• Title/Summary/Keyword: Water demand prediction

Search Result 99, Processing Time 0.02 seconds

Prediction of pollution loads in agricultural reservoirs using LSTM algorithm: case study of reservoirs in Nonsan City

  • Heesung Lim;Hyunuk An;Gyeongsuk Choi;Jaenam Lee;Jongwon Do
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
    • /
    • v.49 no.2
    • /
    • pp.193-202
    • /
    • 2022
  • The recurrent neural network (RNN) algorithm has been widely used in water-related research areas, such as water level predictions and water quality predictions, due to its excellent time series learning capabilities. However, studies on water quality predictions using RNN algorithms are limited because of the scarcity of water quality data. Therefore, most previous studies related to water quality predictions were based on monthly predictions. In this study, the quality of the water in a reservoir in Nonsan, Chungcheongnam-do Republic of Korea was predicted using the RNN-LSTM algorithm. The study was conducted after constructing data that could then be, linearly interpolated as daily data. In this study, we attempt to predict the water quality on the 7th, 15th, 30th, 45th and 60th days instead of making daily predictions of water quality factors. For daily predictions, linear interpolated daily water quality data and daily weather data (rainfall, average temperature, and average wind speed) were used. The results of predicting water quality concentrations (chemical oxygen demand [COD], dissolved oxygen [DO], suspended solid [SS], total nitrogen [T-N], total phosphorus [TP]) through the LSTM algorithm indicated that the predictive value was high on the 7th and 15th days. In the 30th day predictions, the COD and DO items showed R2 that exceeded 0.6 at all points, whereas the SS, T-N, and T-P items showed differences depending on the factor being assessed. In the 45th day predictions, it was found that the accuracy of all water quality predictions except for the DO item was sharply lowered.

The Study on Prediction of Hot Water Extraction in a Thermal Energy Storage System (축열시스템의 온수이용 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, W.;Pak, E.T.
    • Solar Energy
    • /
    • v.18 no.3
    • /
    • pp.71-80
    • /
    • 1998
  • In thermal energy storage system, energy collected from many types of heat source is stored in a storage tank and then supply to load for demand. Lately, practical use of thermal energy storage system and attention to essential use of energy have been increased. From this point of view, especially, a study about the energy extraction process from a storage tank is necessary. So in this study, useful rate of hot water and hot water extraction efficiency was analysed respect to dynamic and geometric parameters dominating the hot water extraction process.

  • PDF

A Study on the Eltimation of Daily Urban Water Demand by ARIMA Model (ARIMA 모델에 의한 상수도 일일 급수량 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Gyeong-Hun;Mun, Byeong-Seok;Park, Seong-Cheon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.30 no.1
    • /
    • pp.45-54
    • /
    • 1997
  • The correct estimation of the daily or hourly urban water demand is required for the efficient management and operation of the water supply facilities. The prediction of water supply demand are regression model and time series method, the optimum ARIMA (Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average) model was sought for the daily urban water demand estimation in this paper. The data used for this study were obtained from the city of Kwangju Korea. The raw data used in this study were rearranged 15, 30, 60, 90 days for the purpose of analysis. The statistical analysis was applied to the data to obtain the ARIMA model. As a result, the parameters determining the ARIMA model was obtained. The accuracy of the model was 2% of water supply. The developed model was found to be useful for the practical operation and management of the water supply facilities.

  • PDF

Market Evaluation of Seawater Desalination Plant considering International Water Scarcity and Expense Outlook by Use and Nation (해외 물 기근 현황과 용도별.국가별 자본지출 전망을 고려한 해수담수화 플랜트 시장성 평가)

  • Yang, Jeong-Seok;Sohn, Jinsik;Kang, Dae-Su
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
    • /
    • v.27 no.2
    • /
    • pp.178-187
    • /
    • 2011
  • National water supply, water resources available, the ratio of water supply to total water resources, and the ratio of water supply to available water resources were investigated to find global seawater desalination plant market for 163 nations. Water resources available per capita from 2007 to 2016, population in water scarcity region from 2011 to 2016, and the ratio of water scarcity population to total population were also analyzed for the countries. Annual percentage increase in total municipal drinking water capital expenditure and Annual percentage increase in total industrial water market were analyzed to predict the amount of water supply by use. 76 countries are suffering from water scarcity and 60 countries among the countries have coastal regions. Forty countries were selected by considering the considerable amount and highly increasing trend of water demand by use. Most countries show increasing trend of industrial water and 82 countries have more than 4% annual increasing rate for domestic water expense from 2008 to 2016 among 163 countries. Among the 76 water scarcity countries 16 countries were finally selected by considering expense prediction by use. Middle-east, east asia, pacific ocean, and west europe regions include most selected countries.

A Study on Mulwang Reservoir Water Quality Improvement Effect Using Watershed-Reservoir Integrated Prediction (유역-호소 통합수질예측 기법을 이용한 물왕저수지 수질개선효과 분석)

  • Oh, Heesang;Rhee, Han-Pil
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.59 no.3
    • /
    • pp.51-62
    • /
    • 2017
  • Since living environment has improved, waterfront space using and clear water demand have increased. Ministry of Environment (ME) designated polluted reservoir (worse than 4th grade) as a priority management reservoir to improve water quality (better than 3rd grade) accordingly. Minstry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs (MAFRA) aims reservoir water quality 4th not 3rd grade. And water quality of agricultural reservoirs was not a great interest. For this reason, there are very few water quality monitoring data. However after designating as a priority management reservoir, reservoir manager should start water quality and flow monitoring of reservoirs and inflow streams. This process makes it possible setting complex model to accurate prediction of reservoir water quality and volume. Mulwang reservoir designated as a priority management reservoir in September 2014. In this study, BASINS/WinHSPF and EFDC-WASP were used to predict effect of water quality improvement countermeasures in Mulwang reservoir. To improve water quality of Mulwang reservoir, Siheung-si and Korea Rural Community Corporation (KRCC) established water quality improvement countermeasures. However result of simulation adapting these countermeasures cannot achieve 3rd grade. So 4 additional scenarios were adapted and the result satisfied 3rd grade. This study could help to establish water quality improvement countermeasure by using complex modeling.

Short-Term Water Demand Forecasting Algorithm Using AR Model and MLP (AR모델과 MLP를 이용한 단기 물 수요 예측 알고리즘 개발)

  • Choi, Gee-Seon;Yu, Chool;Jin, Ryuk-Min;Yu, Seong-Keun;Chun, Myung-Geun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
    • /
    • v.19 no.5
    • /
    • pp.713-719
    • /
    • 2009
  • In this paper, we develope a water demand forecasting algorithm using AR(Auto-regressive) and MLP(Multi-layer perceptron). To show effectiveness of the proposed method, we analyzed characteristics of time-series data collected in "A" purification plant at Jeon-Buk province during 2007-2008, and then performed the proposed method with various input factors selected through various analyses. As noted in experimental results, the performance of three types model such as multi-regressive, AR(Auto-regressive), and AR+MLP(Auto-regressive + Multi-layer perceptron) show 5.1%, 3.8%, and 3.6% with respect to MAPE(Mean Absolute Percentage Error), respectively. Thus, it is noted that the proposed method can be used to predict short-term water demand for the efficient operation of a water purification plant.

A Study on LSTM-based water level prediction model and suitability evaluation (LSTM 기반 배수지 수위 변화 예측모델과 적합성 평가 연구)

  • Lee, Eunji;Park, Hyungwook;Kim, Eunju
    • Smart Media Journal
    • /
    • v.11 no.5
    • /
    • pp.56-62
    • /
    • 2022
  • Water reservoir is defined as a storage space to hold and supply filtered water and it's significantly important to manage water level in the water reservoir so as to stabilize water supply by controlling water supply depending on demand. Liquid level sensors have been installed in the water reservoir and the pumps in the booster station facilitated management for optimum water level in the water reservoir. But the incident responses including sensor malfunction and communication breakdown actually count on manager's inspection, which involves risk of accidents. To stabilize draining facility management, this study has come up with AI model that predicts changes in the water level in the water reservoir. Going through simulation in the case of missing data in the water level to verify stability in relation to the field application of the prediction model for water level changes in the reservoir, the comparison of actual change value and predicted value allows to test utility of the model.

A Prediction of Nutrition Water for Strawberry Production using Linear Regression

  • Venkatesan, Saravanakumar;Sathishkumar, VE;Park, Jangwoo;Shin, Changsun;Cho, Yongyun
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
    • /
    • v.9 no.1
    • /
    • pp.132-140
    • /
    • 2020
  • It is very important to use appropriate nutrition water for crop growth in hydroponic farming facilities. However, in many cases, the supply of nutrition water is not designed with a precise plan, but is performed in a conventional manner. We proposes a forecasting technique for nutrition water requirements based on a data analysis for optimal strawberry production. To do this, the proposed forecasting technique uses linear regression for correlating strawberry production, soil condition, and environmental parameters with nutrition water demand for the actual two-stage strawberry production soil. Also, it includes predicting the optimal amount of nutrition water requires according to the heterogeneous cultivation environment and variety by comparing the amount of nutrition water needed for the growth and production of different kinds of strawberries. We suggested study uses two types of section beds that are compared to find out the best section bed production of strawberry growth. The dataset includes 233 samples collected from a real strawberry greenhouse, and the four predicted variables consist of the total amounts of nutrition water, average temperature, humidity, and CO2 in the greenhouse.

Water Quality Assessment and Turbidity Prediction Using Multivariate Statistical Techniques: A Case Study of the Cheurfa Dam in Northwestern Algeria

  • ADDOUCHE, Amina;RIGHI, Ali;HAMRI, Mehdi Mohamed;BENGHAREZ, Zohra;ZIZI, Zahia
    • Applied Chemistry for Engineering
    • /
    • v.33 no.6
    • /
    • pp.563-573
    • /
    • 2022
  • This work aimed to develop a new equation for turbidity (Turb) simulation and prediction using statistical methods based on principal component analysis (PCA) and multiple linear regression (MLR). For this purpose, water samples were collected monthly over a five year period from Cheurfa dam, an important reservoir in Northwestern Algeria, and analyzed for 12 parameters, including temperature (T°), pH, electrical conductivity (EC), turbidity (Turb), dissolved oxygen (DO), ammonium (NH4+), nitrate (NO3-), nitrite (NO2-), phosphate (PO43-), total suspended solids (TSS), biochemical oxygen demand (BOD5) and chemical oxygen demand (COD). The results revealed a strong mineralization of the water and low dissolved oxygen (DO) content during the summer period. High levels of TSS and Turb were recorded during rainy periods. In addition, water was charged with phosphate (PO43-) in the whole period of study. The PCA results revealed ten factors, three of which were significant (eigenvalues >1) and explained 75.5% of the total variance. The F1 and F2 factors explained 36.5% and 26.7% of the total variance, respectively and indicated anthropogenic pollution of domestic agricultural and industrial origin. The MLR turbidity simulation model exhibited a high coefficient of determination (R2 = 92.20%), indicating that 92.20% of the data variability can be explained by the model. TSS, DO, EC, NO3-, NO2-, and COD were the most significant contributing parameters (p values << 0.05) in turbidity prediction. The present study can help with decision-making on the management and monitoring of the water quality of the dam, which is the primary source of drinking water in this region.

Derivation of Data Demand through Analysis of Agreed Terms and Conditions on Environmental Impact Assessment - Focusing on the Water Environment - (환경영향평가 협의 내용 분석을 통한 데이터 수요 도출방안 - 수환경 분야를 중심으로 -)

  • Jinhoo Hwang;Yoonji Kim;Seong Woo Jeon;Yuyoung Choi;Hyun Chan Sung
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
    • /
    • v.32 no.1
    • /
    • pp.29-40
    • /
    • 2023
  • The need for improvement is raised due to limitations with environmental impact assessment, and the importance for data-based environmental impact assessment is increasing. In this study, data demand was derived by analyzing Agreed Terms and Conditions in the Water Environment field (Water Quality, Hydraulic & Hydrologic Conditions, and Marine Environment) of environmental impact assessment. Agreed Terms and Conditions on environmental impact assessment in the water environment field were classified and categorized by environmental impact assessment stage (addition to status survey, impact prediction and evaluation, establishment of reduction measures, post-environmental impact survey), and data demand for each type of consultation opinion was linked. As a result of the categorization of Agreed Terms and Conditions, it was classified into 18 types in the water quality, 15 types in the hydraulic & hydrologic conditions, and 17 types in the marine environment. As a result of linking data demand, the total number of data demand was 236 in the water quality, 98 in the hydraulic & hydrologic conditions, and 73 in the marine environment. The highest number of Agreed Terms and Conditions and data demands were found in the water quality for the evaluation item and establishment of reduction measures, specifically establishment of non-point source pollution reduction measures, for the stage. The numbers were judged to be linked to the relative importance of the items and the primary purpose of environmental impact assessment. The derivation of data demand through the analysis of Agreed Terms and Conditions in the environmental impact assessment can contribute to the advancement of the preparation of environmental impact assessment reports and is expected to increase data utilization by various decision-makers by establishing a systematic database.