• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2019.05a
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• pp.51-51
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• 2019

기후변화 따라 과거에 경험하지 못했던 이상 수문기상 및 기상재해가 유발되며, 그 피해의 규모는 매년 증가한다. 그 중 가뭄은 미국 해양기상청(NOAA)이 선정한 20세기 최대 자연재해 중 상위 5위 안에 랭크되었으며 가뭄의 피해와 영향력은 막대하다고 언급하였다. 가뭄은 발생과정과 피해 영향에 따라 기상학적, 농업적, 수문학적, 사회경제학적 가뭄으로 구분할 수 있으며 직 간접적으로 영향을 미치고 기상학적 가뭄에서 수문학적 가뭄 등으로 가뭄의 종류가 변화되며 이를 가뭄전이라고 부른다,. 본 연구에서는 기상학적 가뭄에서 수문학적 가뭄으로 전이되는 과정을 분석하기 위하여 Weather Research and Forecasting and Model Hydrological modeling extension package (WRF-Hydro) 모형을 한반도 대상으로 구축하였다. 모형의 정확성을 향상시키기 위해 충주댐, 소양강댐, 용담댐, 남강댐의 유입량과 모형 유출량을 비교 분석하였으며, 유출에 영향을 미치는 지면 유출, 표면 거칠기와 같은 파라미터를 보정하여 주었다. 위와 같이 구축, 보정된 모형을 활용하여 모의된 유출량을 이용하여 수문학적 가뭄지수 Standardized Streamflow Drought Index(SSFI)를 도출하여 기상학적 가뭄지수 Standardized Precipitation Index(SPI)와 비교하여 기상학적 가뭄이 수문학적 가뭄으로 전이되는 과정을 가뭄의 빈도, 강도, 특성 등에 초점을 맞추어 분석하였다.

• Journal of Environmental Science International
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• v.21 no.3
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• pp.327-337
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• 2012

Air pollution inventories are aggregated around south-eastern part of the Korean Peninsular including Busan, Ulsan, and Changwon cities. Because densely populated cities are concentrated in this region, air pollutants emitted from one of these cities tend to be impacted on the air quality of other cities. In order to clarify the seasonal movement pattern of emitted particles, several numerical simulations using WRF/FLEXPART were carried out. Four cases were selected for each season. The Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF) reproduced atmospheric flow fields with nested grids. The seasonal pattern of air mass of study area was determined by backward and forward trajectories. As a result, the air parcel moves from northwest to southeast due to northwesterly winds in spring and winter. Also air parcel transports from south to north in summer, and moves from west to east. Because the air mass moves differently in each season, these characteristics should be considered when performing air quality analysis.

• Atmosphere
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• v.29 no.5
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• pp.567-583
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• 2019

In this study, the high-resolution numerical simulations considering detailed anthropogenic heat, albedo, emission and roughness length are analyzed by using single layer Urban Canopy Model (UCM) in Weather Research Forecast (WRF). For this, improved urban parameter data for Seoul Metropolitan Area (SMA) was collected from global data. And then the parameters were applied to WRF-UCM model after it was processed into 2-dimensional topographical data. The 6 experiments were simulated by using the model with each parameter and verified against observation from Automated Weather Station (AWS) and flux tower for the temperature and sensible heat flux. The data for sensible heat flux of flux towers on Jungnang and Bucheon, the temperature of AWS on Jungnang, Gangnam, Bucheon and Neonggok were used as verification data. In the case of summer, the improvement of simulation by using detailed anthropogenic heat was higher than the other experiments in sensible flux simulation. The results of winter case show improved in all simulations using each advanced parameters in temperature and sensible heat flux simulation. Improvement of urban parameters in this study are possible to reflect the heat characteristics of urban area. Especially, detailed application of anthropogenic heat contributed to the enhancement of predicted value for sensible heat flux and temperature.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2016.05a
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• pp.238-238
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• 2016

토양수분, 증발산량, 유출량 등의 고해상도 수문기상요소 산출을 위한 지면모델 활용 기술은 기상 및 수문분야에서 널리 활용 중에 있다. 본 연구에서는 미국 국립대기과학연구소(NCAR)에서 개발된 기상-수문 결합모델 WRF-Hydro(Weather Research and Forecasting Model Hydrological modeling extension package)을 활용하여 낙동강 유역에서 발생한 돌발홍수 사례 실험에 적용하여 강우량 및 수문기상요소 전체를 모의함으로써 기상-수문-지면 결합모델을 활용한 수문기상요소 산출하고자 하였다. 이를 기존의 기상모델로부터 입력강제자료를 제공받아 Off-line 형태로 결합된 지면모델(TOPLATS, TOPmodel-based Land Atmosphere Transfer Scheme) 결과와 비교하였고 기상-수문 결합모델의 국내 적용성을 검토하였다. 기상-수문-지면 결합모델(WRF-Hydro)의 초기장 및 경계장은 기상청 현업 모델에서 생성된 국지예보모델자료 1.5km 자료(LDAPS, Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System)를 사용하였으며, 모델의 적분기간은 돌발홍수 사례에 따라 24~36시간을 수행하였다. WRF-Hydro 모델의 물리모수화 방안은 작년까지 기상청에서 현업운영되는 KWRF의 방안들을 준용하였으며, WRF-Hydro 수행을 위해 Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer(ASTER)에서 제공되는 30 m 해상도의 수치표고자료를 GIS(Geographic Information System)를 활용하여 지표유출방향을 설정하였다.

• Journal of Environmental Science International
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• v.26 no.6
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• pp.729-739
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• 2017

The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model and Vegetation Photosynthesis and Respiration Model (VPRM) were coupled to simulate atmospheric $CO_2$ concentrations. The performance of the WRF-VPRM to simulate regional scale $CO_2$ concentration was estimated over coastal basin areas. Either Hestia 2011(HST) or Vulcan 2002(VUL) anthropogenic $CO_2$ emission data were used in two numerical experiments for the study regions. Simulated meteorological variables were validated with ground and background $CO_2$ measurement data, and the results show that the model captured temporal variations of $CO_2$ concentration on a daily basis. $CO_2$ directional analysis revealed that the dominant $CO_2$ emission sources are located S and SW. The simulated Net Ecosystem Exchange (NEE) agreed relatively well with measured $CO_2$ fluxes at each vegetation class site, showing approximately 40% at max improvement at shrub areas.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.40-40
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• 2020

가뭄은 발생과정과 피해 영향에 따라 기상학적, 수문학적, 농업적, 사회경제학적 가뭄으로 분류할 수 있으며, 각 가뭄은 서로 직·간접적으로 영향을 미친다. 본 연구에서는 기상학적 가뭄에서 수문학적 가뭄으로의 전이 분석을 위하여 WRF-Hydro(Weather Research and Forecasting and Model Hydrological modeling extension package)모형을 한반도 대상으로 구축하였다. WRF-Hydro 모형을 한반도에 적절히 사용하기 위하여 표면유출, 보수깊이, 표면 거칠기와 같은 파라미터 보정을 모형의 유출량 결과 값과 관측된 유출량 값을 비교 평가하여 수행하였다. 수문학적 가뭄을 정의하기 위해 Standardized Runoff Index(SRI)를 도출하였고, 기상학적 가뭄 정의에는 Standardized Precipitation Index(SPI)를 사용하였다. 한반도 가뭄이 발생한 2008년부터 2015년까지 SPI와 SRI의 기간 및 심도를 정량화하고 가뭄 전이 분석하였다. 분석 결과에 따르면 수문학적 가뭄은 기상학적 가뭄이 발생 5일에서 49일 이후에 발생하며, 발생 횟수가 적으며 크기가 작으나, 상대적으로 긴 가뭄 기간을 보였다. 이러한 분석은 지면 및 수문 모형 기반 한반도 가뭄 사상 예측 및 이해에 기여할 것으로 예상된다.

• Journal of the Korean earth science society
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• v.38 no.2
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• pp.105-114
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• 2017

Two dimensional finite element method with quadrilateral basis functions was applied to the spherical high order filter on the spherical surface limited area domain. The basis function consists of four shape functions which are defined on separate four grid boxes sharing the same gridpoint. With the basis functions, the first order derivative was expressed as an algebraic equation associated with nine point stencil. As the theory depicts, the convergence rate of the error for the spherical Laplacian operator was found to be fourth order, while it was the second order for the spherical Laplacian operator. The accuracy of the new high order filter was shown to be almost the same as those of Fourier finite element high order filter. The two-dimension finite element high order filter was incorporated in the weather research and forecasting (WRF) model as a hyper viscosity. The effect of the high order filter was compared with the built-in viscosity scheme of the WRF model. It was revealed that the high order filter performed better than the built in viscosity scheme did in providing a sharper cutoff of small scale disturbances without affecting the large scale field. Simulation of the tropical cyclone track and intensity with the high order filter showed a forecast performance comparable to the built in viscosity scheme. However, the predicted amount and spatial distribution of the rainfall for the simulation with the high order filter was closer to the observed values than the case of built in viscosity scheme.

• Atmosphere
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• v.21 no.4
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• pp.391-404
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• 2011

This study investigates the impact of cumulus parameterization scheme (CPS) with different horizontal grid sizes on the simulation of the local heavy rainfall case over the Korean Peninsula. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)-based real-time forecast system of the Joint Center for High-impact Weather and Climate Research (JHWC) is used. Three CPSs are used for sensitivity experiments: the BMJ (Betts-Miller-Janjic), GD (Grell-Devenyi ensemble), and KF (Kain-Fritsch) CPSs. The heavy rainfall case selected in this study is characterized by low-level jet and low-level transport of warm and moist air. In 27-km simulations (DM1), simulated precipitation is overestimated in the experiment with BMJ scheme, and it is underestimated with GD scheme. The experiment with KF scheme shows well-developed precipitation cells in the southern and the central region of the Korean Peninsula, which are similar to the observations. All schemes show wet bias and cold bias in the lower troposphere. The simulated rainfall in 27-km horizontal resolution has influence on rainfall forecast in 9-km horizontal resolution, so the statements on 27-km horizontal resolution can be applied to 9-km horizontal resolution. In the sensitivity experiments of CPS for DM3 (3-km resolution), the experiment with BMJ scheme shows better heavy rainfall forecast than the other experiments. The experiments with CPS in 3-km horizontal resolution improve rainfall forecasts compared to the experiments without CPS, especially in rainfall distribution. The experiments with CPS show lower LCL(Lifted Condensation Level) than those without CPS at the maximum rainfall point, and weaker vertical velocity is simulated in the experiments with CPS compared to the experiments without CPS. It means that CPS suppresses convective instability and influences mainly convective rainfall. Consequently, heavy rainfall simulation with BMJ CPS is better than the other CPSs, and even in 3-km horizontal resolution, CPS should be applied to control convective instability. This conclusion can be generalized by conducting more experiments for a variety of cases over the Korean Peninsula.

• Atmosphere
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• v.25 no.3
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• pp.483-499
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• 2015

This study examined the impact of change of land-use and meteorological condition due to urbanization on heat environment in Seoul metropolitan area over a decade (2000 and 2009) using Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)-Urban Canopy Model (UCM). The numerical simulations consist of three sets: meteorological conditions of (1) October 2000 with land-use data in 2000 (base simulation), (2) October 2009 with land-use data in 2000 (meteorological condition change effect) and (3) October 2009 with land-use data in 2009 (both the effects of land-use and meteorological condition change). According to the experiment results, the change of land-use and meteorological condition by urbanization over a decade showed different contribution to the change of heat environment in Seoul metropolitan area. There was about $1^{\circ}C$ increase in near-surface (2 m) temperature over all of the analyzed stations due to meteorological condition change. In stations where the land-use type changed into urban, large temperature increase at nighttime was observed by combined effects of meteorological condition and land-use changes (maximum $4.23^{\circ}C$). Urban heat island (UHI) over $3^{\circ}C$ (temperature difference between Seoul and Okcheon) increased 5.24% due to the meteorological condition change and 26.61% due to the land-use change. That is, land-use change turned out to be contributing to the strengthening of UHI more than the meteorological condition change. Moreover, the land-use change plays a major role in the increase of sensible heat flux and decrease of latent heat flux.

• Atmosphere
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• v.30 no.3
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• pp.257-276
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• 2020

Faithful evaluation of the meteorological input is a prerequisite for a better understanding of air quality model performance. Despite the importance, the preliminary meteorological assessment has rarely been concerned. In this study, we aim to evaluate the performance of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model conducting a year-long high-resolution meteorological simulation in 2016 over the Seoul metropolitan area. The WRF model was configured based on a series of sensitivity simulations of initial/boundary meteorological conditions, land use mapping data, reanalysis grid nudging method, domain nesting method, and urban canopy model. The simulated results of winds, air temperature, and specific humidity in the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) were evaluated following statistical evaluation guidance using the surface and upper meteorological measurements. The statistical evaluation results are presented. The model performance was interpreted acceptable for air quality modeling within the statistical criteria of complex conditions, showing consistent overestimation in wind speeds. Further statistical analysis showed that the meteorological model biases were highly systematic with systematic bias fractions (f_SB) of 20~50%. This study suggests that both the momentum exchange process of the surface layer and the ABL entrainment process should be investigated for further improvement of the model performance.