuzzy Model-based Iterative Learning Control Systems: A Two-dimensional System Theory Approach

  • Chu, Jun-Uk;Lee, Yun-Jung
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2001년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.169.3-169
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    • 2001
  • This paper introduces a new approach to analysis of error convergence for a class of iterative learning control systems. First, a nonlinear plant is represented using a Takagi-Sugeno(T-S) fuzzy model. Then each iterative learning controller is designed for each linear plant in the T-S fuzzy model. From the view point of two-dimensional(2-D) system theory, we transform the proposed learning systems to a 2-D error equation, which is also established in the form of T-S fuzzy model. We analysis the error convergence in the sense of induced 2 L -norm, where the effects of disturbances and initial conditions on 2-D error are considered. The iterative learning controller design problem to guarantee the error convergence can be reduced to linear matrix inequality problems. In comparison with others, our learning algorithm ...

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새로운 윤곽 오차 모델을 이용한 상호 결합 제어 (Cross-coupled Control with a New Contour Error Model)

  • 이명훈;손희수;양승한
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정밀공학회 1997년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.341-344
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    • 1997
  • The higher precision in manufacturing field is demanded, the more accurate servo controller is needed. To achieve the high precision, Koren proposed the cross-coupled control (CCC) method. The objective of the CCC is reducing the contour error rather than decreasing the individual axial error. The performance of CCC depends on the contour error model. In this paper we propose a new contour error model which utilizes contour error vector based on parametric curve interpolator. The experimental results show that the new CCC is more accurate than the variable-gain CCC during free-form curve motion.

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공작기계 오차 모델링과 보정에 관한 연구 (On Error Modeling and Compensation of Machine Tools)

  • 송일규;최영
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.98-107
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    • 1996
  • The use of composite hyperpatch model is proposed to predict a machine tool positional error over the entire work space. This is an appropriate representation of the distorted work space. This model is valid for any configuration of 3-axis machine tool. Tool position, which is given NC data or CL data, contains error vector in actual work space. In this study, off-line compensation scheme was investigated for tool position error due to inaccuracy in machine tool structure. The error vector in actual work space is corrected by the error model using Newton-Raphson method. The proposed error compensation method shows the possibility of improving machine accuracy at a low cost.

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Adaptive Wireless Localization Filter Containing NLOS Error Mitigation Function

  • Cho, Seong Yun
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2016
  • Range-based wireless localization system must measure accurate range between a mobile node (MN) and reference nodes. However, non-line-of-sight (NLOS) error caused by the spatial structures disturbs the localization system obtaining the accurate range measurements. Localization methods using the range measurements including NLOS error yield large localization error. But filter-based localization methods can provide comparatively accurate location solution. Motivated by the accuracy of the filter-based localization method, a filter residual-based NLOS error estimation method is presented in this paper. Range measurement-based residual contains NLOS error. By considering this factor with NLOS error properties, NLOS error is mitigated. Also a process noise covariance matrix tuning method is presented to reduce the time-delay estimation error caused by the single dynamic model-based filter when the speed or moving direction of a MN changes, that is the used dynamic model is not fit the current dynamic of a MN. The presented methods are evaluated by simulation allowing direct comparison between different localization methods. The simulation results show that the presented filter is more accurate than the iterative least squares- and extended Kalman filter-based localization methods.

고정밀 고속 윤곽가공을 위한 3축 연동제어기 (3-Axis Coupling Controller for High-Precision/High-Speed Contour Machining)

  • 지성철;구태훈
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.40-47
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    • 2004
  • This paper proposes a three-axis coupling controller designed to improve the contouring accuracy in machining of 3D nonlinear contours. The proposed coupling controller is based on an innovative 3D contour error model and a PID control law. The novel contour error model provides almost exact calculation of contour errors in real-time for arbitrary contours and can be integrated with any type of existing interpolator. In the proposed method, three axes of motion are coordinated by the proposed coupling controller along with a proportional controller for each axis. The proposed contour error model and coupling controller are evaluated through computer simulations. The simulation results show that the proposed 3-axis coupling controller with the new contour error model substantially can improve the contouring accuracy by order of magnitude compared with the existing uncoupled controllers in high-speed machining of nonlinear contours.

Bayesian Curve-Fitting in Semiparametric Small Area Models with Measurement Errors

  • Hwang, Jinseub;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.349-359
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    • 2015
  • We study a semiparametric Bayesian approach to small area estimation under a nested error linear regression model with area level covariate subject to measurement error. Consideration is given to radial basis functions for the regression spline and knots on a grid of equally spaced sample quantiles of covariate with measurement errors in the nested error linear regression model setup. We conduct a hierarchical Bayesian structural measurement error model for small areas and prove the propriety of the joint posterior based on a given hierarchical Bayesian framework since some priors are defined non-informative improper priors that uses Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods to fit it. Our methodology is illustrated using numerical examples to compare possible models based on model adequacy criteria; in addition, analysis is conducted based on real data.

시이섭동기법을 이용한 모델 절감화의 오금 산정 및 관련 파라미터의 추정에 관한 연구 (A Study on Errors and Selection of Associated Parameters in Model Simplification Using Singular Perturbation Technique)

  • 천희영;박귀태;이기상
    • 대한전기학회논문지
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.43-49
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    • 1983
  • In this study, model simplification problem using singular perturbation technique is considered. The correctness and errors of simplified model which is obtained by the use of this technique, depends upon the order and the time scaling factor of the simplified model But, unfortunately, there is no explicit criteria for selections of these parameters. In this paper, error equations are derived and expanded by using the useful properties of $L_2$-norm. Then, new criteria for selecting the order of the simplified model and time scaling factor with respect to error bound are suggested. Since these criteria, newly proposed in this study, have strong concern about error bound, it can be used to choose the minimum order of the simplified model and time scaling factor with respect to given error bound. Conversely, if the order of the simplified model and time scaling factor are given, the error induced by the simplification can also be computed easily.

A Comprehensive Model for Wind Power Forecast Error and its Application in Economic Analysis of Energy Storage Systems

  • Huang, Yu;Xu, Qingshan;Jiang, Xianqiang;Zhang, Tong;Liu, Jiankun
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제13권6호
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    • pp.2168-2177
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    • 2018
  • The unavoidable forecast error of wind power is one of the biggest obstacles for wind farms to participate in day-ahead electricity market. To mitigate the deviation from forecast, installation of energy storage system (ESS) is considered. An accurate model of wind power forecast error is fundamental for ESS sizing. However, previous study shows that the error distribution has variable kurtosis and fat tails, and insufficient measurement data of wind farms would add to the difficulty of modeling. This paper presents a comprehensive way that makes the use of mixed skewness model (MSM) and copula theory to give a better approximation for the distribution of forecast error, and it remains valid even if the dataset is not so well documented. The model is then used to optimize the ESS power and capacity aiming to pay the minimal extra cost. Results show the effectiveness of the new model for finding the optimal size of ESS and increasing the economic benefit.