• Title/Summary/Keyword: Yield estimation model

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Development of Site Index Model for Cryptomeria japonica Stands by the Current Growth Characteristics in South Korea (현실임분 생장특성을 반영한 삼나무 지위지수 추정 모델 개발)

  • Kim, Hyun-Soo;Jung, Su-Young;Lee, Kwang-Soo;Lee, Sang-Hyun
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.31 no.9
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    • pp.793-801
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    • 2022
  • This study was carried out to provide basic data for logical forest management by developing a site index curve reflecting the current growth characteristics of Cryptomeria japonica stands in Korea. The height growth model was developed using the Chapman-Richards, Schumacher, Gompertz, and Weibull algebraic difference equations, which are widely used in growth estimation, for data collected from 119 plots through the 7th National Forest Inventory and stand survey. The Chapman-Richards equation, with the highest model fit, was selected as the best equation for the height growth model, and a site index curve was developed using the guide curve method. To compare the developed site index curve with that on the yield table, paired T-tests with a significance level of 5% were performed. The results indicated that there were no significant differences between the site index curve values at all ages, and the p-value was smaller after the reference age than before. Therefore, the site index curve developed through this study reflects the characteristics of the changing growth environment of C. japonica stands and can be used in accordance with the site index curve on the current yield table. Thus, this information can be considered valuable as basic data for reasonable forest management.

Estimation of Leaf Area Using Leaf Length, Leaf width, and Lamina Length in Tomato (엽장, 엽폭, 엽신장을 이용한 토마토의 엽면적 추정)

  • Lee, Jae Myun;Jeong, Jae Yeon;Choi, Hyo Gil
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.325-331
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    • 2022
  • One of the most important factors in predicting tomato growth and yield is the leaf area. Estimating leaf area accurately is the beginning of an effective tomato plant growth assessment model. To this end, this study was conducted to identify the most effective model for estimating plant leaf area through the measurement of tomato plant leaves. Leaf area (LA), leaf length (L), leaf width (W), and lamina length (La) were measured for all leaves of 5 plants at two-week intervals. The correlation between LA and tomato-leaf-independent variables showed a strong positive relationship with the formulas La × W, L × W, La + W, and L + W. For LA estimation, a linear model using the formula LA = a + b (La2 + W2) gave the most accurate estimation (R2 = 0.867, RMSE = 88.76). After examining the positions of upper, middle, and lower leaves from September to December, the coefficient of determination (R2) values for each model were 0.878, 0.726, and 0.794 respectively. The most accurate estimation came from the model that used the upper leaves of the plants. The high accuracy of the upper-leaf-based model is judged by the 50% defoliation performed by farmers after October.

Estimation of genetic parameters and trends for production traits of dairy cattle in Thailand using a multiple-trait multiple-lactation test day model

  • Buaban, Sayan;Puangdee, Somsook;Duangjinda, Monchai;Boonkum, Wuttigrai
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.33 no.9
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    • pp.1387-1399
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    • 2020
  • Objective: The objective of this study was to estimate the genetic parameters and trends for milk, fat, and protein yields in the first three lactations of Thai dairy cattle using a 3-trait,-3-lactation random regression test-day model. Methods: Data included 168,996, 63,388, and 27,145 test-day records from the first, second, and third lactations, respectively. Records were from 19,068 cows calving from 1993 to 2013 in 124 herds. (Co) variance components were estimated by Bayesian methods. Gibbs sampling was used to obtain posterior distributions. The model included herd-year-month of testing, breed group-season of calving-month in tested milk group, linear and quadratic age at calving as fixed effects, and random regression coefficients for additive genetic and permanent environmental effects, which were defined as modified constant, linear, quadratic, cubic and quartic Legendre coefficients. Results: Average daily heritabilities ranged from 0.36 to 0.48 for milk, 0.33 to 0.44 for fat and 0.37 to 0.48 for protein yields; they were higher in the third lactation for all traits. Heritabilities of test-day milk and protein yields for selected days in milk were higher in the middle than at the beginning or end of lactation, whereas those for test-day fat yields were high at the beginning and end of lactation. Genetics correlations (305-d yield) among production yields within lactations (0.44 to 0.69) were higher than those across lactations (0.36 to 0.68). The largest genetic correlation was observed between the first and second lactation. The genetic trends of 305-d milk, fat and protein yields were 230 to 250, 25 to 29, and 30 to 35 kg per year, respectively. Conclusion: A random regression model seems to be a flexible and reliable procedure for the genetic evaluation of production yields. It can be used to perform breeding value estimation for national genetic evaluation in the Thai dairy cattle population.

An Approach for Improvement of Goodness of Fit on the Estimation of Paddy Rice Yield Using Satellite(MODIS) Images (MODIS 영상을 이용한 논벼 생산량 추정모형의 적합도 개선을 위한 연구)

  • Kim, Bae-Sung;Kim, Jae-Hwan;Ko, Seong-Bo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.5417-5422
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    • 2013
  • This research was performed in order to improve the goodness of fit of paddy rice production forecasting using MODIS images and to find out appropriate explanatory variables in the forecasting model. The aim of this paper is to review the use of satellite images for the survey of paddy rice production in Korea. Many developed countries, including the United States, Australia, and Japan, have been using satellite images to produce agricultural statistics such as crop production, cultivated acreage, etc. The survey accuracy of crop production by using satellite images, however, is not satisfied in practical use. In this paper, we reviewed several methods to increase the survey accuracy of rice production statistics, gained from satellite images. Rice was selected for this study because its cultivated area and production amount could be more easily identified than other crops by using satellite images. The MODIS images were used because they involved more appropriate images to estimate and analyze rice production. This study estimated yield functions by using the NDVIs, gained from paddy rice yields and annual average isothermal lines, and the meteorological variables such as sunshine hours, rainfall, and temperature during ripening stage. As a result of yield function estimation, the goodness of fit(R-squared) for the models was shown from 0.768 to 0.891. In this study, it is noteworthy academically and practically that vegetation index(NDVIs) identified by annual average isothermal lines and meteorological variables are very useful for estimating yield functions.

Design of the Fixed-Bed Catalytic Reactor for the Maleic Anhydride Production (무수마레인산 생산을 위한 고정층 촉매 반응기 설계)

  • Yoon, Young Sam;Koo, Eun Hwa;Park, Pan Wook
    • Applied Chemistry for Engineering
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.467-476
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    • 1999
  • This paper analyzed the behavior of fixed-bed catalytic reactor (FBCR) which synthesizing maleic anhydride(MA) from the selective oxidation of n-butane. The behavior of FBCR describing convection-diffusion-reaction mechanism is examined by using two-dimensional pseudohomogeneous plug-flow transient model, with the kinetics of Langmuir-Hinshelwood type. Prediction model is composed by optimum parameter estimation from temperature profile, yield and conversion of single FBCR on operating condition variations of Sharma's pilot-plant experiment. A double FBCR with same yield and conversion for single FBCR generated a $8.96^{\circ}C$ lower hot spot temperature than a single FBCR. We could predict parametric sensitivity according to the variation of possible operating condition (temperature, concentration, volumetric flow of feed reactant and coolant flow rate) of single and double FBCR. Double FBCR showed the behavior of more operating range than single FBCR. Double FBCR with nonuniform activities could assure safety operation condition for the possible variation of operating condition. Also, double FBCR had slightly higher than the single FBCR in conversion and yield.

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Development and Application of a Physics-based Soil Erosion Model (물리적 표토침식모형의 개발과 적용)

  • Yu, Wansik;Park, Junku;Yang, JaeE;Lim, Kyoung Jae;Kim, Sung Chul;Park, Youn Shik;Hwang, Sangil;Lee, Giha
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.66-73
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    • 2017
  • Empirical erosion models like Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) models have been widely used to make spatially distributed soil erosion vulnerability maps. Even if the models detect vulnerable sites relatively well utilizing big data related to climate, geography, geology, land use, etc within study domains, they do not adequately describe the physical process of soil erosion on the ground surface caused by rainfall or overland flow. In other words, such models are still powerful tools to distinguish the erosion-prone areas at large scale, but physics-based models are necessary to better analyze soil erosion and deposition as well as the eroded particle transport. In this study a physics-based soil erosion modeling system was developed to produce both runoff and sediment yield time series at watershed scale and reflect them in the erosion and deposition maps. The developed modeling system consists of 3 sub-systems: rainfall pre-processor, geography pre-processor, and main modeling processor. For modeling system validation, we applied the system for various erosion cases, in particular, rainfall-runoff-sediment yield simulation and estimation of probable maximum sediment (PMS) correlated with probable maximum rainfall (PMP). The system provided acceptable performances of both applications.

Biological aspects and population dynamics of Indian mackerel (Rastrelliger kanagurta) in Barru, Makassar Strait, Indonesia

  • Andi Asni;Hasrun;Ihsan;Najamuddin
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.392-409
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    • 2024
  • The present study aims to analyze the biological aspects and population dynamics of Indian mackerel in Barru waters. Data was collected in Barru for 11 months, from June 2022 to April 2023. The observed parameters of biological aspects included gonadal maturation stages (GMSs), size at first gonadal maturation, and length-weight relationship. Meanwhile, the aspects of population dynamics encompass age group, growth, mortality rate, and exploitation rate. Data analysis consisted of morphological selection of general maturation stages, Spearman-Kärber method in estimating gonadal first maturation size, Bhattacharya method in identifying age group, von Bertalanffy function through FISAT II to measure growth (L and K), Pauly Model to estimate mortality rate, Beverton & Holt Model to estimate Y/R, and virtual population analysis (VPA) analysis to estimate stock and fish yield. The results demonstrated that GMS I was observed to be dominant, followed by stages II and III. The initial gonadal maturation was estimated to be 17.98-19.28 cm (FL) for females and 17.98-19.27 cm (FL) for males. The length-weight relationship in male and female Indian mackerels indicated a positive allometric growth. The mode grouping analysis results from the fork length measurement revealed three age groups. It was also identified that the asymptotic length (L) = 29.5 cm (fork length), growth rate coefficient (K) = 0.46 per year, and theoretical age at zero length (t0) = -0.3576 per year. Total mortality (Z) = 2.67 per year, natural mortality (M) = 1.10 per year, fishing mortality (F) = 1.57 per year, and exploitation rate (E) = 0.59, the actual Y/R = 0.083 gram/recruitment, and optimal Y/R 0.03 gram/recruitment. Fishing mortality is higher than the natural mortality rate, and a high exploitation value (E > 0.5) also reflects over-exploitation. VPA analysis on fish yields and stock estimation reported a highly exploited rate between the 11.5 cm and 14.5 cm length classes and an exceeding current yield of 467.07 tons/year with a recommended yield of 233.53 tons/year to ensure population sustainability.

Effect of Ground Subsidence on Reliability of Buried Pipelines (지반침하가 매설배관의 건전성에 미치는 영향)

  • 이억섭;김동혁
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.173-180
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents the effect of varying boundary conditions such as ground subsidence, internal pressure and temperature variation for buried pipelines on failure prediction by using a failure probability model. The first order Taylor series expansion of the limit state function incorporating with von-Mises failure criteria is used in order to estimate the probability of failure mainly associated with three cases of ground subsidence. Using stresses on the buried pipelines, we estimate the probability of pipelines with von-Mises failure criterion. The effects of varying random variables such as pipe diameter, internal pressure, temperature, settlement width, load for unit length of pipelines, material yield stress and pipe thickness on the failure probability of the buried pipelines are systematically studied by using a failure probability model for the pipeline crossing ground subsidence regions which have different soil properties.

Efficiency of Estimation for Parameters by Use of Variance Reduction Techniques (분산감소기법을 이용한 파라미터 추정의 효율성)

  • Kwon Chi-myung
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.129-136
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    • 2005
  • We develop a variance reduction technique applicable in one simulation experiment whose purpose is to estimate the parameters of a first order linear model. This method utilizes the control variates obtained during the course of simulation run under Schruben and Margolin's method (S-M method). The performance of this method is shown to be similar in estimating the main effects, and to be superior to S-M method in estimating the overall mean response in a given model. We consider that a proposed method may yield a better result than S-M method if selected control variates are highly correlated with the response at each design point.

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The Contact Fatigue Life Analysis of Rough Surfaces (거친 표면의 접촉피로 수명예측)

  • Chu Hyo-Jun;Lee San-Don;Cho Yong-Joo
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.136-141
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    • 2005
  • Analytical model to calculate the contact fatigue life of rough surface is presented in this paper. The effect of surface roughness can be calculated by this model. Computational method and the theoretical basis are also discussed. Contact stresses are obtained by contact analysis of a semi-infinite solid based on the use of influence functions; the subsurface stress field is obtained using rectangular patch solutions. Mesoscopic multiaxial fatigue criterion which can yield satisfactory results for non-proportional loading is then applied to predict fatigue damage. Suitable counting method and damage rule were used to calculate the fatigue life of random loading caused by rough surface. As a result of analysis the relationship between the life and the roughness as well as the most probable depth of the crack initiation is calculated.