• Title/Summary/Keyword: Yield Models

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Genetic parameters for milk yield in imported Jersey and Jersey-Friesian cows using daily milk records in Sri Lanka

  • Samaraweera, Amali Malshani;Boerner, Vinzent;Cyril, Hewa Waduge;Werf, Julius van der;Hermesch, Susanne
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.33 no.11
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    • pp.1741-1754
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    • 2020
  • Objective: This study was conducted to estimate genetic parameters for milk yield traits using daily milk yield records from parlour data generated in an intensively managed commercial dairy farm with Jersey and Jersey-Friesian cows in Sri Lanka. Methods: Genetic parameters were estimated for first and second lactation predicted and realized 305-day milk yield using univariate animal models. Genetic parameters were also estimated for total milk yield for each 30-day intervals of the first lactation using univariate animal models and for daily milk yield using random regression models fitting second-order Legendre polynomials and assuming heterogeneous residual variances. Breeding values for predicted 305-day milk yield were estimated using an animal model. Results: For the first lactation, the heritability of predicted 305-day milk yield in Jersey cows (0.08±0.03) was higher than that of Jersey-Friesian cows (0.02±0.01). The second lactation heritability estimates were similar to that of first lactation. The repeatability of the daily milk records was 0.28±0.01 and the heritability ranged from 0.002±0.05 to 0.19±0.02 depending on day of milk. Pearson product-moment correlations between the bull estimated breeding values (EBVs) in Australia and bull EBVs in Sri Lanka for 305-day milk yield were 0.39 in Jersey cows and -0.35 in Jersey-Friesian cows. Conclusion: The heritabilities estimated for milk yield in Jersey and Jersey-Friesian cows in Sri Lanka were low, and were associated with low additive genetic variances for the traits. Sire differences in Australia were not expressed in the tropical low-country of Sri Lanka. Therefore, genetic progress achieved by importing genetic material from Australia can be expected to be slow. This emphasizes the need for a within-country evaluation of bulls to produce locally adapted dairy cows.

Simulation of Wheat Yield under Changing Climate in Pakistan (파키스탄 기후변화에 따른 밀생산량 모의)

  • Ahmad, Mirza Junaid;Choi, Kyung-Sook
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.199-199
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    • 2017
  • Sustainable wheat production is of paramount importance for attaining/maintaining the food self-sufficiency status of the rapidly growing nation of Pakistan. However, the average wheat yield per unit area has been dwindling in recent years and the climate-induced variations in rainfall patterns and temperature regimes, during the wheat growth period, are believed to be the reason behind this decline. Crop growth simulation models are powerful tools capable of playing pivotal role in evaluating the climate change impacts on crop yield or productivity. This study was aimed to predict the plausible variations in the wheat yield for future climatic trends so that possible mitigation strategies could be explored. For this purpose, Aquacrop model v. 4.0 was employed to simulate the wheat yield under present and future climatology of the largest agricultural province of Punjab in Pakistan. The data related to crop phenology, management and yield were collected from the experimental plots to calibrate and validate the model. The future climate projections were statistically downscaled from five general circulation models (GCMs) and compared with the base line climate from 1980 to 2010. The model was fed with the projected climate to simulate the wheat yield based on the RCP (representative concentration pathways) 4.5 and 8.5. Under the worst, most likely future scenario of temperature rise and rainfall reduction, the crop yield decreased and water footprint, especially blue, increased, owing to the elevated irrigation demands due to accelerated evapotranspiration rates. The modeling results provided in this study are expected to provide a basic framework for devising policy responses to minimize the climate change impacts on wheat production in the area.

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A study for Generalized Binomial Distributions (일반화 이항분포에 관한 연구)

  • 이병수;김희철
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.21 no.46
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    • pp.127-136
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    • 1998
  • In many cases where the binomial distribution fails to apply to real world data it is because of more variability in the data than can be explained by that distribution. Several authers have proposed models that are useful in explaining extra-binomial variation. In this paper we point out a characterization of sequences of exchangeable Bernoulli variables which can be used to develop models which show more variability than the binomial. We give sufficient conditions which will yield such models and show how existing models can be continued to generate further models. A numerical example and simulation given.

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Convolutional Neural Networks for Rice Yield Estimation Using MODIS and Weather Data: A Case Study for South Korea (MODIS와 기상자료 기반 회선신경망 알고리즘을 이용한 남한 전역 쌀 생산량 추정)

  • Ma, Jong Won;Nguyen, Cong Hieu;Lee, Kyungdo;Heo, Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.525-534
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    • 2016
  • In South Korea, paddy rice has been consumed over the entire region and it is the main source of income for farmers, thus mathematical model for the estimation of rice yield is required for such decision-making processes in agriculture. The objectives of our study are to: (1) develop rice yield estimation model using Convolutional Neural Networks(CNN), (2) choose hyper-parameters for the model which show the best performance and (3) investigate whether CNN model can effectively predict the rice yield by the comparison with the model using Artificial Neural Networks(ANN). Weather and MODIS(The MOderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) products from April to September in year 2000~2013 were used for the rice yield estimation models and cross-validation was implemented for the accuracy assessment. The CNN and ANN models showed Root Mean Square Error(RMSE) of 36.10kg/10a, 48.61kg/10a based on rice points, respectively and 31.30kg/10a, 39.31kg/10a based on 'Si-Gun-Gu' districts, respectively. The CNN models outperformed ANN models and its possibility of application for the field of rice yield estimation in South Korea was proved.

Statistical Variability of Mechanical Properties of Reinforcements (철근 콘크리트용 봉강의 역학적 특성의 통계적 변동성)

  • Kim, Jee Sang;Paek, Min Hee
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.2A
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    • pp.115-120
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    • 2011
  • The strength of reinforced concrete members has uncertainty from material properties of, concrete and reinforcements, section dimensions, and construction errors and so on. The accurate evaluation of these uncertainties is necessary to assure the reasonable safety. The uncertainties should be taken into account in design using structural reliability theory which requires probabilistic models for such uncertainties. In current Korean design code, most reliability evaluations were performed based on foreign data because of lack of local data. In this paper, the probabilistic models for yield strength of reinforcements were developed based on local data. The effects of various factors, nominal yield strength, diameter of reinforcements, and companies, on the models are also examined. According to data analysed, the effects of those factors are not significant. The probability model for yield strength of reinforcements in Korea can be expressed with Beta distribution based on collected data.

Development of Methods for Estimating Sediment Yield Rate(II) - Development of Models - (비유사량(比流砂量) 추정방법의 개발(II) - 모형 개발 및 검토 -)

  • Kim, Chang Wan;Kim, Hyoung Seop;Yu, Kwon Kyu;Woo, Hyo Seop
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.131-140
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    • 1993
  • The major objective of this study is to develop practical methods for estimating sediment yield rates of medium size watersheds of which areas range from 200 to $2,000km^2$ In the first phase of the study that were presented in the companion paper followed by this paper, a methodology for estimating sediment yield rate was introduced and a total of 13 data points including eight sampled river-sediment data and five reservoir deposit data were collected. In this study, a three-parameter empirical model and a six-parameter rating model, both of which are based on empiricism, have been developed. By limited comparisons, the models developed in this study appear to be more reliable and applicable than the existing ones. According to the sediment yield data collected and the estimations by the models, meanwhile, the lowest value for the sediment yield rate of medium size watersheds in Korea is estimated to be about $100tons/km^2/yr$, and the maximum to be about $1,000tons/km^2/yr$.

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Development of a Constituent Prediction Model of Domestic Rice Using Near Infrared Reflectance Analyzer(II) - Prediction of Brown and Milled Rice Protein Content and Brown Rice Yield from undried Paddy - (근적외선 분석계를 이용한 국내산 쌀의 성분 예측모델 개발(II) -생벼를 이용한 현미.백미의 단백질 함량과 현미수율 예측-)

  • 한충수;연광석;고과이랑
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.253-258
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    • 1998
  • The part I was for developing regression models to predict the moisture content, protein content and viscosity of brown and milled rice using Near Infrared(NIR) Reflectance analyzer. The purpose of this study(part II) is to measure fundamental data required for the prediction of rice quality, and to develop regression models to predict the protein content of brown and milled rice, brown rice yield from undried paddy powder by using Near Infrared(NIR) Reflectance analyzer. The results of this study were summarized as follows : The predicted values of protein contents obtained from the undried paddy powder were well correlated to the measured values from brown and milled rice. The predicted yields of brown rice from undried paddy powder were not well correlated to the lab measured values from dried paddy. Continuous study in wavelength selection and of constituent relationship is necessary for practical application.

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Development of a Constituent Prediction Model of Domestic Rice Using Near Infrared Reflection Analyzer (II)-Prediction of Brown and Milled Rice Protein Content and Brown Rice Yield from Undried Paddy (근적외선 분석계를 이용한 국내산 쌀의 성분예측모델 개발(II)-생벼를 이용한 현미.백미의 단백질 함량과 현미수율 예측)

  • ;;J.R. Warashina
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Agricultural Machinery Conference
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    • 1998.06b
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    • pp.171-177
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    • 1998
  • The part Ⅰ was for developing regression models to predict the moisture content, protein content and viscosity of brown and milled rice using Near Unfrared (NIR) Reflectance analyzer. The purpose of this study(part Ⅱ) is to measure fundamental data required for the prediction of rice quality , and to develop regression models to predict the protein content of brown and milled rice, brown rice yield from undreid paddy powder by using Near Infrared (NIR) Reflectance analyzer. The results of this study were summarized as follows . The predicted values of protein contents obtained from the undried paddy powder were will correlated to the measured values from brown and milled rice. The predicted yields of brown rice from undried paddy powder were not well correlated to be lab measured values from dried paddy. Continuous study in wavelength selection and of constituent relationship is necessary for practical application.

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Comparative Study on Material Constitutive Models of Ice (얼음의 재료 모델 적용 타당성 연구)

  • Choung, Joon-Mo;Nam, Ji-Myung;Kim, Kyung-Su
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.42-48
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    • 2011
  • To define ice as a solid material, mathematical and physical characteristics and their application examples are investigated for several materials' yield functions which include isotropic elastic, isotropic elastic-plastic, classical Drucker-Prager, Drucker-Prager Cap, Heinonen's elliptic, Derradji-Aouat's elliptic, and crushable foam models. Taking into account brittle failure mode of ice subject to high loading rate or extremely low temperature, isotropic elastic model can be better practicable than isotropic elastic-plastic model. If a failure criterion can be properly determined, the elastic model will provide relatively practicable impact force history from ice-hull interactions. On the other hand, it is thought that the soil models can better predict the ice spalling mechanism, since they contain both terms of shear stress-induced and hydrostatic stress-induced failures in the yield function.

Comparative analysis of stock assessment models for analyzing potential yield of fishery resources in the West Sea, Korea (서해 어획대상 잠재생산량 추정을 위한 자원평가모델의 비교 분석)

  • CHOI, Min-Je;KIM, Do-Hoon;CHOI, Ji-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.55 no.3
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    • pp.206-216
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    • 2019
  • This study is aimed to compare stock assessment models depending on how the models fit to observed data. Process-error model, Observation-error model, and Bayesian state-space model for the Korean Western coast fisheries were applied for comparison. Analytical results show that there is the least error between the estimated CPUE and the observed CPUE with the Bayesian state-space model; consequently, results of the Bayesian state-space model are the most reliable. According to the Bayesian State-space model, potential yield of fishery resources in the West Sea of Korea is estimated to be 231,949 tons per year. However, the results show that the fishery resources of West Sea have been decreasing since 1967. In addition, the amounts of stock in 2013 are assessed to be only 36% of the stock biomass at MSY level. Therefore, policy efforts are needed to recover the fishery resources of West Sea of Korea.