• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weather risk

Search Result 338, Processing Time 0.035 seconds

Development of Impact-based Heat Health Warning System Based on Ensemble Forecasts of Perceived Temperature and its Evaluation using Heat-Related Patients in 2019 (인지온도 확률예보기반 폭염-건강영향예보 지원시스템 개발 및 2019년 온열질환자를 이용한 평가)

  • Kang, Misun;Belorid, Miloslav;Kim, Kyu Rang
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.30 no.2
    • /
    • pp.195-207
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study aims to introduce the structure of the impact-based heat health warning system on 165 counties in South Korea developed by the National Institute of Meteorological Sciences. This system was developed using the daily maximum perceived temperature (PTmax), which is a human physiology-based thermal comfort index, and the Local ENSemble prediction system for the probability forecasts. Also, A risk matrix proposed by the World Meteorological Organization was employed for the impact-based forecasts of this system. The threshold value of the risk matrix was separately set depending on regions. In this system, the risk level was issued as four levels (GREEN, YELLOW, ORANGE, RED) for first, second, and third forecast lead-day (LD1, LD2, and LD3). The daily risk level issued by the system was evaluated using emergency heat-related patients obtained at six cities, including Seoul, Incheon, Daejeon, Gwangju, Daegu, and Busan, for LD1 to LD3. The high-risks level occurred more consistently in the shorter lead time (LD3 → LD1) and the performance (rs) was increased from 0.42 (LD3) to 0.45 (LD1) in all cities. Especially, it showed good performance (rs = 0.51) in July and August, when heat stress is highest in South Korea. From an impact-based forecasting perspective, PTmax is one of the most suitable temperature indicators for issuing the health risk warnings by heat in South Korea.

Comparison and State Analysis of Slope Management System(SMS) at Home and Aboard (국내외 사면관리시스템의 비교 및 현황분석)

  • Kang, Ho-Yun;Jang, Yong-Gu;Hong, Soon-Hun;Kang, In-Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry, and Cartography Conference
    • /
    • 2007.04a
    • /
    • pp.403-408
    • /
    • 2007
  • Korea is topographically and meteorologically prone to natural disasters. In addition to extraordinary weather, localized heavy rain is a irregular occurrence. Korea are frequently damaged by rain, wind, flood, etc. Recently, slope failures are disastrous when they occur in mountainous area adjoining highways. The accidents associated with slope failures have increased due to rapid urbanization of mountainous area. Therefore, the inspection of slope is conducted to maintain highway safety as well as road function. We developed basic function and risk management of a partial shape on highway slopes based on the internet. It is important for quantitative risk evaluation of highway slopes.

  • PDF

Economic Assessment of a Wind Farm Project Using Least Square Monte-Carlo (LSMC) Simulation (최소자승몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 풍력발전설비 투자계획)

  • Kim, Jin-A;Lee, Jong-Uk;Lee, Jae-Hee;Joo, Sung-Kwan
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
    • /
    • v.60 no.1
    • /
    • pp.32-35
    • /
    • 2011
  • The economic value of a wind farm project is influenced by various risk factors such as wind power output and electricity market price. In particular, there is uncertainty in the economic evaluation of a wind farm project due to uncertain wind power outputs, which are fluctuated by weather factors such as wind speed, and volatile electricity market prices. This paper presents a systematic method to assess the economic value and payback period of a wind farm project using Least Square Monte-Carlo (LSMC) simulation. Numerical example is presented to validate the effectiveness of the proposed economic assessment method for a wind farm project.

A Study on the Natural Wind Measurement to Assess the Risk of Train Overturn due to the Strong Wind (강풍 시 열차전복위험도 평가를 위한 자연풍 측정에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Hyeok-Bin;Nam, Seong-Won;You, Won-Hee;Hong, You-Na
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
    • /
    • 2006.11b
    • /
    • pp.123-129
    • /
    • 2006
  • The measurement method of natural wind to understand the characteristics of the natural wind along the railway lines in Korea has been investigated to be used in the assessment of the risk of train overturn. The weather information service provided by Korea Meteorological Administration has been employed to outline the broad characteristic of natural wind in Korea. Anemometers using CDMA telecommunication for data transfer have been installed near the railway lines to measure velocities and directions of natural wind and the data processing method has been studied using the measured data.

  • PDF

Development of Ubiquitous Sensor Network Quality Control Algorithm for Highland Cabbage (고랭지배추 생육을 위한 유비쿼터스 센서 네트워크 품질관리 알고리즘 개발)

  • Cho, Changje;Hwang, Guenbo;Yoon, Sanghoo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.20 no.4
    • /
    • pp.337-347
    • /
    • 2018
  • Weather causes much of the risk of agricultural activity. For efficient farming, we need to use weather information. Modern agriculture has been developed to create high added value through convergence with state-of-the-art Information and Communication Technology (ICT). This study deals with the quality control algorithms of weather monitoring equipment through Ubiquitous Sensor Network (USN) observational equipment for efficient cultivation of cabbage. Accurate weather observations are important. To achieve this goal, the Korea Meteorological Administration, for example, developed various quality control algorithms to determine regularity of the observation. The research data of this study were obtained from five USN stations, which were installed in Anbandegi and Gwinemi from 2015 to 2017. Quality control algorithms were developed for flat line check, temporal outliers check, time series consistency check and spatial outliers check. Finally, the quality control algorithms proposed in this study can also identify potential abnormal observations taking into account the temporal and spatial characteristics of weather data. It is expected to be useful for efficient management of highland cabbage production by providing quality-controlled weather data.

Analysis of Extreme Rainfall Distribution Scenarios over the Landslide High Risk Zones in Urban Areas (도심지 토사재해 고위험지역 극치강우 시간분포 시나리오 분석)

  • Yoon, Sunkwon;Jang, Sangmin;Rhee, Jinyoung
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.58 no.3
    • /
    • pp.57-69
    • /
    • 2016
  • In this study, we analyzed the extreme rainfall distribution scenarios based on probable rainfall calculation and applying various time distribution models over the landslide high risk zones in urban areas. We used observed rainfall data form total 71 ASOS (Automated Synoptic Observing System) station and AWS (Automatic Weather Station) in KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration), and we analyzed the linear trends for 1-hr and 24-hr annual maximum rainfall series using simple linear regression method, which are identified their increasing trends with slopes of 0.035 and 0.660 during 1961-2014, respectively. The Gumbel distribution was applied to obtain the return period and probability precipitation for each duration. The IDF (Intensity-Duration-Frequency) curves for landslide high risk zones were derived by applying integrated probability precipitation intensity equation. Results from IDF analysis indicate that the probability precipitation varies from 31.4~38.3 % for 1 hr duration, and 33.0~47.9 % for 24 hr duration. It also showed different results for each area. The $Huff-4^{th}$ Quartile method as well as Mononobe distribution were selected as the rainfall distribution scenarios of landslide high risk zones. The results of this study can be used to provide boundary conditions for slope collapse analysis, to analyze sediment disaster risk, and to use as input data for risk prediction of debris flow.

Earthworm Risk Assessment of Picoxystrobin Considering Rainfall after Spraying (Picoxystrobin 살포후 강우를 고려한 지렁이 위해성 평가)

  • Hong, Soonsung;You, Are-Sun;Jeong, Mihye;Lee, Jae Bong;Ihm, Yangbin
    • The Korean Journal of Pesticide Science
    • /
    • v.17 no.4
    • /
    • pp.359-362
    • /
    • 2013
  • This study was performed in order to assess the risk of earthworm when the picoxystrobin was sprayed in Korean orchard. The acute toxicity ($LC_{50}$) of picoxystrobin active ingredient(99.3%) and soluble concentrate (25%) against earthworm was showed 10.93 mg/kg and 8-16 mg/kg respectively. This earth worm toxicity value means that the picoxystrobin do not show the earthworm risk in present Korean risk assessment system. However, in the test which was simulated the rainfall after spraying, all the earthworm were died in 24 hours. This result indicated that the risk assessment for the earthworm should be considered the weather condition.

Research on radar-based risk prediction of sudden downpour in urban area: case study of the metropolitan area (레이더 기반 도시지역 돌발성 호우의 위험성 사전 예측 : 수도권지역 사례 연구)

  • Yoon, Seongsim;Nakakita, Eiichi;Nishiwaki, Ryuta;Sato, Hiroto
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.49 no.9
    • /
    • pp.749-759
    • /
    • 2016
  • The aim of this study is to apply and to evaluate the radar-based risk prediction algorithm for damage reduction by sudden localized heavy rain in urban areas. The algorithm is combined with three processes such as "detection of cumulonimbus convective cells that can cause a sudden downpour", "automatic tracking of the detected convective cells", and "risk prediction by considering the possibility of sudden downpour". This algorithm was applied to rain events that people were marooned in small urban stream. As the results, the convective cells were detected through this algorithm in advance and it showed that it is possible to determine the risk of the phenomenon of developing into local heavy rain. When use this risk predicted results for flood prevention operation, it is able to secure the evacuation time in small streams and be able to reduce the casualties.